Project analyse en macro-economisch beleid: = Project appraisal and macroeconomic policy
Gespeichert in:
| 1. Verfasser: | |
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| Format: | Abschlussarbeit Buch |
| Sprache: | Undetermined |
| Veröffentlicht: |
1991
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| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Beschreibung: | Text engl. |
| Beschreibung: | 320 S. + Stellingen |
Internformat
MARC
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| 100 | 1 | |a Burg, Tsjalle van der |e Verfasser |4 aut | |
| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a Project analyse en macro-economisch beleid |b = Project appraisal and macroeconomic policy |c door Tsjalle van der Burg |
| 246 | 1 | 1 | |a Project appraisal and macroeconomic policy |
| 264 | 1 | |c 1991 | |
| 300 | |a 320 S. + Stellingen | ||
| 336 | |b txt |2 rdacontent | ||
| 337 | |b n |2 rdamedia | ||
| 338 | |b nc |2 rdacarrier | ||
| 500 | |a Text engl. | ||
| 502 | |a Groningen, Univ., Diss., 1991 | ||
| 655 | 7 | |0 (DE-588)4113937-9 |a Hochschulschrift |2 gnd-content | |
| 856 | 4 | 2 | |m HBZ Datenaustausch |q application/pdf |u http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=021683596&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |3 Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| 999 | |a oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-021683596 | ||
Datensatz im Suchindex
| _version_ | 1804144520085897216 |
|---|---|
| adam_text | CONTENTS
1 INTRODUCTION 1
2 EXISTING METHODS FOR THE SOCIAL APPRAISAL OF PROJECTS IN 6
SITUATIONS OF UNEMPLOYMENT
2.1 Introduction 6
2.2 Methods based on welfare theory 14
2.2.1 Dual methods based on a partial analysis and on 14
neo-Paretian welfare theory
2.2.2 Dual methods based on an integral analysis and on 19
neo-Paretian or Pigouvian welfare theory
2.2.3 Primal methods based on a theoretical model of the 35
economy and on neo-Paretian welfare theory
2.3 Methods not based on welfare theory 36
2.3.1 Primal methods based on an input-output model 36
2.3.2 Primal methods based on econometric macro-models 44
2.3.3 A dual method based on an econometric macro-model 48
2.4 The evaluation of the outcomes of calculations with an 51
econometric macro-model on the basis of neo-Paretian welfare
theory
2.5 The consistency between the various methods of project apraisal 54
and macroeconomic analysis and policy
2.6 Conclusions and implications for the development of an improved 58
method
Notes 61
3 THE MACROECONOMIC EFFECTS OF SPECIFIC PORTFOLIOS OF PROJECTS 65
3.1 Introduction 65
3.2 The macroeconomic effects of projects which lead to savings on 66
fuels and other raw materials
3.2.1 The analysis in general 66
3.2.2 Counterbalancing effects related to an increase in demand 72
financed by foreign countries
3.2.3 Financial crowding-out 73
3.2.4 Changes in the rate of exchange of the domestic currency 76
3.2.5 Technological development 77
3.2.6 Savings on fuels that are not imported 78
3.2.7 Effects on the environment 80
3.2.8 The results of quantitative studies 81
3.2.9 The effects of a policy of saving on fuels and other raw 85
materials at the level of the European Community
3.2.10Conclusions 89
3.3 Inflation theory and project appraisal 91
3.4 The dependency of macroeconomic analysis and policy on project 94
appraisal
3.5 Some implications of the preceding analysis for the method of 95
project analysis to be developed
Appendix 3.1 Some remarks concerning the calculations of the 97
Central Planning Bureau
Appendix 3.2 A simple analysis of the effects of a policy of saving 103
on fuels at the level of the European Community
Notes 105
4 A METHOD TO CALCULATE AND EVALUATE THE MACR0EC0N0MIC EFFECTS OF 108
PROJECTS, INCLUDING SMALL PROJECTS
4.1 Introduction and summary 108
4.2 The calculation of the effects of a project 11°
4.2.1 Introduction H
4.2.2 The effects of financing the expenditures 117
4.2.3 The effects of the expenditures excluding the effects 121
of financing them
4.2.4 The effects of the output 127
4.2.5 Additional remarks 130
4.2.6 Practical advantages of the method 131
4.3 Potential errors related to the estimates when large projects 132
are analysed
4.3.1 Introduction 132
4.3.2 Errors related to project-specific characteristics 132
4.3-3 Errors related to the estimate of the effects of a 133
project that leads to specific durable changes
4.3-4 Errors related to the estimates of the effects of 135
other projects
4.3-5 Final remarks 139
4.4 Potential errors related to the estimates when small projects 140
are analysed
4.4.1 Introduction 140
4.4.2 The concept of risk-pooling l4l
4.4.3 One of the problems related to the principle of 143
proportionality, in the context of a hypothetical setting
4.4.4 The principle of proportionality, considered from a more 148
general and realistic point of view
4.4.5 The third step 154
4.4.6 The justification of the method when it is used to 155
analyse one project, or a few projects, only
4.5 Criteria for the evaluation of the effects 161
Appendix 4.1 The treatment of indirect taxes 168
Appendix 4.2 Some remarks about the existing methods of project 170
appraisal in situations of general disequilibrium,
in view of in section 4.4
Schema of calculations 173
List of symbols 174
Notes 176
5- THE CALCULATIONS DONE WITH THE FREIA-MODEL 179
5.1 Introduction 179
5.2 The Freia-model 180
5.3 The base-run 187
5.4 The calculation of the H and the U 189
5.5 The extent to which the calculations fulfill the conditions of 189
additivity
5.6 The differences between the effects of increases in government 192
investment and in development aid in different years
5.7 The period to which the analysis refers 200
5.8 Comparison between the calculations made for this study and 201
calculations of the Central Planning Bureau
5.9 Conclusions 202
Appendix 5.1 Tables 5.3 and 5.4 206
Notes 215
6 THE MACROECONOMIC EFFECTS OF WIND ENERGY IN THE NETHERLANDS 217
6.1 Introduction 217
6.2 The relation between this chapter and chapter 4 219
6.3 Characteristics of the project from a microeconomic point of view 222
6.3-1 Costs and benefits from a private point of view 222
6.3.2 Modifications needed for the calculation of the 224
macroeconomic effects
6.3-3 The private profitability of the project 226
6.3-4 Input-output analysis 227
6.3.5 Final remarks 228
6.4 The macroeconomic effects 229
6.4.1 The macroeconomic effects of the project 229
6.4.2 Evaluation of the effects 235
6.4.3 Sensitivity analysis 239
6.4.4 The dependency of the outcomes on macroeconomic factors 242
6.5 Conclusions 245
Notes 249
7 THE MACROECONOMIC EFFECTS OF SOLAR COLLECTORS IN THE NETHERLANDS 252
7.1 Introduction 252
7.2 Solar collectors for swimming pools 253
7.2.1 Characteristics of the project from a microeconomic 253
point of view
7-2.2 The macroeconomic effects of the project 256
7.3 Solar collectors for hospitals 260
7.3-1 Characteristics of the project from a microeconomic 260
point of view
7-3-2 The macroeconomic effects of the project 262
7-4 Evaluation of the effects 262
Notes 265
8 CONVERTING THE METHOD INTO A DUAL METHOD 266
8.1 Theoretical background 266
8.2 General outline of the method 267
8.3 Shadow prices based on the Freia model and on neo-Paretian 271
welfare theory
8.4 Conclusions 281
Notes 283
9 INTERNATIONAL ASPECTS AND THE DEBATE ABOUT IMPORT SUBSTITUTION 284
9.1 Effects on the world economy 284
9.2 Some comments on the debate about the effects of import 289
substitution on the domestic economy
Notes 294
10 SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS 295
REFERENCES 307
SAMENVATTING 3X3
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| spelling | Burg, Tsjalle van der Verfasser aut Project analyse en macro-economisch beleid = Project appraisal and macroeconomic policy door Tsjalle van der Burg Project appraisal and macroeconomic policy 1991 320 S. + Stellingen txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Text engl. Groningen, Univ., Diss., 1991 (DE-588)4113937-9 Hochschulschrift gnd-content HBZ Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=021683596&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Burg, Tsjalle van der Project analyse en macro-economisch beleid = Project appraisal and macroeconomic policy |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4113937-9 |
| title | Project analyse en macro-economisch beleid = Project appraisal and macroeconomic policy |
| title_alt | Project appraisal and macroeconomic policy |
| title_auth | Project analyse en macro-economisch beleid = Project appraisal and macroeconomic policy |
| title_exact_search | Project analyse en macro-economisch beleid = Project appraisal and macroeconomic policy |
| title_full | Project analyse en macro-economisch beleid = Project appraisal and macroeconomic policy door Tsjalle van der Burg |
| title_fullStr | Project analyse en macro-economisch beleid = Project appraisal and macroeconomic policy door Tsjalle van der Burg |
| title_full_unstemmed | Project analyse en macro-economisch beleid = Project appraisal and macroeconomic policy door Tsjalle van der Burg |
| title_short | Project analyse en macro-economisch beleid |
| title_sort | project analyse en macro economisch beleid project appraisal and macroeconomic policy |
| title_sub | = Project appraisal and macroeconomic policy |
| topic_facet | Hochschulschrift |
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