Oil panic and the global crisis: predictions and myths
Gespeichert in:
1. Verfasser: | |
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Format: | Buch |
Sprache: | English |
Veröffentlicht: |
Oxford
Wiley-Blackwell
2010
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Ausgabe: | first publ. |
Schlagworte: | |
Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
Beschreibung: | XII, 241 S. graph. Darst. |
ISBN: | 9781405195485 1405195487 |
Internformat
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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adam_text | OIL PANIC AND THE GLOBAL CRISIS PREDICTIONS AND MYTHS STEVEN M. GORELICK
STANFORD UNIVERSITY WILEY-BLACKWELL A JOHN WILEY & SONS, LTD.,
PUBLICATION CONTENTS PREFACE IX ACKNOWLEDGMENTS X ABOUT UNITS XI GETTING
STARTED: WHAT DO YOU THINK? XIII 1 END OF THE OIL ERA 1 CAUSE FOR
CONCERN 1 HUBBERT S CURVE 4 THE APPEAL OF HUBBERT S CURVE 10 HUBBERT S
SUCCESS 11 US OIL DEPENDENCE SINCE PEAK PRODUCTION 12 CHAPTERS AHEAD 13
NOTES AND REFERENCES 13 2 THE GLOBAL OIL LANDSCAPE 16 INTRODUCTION 16
DEFINITIONS 17 PETROLEUM COMPOSITION AND ENERGY DENSITY 18 WHY A BARREL
IS A BBL 20 THE OIL BUSINESS 20 OPEC 23 HOW MUCH OIL IS THERE? THE USGS
ASSESSMENT 26 FROM THE USGS ASSESSMENT TO 2009 29 RESERVES 31 WHERE IS
OIL PRODUCED? 32 WHERE IS OIL CONSUMED? 33 OIL IMPORTS 35 AFTER OIL IS
PRODUCED 37 OIL PRODUCTION VERSUS CONSUMPTION 38 OIL QUALITY 40 VI
CONTENTS OIL PRICING BY QUALITY 40 GASOLINE 41 WHAT DETERMINES THE PRICE
OF GASOLINE AT THE PUMP? 41 THE PRICE OF GASOLINE 44 GASOLINE PRICE
ELASTICITY: WHAT HAPPENS WHEN THE PRICE GOES UP (OR DOWN)? 45 GASOLINE
PRICE VARIABILITY 47 POINTS TO TAKE AWAY 49 NOTES AND REFERENCES 51 3
THE HISTORICAL RESOURCE DEPLETION DEBATE 58 THE MALTHUSIAN DOCTRINE 58
THE LIMITS TO GROWTH 59 THE OIL PANICS OF 1916 AND 1918 62 PANIC
REVISITED: THE OIL CRISIS OF THE 1970S 63 ARGUMENTS SUPPORTING GLOBAL
OIL DEPLETION 65 DECLINING OIL PRODUCTION IN COUNTRIES IN ADDITION TO
THAT IN THE US 65 PRODUCTION EXCEEDS DISCOVERIES 66 RESERVE AND
ENDOWMENT ESTIMATES ARE INFLATED 67 INDUSTRY EXAGGERATION OF RESERVES 69
FEWER GIANT FIELDS DISCOVERED AND PRODUCTION IS DECLINING 70 DECLINE IN
DISCOVERY AND OIL DRILLING SUGGESTS ONSET OF PRODUCTION DECLINE 72
GLOBAL INDUSTRIAL DEVELOPMENT AND OIL CONSUMPTION 74 THE PRICE OF OIL IS
INCREASING: DOES THIS INDICATE SCARCITY? 77 FORECASTS SUPPORT A DECLINE
IN GLOBAL PRODUCTION USING EXTENSIONS TO HUBBERT S APPROACH 80 SUMMARY
81 NOTES AND REFERENCES 82 4 COUNTER-ARGUMENTS TO IMMINENT GLOBAL OIL
DEPLETION 87 MYTH I: HUBBERT S PREDICTED PRODUCTION RATES WERE ACCURATE
87 US OIL PRODUCTION 88 THE BELL-SHAPED CURVE 93 US NATURAL GAS
PRODUCTION 95 GLOBAL OIL PRODUCTION 95 MYTH II: A DECLINE IN PRODUCTION
NECESSARILY INDICATES SCARCITY 98 COMMODITY SCARCITY 98 GENERALIZING THE
DEBATE: RESOURCE ECONOMISTS VERSUS NEO-MALTHUSIANS 103 CONTENTS VII BACK
TO OIL 110 SCARCITY RENT 116 MYTH III: RESOURCE ASSESSMENTS PROVIDE
USEFUL ENDOWMENT ESTIMATES 118 THE MISSING MASS BALANCE , 123
COUNTER-ARGUMENT TO OPEC AND INDUSTRY EXAGGERATION OF RESERVES 124
MYTH IV: AFTER SO MUCH EXPLORATION, THERE IS LITTLE OIL LEFT TO BE FOUND
, 126 US OIL: RESERVES 126 US OIL: DISCOVERIES 128 GLOBAL OIL: RESERVES
132 GLOBAL OIL: DISCOVERIES 138 RUSSIAN AND GLOBAL ARCTIC OIL 144 MYTH
V: THE WORLD CANNOT AFFORD INCREASES IN OIL USE AS DEVELOPING NATIONS
DEMAND MORE OIL 146 FUTURE DEMAND OF DEVELOPING NATIONS 146 OIL
EXPENDITURES IN THE WORLD ECONOMY 153 MYTH VI: THERE ARE NO SUBSTITUTES
FOR OIL 156 THE GOLD RESOURCE PYRAMID 156 THE OIL RESOURCE PYRAMID 160
THE US AND GLOBAL OIL RESOURCE PYRAMIDS 161 THREE UNCONVENTIONAL OIL
SUBSTITUTES 165 US HEAVY OIL 165 GLOBAL HEAVY OIL 166 US OIL SANDS 168
GLOBAL OIL SANDS 168 US OIL SHALE 170 GLOBAL OIL SHALE 172 FOSSIL FUEL
CONVERSION: THE ROLE OF GAS AND COAL 173 THE IMPORTANCE OF DIESEL 175
SYNTHETIC FUEL FROM COAL AND NATURAL GAS 175 NATURAL GAS RESOURCES 177
COAL RESOURCES 180 CHAPTER SUMMARY 181 NOTES AND REFERENCES 183 5 BEYOND
PANIC 195 THE NON-RENEWABLE RESOURCE MODEL 195 WHERE IS AN EFFICIENCY
GAIN POSSIBLE? 196 WILL INCREASES IN EFFICIENCY INDEED REDUCE DEMAND?
199 VIII CONTENTS TWO SCENARIOS FOR DEVELOPING NATIONS 204 WHAT MIGHT
ULTIMATELY SUBSTITUTE FOR OIL? 207 CONSIDERATION 1: COST OF DEPENDENCE
ON IMPORTED OIL 208 CONSIDERATION 2: GASOLINE AND ATMOSPHERIC CARBON
DIOXIDE EMISSIONS 209 CONSIDERATION 3: ALTERNATIVES 210 ETHANOL V
211 BIODIESEL 212 LEAPFROGGING TO AN ULTIMATE SUBSTITUTE 213 EFFECTS OF
A US MOVE TO OIL ALTERNATIVES 215 THE STATE OF OIL RESOURCES 219 ENDING
THOUGHTS 221 NOTES AND REFERENCES 225 INDEX 231
|
any_adam_object | 1 |
author | Gorelick, Steven |
author_facet | Gorelick, Steven |
author_role | aut |
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author_variant | s g sg |
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bvnumber | BV025601030 |
callnumber-first | H - Social Science |
callnumber-label | HD9560 |
callnumber-raw | HD9560.5 |
callnumber-search | HD9560.5 |
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callnumber-subject | HD - Industries, Land Use, Labor |
classification_rvk | AR 26200 QR 534 RB 10705 |
classification_tum | ERG 020f GEO 074f |
ctrlnum | (OCoLC)428436709 (DE-599)BVBBV025601030 |
dewey-full | 333.8/232 |
dewey-hundreds | 300 - Social sciences |
dewey-ones | 333 - Economics of land and energy |
dewey-raw | 333.8/232 |
dewey-search | 333.8/232 |
dewey-sort | 3333.8 3232 |
dewey-tens | 330 - Economics |
discipline | Energietechnik, Energiewirtschaft Geowissenschaften Allgemeines Wirtschaftswissenschaften Geographie |
edition | first publ. |
format | Book |
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indexdate | 2024-07-09T22:37:17Z |
institution | BVB |
isbn | 9781405195485 1405195487 |
language | English |
oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-020196478 |
oclc_num | 428436709 |
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owner | DE-11 DE-20 DE-91S DE-BY-TUM |
owner_facet | DE-11 DE-20 DE-91S DE-BY-TUM |
physical | XII, 241 S. graph. Darst. |
publishDate | 2010 |
publishDateSearch | 2010 |
publishDateSort | 2010 |
publisher | Wiley-Blackwell |
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spelling | Gorelick, Steven Verfasser aut Oil panic and the global crisis predictions and myths Steven M. Gorelick first publ. Oxford Wiley-Blackwell 2010 XII, 241 S. graph. Darst. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Energy consumption Forecasting Petroleum industry and trade Petroleum reserves Forecasting Erdöl- und Erdgastechnik (DE-588)7662408-0 gnd rswk-swf Petroleumhandel (DE-588)4396726-7 gnd rswk-swf Erdöl- und Erdgastechnik (DE-588)7662408-0 s Petroleumhandel (DE-588)4396726-7 s DE-604 GBV Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=020196478&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
spellingShingle | Gorelick, Steven Oil panic and the global crisis predictions and myths Energy consumption Forecasting Petroleum industry and trade Petroleum reserves Forecasting Erdöl- und Erdgastechnik (DE-588)7662408-0 gnd Petroleumhandel (DE-588)4396726-7 gnd |
subject_GND | (DE-588)7662408-0 (DE-588)4396726-7 |
title | Oil panic and the global crisis predictions and myths |
title_auth | Oil panic and the global crisis predictions and myths |
title_exact_search | Oil panic and the global crisis predictions and myths |
title_full | Oil panic and the global crisis predictions and myths Steven M. Gorelick |
title_fullStr | Oil panic and the global crisis predictions and myths Steven M. Gorelick |
title_full_unstemmed | Oil panic and the global crisis predictions and myths Steven M. Gorelick |
title_short | Oil panic and the global crisis |
title_sort | oil panic and the global crisis predictions and myths |
title_sub | predictions and myths |
topic | Energy consumption Forecasting Petroleum industry and trade Petroleum reserves Forecasting Erdöl- und Erdgastechnik (DE-588)7662408-0 gnd Petroleumhandel (DE-588)4396726-7 gnd |
topic_facet | Energy consumption Forecasting Petroleum industry and trade Petroleum reserves Forecasting Erdöl- und Erdgastechnik Petroleumhandel |
url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=020196478&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
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