The expected benefits of trade liberalization for world income and development: openeing th "Black Box" of global trade modeling
Gespeichert in:
| 1. Verfasser: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Buch |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Washington, D. C.
International Food Policy Research Institute
2008
|
| Schriftenreihe: | Food policy review
8 |
| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Beschreibung: | XVI, 159 S. |
| ISBN: | 9780896295100 |
Internformat
MARC
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| 100 | 1 | |a Bouët, Antoine |e Verfasser |4 aut | |
| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a The expected benefits of trade liberalization for world income and development |b openeing th "Black Box" of global trade modeling |c Antoine Bouet |
| 264 | 1 | |a Washington, D. C. |b International Food Policy Research Institute |c 2008 | |
| 300 | |a XVI, 159 S. | ||
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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| adam_text | Contents
ListofTables v
List of Figures ix
Foreword xi
Acknowledgments xiii
List of Abbreviations xv
Introduction 1
Chapter 1 Background 3
Chapter 2 Methodologies for Assessing the Impact of
Trade Liberalization 9
Chapter 3 A New Assessment of the Impactof Trade Liberalization 21
Chapter 4 Modeling Trade Liberalization and Development Using
CGEMs:ASurvey 55
Chapter 5 Condusions 89
Appendix A Arable Land per Person, by Country 93
Appendix B Correspondence Tables 97
Appendix C Initial Patterns of World Trade 101
Appendix D Impact of Füll Trade Liberalization on World Prices 111
Appendix E Decomposition of Füll Trade Liberalization, by
Iiberalizing Region 115
iii
iv CONTENTS
Appendix F Decomposition of Full Trade Liberalization, by Activity 119
Appendix G Decomposition of Full Trade Liberalization,
by Instrument 123
Appendix H Methodology for Assessing the Impact of Full Trade
Liberalization by CGEM 127
Appendix I Custom Taxes as a Proportion of Gross
Domestic Product 133
Appendix J Model Option: No Pre-Experiment 135
Appendix K Model Option: No Preferential Duties 139
Appendix L Model Option: Higher Trade Elasticities 143
Appendix M Model Option: Trade Increases Factor Productivity 147
References 151
Tables
Table 2.1 Comparisons of types of models 20
Table 3.1 Geographical decomposition 27
Table 3.2 Sector decomposition 29
Table 3.3 Impact of full trade liberalization: Rate of change for world
indicators for 2015 (percent) 36
Table 3.4 Distribution of welfare gains among beneficiary groups and rate
of change in welfare (percent) 37
Table 3.5 Impact of full trade liberalization: Rate of change in
macroeconomic indicators for 2015 (percent) 37
Table 3.6 Full trade liberalization: Rate of change of
macroeconomic indicators for production and exports
(percent by volume) 38
Table 3.7 Impact of full trade liberalization: Rate of change of
remuneration of production factors for 2015 in real
terms (percent) 42
Table 3.8 World redistribution associated with full trade
liberalization 43
Table 4.1 Computable general equilibrium model assessments
of full trade liberalization: Convergent conclusions
(percent) 57
Table 4.2 Trade pessimism: Potential losers from full trade
liberalization 60
Table 4.3 The Harbinson proposal (percent) 63
vi TABLES
Table 4.4 World welfare gains by zone: Full trade liberalization
using different theoretical variations (percent) 86
Table A.1 Arable land per person, 2003 (hectares per person) 93
Table B.1 Correspondence, sector 97
Table B.2 Correspondence, country/zone 99
Table C.1 Initial pattern of protection, by trade partner, 2005
(level of tariff, percent) 102
Table C.2 Initial pattern of protection, by product, 2005
(level of tariff, percent) 104
Table C.3 Initial pattern of trade, by importing country, 2005
(percent) 106
Table C.4 Initial structure of exports, 2005 (percent) 108
Table D.1 Impact of full trade liberalization on world prices,
by sector (percent) 112
Table E.1 Impact of full trade liberalization in the North: Rate
of change for world indicators for 2015 (percent) 116
Table E.2 Impact of full trade liberalization in the North:
Rate of change of macroeconomic indicators for
2015 (percent) 116
Table E.3 Impact of full trade liberalization in the South:
Rate of change for world indicators for 2015 (percent) 117
Table E.4 Impact of full trade liberalization in the South:
Rate of change of macroeconomic indicators for
2015 (percent) 117
Table F.1 Impact of full trade liberalization in agriculture: Rate
of change of world indicators for 2015 (percent) 120
Table F.2 Impact of full trade liberalization in agriculture:
Rate of change of macroeconomic indicators for
2015 (percent) 120
Table F.3 Impact of full trade liberalization in industry: Rate
of change of world indicators for 2015 (percent) 121
Table F.4 Impact of full trade liberalization in industry: Rate of
change of macroeconomic indicators for 2015 (percent) 121
Table G.1 Impact of full elimination of import tariffs: Rate of
change of world indicators for 2015 (percent) 124
Table G.2 Impact of full elimination of import tariffs: Rate of
change of macroeconomic indicators for 2015 (percent) 124
TABLES vii
Table G.3 Impact of a full elimination of domestic support: Rate
of change of world indicators for 2015 (percent) 125
Table G.4 Impact of full elimination of domestic support: Rate of
change of macroeconomic indicators for 2015 (percent) 125
Table G.5 Impact of full elimination of export subsidies: Rate
of change of world indicators for 2015 (percent) 126
Table G.6 Impact of full elimination of export subsidies: Rate of
change of macroeconomic indicators for 2015 (percent) 126
Table H.1 Results of recent assessments of the impact of full trade
liberalization 130
Table H.2 Assessing the impact of a DDA by CGEM 132
Table 1.1 Custom taxes as a proportion of gross domestic product, by
country (percent) 133
Table J.1 Impact of a full trade liberalization from 2001: Rate
of change of world indicators for 2015 (percent) 136
Table J.2 Impact of full trade liberalization from 2001: Rate of
change of macroeconomic indicators for 2015 (percent) 136
Table J.3 Impact of full trade liberalization from 2001: Rate of
change of factor remuneration for 2015 (percent) 137
Table K.1 Impact of full trade liberalization: Rate of change of
world indicators for 2015 (percent) 140
Table K.2 Impact of full trade liberalization from 2001: Rate of
change of macroeconomic indicators for 2015 (percent) 140
Table K.3 Impact of full trade liberalization from 2001: Rate of
change of factor remuneration for 2015 (percent) 141
Table L.1 Impact of full trade liberalization: Rate of change
of world indicators for 2015 (percent) 144
Table L.2 Impact of full trade liberalization from 2001: Rate of
change of macroeconomic indicators for 2015 (percent) 144
Table L.3 Impact of full trade liberalization from 2001: Rate of
change of factor remuneration for 2015 (percent) 145
Table M.1 Impact of full trade liberalization: Rate of change
of world indicators for 2015 (percent) 148
Table M.2 Impact of full trade liberalization: Rate of change
of macroeconomic indicators for 2015 (percent) 148
Table M.3 Impact of full trade liberalization: Rate of change
of factor remuneration for 2015 (percent) 149
Figures
Figure 3.1 Protection applied by and faced by zone, 2005 30
Figure 3.2 World average import duty, by product, 2005 32
Figure 3.3 Geographical structure of exports, 2005 33
Figure 3.4 Product composition of exports, 2005 34
Figure 3.5 Net exports of agricultural and food products, 2005
Figure 3.6 Impact of full trade liberalization: Rate of change
of world prices for 2015 compared to baseline 36
Figure 3.7 Lorenz curve on world inequality 44
Figure 3.8 Impact of full trade liberalization on net agricultural
exports 45
Figure 3.9 Welfare gains by region: Northern full trade
liberalization 46
Figure 3.10 Welfare gains by region: Southern full trade
liberalization 46
Figure 3.11 Welfare gains by region: Full trade liberalization
in agriculture 48
Figure 3.12 Welfare gains by region: Full trade liberalization
in industry 48
Figure 3.13 Welfare gains by region: Full elimination of border
protection 50
Figure 3.14 Welfare gains by region: Full elimination of export
subsidies 50
34
FIGURES
Figure 3.15 Welfare gains by region: Full elimination of domestic
support 51
Figure 4.1 Trade pessimism: Impact of full trade liberalization on
world welfare 58
Figure 4.2 Trade pessimism: Impact of full trade liberalization on
poverty headcount 59
Figure 4.3 Trade uncertainty: Increase in world welfare for assessments
of the Doha Development Agenda, 2005 61
Figure 4.4 Bound duties for Switzerland, 2001 64
Figure 4.5 Bound and applied agricultural tariff rates, by region,
2001 69
Figure 4.6 A partial equilibrium representation of unilateral
liberalization 71
Figure 4.7 The rate of change in world welfare compared to the central
experiment 81
Figure 4.8 Welfare gains by region: Full trade liberalization from
2001 81
Figure 4.9 Welfare gains by region: Full trade liberalization without
nonreciprocal preferential schemes 83
Figure 4.10 Welfare gains by region: Full trade liberalization with LINKAGE
trade elasticities 84
Figure 4.11 Welfare gains by region: Full trade liberalization using a
positive relation between trade openness and total factor
productivity 85
|
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| indexdate | 2024-07-09T22:35:49Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 9780896295100 |
| language | English |
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| spelling | Bouët, Antoine Verfasser aut The expected benefits of trade liberalization for world income and development openeing th "Black Box" of global trade modeling Antoine Bouet Washington, D. C. International Food Policy Research Institute 2008 XVI, 159 S. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Food policy review 8 Food policy review 8 (DE-604)BV009794349 8 HBZ Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=020126515&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Bouët, Antoine The expected benefits of trade liberalization for world income and development openeing th "Black Box" of global trade modeling Food policy review |
| title | The expected benefits of trade liberalization for world income and development openeing th "Black Box" of global trade modeling |
| title_auth | The expected benefits of trade liberalization for world income and development openeing th "Black Box" of global trade modeling |
| title_exact_search | The expected benefits of trade liberalization for world income and development openeing th "Black Box" of global trade modeling |
| title_full | The expected benefits of trade liberalization for world income and development openeing th "Black Box" of global trade modeling Antoine Bouet |
| title_fullStr | The expected benefits of trade liberalization for world income and development openeing th "Black Box" of global trade modeling Antoine Bouet |
| title_full_unstemmed | The expected benefits of trade liberalization for world income and development openeing th "Black Box" of global trade modeling Antoine Bouet |
| title_short | The expected benefits of trade liberalization for world income and development |
| title_sort | the expected benefits of trade liberalization for world income and development openeing th black box of global trade modeling |
| title_sub | openeing th "Black Box" of global trade modeling |
| url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=020126515&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
| volume_link | (DE-604)BV009794349 |
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