Accuracy and properties of German business cycle forecasts:
Saved in:
| Main Author: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Book |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Mannheim
Zentrum für Europ. Wirtschaftsforschung
2006
|
| Series: | Discussion paper / Centre for European Economic Research
2006,87 : Public finance and corporate taxation |
| Online Access: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Item Description: | Auch im Internet unter der Adresse ftp://ftp.zew.de/pub/zew-docs/dp/dp06087.pdf verfügbar |
| Physical Description: | 33 S. graph. Darst. |
Staff View
MARC
| LEADER | 00000nam a2200000 cb4500 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| 001 | BV024617294 | ||
| 003 | DE-604 | ||
| 005 | 20090910 | ||
| 007 | t | ||
| 008 | 090924s2006 d||| |||| 00||| eng d | ||
| 015 | |a 07,B07,0145 |2 dnb | ||
| 016 | 7 | |a 982630018 |2 DE-101 | |
| 035 | |a (OCoLC)180723592 | ||
| 035 | |a (DE-599)BVBBV024617294 | ||
| 040 | |a DE-604 |b ger |e rakwb | ||
| 041 | 0 | |a eng | |
| 049 | |a DE-83 | ||
| 084 | |a 330 |2 sdnb | ||
| 100 | 1 | |a Osterloh, Steffen |e Verfasser |4 aut | |
| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a Accuracy and properties of German business cycle forecasts |c Steffen Osterloh |
| 264 | 1 | |a Mannheim |b Zentrum für Europ. Wirtschaftsforschung |c 2006 | |
| 300 | |a 33 S. |b graph. Darst. | ||
| 336 | |b txt |2 rdacontent | ||
| 337 | |b n |2 rdamedia | ||
| 338 | |b nc |2 rdacarrier | ||
| 490 | 1 | |a Discussion paper / Centre for European Economic Research |v 2006,87 : Public finance and corporate taxation | |
| 500 | |a Auch im Internet unter der Adresse ftp://ftp.zew.de/pub/zew-docs/dp/dp06087.pdf verfügbar | ||
| 810 | 2 | |a Centre for European Economic Research |t Discussion paper |v 2006,87 : Public finance and corporate taxation |w (DE-604)BV010838359 |9 2006,87 | |
| 856 | 4 | 2 | |m HBZ Datenaustausch |q application/pdf |u http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=018589515&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |3 Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| 999 | |a oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-018589515 | ||
Record in the Search Index
| _version_ | 1804140636307193856 |
|---|---|
| adam_text | Contents
1. Introduction 1
2. The data 2
2.1. Consensus Forecasts 2
2.2. Participants 3
3. Forecast accuracy 4
3.1. Descriptive measures 4
3.2. Application 6
4. Test for difference of forecast errors 8
5. Conditions for good forecasts 12
5.1. Unbiasedness 12
5.2. Information efficiency 15
6. Imitation behaviour 19
6.1. Methodology 20
6.2. Results 20
7. Test for differences in forecast accuracy 22
7.1. Methodology 22
7.2. Results 24
8. Conclusions 24
References 26
Appendix 28
|
| any_adam_object | 1 |
| author | Osterloh, Steffen |
| author_facet | Osterloh, Steffen |
| author_role | aut |
| author_sort | Osterloh, Steffen |
| author_variant | s o so |
| building | Verbundindex |
| bvnumber | BV024617294 |
| ctrlnum | (OCoLC)180723592 (DE-599)BVBBV024617294 |
| discipline | Wirtschaftswissenschaften |
| format | Book |
| fullrecord | <?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><collection xmlns="http://www.loc.gov/MARC21/slim"><record><leader>01429nam a2200325 cb4500</leader><controlfield tag="001">BV024617294</controlfield><controlfield tag="003">DE-604</controlfield><controlfield tag="005">20090910 </controlfield><controlfield tag="007">t</controlfield><controlfield tag="008">090924s2006 d||| |||| 00||| eng d</controlfield><datafield tag="015" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">07,B07,0145</subfield><subfield code="2">dnb</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="016" ind1="7" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">982630018</subfield><subfield code="2">DE-101</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(OCoLC)180723592</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(DE-599)BVBBV024617294</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="040" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">DE-604</subfield><subfield code="b">ger</subfield><subfield code="e">rakwb</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="041" ind1="0" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">eng</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="049" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">DE-83</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="084" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">330</subfield><subfield code="2">sdnb</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="100" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Osterloh, Steffen</subfield><subfield code="e">Verfasser</subfield><subfield code="4">aut</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="245" ind1="1" ind2="0"><subfield code="a">Accuracy and properties of German business cycle forecasts</subfield><subfield code="c">Steffen Osterloh</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="264" ind1=" " ind2="1"><subfield code="a">Mannheim</subfield><subfield code="b">Zentrum für Europ. Wirtschaftsforschung</subfield><subfield code="c">2006</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="300" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">33 S.</subfield><subfield code="b">graph. Darst.</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="336" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="b">txt</subfield><subfield code="2">rdacontent</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="337" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="b">n</subfield><subfield code="2">rdamedia</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="338" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="b">nc</subfield><subfield code="2">rdacarrier</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="490" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Discussion paper / Centre for European Economic Research</subfield><subfield code="v">2006,87 : Public finance and corporate taxation</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="500" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Auch im Internet unter der Adresse ftp://ftp.zew.de/pub/zew-docs/dp/dp06087.pdf verfügbar</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="810" ind1="2" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Centre for European Economic Research</subfield><subfield code="t">Discussion paper</subfield><subfield code="v">2006,87 : Public finance and corporate taxation</subfield><subfield code="w">(DE-604)BV010838359</subfield><subfield code="9">2006,87</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="856" ind1="4" ind2="2"><subfield code="m">HBZ Datenaustausch</subfield><subfield code="q">application/pdf</subfield><subfield code="u">http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=018589515&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA</subfield><subfield code="3">Inhaltsverzeichnis</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="999" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-018589515</subfield></datafield></record></collection> |
| id | DE-604.BV024617294 |
| illustrated | Illustrated |
| indexdate | 2024-07-09T22:03:07Z |
| institution | BVB |
| language | English |
| oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-018589515 |
| oclc_num | 180723592 |
| open_access_boolean | |
| owner | DE-83 |
| owner_facet | DE-83 |
| physical | 33 S. graph. Darst. |
| publishDate | 2006 |
| publishDateSearch | 2006 |
| publishDateSort | 2006 |
| publisher | Zentrum für Europ. Wirtschaftsforschung |
| record_format | marc |
| series2 | Discussion paper / Centre for European Economic Research |
| spelling | Osterloh, Steffen Verfasser aut Accuracy and properties of German business cycle forecasts Steffen Osterloh Mannheim Zentrum für Europ. Wirtschaftsforschung 2006 33 S. graph. Darst. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Discussion paper / Centre for European Economic Research 2006,87 : Public finance and corporate taxation Auch im Internet unter der Adresse ftp://ftp.zew.de/pub/zew-docs/dp/dp06087.pdf verfügbar Centre for European Economic Research Discussion paper 2006,87 : Public finance and corporate taxation (DE-604)BV010838359 2006,87 HBZ Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=018589515&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Osterloh, Steffen Accuracy and properties of German business cycle forecasts |
| title | Accuracy and properties of German business cycle forecasts |
| title_auth | Accuracy and properties of German business cycle forecasts |
| title_exact_search | Accuracy and properties of German business cycle forecasts |
| title_full | Accuracy and properties of German business cycle forecasts Steffen Osterloh |
| title_fullStr | Accuracy and properties of German business cycle forecasts Steffen Osterloh |
| title_full_unstemmed | Accuracy and properties of German business cycle forecasts Steffen Osterloh |
| title_short | Accuracy and properties of German business cycle forecasts |
| title_sort | accuracy and properties of german business cycle forecasts |
| url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=018589515&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
| volume_link | (DE-604)BV010838359 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT osterlohsteffen accuracyandpropertiesofgermanbusinesscycleforecasts |