Accuracy and properties of German business cycle forecasts:
Gespeichert in:
1. Verfasser: | |
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Format: | Buch |
Sprache: | English |
Veröffentlicht: |
Mannheim
Zentrum für Europ. Wirtschaftsforschung
2006
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Schriftenreihe: | Discussion paper / Centre for European Economic Research
2006,87 : Public finance and corporate taxation |
Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
Beschreibung: | Auch im Internet unter der Adresse ftp://ftp.zew.de/pub/zew-docs/dp/dp06087.pdf verfügbar |
Beschreibung: | 33 S. graph. Darst. |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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adam_text | Contents
1. Introduction 1
2. The data 2
2.1. Consensus Forecasts 2
2.2. Participants 3
3. Forecast accuracy 4
3.1. Descriptive measures 4
3.2. Application 6
4. Test for difference of forecast errors 8
5. Conditions for good forecasts 12
5.1. Unbiasedness 12
5.2. Information efficiency 15
6. Imitation behaviour 19
6.1. Methodology 20
6.2. Results 20
7. Test for differences in forecast accuracy 22
7.1. Methodology 22
7.2. Results 24
8. Conclusions 24
References 26
Appendix 28
|
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indexdate | 2024-07-09T22:03:07Z |
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spelling | Osterloh, Steffen Verfasser aut Accuracy and properties of German business cycle forecasts Steffen Osterloh Mannheim Zentrum für Europ. Wirtschaftsforschung 2006 33 S. graph. Darst. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Discussion paper / Centre for European Economic Research 2006,87 : Public finance and corporate taxation Auch im Internet unter der Adresse ftp://ftp.zew.de/pub/zew-docs/dp/dp06087.pdf verfügbar Centre for European Economic Research Discussion paper 2006,87 : Public finance and corporate taxation (DE-604)BV010838359 2006,87 HBZ Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=018589515&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
spellingShingle | Osterloh, Steffen Accuracy and properties of German business cycle forecasts |
title | Accuracy and properties of German business cycle forecasts |
title_auth | Accuracy and properties of German business cycle forecasts |
title_exact_search | Accuracy and properties of German business cycle forecasts |
title_full | Accuracy and properties of German business cycle forecasts Steffen Osterloh |
title_fullStr | Accuracy and properties of German business cycle forecasts Steffen Osterloh |
title_full_unstemmed | Accuracy and properties of German business cycle forecasts Steffen Osterloh |
title_short | Accuracy and properties of German business cycle forecasts |
title_sort | accuracy and properties of german business cycle forecasts |
url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=018589515&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
volume_link | (DE-604)BV010838359 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT osterlohsteffen accuracyandpropertiesofgermanbusinesscycleforecasts |