Rational pessimism, rational exuberance, and asset pricing models:
The paper estimates and examines the empirical plausibiltiy of asset pricing models that attempt to explain features of financial markets such as the size of the equity premium and the volatility of the stock market. In one model, the long run risks model of Bansal and Yaron (2004), low frequency mo...
Gespeichert in:
Hauptverfasser: | , , |
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Format: | Buch |
Sprache: | English |
Veröffentlicht: |
Cambridge, Mass.
National Bureau of Economic Research
2007
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Schriftenreihe: | Working paper series / National Bureau of Economic Research
13107 |
Online-Zugang: | Volltext |
Zusammenfassung: | The paper estimates and examines the empirical plausibiltiy of asset pricing models that attempt to explain features of financial markets such as the size of the equity premium and the volatility of the stock market. In one model, the long run risks model of Bansal and Yaron (2004), low frequency movements and time varying uncertainty in aggregate consumption growth are the key channels for understanding asset prices. In another, as typified by Campbell and Cochrane (1999), habit formation, which generates time-varying risk-aversion and consequently time-variation in risk-premia, is the key channel. These models are fitted to data using simulation estimators. Both models are found to fit the data equally well at conventional significance levels, and they can track quite closely a new measure of realized annual volatility. Further scrutiny using a rich array of diagnostics suggests that the long run risk model is preferred. |
Beschreibung: | Literaturverz. S. 28 - 30 |
Beschreibung: | 43 S. graph. Darst. 22 cm |
Internformat
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520 | 8 | |a The paper estimates and examines the empirical plausibiltiy of asset pricing models that attempt to explain features of financial markets such as the size of the equity premium and the volatility of the stock market. In one model, the long run risks model of Bansal and Yaron (2004), low frequency movements and time varying uncertainty in aggregate consumption growth are the key channels for understanding asset prices. In another, as typified by Campbell and Cochrane (1999), habit formation, which generates time-varying risk-aversion and consequently time-variation in risk-premia, is the key channel. These models are fitted to data using simulation estimators. Both models are found to fit the data equally well at conventional significance levels, and they can track quite closely a new measure of realized annual volatility. Further scrutiny using a rich array of diagnostics suggests that the long run risk model is preferred. | |
700 | 1 | |a Gallant, A. Ronald |d 1942- |e Verfasser |0 (DE-588)133407756 |4 aut | |
700 | 1 | |a Tauchen, George Eugene |e Verfasser |0 (DE-588)133407829 |4 aut | |
776 | 0 | 8 | |i Erscheint auch als |n Online-Ausgabe |
810 | 2 | |a National Bureau of Economic Research <Cambridge, Mass.> |t NBER working paper series |v 13107 |w (DE-604)BV002801238 |9 13107 | |
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index_date | 2024-07-02T22:41:31Z |
indexdate | 2024-07-09T21:25:14Z |
institution | BVB |
language | English |
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physical | 43 S. graph. Darst. 22 cm |
publishDate | 2007 |
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publisher | National Bureau of Economic Research |
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series2 | Working paper series / National Bureau of Economic Research |
spelling | Bansal, Ravi Verfasser (DE-588)133407411 aut Rational pessimism, rational exuberance, and asset pricing models Ravi Bansal ; A. Ronald Gallant ; George Tauchen Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 2007 43 S. graph. Darst. 22 cm txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Working paper series / National Bureau of Economic Research 13107 Literaturverz. S. 28 - 30 The paper estimates and examines the empirical plausibiltiy of asset pricing models that attempt to explain features of financial markets such as the size of the equity premium and the volatility of the stock market. In one model, the long run risks model of Bansal and Yaron (2004), low frequency movements and time varying uncertainty in aggregate consumption growth are the key channels for understanding asset prices. In another, as typified by Campbell and Cochrane (1999), habit formation, which generates time-varying risk-aversion and consequently time-variation in risk-premia, is the key channel. These models are fitted to data using simulation estimators. Both models are found to fit the data equally well at conventional significance levels, and they can track quite closely a new measure of realized annual volatility. Further scrutiny using a rich array of diagnostics suggests that the long run risk model is preferred. Gallant, A. Ronald 1942- Verfasser (DE-588)133407756 aut Tauchen, George Eugene Verfasser (DE-588)133407829 aut Erscheint auch als Online-Ausgabe National Bureau of Economic Research <Cambridge, Mass.> NBER working paper series 13107 (DE-604)BV002801238 13107 http://papers.nber.org/papers/w13107.pdf kostenfrei Volltext |
spellingShingle | Bansal, Ravi Gallant, A. Ronald 1942- Tauchen, George Eugene Rational pessimism, rational exuberance, and asset pricing models |
title | Rational pessimism, rational exuberance, and asset pricing models |
title_auth | Rational pessimism, rational exuberance, and asset pricing models |
title_exact_search | Rational pessimism, rational exuberance, and asset pricing models |
title_exact_search_txtP | Rational pessimism, rational exuberance, and asset pricing models |
title_full | Rational pessimism, rational exuberance, and asset pricing models Ravi Bansal ; A. Ronald Gallant ; George Tauchen |
title_fullStr | Rational pessimism, rational exuberance, and asset pricing models Ravi Bansal ; A. Ronald Gallant ; George Tauchen |
title_full_unstemmed | Rational pessimism, rational exuberance, and asset pricing models Ravi Bansal ; A. Ronald Gallant ; George Tauchen |
title_short | Rational pessimism, rational exuberance, and asset pricing models |
title_sort | rational pessimism rational exuberance and asset pricing models |
url | http://papers.nber.org/papers/w13107.pdf |
volume_link | (DE-604)BV002801238 |
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