Persistent appreciations and overshooting: a normative analysis
Most economies experience episodes of persistent real exchange rate appreciations, when the question arises whether there is a need for intervention to protect the export sector. In this paper we present a model of irreversible destruction where exchange rate intervention may be justified if the exp...
Gespeichert in:
Hauptverfasser: | , |
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Format: | Buch |
Sprache: | English |
Veröffentlicht: |
Cambridge, Mass.
National Bureau of Economic Research
2007
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Schriftenreihe: | Working paper series / National Bureau of Economic Research
13077 |
Online-Zugang: | Volltext |
Zusammenfassung: | Most economies experience episodes of persistent real exchange rate appreciations, when the question arises whether there is a need for intervention to protect the export sector. In this paper we present a model of irreversible destruction where exchange rate intervention may be justified if the export sector is financially constrained. However the criterion for intervention is not whether there are bankruptcies or not, but whether these can cause a large exchange rate overshooting once the factors behind the appreciation subside. The optimal policy includes ex-ante and ex-post interventions. Ex-ante (i.e., during the appreciation phase) interventions have limited effects if the financial resources in the export sector are relatively abundant. In this case the bulk of the intervention takes place ex-post, and is concentrated in the first period of the depreciation phase. In contrast, if the financial constraint in the export sector is tight, the policy is shifted toward ex-ante intervention and it is optimal to lean against the appreciation. On the methodological front, we develop a framework to study optimal dynamic interventions in economies with financially constrained agents. |
Beschreibung: | 48 S. graph. Darst. 22 cm |
Internformat
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100 | 1 | |a Caballero, Ricardo J. |d 1959- |e Verfasser |0 (DE-588)12844987X |4 aut | |
245 | 1 | 0 | |a Persistent appreciations and overshooting |b a normative analysis |c Ricardo J. Caballero ; Guido Lorenzoni |
264 | 1 | |a Cambridge, Mass. |b National Bureau of Economic Research |c 2007 | |
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490 | 1 | |a Working paper series / National Bureau of Economic Research |v 13077 | |
520 | 8 | |a Most economies experience episodes of persistent real exchange rate appreciations, when the question arises whether there is a need for intervention to protect the export sector. In this paper we present a model of irreversible destruction where exchange rate intervention may be justified if the export sector is financially constrained. However the criterion for intervention is not whether there are bankruptcies or not, but whether these can cause a large exchange rate overshooting once the factors behind the appreciation subside. The optimal policy includes ex-ante and ex-post interventions. Ex-ante (i.e., during the appreciation phase) interventions have limited effects if the financial resources in the export sector are relatively abundant. In this case the bulk of the intervention takes place ex-post, and is concentrated in the first period of the depreciation phase. In contrast, if the financial constraint in the export sector is tight, the policy is shifted toward ex-ante intervention and it is optimal to lean against the appreciation. On the methodological front, we develop a framework to study optimal dynamic interventions in economies with financially constrained agents. | |
700 | 1 | |a Lorenzoni, Guido |e Verfasser |0 (DE-588)132389703 |4 aut | |
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810 | 2 | |a National Bureau of Economic Research <Cambridge, Mass.> |t NBER working paper series |v 13077 |w (DE-604)BV002801238 |9 13077 | |
856 | 4 | 1 | |u http://papers.nber.org/papers/w13077.pdf |z kostenfrei |3 Volltext |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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author | Caballero, Ricardo J. 1959- Lorenzoni, Guido |
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id | DE-604.BV023592989 |
illustrated | Illustrated |
index_date | 2024-07-02T22:41:31Z |
indexdate | 2024-07-09T21:25:14Z |
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language | English |
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owner_facet | DE-521 |
physical | 48 S. graph. Darst. 22 cm |
publishDate | 2007 |
publishDateSearch | 2007 |
publishDateSort | 2007 |
publisher | National Bureau of Economic Research |
record_format | marc |
series2 | Working paper series / National Bureau of Economic Research |
spelling | Caballero, Ricardo J. 1959- Verfasser (DE-588)12844987X aut Persistent appreciations and overshooting a normative analysis Ricardo J. Caballero ; Guido Lorenzoni Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 2007 48 S. graph. Darst. 22 cm txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Working paper series / National Bureau of Economic Research 13077 Most economies experience episodes of persistent real exchange rate appreciations, when the question arises whether there is a need for intervention to protect the export sector. In this paper we present a model of irreversible destruction where exchange rate intervention may be justified if the export sector is financially constrained. However the criterion for intervention is not whether there are bankruptcies or not, but whether these can cause a large exchange rate overshooting once the factors behind the appreciation subside. The optimal policy includes ex-ante and ex-post interventions. Ex-ante (i.e., during the appreciation phase) interventions have limited effects if the financial resources in the export sector are relatively abundant. In this case the bulk of the intervention takes place ex-post, and is concentrated in the first period of the depreciation phase. In contrast, if the financial constraint in the export sector is tight, the policy is shifted toward ex-ante intervention and it is optimal to lean against the appreciation. On the methodological front, we develop a framework to study optimal dynamic interventions in economies with financially constrained agents. Lorenzoni, Guido Verfasser (DE-588)132389703 aut Erscheint auch als Online-Ausgabe National Bureau of Economic Research <Cambridge, Mass.> NBER working paper series 13077 (DE-604)BV002801238 13077 http://papers.nber.org/papers/w13077.pdf kostenfrei Volltext |
spellingShingle | Caballero, Ricardo J. 1959- Lorenzoni, Guido Persistent appreciations and overshooting a normative analysis |
title | Persistent appreciations and overshooting a normative analysis |
title_auth | Persistent appreciations and overshooting a normative analysis |
title_exact_search | Persistent appreciations and overshooting a normative analysis |
title_exact_search_txtP | Persistent appreciations and overshooting a normative analysis |
title_full | Persistent appreciations and overshooting a normative analysis Ricardo J. Caballero ; Guido Lorenzoni |
title_fullStr | Persistent appreciations and overshooting a normative analysis Ricardo J. Caballero ; Guido Lorenzoni |
title_full_unstemmed | Persistent appreciations and overshooting a normative analysis Ricardo J. Caballero ; Guido Lorenzoni |
title_short | Persistent appreciations and overshooting |
title_sort | persistent appreciations and overshooting a normative analysis |
title_sub | a normative analysis |
url | http://papers.nber.org/papers/w13077.pdf |
volume_link | (DE-604)BV002801238 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT caballeroricardoj persistentappreciationsandovershootinganormativeanalysis AT lorenzoniguido persistentappreciationsandovershootinganormativeanalysis |