Collateral damage: trade disruption and the economic impact of war
"Conventional wisdom in economic history suggests that conflict between countries can be enormously disruptive of economic activity, especially international trade. Yet nothing is known empirically about these effects in large samples. We study the effects of war on bilateral trade for almost a...
Gespeichert in:
| Hauptverfasser: | , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Buch |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Cambridge, Mass.
National Bureau of Economic Research
2005
|
| Schriftenreihe: | National Bureau of Economic Research <Cambridge, Mass.>: NBER working paper series
11565 |
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Volltext |
| Zusammenfassung: | "Conventional wisdom in economic history suggests that conflict between countries can be enormously disruptive of economic activity, especially international trade. Yet nothing is known empirically about these effects in large samples. We study the effects of war on bilateral trade for almost all countries with available data extending back to 1870. Using the gravity model, we estimate the contemporaneous and lagged effects of wars on the trade of belligerent nations and neutrals, controlling for other determinants of trade. We find large and persistent impacts of wars on trade, and hence on national and global economic welfare. A rough accounting indicates that such costs might be of the same order of magnitude as the "direct" costs of war, such as lost human capital, as illustrated by case studies of World War I and World War II"--National Bureau of Economic Research web site. |
| Beschreibung: | 52 S. graph. Darst. |
Internformat
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| 490 | 1 | |a National Bureau of Economic Research <Cambridge, Mass.>: NBER working paper series |v 11565 | |
| 520 | 3 | |a "Conventional wisdom in economic history suggests that conflict between countries can be enormously disruptive of economic activity, especially international trade. Yet nothing is known empirically about these effects in large samples. We study the effects of war on bilateral trade for almost all countries with available data extending back to 1870. Using the gravity model, we estimate the contemporaneous and lagged effects of wars on the trade of belligerent nations and neutrals, controlling for other determinants of trade. We find large and persistent impacts of wars on trade, and hence on national and global economic welfare. A rough accounting indicates that such costs might be of the same order of magnitude as the "direct" costs of war, such as lost human capital, as illustrated by case studies of World War I and World War II"--National Bureau of Economic Research web site. | |
| 650 | 4 | |a International trade | |
| 650 | 4 | |a War |x Economic aspects | |
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| id | DE-604.BV023591641 |
| illustrated | Illustrated |
| index_date | 2024-07-02T22:41:28Z |
| indexdate | 2024-07-09T21:25:11Z |
| institution | BVB |
| language | English |
| oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-016906971 |
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| physical | 52 S. graph. Darst. |
| publishDate | 2005 |
| publishDateSearch | 2005 |
| publishDateSort | 2005 |
| publisher | National Bureau of Economic Research |
| record_format | marc |
| series | National Bureau of Economic Research <Cambridge, Mass.>: NBER working paper series |
| series2 | National Bureau of Economic Research <Cambridge, Mass.>: NBER working paper series |
| spelling | Glick, Reuven 1951- Verfasser (DE-588)124786154 aut Collateral damage trade disruption and the economic impact of war Reuven Glick ; Alan M. Taylor Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 2005 52 S. graph. Darst. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier National Bureau of Economic Research <Cambridge, Mass.>: NBER working paper series 11565 "Conventional wisdom in economic history suggests that conflict between countries can be enormously disruptive of economic activity, especially international trade. Yet nothing is known empirically about these effects in large samples. We study the effects of war on bilateral trade for almost all countries with available data extending back to 1870. Using the gravity model, we estimate the contemporaneous and lagged effects of wars on the trade of belligerent nations and neutrals, controlling for other determinants of trade. We find large and persistent impacts of wars on trade, and hence on national and global economic welfare. A rough accounting indicates that such costs might be of the same order of magnitude as the "direct" costs of war, such as lost human capital, as illustrated by case studies of World War I and World War II"--National Bureau of Economic Research web site. International trade War Economic aspects Taylor, Alan M. 1964- Verfasser (DE-588)124550819 aut Erscheint auch als Online-Ausgabe National Bureau of Economic Research <Cambridge, Mass.>: NBER working paper series 11565 (DE-604)BV002801238 11565 http://papers.nber.org/papers/w11565.pdf kostenfrei Volltext |
| spellingShingle | Glick, Reuven 1951- Taylor, Alan M. 1964- Collateral damage trade disruption and the economic impact of war National Bureau of Economic Research <Cambridge, Mass.>: NBER working paper series International trade War Economic aspects |
| title | Collateral damage trade disruption and the economic impact of war |
| title_auth | Collateral damage trade disruption and the economic impact of war |
| title_exact_search | Collateral damage trade disruption and the economic impact of war |
| title_exact_search_txtP | Collateral damage trade disruption and the economic impact of war |
| title_full | Collateral damage trade disruption and the economic impact of war Reuven Glick ; Alan M. Taylor |
| title_fullStr | Collateral damage trade disruption and the economic impact of war Reuven Glick ; Alan M. Taylor |
| title_full_unstemmed | Collateral damage trade disruption and the economic impact of war Reuven Glick ; Alan M. Taylor |
| title_short | Collateral damage |
| title_sort | collateral damage trade disruption and the economic impact of war |
| title_sub | trade disruption and the economic impact of war |
| topic | International trade War Economic aspects |
| topic_facet | International trade War Economic aspects |
| url | http://papers.nber.org/papers/w11565.pdf |
| volume_link | (DE-604)BV002801238 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT glickreuven collateraldamagetradedisruptionandtheeconomicimpactofwar AT tayloralanm collateraldamagetradedisruptionandtheeconomicimpactofwar |