Further tests of abortion and crime:
"The inverse relationship between abortion and crime has spurred new research and much controversy. If the relationship is causal, then polices that increased abortion have generated enormous external benefits from reduced crime. In previous papers, I argued that evidence for a casual relations...
Gespeichert in:
| 1. Verfasser: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Buch |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Cambridge, Mass.
National Bureau of Economic Research
2004
|
| Schriftenreihe: | National Bureau of Economic Research <Cambridge, Mass.>: NBER working paper series
10564 |
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Volltext |
| Zusammenfassung: | "The inverse relationship between abortion and crime has spurred new research and much controversy. If the relationship is causal, then polices that increased abortion have generated enormous external benefits from reduced crime. In previous papers, I argued that evidence for a casual relationship is weak and incomplete. In this paper, I conduct a number of new analyses intended to address criticisms of my earlier work. First, I examine closely the effects of changes in abortion rates between 1971 and 1974. Changes in abortion rates during this period were dramatic, varied widely by state, had a demonstrable effect on fertility, and were more plausibly exogenous than changes in the late 1970s and early 1980s. If abortion reduced crime, crime should have fallen sharply as these post-legalization cohorts reached their late teens and early 20s, the peak ages of criminal involvement. It did not. Second, I conduct separate estimates for whites and blacks because the effect of legalized abortion on crime should have been much larger for blacks than whites, since the effect of legalization of abortion on the fertility rates of blacks was much larger. There was little race difference in the reduction in crime. Finally, I compare changes in homicide rates before and after legalization of abortion, within states, by single year of age. The analysis of older adults is compelling because they were largely unaffected by the crack-cocaine epidemic, which was a potentially important confounding factor in earlier estimates. These analyses provide little evidence that legalized abortion reduced crime"--National Bureau of Economic Research web site. |
| Beschreibung: | 44 S. graph. Darst. |
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| genre | Statistics |
| genre_facet | Statistics |
| geographic | USA |
| geographic_facet | USA |
| id | DE-604.BV023590717 |
| illustrated | Illustrated |
| index_date | 2024-07-02T22:41:27Z |
| indexdate | 2024-07-09T21:25:09Z |
| institution | BVB |
| language | English |
| oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-016906047 |
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| physical | 44 S. graph. Darst. |
| publishDate | 2004 |
| publishDateSearch | 2004 |
| publishDateSort | 2004 |
| publisher | National Bureau of Economic Research |
| record_format | marc |
| series | National Bureau of Economic Research <Cambridge, Mass.>: NBER working paper series |
| series2 | National Bureau of Economic Research <Cambridge, Mass.>: NBER working paper series |
| spelling | Joyce, Theodore J. Verfasser (DE-588)124527361 aut Further tests of abortion and crime Ted Joyce Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 2004 44 S. graph. Darst. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier National Bureau of Economic Research <Cambridge, Mass.>: NBER working paper series 10564 "The inverse relationship between abortion and crime has spurred new research and much controversy. If the relationship is causal, then polices that increased abortion have generated enormous external benefits from reduced crime. In previous papers, I argued that evidence for a casual relationship is weak and incomplete. In this paper, I conduct a number of new analyses intended to address criticisms of my earlier work. First, I examine closely the effects of changes in abortion rates between 1971 and 1974. Changes in abortion rates during this period were dramatic, varied widely by state, had a demonstrable effect on fertility, and were more plausibly exogenous than changes in the late 1970s and early 1980s. If abortion reduced crime, crime should have fallen sharply as these post-legalization cohorts reached their late teens and early 20s, the peak ages of criminal involvement. It did not. Second, I conduct separate estimates for whites and blacks because the effect of legalized abortion on crime should have been much larger for blacks than whites, since the effect of legalization of abortion on the fertility rates of blacks was much larger. There was little race difference in the reduction in crime. Finally, I compare changes in homicide rates before and after legalization of abortion, within states, by single year of age. The analysis of older adults is compelling because they were largely unaffected by the crack-cocaine epidemic, which was a potentially important confounding factor in earlier estimates. These analyses provide little evidence that legalized abortion reduced crime"--National Bureau of Economic Research web site. Gesellschaft Statistik Abortion Social aspects Abortion, Legal statistics & numerical data United States Abortion, Legal trends United States Statistics Birth Rate United States Statistics Causality United States Statistics Crime Homicide statistics & numerical data United States Homicide trends United States Statistics USA Statistics Erscheint auch als Online-Ausgabe National Bureau of Economic Research <Cambridge, Mass.>: NBER working paper series 10564 (DE-604)BV002801238 10564 http://papers.nber.org/papers/w10564.pdf kostenfrei Volltext |
| spellingShingle | Joyce, Theodore J. Further tests of abortion and crime National Bureau of Economic Research <Cambridge, Mass.>: NBER working paper series Gesellschaft Statistik Abortion Social aspects Abortion, Legal statistics & numerical data United States Abortion, Legal trends United States Statistics Birth Rate United States Statistics Causality United States Statistics Crime Homicide statistics & numerical data United States Homicide trends United States Statistics |
| title | Further tests of abortion and crime |
| title_auth | Further tests of abortion and crime |
| title_exact_search | Further tests of abortion and crime |
| title_exact_search_txtP | Further tests of abortion and crime |
| title_full | Further tests of abortion and crime Ted Joyce |
| title_fullStr | Further tests of abortion and crime Ted Joyce |
| title_full_unstemmed | Further tests of abortion and crime Ted Joyce |
| title_short | Further tests of abortion and crime |
| title_sort | further tests of abortion and crime |
| topic | Gesellschaft Statistik Abortion Social aspects Abortion, Legal statistics & numerical data United States Abortion, Legal trends United States Statistics Birth Rate United States Statistics Causality United States Statistics Crime Homicide statistics & numerical data United States Homicide trends United States Statistics |
| topic_facet | Gesellschaft Statistik Abortion Social aspects Abortion, Legal statistics & numerical data United States Abortion, Legal trends United States Statistics Birth Rate United States Statistics Causality United States Statistics Crime Homicide statistics & numerical data United States Homicide trends United States Statistics USA Statistics |
| url | http://papers.nber.org/papers/w10564.pdf |
| volume_link | (DE-604)BV002801238 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT joycetheodorej furthertestsofabortionandcrime |