Optimal long-run fiscal policy: constraints, preferences and the resolution of uncertainty

We construct a computational dynamic stochastic overlapping generations general equilibrium model with uncertain lifetimes and explore the impact of policy stickiness (specifically, a major reform will preclude future reforms for a generation) on optimal long-run fiscal policy. Under such circumstan...

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Hauptverfasser: Auerbach, Alan J. 1951- (VerfasserIn), Hassett, Kevin A. 1962- (VerfasserIn)
Format: Buch
Sprache:English
Veröffentlicht: Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 2002
Schriftenreihe:Working paper series / National Bureau of Economic Research 9132
Online-Zugang:Volltext
Zusammenfassung:We construct a computational dynamic stochastic overlapping generations general equilibrium model with uncertain lifetimes and explore the impact of policy stickiness (specifically, a major reform will preclude future reforms for a generation) on optimal long-run fiscal policy. Under such circumstances, entitlement reforms exhaust a valuable option to move in the future. We explore the conditions under which the gain to waiting is large enough to induce optimizing policymakers to delay reforming a suboptimal system. We also allow for the uncertainty to have ARCH characteristics and explore the impact of time-varying uncertainty on the optimality of delayed policy action.
Beschreibung:Literaturverz. S. 25
Beschreibung:25, [10] S. graph. Darst. 22 cm

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