Who underreacts to cash-flow news?: evidence from trading between individuals and institutions

A large body of literature suggests that firm-level stock prices "underreact" to news about future cash flows. We estimate a vector autoregression to examine the joint behavior of returns, cash-flow news, and trading between individuals and institutions. Our main finding is that institutio...

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Hauptverfasser: Cohen, Randolph B. (VerfasserIn), Gompers, Paul A. 1964- (VerfasserIn), Vuolteenaho, Tuomo (VerfasserIn)
Format: Buch
Sprache:English
Veröffentlicht: Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 2002
Schriftenreihe:National Bureau of Economic Research <Cambridge, Mass.>: NBER working paper series 8793
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Zusammenfassung:A large body of literature suggests that firm-level stock prices "underreact" to news about future cash flows. We estimate a vector autoregression to examine the joint behavior of returns, cash-flow news, and trading between individuals and institutions. Our main finding is that institutions buy shares from individuals in response to good cash-flow news, thus exploiting the underreaction phenomenon. Institutions are not simply following price momentum strategies: When price goes up in the absence of positive cash-flow news, institutions sell shares to individuals. The response of institutional ownership to cash-flow news is weaker for small stocks. Since small stocks also exhibit the strongest underreaction patterns, this finding is consistent with institutions facing exogenous constraints in trading small stocks.
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