Dangerous thresholds: managing escalation in the 21st century
"Escalation is a natural tendency in any form of human competition. When such competition entails military confrontation or war, the pressure to escalate can become intense due to the potential cost of losing contests of deadly force. Cold War-era thinking about escalation focused on the dynami...
Gespeichert in:
| Format: | Buch |
|---|---|
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Santa Monica, CA
RAND Corp.
2008
|
| Schlagworte: | |
| Zusammenfassung: | "Escalation is a natural tendency in any form of human competition. When such competition entails military confrontation or war, the pressure to escalate can become intense due to the potential cost of losing contests of deadly force. Cold War-era thinking about escalation focused on the dynamics of bipolar, superpower confrontation and strategies to control it. Today's security environment, however, demands that the United States be prepared for a host of escalatory threats involving not only longstanding nuclear powers, but also new, lesser nuclear powers and irregular adversaries, such as insurgent groups and terrorists. This examination of escalation dynamics and approaches to escalation management draws on historical examples from World War I to the struggle against global jihad. It reveals that, to manage the risks of escalatory chain reactions in future conflicts, military and political leaders will need to understand and dampen the mechanisms of deliberate, accidental, and inadvertent escalation. Informing the analysis are the results of two modified Delphi exercises, which focused on a potential conflict between China and the United States over Taiwan and a potential conflict between states and nonstate actors in the event of a collapse of Pakistan's government."--BOOK JACKET. |
| Beschreibung: | Includes bibliographical references |
| Beschreibung: | XXVII, 245 S. graph. Darst. |
| ISBN: | 9780833042132 0833042130 |
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| 520 | 1 | |a "Escalation is a natural tendency in any form of human competition. When such competition entails military confrontation or war, the pressure to escalate can become intense due to the potential cost of losing contests of deadly force. Cold War-era thinking about escalation focused on the dynamics of bipolar, superpower confrontation and strategies to control it. Today's security environment, however, demands that the United States be prepared for a host of escalatory threats involving not only longstanding nuclear powers, but also new, lesser nuclear powers and irregular adversaries, such as insurgent groups and terrorists. This examination of escalation dynamics and approaches to escalation management draws on historical examples from World War I to the struggle against global jihad. It reveals that, to manage the risks of escalatory chain reactions in future conflicts, military and political leaders will need to understand and dampen the mechanisms of deliberate, accidental, and inadvertent escalation. Informing the analysis are the results of two modified Delphi exercises, which focused on a potential conflict between China and the United States over Taiwan and a potential conflict between states and nonstate actors in the event of a collapse of Pakistan's government."--BOOK JACKET. | |
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| id | DE-604.BV023427193 |
| illustrated | Illustrated |
| index_date | 2024-07-02T21:33:14Z |
| indexdate | 2024-07-09T21:18:24Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 9780833042132 0833042130 |
| language | English |
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| physical | XXVII, 245 S. graph. Darst. |
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| spelling | Dangerous thresholds managing escalation in the 21st century Forrest E. Morgan ... Managing escalation in the 21st century Santa Monica, CA RAND Corp. 2008 XXVII, 245 S. graph. Darst. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Includes bibliographical references "Escalation is a natural tendency in any form of human competition. When such competition entails military confrontation or war, the pressure to escalate can become intense due to the potential cost of losing contests of deadly force. Cold War-era thinking about escalation focused on the dynamics of bipolar, superpower confrontation and strategies to control it. Today's security environment, however, demands that the United States be prepared for a host of escalatory threats involving not only longstanding nuclear powers, but also new, lesser nuclear powers and irregular adversaries, such as insurgent groups and terrorists. This examination of escalation dynamics and approaches to escalation management draws on historical examples from World War I to the struggle against global jihad. It reveals that, to manage the risks of escalatory chain reactions in future conflicts, military and political leaders will need to understand and dampen the mechanisms of deliberate, accidental, and inadvertent escalation. Informing the analysis are the results of two modified Delphi exercises, which focused on a potential conflict between China and the United States over Taiwan and a potential conflict between states and nonstate actors in the event of a collapse of Pakistan's government."--BOOK JACKET. Escalation (Military science) Conflict management Security, International / 21st century World politics / 21st century POLITICAL SCIENCE / Government / Comparative bisacsh POLITICAL SCIENCE / International Relations / General bisacsh POLITICAL SCIENCE / Political Freedom & Security / International Security bisacsh Security, International World politics 21st century Konfliktregelung (DE-588)4164958-8 gnd rswk-swf Sicherheitspolitik (DE-588)4116489-1 gnd rswk-swf USA (DE-588)4078704-7 gnd rswk-swf USA (DE-588)4078704-7 g Sicherheitspolitik (DE-588)4116489-1 s Konfliktregelung (DE-588)4164958-8 s DE-604 Morgan, Forrest E. Sonstige (DE-588)113795390X oth |
| spellingShingle | Dangerous thresholds managing escalation in the 21st century Escalation (Military science) Conflict management Security, International / 21st century World politics / 21st century POLITICAL SCIENCE / Government / Comparative bisacsh POLITICAL SCIENCE / International Relations / General bisacsh POLITICAL SCIENCE / Political Freedom & Security / International Security bisacsh Security, International World politics 21st century Konfliktregelung (DE-588)4164958-8 gnd Sicherheitspolitik (DE-588)4116489-1 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4164958-8 (DE-588)4116489-1 (DE-588)4078704-7 |
| title | Dangerous thresholds managing escalation in the 21st century |
| title_alt | Managing escalation in the 21st century |
| title_auth | Dangerous thresholds managing escalation in the 21st century |
| title_exact_search | Dangerous thresholds managing escalation in the 21st century |
| title_exact_search_txtP | Dangerous thresholds managing escalation in the 21st century |
| title_full | Dangerous thresholds managing escalation in the 21st century Forrest E. Morgan ... |
| title_fullStr | Dangerous thresholds managing escalation in the 21st century Forrest E. Morgan ... |
| title_full_unstemmed | Dangerous thresholds managing escalation in the 21st century Forrest E. Morgan ... |
| title_short | Dangerous thresholds |
| title_sort | dangerous thresholds managing escalation in the 21st century |
| title_sub | managing escalation in the 21st century |
| topic | Escalation (Military science) Conflict management Security, International / 21st century World politics / 21st century POLITICAL SCIENCE / Government / Comparative bisacsh POLITICAL SCIENCE / International Relations / General bisacsh POLITICAL SCIENCE / Political Freedom & Security / International Security bisacsh Security, International World politics 21st century Konfliktregelung (DE-588)4164958-8 gnd Sicherheitspolitik (DE-588)4116489-1 gnd |
| topic_facet | Escalation (Military science) Conflict management Security, International / 21st century World politics / 21st century POLITICAL SCIENCE / Government / Comparative POLITICAL SCIENCE / International Relations / General POLITICAL SCIENCE / Political Freedom & Security / International Security Security, International World politics 21st century Konfliktregelung Sicherheitspolitik USA |
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