Elections and exit polling:
Gespeichert in:
| Format: | Buch |
|---|---|
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Hoboken, NJ
Wiley
2008
|
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Beschreibung: | Includes bibliographical references and indexes |
| Beschreibung: | XXIV, 307 S. graph. Darst. 24 cm |
| ISBN: | 9780470291160 0470291168 |
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| 650 | 4 | |a Voting research | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Election forecasting / Data processing | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Datenverarbeitung | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Election forecasting |x Data processing | |
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| adam_text | I MINI IN I II IN IIIII IIIII URN URN MIL MI MI A/492339 ELECTIONS AND
EXIT POLLING FRITZ J. SCHEUREN NATIONAL OPINION RESEARCH CENTER (NORC)
UNIVERSITY OF CHICAGO CHICAGO, IL WENDY ALVEY WILEY A JOHN WILEY & SONS,
INC., PUBLICATION CONTENTS PREFACE XVII ACKNOWLEDGMENTS XXI CONTRIBUTORS
XXIII 1 INTRODUCTION, BY FRITZ SCHEUREN AND WENDY ALVEY 1 1.1
INTRODUCTION 1 1.2 DEFINITIONS 3 1.3 BRIEF HISTORY 5 1.4 A DAY IN THE
LIFE OF AN EXIT POLL 7 1.4.1 EXCERPT FROM ELECTION NIGHT ESTIMATION, BY
WARREN J. MITOFSKY AND MURRAY EDELMAN 7 1.5 THEORY AND METHODOLOGY 9 1.6
RECENT ELECTORAL APPLICATIONS 11 1.7 SOME MAJOR LIMITATIONS 12 1.8
RECOMMENDATIONS AND A FEW PREDICTIONS 13 1.9 REFERENCES 13 XI XII
CONTENTS 2 THE INFAMOUS 2000 ELECTION 17 2.1 INTRODUCTION 17 2.2
ANALYSIS: LOOKING BACK 19 2.2.1 EXCERPT FROM: RELIABILITY OF THE
UNCERTIFIED BALLOTS IN THE 2000 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS IN FLORIDA, BY
KIRK WOLTER, DIANA JERGOVIC, WHITNEY MOORE, JOE MURPHY, AND COLM O
MUIRCHEARTAIGH 19 2.2.2 EXCERPT FROM: PREDICTING THE BUSH/GORE ELECTION
FROM THE PRESS: THE COST TO GEORGE W. BUSH OF HIS NOVEMBER SURPRISE OF
AN OLD ARREST, BY DAVID P. FAN 33 2.3 DATA QUALITY 37 2.3.1 APPLYING
AAPOR S FINAL DISPOSITION CODES AND OUTCOME RATES TO THE 2000 UTAH
COLLEGES EXIT POLL, BY MELANEY SLATER AND HOWARD CHRISTENSEN 3 7 2.3.2
PARTY IDENTIFICATION WEIGHTING: EXPERIMENTS TO IMPROVE SURVEY QUALITY,
BY OLENA KAMINSKA AND CHRISTOPHER BARNES 51 2.4 SUMMARY OBSERVATIONS 61
3 2004: FRAUDULENT ELECTION? 63 3.1 INTRODUCTION 63 3.2 THE GREAT
ELECTION DEBATE 65 3.2.1 EXCERPT FROM: EVALUATION OF EDISON/MITOFSKY
ELECTION SYSTEM 2004, BY EDISON MEDIA RESEARCH AND MITOFSKY
INTERNATIONAL 66 3.2.2 THE ARGUMENT FOR FRAUD, BY WENDY ALVEY 69 3.2.3
EXCERPT FROM: BEYOND EXIT POLL FUNDAMENTALISM: SURVEYING THE 2004
ELECTION DEBATE, BY MARK LINDEMAN 71 3.3 CONFIDENTIALITY*ANOTHER SIDE OF
THE CONTROVERSY 80 3.3.1 EXCERPT FROM: EXPLAINING DISCREPANCIES BETWEEN
OFFICIAL VOTES AND EXIT POLLS IN THE 2004 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION, BY
SUSAN KYLE, DOUGLAS A. SAMUELSON, FRITZ SCHEUREN, AND NICOLE VICINANZA
80 3.4 FURTHER RESEARCH 90 3.4.1 OHIO ELECTION ANALYSIS, BY MARY
BATCHER, YANLIUAND FRITZ SCHEUREN 91 CONTENTS XIII 3.5 SUMMARY
OBSERVATIONS 96 4 MID-TERM ELECTIONS: 2006 99 4.1 INTRODUCTION 99 4.2
PRE-ELECTION POLLS 101 4.2.1 POLL AND RACES: THE IMPACT OF METHODS AND
CONDITIONS ON THE ACCURACY OF 2006 PRE-ELECTION POLLS, BY CHASE HARRISON
101 4.2.2 EXCERPT FROM: A NEW AGE SOLUTION FOR AN AGE-OLD PROBLEM:
MINING DATA FOR LIKELY VOTERS, BY GREGG R. MURRAY, CHRIS RILEY, AND
ANTHONY SCIME 108 4.2.3 EXCERPT FROM: FORECASTING HOUSE SEATS FROM
GENERIC CONGRESSIONAL POLLS, BY JOSEPH BAFUMI, ROBERT S. ERIKSON, AND
CHRISTOPHER WLEZIEN 118 4.3 REFERENDA ON THE BALLOT 123 4.3.1 THE ROLE
OF DIRECT DEMOCRACY IN CALIFORNIA GOVERNANCE: PUBLIC OPINION ON MAKING
POLICY AT THE BALLOT BOX, BY MARK BALDASSARE AND CHERYL KATZ 123 4.4
SUMMARY OBSERVATIONS 136 5 GLOBE-TROTTING CONSULTANT 137 5.1
INTRODUCTION 137 5.2 A HISTORICAL LOOK AT EXIT POLLS FROM A MEXICAN
PERSPECTIVE 143 5.2.1 EXCERPT FROM: EXIT POLLS AS VALUABLE TOOLS TO
UNDERSTAND VOTING BEHAVIOR: USING AN ADVANCED DESIGN IN MEXICO*HISTORY,
BY RENE BAUTISTA, MARCO A. MORALES, FRANCISCO ABUNDIS, AND MARIO
CALLEGARO 143 5.3 MUSLIM OPINIONS ON POLITICAL REFORM 147 5.3.1 EXCERPT
FROM: MUSLIMS AND DEMOCRACY: STABILITY AND CHANGE IN PUBLIC OPINIONS, BY
FARES BRAIZAT 147 5.4 A MEXICAN CASE STUDY 149 5.4.1 EXCERPT FROM:
NONRESPONSE IN EXIT POLL METHODOLOGY: A CASE STUDY IN MEXICO*MIXED
MODES, BY RENE BAUTISTA, MARIO CALLEGARO, JOSE ALBERTO VERA, AND
FRANCISCO ABUNDIS 150 XIV CONTENTS 5.4.2 EXCERPT FROM: NONRESPONSE IN
EXIT POLL METHODOLOGY: A CASE STUDY IN MEXICO*NONIGNORABLE RESPONSE, BY
RENE BAUTISTA, MARIO CALLEGARO, JOSE ALBERTO VERA, AND FRANCISCO ABUNDIS
153 5.4.3 EXCERPT FROM: EXIT POLLS AS VALUABLE TOOLS TO UNDERSTAND
VOTING BEHAVIOR: USING AN ADVANCED DESIGN IN MEXICO*MEASUREMENT ERROR,
BY RENE BAUTISTA, MARCO A. MORALES, FRANCISCO ABUNDIS, AND MARIO
CALLEGARO 155 5.5 PRE-ELECTION POLLING IN NAGANO, JAPAN 161 5.5.1
DIFFERENTLY ADMINISTERED QUESTIONNAIRES: FINDINGS FROM SURVEYS OF ASAHI
SHIMBUN FOR THE 2006 NAGANO GUBERNATORIAL ELECTION, BY NICOLAOS
SYNODINOS AND EIJIMATSUDA 162 5.6 SWEDISH PUBLIC OPINION POLLS 174 5.6.1
A COMPARISON BETWEEN USING THE WEB AND USING TELEPHONE TO SURVEY
POLITICAL OPINIONS, BY ANNICA ISAKSSON AND GOSTA FORSMAN 175 5.7
ELECTION POLLING IN CANADA 183 5.7.1 VOTING IRREGULARITIES IN THE 1995
REFERENDUM ON QUEBEC SOVEREIGNTY, BY JASON CAWLEY AND PAUL SOMMERS 183
5.8 SUMMARY OBSERVATIONS 186 6 LOOKING AHEAD: RECOMMENDATIONS FOR 2008
AND BEYOND 189 6.1 INTRODUCTION 189 6.2 RECOMMENDATIONS FOR THE FUTURE
190 6.2.1 EXCERPT FROM: EVALUATION OF EDISON/MITOFSKY ELECTION SYSTEM
2004 (NEP), BY EDISON MEDIA RESEARCH AND MITOFSKY INTERNATIONAL 190 6.3
SOME RECENT RESEARCH 193 6.3.1 EXCERPT FROM: EXIT POLLS AND ETHNIC
DIVERSITY: HOW TO IMPROVE ESTIMATES AND REDUCE BIAS AMONG MINORITY
VOTERS, BY FRANCISCO PEDRAZA AND MATT BARRETO 194 6.3.2 HOW SERIOUS IS
POLLING S CELL-ONLY PROBLEM? THE LANDLINE-LESS ARE DIFFERENT AND THEIR
NUMBERS ARE GROWING FAST, BY SCOTT KEETER 203 CONTENTS XV 6.3.3
EVALUATING FOLLOW-UP PROBES TO DON TKNOW RESPONSES IN POLITICAL POLLS,
BY LINCHIAT CHANG , KEATING HOLLAND, ANDJERIPIEHL 206 6.4 GUIDELINES FOR
QUALITY POLLING 213 6.4.1 AAPOR STANDARDS FOR MINIMAL DISCLOSURE, BY THE
AMERICAN ASSOCIATION FOR PUBLIC OPINION RESEARCH 214 6.4.2 WAPOR
GUIDELINES FOR EXIT POLLS AND ELECTION FORECASTS, BY WAPOR EXIT POLL
COMMITTEE 2 15 6.5 NEXT STEPS 219 6.5.1 GENERAL PRINCIPLES FOR
STATISTICAL ELECTION AUDITING, BY WENDY ROTZ AND EDWARD GRACELY 220
6.5.2 PRODUCING A 2008 NATIONAL ELECTION VOTER SCORECARD, BY EDWARD
MULROW AND FRITZ SCHEUREN 230 6.6 SUMMARY OBSERVATIONS 238 TECHNICAL
APPENDIX 241 7.1 INTRODUCTION 241 7.2 STATISTICAL METHODS FOR PAPERS IN
THIS VOLUME 242 7.2.1 SUPPLEMENTAL EXCERPT FROM: PREDICTING LIKELY
VOTERS: USING A NEW AGE METHODOLOGY FOR AN AGE-OLD PROBLEM, BY GREGG R.
MURRAY, CHRIS RILEY, AND ANTHONY SCIME 242 7.2.2 SUPPLEMENTAL EXCERPT
FROM: RELIABILITY OF THE UNCERTIFIED BALLOTS IN THE 2000 PRESIDENTIAL
ELECTION IN FLORIDA, BY KIRK WOLTER, DIANA JERGOVIC, WHITNEY MOORE, JOE
MURPHY, AND COLM O MUIRCHEARTAIGH 246 7.2.3 APPENDIX TO: FORECASTING
HOUSE SEATS FROM GENERIC CONGRESSIONAL POLLS, BY JOSEPH BAFUMI, ROBERT
S. ERIKSON, AND CHRISTOPHER WLEZIEN 262 7.3 APPENDIX: SURVEY QUESTIONS
263 7.3.1 A COMPARISON BETWEEN USING THE WEB AND USING TELEPHONE TO
SURVEY POLITICAL OPINIONS, BY ANNICA ISAKSSON AND GOSTA FORSMAN 264 7.4
ADDITIONAL METHODOLOGICAL PAPERS 265 7.4.1 INVESTIGATING CAUSES OF
WITHIN PRECINCT ERROR IN EXIT POLLS: CONFOUNDS AND CONTROVERSIES, BY
MARK LINDEMAN, ELIZABETH LIDDLE, AND RICHARD BRADY 265 XVI CONTENTS
7.4.2 RELIABLE COMPARED TO WHAT? A PROBABILITY-THEORY BASED TEST OF THE
RELIABILITY OF ELECTION POLLS, BY JOEL DAVID BLOOM AND JENNIE ELIZABETH
PEARSON 280 7.4.3 PERCENTAGE-BASED VERSUS STATISTICAL-POWER-BASED VOTE
TABULATION AUDITS, BY JOHN MCCARTHY, HOWARD STANISLEVIC, MARK LINDEMAN,
ARLENE S. ASH, VITTORIO ADDONA, AND MARY BATCHER 293 7.5 SUMMARY
OBSERVATIONS 301 AUTHOR INDEX 303 INDEX 305
|
| adam_txt |
I MINI IN I II IN IIIII IIIII URN URN MIL MI MI A/492339 ELECTIONS AND
EXIT POLLING FRITZ J. SCHEUREN NATIONAL OPINION RESEARCH CENTER (NORC)
UNIVERSITY OF CHICAGO CHICAGO, IL WENDY ALVEY WILEY A JOHN WILEY & SONS,
INC., PUBLICATION CONTENTS PREFACE XVII ACKNOWLEDGMENTS XXI CONTRIBUTORS
XXIII 1 INTRODUCTION, BY FRITZ SCHEUREN AND WENDY ALVEY 1 1.1
INTRODUCTION 1 1.2 DEFINITIONS 3 1.3 BRIEF HISTORY 5 1.4 A DAY IN THE
LIFE OF AN EXIT POLL 7 1.4.1 EXCERPT FROM ELECTION NIGHT ESTIMATION, BY
WARREN J. MITOFSKY AND MURRAY EDELMAN 7 1.5 THEORY AND METHODOLOGY 9 1.6
RECENT ELECTORAL APPLICATIONS 11 1.7 SOME MAJOR LIMITATIONS 12 1.8
RECOMMENDATIONS AND A FEW PREDICTIONS 13 1.9 REFERENCES 13 XI XII
CONTENTS 2 THE INFAMOUS 2000 ELECTION 17 2.1 INTRODUCTION 17 2.2
ANALYSIS: LOOKING BACK 19 2.2.1 EXCERPT FROM: RELIABILITY OF THE
UNCERTIFIED BALLOTS IN THE 2000 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS IN FLORIDA, BY
KIRK WOLTER, DIANA JERGOVIC, WHITNEY MOORE, JOE MURPHY, AND COLM O
'MUIRCHEARTAIGH 19 2.2.2 EXCERPT FROM: PREDICTING THE BUSH/GORE ELECTION
FROM THE PRESS: THE COST TO GEORGE W. BUSH OF HIS NOVEMBER SURPRISE OF
AN OLD ARREST, BY DAVID P. FAN 33 2.3 DATA QUALITY 37 2.3.1 APPLYING
AAPOR'S FINAL DISPOSITION CODES AND OUTCOME RATES TO THE 2000 UTAH
COLLEGES' EXIT POLL, BY MELANEY SLATER AND HOWARD CHRISTENSEN 3 7 2.3.2
PARTY IDENTIFICATION WEIGHTING: EXPERIMENTS TO IMPROVE SURVEY QUALITY,
BY OLENA KAMINSKA AND CHRISTOPHER BARNES 51 2.4 SUMMARY OBSERVATIONS 61
3 2004: FRAUDULENT ELECTION? 63 3.1 INTRODUCTION 63 3.2 THE GREAT
ELECTION DEBATE 65 3.2.1 EXCERPT FROM: EVALUATION OF EDISON/MITOFSKY
ELECTION SYSTEM 2004, BY EDISON MEDIA RESEARCH AND MITOFSKY
INTERNATIONAL 66 3.2.2 THE ARGUMENT FOR FRAUD, BY WENDY ALVEY 69 3.2.3
EXCERPT FROM: BEYOND EXIT POLL FUNDAMENTALISM: SURVEYING THE 2004
ELECTION DEBATE, BY MARK LINDEMAN 71 3.3 CONFIDENTIALITY*ANOTHER SIDE OF
THE CONTROVERSY 80 3.3.1 EXCERPT FROM: EXPLAINING DISCREPANCIES BETWEEN
OFFICIAL VOTES AND EXIT POLLS IN THE 2004 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION, BY
SUSAN KYLE, DOUGLAS A. SAMUELSON, FRITZ SCHEUREN, AND NICOLE VICINANZA
80 3.4 FURTHER RESEARCH 90 3.4.1 OHIO ELECTION ANALYSIS, BY MARY
BATCHER, YANLIUAND FRITZ SCHEUREN 91 CONTENTS XIII 3.5 SUMMARY
OBSERVATIONS 96 4 MID-TERM ELECTIONS: 2006 99 4.1 INTRODUCTION 99 4.2
PRE-ELECTION POLLS 101 4.2.1 POLL AND RACES: THE IMPACT OF METHODS AND
CONDITIONS ON THE ACCURACY OF 2006 PRE-ELECTION POLLS, BY CHASE HARRISON
101 4.2.2 EXCERPT FROM: A NEW AGE SOLUTION FOR AN AGE-OLD PROBLEM:
MINING DATA FOR LIKELY VOTERS, BY GREGG R. MURRAY, CHRIS RILEY, AND
ANTHONY SCIME 108 4.2.3 EXCERPT FROM: FORECASTING HOUSE SEATS FROM
GENERIC CONGRESSIONAL POLLS, BY JOSEPH BAFUMI, ROBERT S. ERIKSON, AND
CHRISTOPHER WLEZIEN 118 4.3 REFERENDA ON THE BALLOT 123 4.3.1 THE ROLE
OF DIRECT DEMOCRACY IN CALIFORNIA GOVERNANCE: PUBLIC OPINION ON MAKING
POLICY AT THE BALLOT BOX, BY MARK BALDASSARE AND CHERYL KATZ 123 4.4
SUMMARY OBSERVATIONS 136 5 GLOBE-TROTTING CONSULTANT 137 5.1
INTRODUCTION 137 5.2 A HISTORICAL LOOK AT EXIT POLLS FROM A MEXICAN
PERSPECTIVE 143 5.2.1 EXCERPT FROM: EXIT POLLS AS VALUABLE TOOLS TO
UNDERSTAND VOTING BEHAVIOR: USING AN ADVANCED DESIGN IN MEXICO*HISTORY,
BY RENE BAUTISTA, MARCO A. MORALES, FRANCISCO ABUNDIS, AND MARIO
CALLEGARO 143 5.3 MUSLIM OPINIONS ON POLITICAL REFORM 147 5.3.1 EXCERPT
FROM: MUSLIMS AND DEMOCRACY: STABILITY AND CHANGE IN PUBLIC OPINIONS, BY
FARES BRAIZAT 147 5.4 A MEXICAN CASE STUDY 149 5.4.1 EXCERPT FROM:
NONRESPONSE IN EXIT POLL METHODOLOGY: A CASE STUDY IN MEXICO*MIXED
MODES, BY RENE BAUTISTA, MARIO CALLEGARO, JOSE ALBERTO VERA, AND
FRANCISCO ABUNDIS 150 XIV CONTENTS 5.4.2 EXCERPT FROM: NONRESPONSE IN
EXIT POLL METHODOLOGY: A CASE STUDY IN MEXICO*NONIGNORABLE RESPONSE, BY
RENE BAUTISTA, MARIO CALLEGARO, JOSE ALBERTO VERA, AND FRANCISCO ABUNDIS
153 5.4.3 EXCERPT FROM: EXIT POLLS AS VALUABLE TOOLS TO UNDERSTAND
VOTING BEHAVIOR: USING AN ADVANCED DESIGN IN MEXICO*MEASUREMENT ERROR,
BY RENE BAUTISTA, MARCO A. MORALES, FRANCISCO ABUNDIS, AND MARIO
CALLEGARO 155 5.5 PRE-ELECTION POLLING IN NAGANO, JAPAN 161 5.5.1
DIFFERENTLY ADMINISTERED QUESTIONNAIRES: FINDINGS FROM SURVEYS OF ASAHI
SHIMBUN FOR THE 2006 NAGANO GUBERNATORIAL ELECTION, BY NICOLAOS
SYNODINOS AND EIJIMATSUDA 162 5.6 SWEDISH PUBLIC OPINION POLLS 174 5.6.1
A COMPARISON BETWEEN USING THE WEB AND USING TELEPHONE TO SURVEY
POLITICAL OPINIONS, BY ANNICA ISAKSSON AND GOSTA FORSMAN 175 5.7
ELECTION POLLING IN CANADA 183 5.7.1 VOTING IRREGULARITIES IN THE 1995
REFERENDUM ON QUEBEC SOVEREIGNTY, BY JASON CAWLEY AND PAUL SOMMERS 183
5.8 SUMMARY OBSERVATIONS 186 6 LOOKING AHEAD: RECOMMENDATIONS FOR 2008
AND BEYOND 189 6.1 INTRODUCTION 189 6.2 RECOMMENDATIONS FOR THE FUTURE
190 6.2.1 EXCERPT FROM: EVALUATION OF EDISON/MITOFSKY ELECTION SYSTEM
2004 (NEP), BY EDISON MEDIA RESEARCH AND MITOFSKY INTERNATIONAL 190 6.3
SOME RECENT RESEARCH 193 6.3.1 EXCERPT FROM: EXIT POLLS AND ETHNIC
DIVERSITY: HOW TO IMPROVE ESTIMATES AND REDUCE BIAS AMONG MINORITY
VOTERS, BY FRANCISCO PEDRAZA AND MATT BARRETO 194 6.3.2 HOW SERIOUS IS
POLLING'S CELL-ONLY PROBLEM? THE LANDLINE-LESS ARE DIFFERENT AND THEIR
NUMBERS ARE GROWING FAST, BY SCOTT KEETER 203 CONTENTS XV 6.3.3
EVALUATING FOLLOW-UP PROBES TO DON 'TKNOW RESPONSES IN POLITICAL POLLS,
BY LINCHIAT CHANG", KEATING HOLLAND, ANDJERIPIEHL 206 6.4 GUIDELINES FOR
QUALITY POLLING 213 6.4.1 AAPOR STANDARDS FOR MINIMAL DISCLOSURE, BY THE
AMERICAN ASSOCIATION FOR PUBLIC OPINION RESEARCH 214 6.4.2 WAPOR
GUIDELINES FOR EXIT POLLS AND ELECTION FORECASTS, BY WAPOR EXIT POLL
COMMITTEE 2 15 6.5 NEXT STEPS 219 6.5.1 GENERAL PRINCIPLES FOR
STATISTICAL ELECTION AUDITING, BY WENDY ROTZ AND EDWARD GRACELY 220
6.5.2 PRODUCING A 2008 NATIONAL ELECTION VOTER SCORECARD, BY EDWARD
MULROW AND FRITZ SCHEUREN 230 6.6 SUMMARY OBSERVATIONS 238 TECHNICAL
APPENDIX 241 7.1 INTRODUCTION 241 7.2 STATISTICAL METHODS FOR PAPERS IN
THIS VOLUME 242 7.2.1 SUPPLEMENTAL EXCERPT FROM: PREDICTING LIKELY
VOTERS: USING A NEW AGE METHODOLOGY FOR AN AGE-OLD PROBLEM, BY GREGG R.
MURRAY, CHRIS RILEY, AND ANTHONY SCIME 242 7.2.2 SUPPLEMENTAL EXCERPT
FROM: RELIABILITY OF THE UNCERTIFIED BALLOTS IN THE 2000 PRESIDENTIAL
ELECTION IN FLORIDA, BY KIRK WOLTER, DIANA JERGOVIC, WHITNEY MOORE, JOE
MURPHY, AND COLM O 'MUIRCHEARTAIGH 246 7.2.3 APPENDIX TO: FORECASTING
HOUSE SEATS FROM GENERIC CONGRESSIONAL POLLS, BY JOSEPH BAFUMI, ROBERT
S. ERIKSON, AND CHRISTOPHER WLEZIEN 262 7.3 APPENDIX: SURVEY QUESTIONS
263 7.3.1 A COMPARISON BETWEEN USING THE WEB AND USING TELEPHONE TO
SURVEY POLITICAL OPINIONS, BY ANNICA ISAKSSON AND GOSTA FORSMAN 264 7.4
ADDITIONAL METHODOLOGICAL PAPERS 265 7.4.1 INVESTIGATING CAUSES OF
WITHIN PRECINCT ERROR IN EXIT POLLS: CONFOUNDS AND CONTROVERSIES, BY
MARK LINDEMAN, ELIZABETH LIDDLE, AND RICHARD BRADY 265 XVI CONTENTS
7.4.2 RELIABLE COMPARED TO WHAT? A PROBABILITY-THEORY BASED TEST OF THE
RELIABILITY OF ELECTION POLLS, BY JOEL DAVID BLOOM AND JENNIE ELIZABETH
PEARSON 280 7.4.3 PERCENTAGE-BASED VERSUS STATISTICAL-POWER-BASED VOTE
TABULATION AUDITS, BY JOHN MCCARTHY, HOWARD STANISLEVIC, MARK LINDEMAN,
ARLENE S. ASH, VITTORIO ADDONA, AND MARY BATCHER 293 7.5 SUMMARY
OBSERVATIONS 301 AUTHOR INDEX 303 INDEX 305 |
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| genre | (DE-588)4143413-4 Aufsatzsammlung gnd-content |
| genre_facet | Aufsatzsammlung |
| geographic | USA (DE-588)4078704-7 gnd |
| geographic_facet | USA |
| id | DE-604.BV023374889 |
| illustrated | Illustrated |
| index_date | 2024-07-02T21:14:01Z |
| indexdate | 2024-07-09T21:17:10Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 9780470291160 0470291168 |
| language | English |
| oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-016558085 |
| oclc_num | 226291867 |
| open_access_boolean | |
| owner | DE-12 DE-19 DE-BY-UBM DE-473 DE-BY-UBG |
| owner_facet | DE-12 DE-19 DE-BY-UBM DE-473 DE-BY-UBG |
| physical | XXIV, 307 S. graph. Darst. 24 cm |
| publishDate | 2008 |
| publishDateSearch | 2008 |
| publishDateSort | 2008 |
| publisher | Wiley |
| record_format | marc |
| spelling | Elections and exit polling [ed. by] Fritz J. Scheuren ... Hoboken, NJ Wiley 2008 XXIV, 307 S. graph. Darst. 24 cm txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Includes bibliographical references and indexes Exit polling (Elections) Voting research Election forecasting / Data processing Datenverarbeitung Election forecasting Data processing Wahlforschung (DE-588)4134121-1 gnd rswk-swf Wahlprognose (DE-588)4064300-1 gnd rswk-swf USA (DE-588)4078704-7 gnd rswk-swf (DE-588)4143413-4 Aufsatzsammlung gnd-content USA (DE-588)4078704-7 g Wahlprognose (DE-588)4064300-1 s DE-604 Wahlforschung (DE-588)4134121-1 s Scheuren, Fritz J. Sonstige oth GBV Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=016558085&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Elections and exit polling Exit polling (Elections) Voting research Election forecasting / Data processing Datenverarbeitung Election forecasting Data processing Wahlforschung (DE-588)4134121-1 gnd Wahlprognose (DE-588)4064300-1 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4134121-1 (DE-588)4064300-1 (DE-588)4078704-7 (DE-588)4143413-4 |
| title | Elections and exit polling |
| title_auth | Elections and exit polling |
| title_exact_search | Elections and exit polling |
| title_exact_search_txtP | Elections and exit polling |
| title_full | Elections and exit polling [ed. by] Fritz J. Scheuren ... |
| title_fullStr | Elections and exit polling [ed. by] Fritz J. Scheuren ... |
| title_full_unstemmed | Elections and exit polling [ed. by] Fritz J. Scheuren ... |
| title_short | Elections and exit polling |
| title_sort | elections and exit polling |
| topic | Exit polling (Elections) Voting research Election forecasting / Data processing Datenverarbeitung Election forecasting Data processing Wahlforschung (DE-588)4134121-1 gnd Wahlprognose (DE-588)4064300-1 gnd |
| topic_facet | Exit polling (Elections) Voting research Election forecasting / Data processing Datenverarbeitung Election forecasting Data processing Wahlforschung Wahlprognose USA Aufsatzsammlung |
| url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=016558085&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
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