Uncertainty handling in multi-attribute decision support for industrial risk management:
Gespeichert in:
1. Verfasser: | |
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Format: | Abschlussarbeit Buch |
Sprache: | English |
Veröffentlicht: |
Karlsruhe
Univ.-Verl. Karlsruhe
2008
|
Schlagworte: | |
Online-Zugang: | Volltext Volltext Volltext Inhaltsverzeichnis |
Beschreibung: | Hergestellt on demand |
Beschreibung: | X, 202 S. Ill., graph. Darst., Kt. 21 cm, 400 gr. |
ISBN: | 9783866442078 |
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adam_text | CONTENTS LIST OF FIGURES V LIST OF TABLES IX 1 INTRODUCTION 1 1.1
DECISION SUPPORT FOR INDUSTRIAL RISK MANAGEMENT 2 1.1.1 INDUSTRIAL RISKS
2 1.1.2 MULTI-CRITERIA ASPECTS OF INDUSTRIAL RISK MANAGEMENT 4 1.1.3
UNCERTAINTIES IN DECISION PROCESSES 5 1.1.4 RISKS IN THE ENERGY SECTOR 6
1.2 OBJECTIVES AND STRUCTURE OF THE THESIS 8 2 MULTI-CRITERIA DECISION
ANALYSIS 11 2.1 PURPOSE AND SCOPE OF MCDA 12 2.2 MULTI-ATTRIBUTE VALUE
THEORY 14 2.2.1 STEPS IN A MAVT ANALYSIS 15 2.2.2 INTERPRETATION OF MAVT
AS A WEIGHTED NORM 24 2.3 MULTI-ATTRIBUTE UTILITY THEORY 28 2.3.1 STEPS
IN A MAUT ANALYSIS 29 2.3.2 BAYESIAN DECISION ANALYSIS 38 2.4 SUMMARY 41
GESCANNT DURCH BIBLIOGRAFISCHE INFORMATIONEN HTTP://D-NB.INFO/98737043X
DIGITALISIERT DURCH 4.2.4 WEB-HIPRE 96 JJ CONTENTS 3 SIMULATION-BASED
UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS 43 3.1 CLASSIFICATION AND TREATMENT OF
UNCERTAINTIES 44 3.2 DATA UNCERTAINTY 51 3.2.1 MODELLING AND PROPAGATION
OF DATA UNCERTAINTIES 51 3.2.2 VISUALISATION OF DATA UNCERTAINTIES 52
3.2.3 PRINCIPAL COMPONENT ANALYSIS (PCA) 55 3.3 PARAMETER UNCERTAINTY 62
3.3.1 MULTI-DIMENSIONAL INTER-CRITERIA SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS 65 3.3.2
MULTI-DIMENSIONAL INTRA-CRITERIA SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS 68 3.3.3
VISUALISATION OF PARAMETER UNCERTAINTIES 71 3.3.4 PRINCIPAL COMPONENT
ANALYSIS (PCA) FOR PARAMETER UNCERTAINTIES . 74 3.4 COMBINED
CONSIDERATION OF DATA AND PARAMETER UNCERTAINTIES 77 3.4.1 INTEGRATION
OF THE SIMULATION BASED APPROACHES FOR PARAMETER UN- CERTAINTIES INTO
MAUT 78 3.4.2 COMBINED CONSIDERATION OF DATA AND PARAMETER UNCERTAINTIES
IN THE PCA PLANE 82 3.5 SUMMARY 83 4 DECISION SUPPORT FOR NUCLEAR
EMERGENCY AND REMEDIATION MANAGE- MENT 85 4.1 BACKGROUND AND GENERAL
SETTING 86 4.1.1 EVENTS AT NUCLEAR INSTALLATIONS 86 4.1.2 MODERATED
WORKSHOPS 87 4.2 RODOS 89 4.2.1 THE CONCEPTUAL STRUCTURE 90 4.2.2 DATA
ASSIMILATION AND UNCERTAINTIES IN RODOS 91 4.2.3 ECONOMIC CONSEQUENCE
MODELLING IN RODOS 94 A THE EXPLANATION MODULE 177 CONTENTS III 4.2.5
THE EXPLANATION MODULE 97 4.3 A HYPOTHETICAL CASE STUDY 100 4.4 A
MODERATED WORKSHOP 103 4.4.1 PROBLEM STRUCTURING 105 4.4.2 PREFERENCE
ELICITATION 107 4.4.3 SELECTED RESULTS 110 4.5 UNCERTAINTY MODELLING FOR
THE CASE STUDY 115 4.5.1 DATA UNCERTAINTY MODELLING 115 4.5.2
PREFERENTIAL UNCERTAINTY MODELLING 118 4.6 RESULTS FOR THE CASE STUDY
120 4.6.1 VISUALISATION OF RESULTS FOR DETERMINISTIC VALUES 120 4.6.2
RESULTS TAKING DATA UNCERTAINTIES INTO ACCOUNT 123 4.6.3 RESULTS TAKING
PREFERENTIAL UNCERTAINTIES INTO ACCOUNT 128 4.6.4 COMBINED ANALYSIS OF
DATA AND PARAMETER UNCERTAINTIES IN THE CONTEXT OF THE CASE STUDY 137
4.7 SUMMARISING DISCUSSION OF THE CASE STUDY 139 5 CONCLUSIONS AND
OUTLOOK 143 5.1 CONCLUSIONS FOR INDUSTRIAL RISK MANAGEMENT 143 5.2
CONCLUSIONS CONCERNING THE MULTI-CRITERIA APPROACH 145 5.3 OUTLOOK 147
5.3.1 SEQUENTIAL DECISION MAKING 147 5.3.2 INDIRECT CONSEQUENCE
ASSESSMENT AND CASCADING EFFECTS 151 6 SUMMARY 153 BIBLIOGRAPHY 157 TEST
TO THE DATA OF THE CASE STUDY 201 J V CONTENTS A.L CONTENT DETERMINATION
178 A.2 DISCOURSE PLANNING 178 A.3 SENTENCE GENERATION 180 A.3.1
STATISTICAL COMPARISONS 181 A.3.2 SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS 182 A.4 A STEP
TOWARDS EXPLAINING THE RESULTS OF MULTI-DIMENSIONAL SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS
185 B ADDITIONAL DATA AND STATISTICAL TESTS FOR THE CASE STUDY 189 B.L
DATA UNCERTAINTY UNDERLYING THE CALCULATIONS OF THE CASE STUDY 189 B.2 A
STATISTICAL TEST FOR THE DATA OF THE CASE STUDY 200 B.2.1 PROCEDURE OF
THE W TEST 200 B.2.2 APPLICATION OF THE W
|
adam_txt |
CONTENTS LIST OF FIGURES V LIST OF TABLES IX 1 INTRODUCTION 1 1.1
DECISION SUPPORT FOR INDUSTRIAL RISK MANAGEMENT 2 1.1.1 INDUSTRIAL RISKS
2 1.1.2 MULTI-CRITERIA ASPECTS OF INDUSTRIAL RISK MANAGEMENT 4 1.1.3
UNCERTAINTIES IN DECISION PROCESSES 5 1.1.4 RISKS IN THE ENERGY SECTOR 6
1.2 OBJECTIVES AND STRUCTURE OF THE THESIS 8 2 MULTI-CRITERIA DECISION
ANALYSIS 11 2.1 PURPOSE AND SCOPE OF MCDA 12 2.2 MULTI-ATTRIBUTE VALUE
THEORY 14 2.2.1 STEPS IN A MAVT ANALYSIS 15 2.2.2 INTERPRETATION OF MAVT
AS A WEIGHTED NORM 24 2.3 MULTI-ATTRIBUTE UTILITY THEORY 28 2.3.1 STEPS
IN A MAUT ANALYSIS 29 2.3.2 BAYESIAN DECISION ANALYSIS 38 2.4 SUMMARY 41
GESCANNT DURCH BIBLIOGRAFISCHE INFORMATIONEN HTTP://D-NB.INFO/98737043X
DIGITALISIERT DURCH 4.2.4 WEB-HIPRE 96 JJ CONTENTS 3 SIMULATION-BASED
UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS 43 3.1 CLASSIFICATION AND TREATMENT OF
UNCERTAINTIES 44 3.2 DATA UNCERTAINTY 51 3.2.1 MODELLING AND PROPAGATION
OF DATA UNCERTAINTIES 51 3.2.2 VISUALISATION OF DATA UNCERTAINTIES 52
3.2.3 PRINCIPAL COMPONENT ANALYSIS (PCA) 55 3.3 PARAMETER UNCERTAINTY 62
3.3.1 MULTI-DIMENSIONAL INTER-CRITERIA SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS 65 3.3.2
MULTI-DIMENSIONAL INTRA-CRITERIA SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS 68 3.3.3
VISUALISATION OF PARAMETER UNCERTAINTIES 71 3.3.4 PRINCIPAL COMPONENT
ANALYSIS (PCA) FOR PARAMETER UNCERTAINTIES . 74 3.4 COMBINED
CONSIDERATION OF DATA AND PARAMETER UNCERTAINTIES 77 3.4.1 INTEGRATION
OF THE SIMULATION BASED APPROACHES FOR PARAMETER UN- CERTAINTIES INTO
MAUT 78 3.4.2 COMBINED CONSIDERATION OF DATA AND PARAMETER UNCERTAINTIES
IN THE PCA PLANE 82 3.5 SUMMARY 83 4 DECISION SUPPORT FOR NUCLEAR
EMERGENCY AND REMEDIATION MANAGE- MENT 85 4.1 BACKGROUND AND GENERAL
SETTING 86 4.1.1 EVENTS AT NUCLEAR INSTALLATIONS 86 4.1.2 MODERATED
WORKSHOPS 87 4.2 RODOS 89 4.2.1 THE CONCEPTUAL STRUCTURE 90 4.2.2 DATA
ASSIMILATION AND UNCERTAINTIES IN RODOS 91 4.2.3 ECONOMIC CONSEQUENCE
MODELLING IN RODOS 94 A THE EXPLANATION MODULE 177 CONTENTS III 4.2.5
THE EXPLANATION MODULE 97 4.3 A HYPOTHETICAL CASE STUDY 100 4.4 A
MODERATED WORKSHOP 103 4.4.1 PROBLEM STRUCTURING 105 4.4.2 PREFERENCE
ELICITATION 107 4.4.3 SELECTED RESULTS 110 4.5 UNCERTAINTY MODELLING FOR
THE CASE STUDY 115 4.5.1 DATA UNCERTAINTY MODELLING 115 4.5.2
PREFERENTIAL UNCERTAINTY MODELLING 118 4.6 RESULTS FOR THE CASE STUDY
120 4.6.1 VISUALISATION OF RESULTS FOR DETERMINISTIC VALUES 120 4.6.2
RESULTS TAKING DATA UNCERTAINTIES INTO ACCOUNT 123 4.6.3 RESULTS TAKING
PREFERENTIAL UNCERTAINTIES INTO ACCOUNT 128 4.6.4 COMBINED ANALYSIS OF
DATA AND PARAMETER UNCERTAINTIES IN THE CONTEXT OF THE CASE STUDY 137
4.7 SUMMARISING DISCUSSION OF THE CASE STUDY 139 5 CONCLUSIONS AND
OUTLOOK 143 5.1 CONCLUSIONS FOR INDUSTRIAL RISK MANAGEMENT 143 5.2
CONCLUSIONS CONCERNING THE MULTI-CRITERIA APPROACH 145 5.3 OUTLOOK 147
5.3.1 SEQUENTIAL DECISION MAKING 147 5.3.2 INDIRECT CONSEQUENCE
ASSESSMENT AND CASCADING EFFECTS 151 6 SUMMARY 153 BIBLIOGRAPHY 157 TEST
TO THE DATA OF THE CASE STUDY 201 J V CONTENTS A.L CONTENT DETERMINATION
178 A.2 DISCOURSE PLANNING 178 A.3 SENTENCE GENERATION 180 A.3.1
STATISTICAL COMPARISONS 181 A.3.2 SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS 182 A.4 A STEP
TOWARDS EXPLAINING THE RESULTS OF MULTI-DIMENSIONAL SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS
185 B ADDITIONAL DATA AND STATISTICAL TESTS FOR THE CASE STUDY 189 B.L
DATA UNCERTAINTY UNDERLYING THE CALCULATIONS OF THE CASE STUDY 189 B.2 A
STATISTICAL TEST FOR THE DATA OF THE CASE STUDY 200 B.2.1 PROCEDURE OF
THE W TEST 200 B.2.2 APPLICATION OF THE W |
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author | Bertsch, Valentin |
author_facet | Bertsch, Valentin |
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dewey-ones | 658 - General management |
dewey-raw | 658.403 |
dewey-search | 658.403 |
dewey-sort | 3658.403 |
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discipline | Wirtschaftswissenschaften |
discipline_str_mv | Wirtschaftswissenschaften |
format | Thesis Book |
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spelling | Bertsch, Valentin Verfasser aut Uncertainty handling in multi-attribute decision support for industrial risk management von Valentin Bertsch Karlsruhe Univ.-Verl. Karlsruhe 2008 X, 202 S. Ill., graph. Darst., Kt. 21 cm, 400 gr. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Hergestellt on demand Zugl.: Karlsruhe, Univ., Diss., 2007 Risikomanagement (DE-588)4121590-4 gnd rswk-swf Entscheidungsunterstützung (DE-588)4202171-6 gnd rswk-swf Technikbewertung (DE-588)4078176-8 gnd rswk-swf Multikriteria-Entscheidung (DE-588)4126083-1 gnd rswk-swf (DE-588)4113937-9 Hochschulschrift gnd-content Risikomanagement (DE-588)4121590-4 s Entscheidungsunterstützung (DE-588)4202171-6 s Multikriteria-Entscheidung (DE-588)4126083-1 s Technikbewertung (DE-588)4078176-8 s DE-604 Erscheint auch als Online-Ausgabe urn:nbn:de:0072-73780 https://nbn-resolving.org/urn:nbn:de:0072-73780 kostenfrei Volltext http://www.uvka.de/univerlag/volltexte/2008/297/ kostenfrei Volltext http://d-nb.info/987625268/34 kostenfrei Volltext DNB Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=016555141&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
spellingShingle | Bertsch, Valentin Uncertainty handling in multi-attribute decision support for industrial risk management Risikomanagement (DE-588)4121590-4 gnd Entscheidungsunterstützung (DE-588)4202171-6 gnd Technikbewertung (DE-588)4078176-8 gnd Multikriteria-Entscheidung (DE-588)4126083-1 gnd |
subject_GND | (DE-588)4121590-4 (DE-588)4202171-6 (DE-588)4078176-8 (DE-588)4126083-1 (DE-588)4113937-9 |
title | Uncertainty handling in multi-attribute decision support for industrial risk management |
title_auth | Uncertainty handling in multi-attribute decision support for industrial risk management |
title_exact_search | Uncertainty handling in multi-attribute decision support for industrial risk management |
title_exact_search_txtP | Uncertainty handling in multi-attribute decision support for industrial risk management |
title_full | Uncertainty handling in multi-attribute decision support for industrial risk management von Valentin Bertsch |
title_fullStr | Uncertainty handling in multi-attribute decision support for industrial risk management von Valentin Bertsch |
title_full_unstemmed | Uncertainty handling in multi-attribute decision support for industrial risk management von Valentin Bertsch |
title_short | Uncertainty handling in multi-attribute decision support for industrial risk management |
title_sort | uncertainty handling in multi attribute decision support for industrial risk management |
topic | Risikomanagement (DE-588)4121590-4 gnd Entscheidungsunterstützung (DE-588)4202171-6 gnd Technikbewertung (DE-588)4078176-8 gnd Multikriteria-Entscheidung (DE-588)4126083-1 gnd |
topic_facet | Risikomanagement Entscheidungsunterstützung Technikbewertung Multikriteria-Entscheidung Hochschulschrift |
url | https://nbn-resolving.org/urn:nbn:de:0072-73780 http://www.uvka.de/univerlag/volltexte/2008/297/ http://d-nb.info/987625268/34 http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=016555141&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
work_keys_str_mv | AT bertschvalentin uncertaintyhandlinginmultiattributedecisionsupportforindustrialriskmanagement |