From early warning systems to asset managers' behavior: evidence for mature and emerging markets
Gespeichert in:
| 1. Verfasser: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Abschlussarbeit Buch |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Frankfurt am Main [u.a.]
Lang
2008
|
| Schriftenreihe: | Studien zu internationalen Wirtschaftsbeziehungen
12 |
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis Klappentext |
| Beschreibung: | 181 S. graph. Darst. |
| ISBN: | 9783631569559 3631569556 |
Internformat
MARC
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| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a From early warning systems to asset managers' behavior |b evidence for mature and emerging markets |c Daniela Beckmann |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
| _version_ | 1804137552849928192 |
|---|---|
| adam_text | Table
of
Contents
1
Introduction
13
1.1 Motivation
and contribution of this dissertation
13
1.2
Outline
17
1.3
Conclusions and outlook
19
Part I: Early Warning Systems and the Role of Fundamentals
2
Early Warning Systems: A Survey of New Approaches
23
2.1
Motivation
23
2.2
A framework to analyze early warning systems
24
2.3
A discussion of new approaches
26
2.3.1
The leading indicator approach of KLR
27
2.3.2
The
probit
approach of Berg and Pattillo
28
2.3.3
The robustness checks of Edison
30
2.3.4
The multinomial logit approach of Bussiere and Fratzscher
31
2.3.5
The Markov-switching approach of Abiad
32
2.4
Conclusions
33
3
Robust Lessons about Practical Early Warning Systems
37
3.1
Motivation
37
3.2
KLR extensions of time and countries
40
3.2.1
Reproducing the KLR approach
40
3.2.2
Extending KLR over time
42
3.2.3
Expanding KLR over countries
44
3.2.4
Forecasting out-of-sample
44
3.3
From composite indicators to logit models
45
3.3.1
Two iogit model alternatives
45
3.3.2
The multinomial logit
48
3.4
The impact of different crisis definitions
50
3.5
Further lessons for improving forecasts
52
3.5.1
Regional sample splits
53
3.5.2
Shortening the sample
54
3.5.3
Grasping contagion
55
3.6
Conclusions
57
3.6.1
Elements of practical early warning systems
57
3.6.2
Policy discussion
58
j q
Table of Contents
Part II:
Financial
Markets from a Behavioral Perspective
-
the
Role of Asset Managers Behavioral Biases, Cultural Background
and Gender
Evidence from Country Studies
4
Still Emerging
-
More Biased? Asset Managers Behavior
in Thailand, Indonesia and Germany
71
4.1
Motivation
71
4.2
Industry description and development in the three markets
74
4.3
Survey data and methodology
75
4.4
Risk behavior
78
4.5
Herd behavior
81
4.6
Home bias
86
4.7
Conclusions and outlook
93
5
Evidence for Italian Asset Managers on Overconfidence,
Risk Taking and Gender Differences
95
5.1
Motivation
95
5.2
The Italian mutual fund industry
98
5.3
Survey methodology and data
102
5.4
Asset managers self-assessment
104
5.5
Asset managers risk taking behavior
108
5.6
Italian asset managers in the tournament 111
5.7
Conclusions
113
Cross-Country Evidence
6
Asset Managers Views and Behavior:
Does Culture Matter?
1
1
7
6.1
Motivation
117
6.2
Survey design and data
120
6.3
Common aspects in global asset management
123
6.4
Cross-cultural differences in global asset management
125
6.4.1
Individualism
125
6.4.2
Power Distance
130
6.4.3
Masculinity
-
Femininity
134
6.4.4
Uncertainty Avoidance
136
6.5
Discussion of cultural influences possible implications
139
6.6
Concluding remarks and future prospects
141
Table
of
Contents 11
7 Wiil
Women be Women? Asset Managers Struggle
between Nature and Incentives
143
7.1
Motivation
143
7.2
Data
145
7.3
Risk behavior
148
7.4
Overconfidence
152
7.5
Tournament
156
7.6
Conclusions
159
Annex
161
References
165
Asset managers have often been considered as key drivers behind financial
globalization. As they have been both praised as leaders of global financial
integration and blamed as originators of financial crises, any understanding of
the international financial markets
-
and financial crises among them
-
should
be based on a thorough understanding of its core actors, i.e. asset managers.
The contribution of this work is thus twofold: In its first part, it addresses
evidence from early warning systems and the role of fundamentals in financial
crises. With the help of macro-level data for
20
countries and based on a new
framework to assess the variety of contributions in this young field of research,
different models of early warning systems are reviewed, replicated and critically
tested for practical application. The work s second part turns the attention to
financial markets from a behavioral perspective. Individual asset managers
views, perception and behavior are analyzed in detail with the help of a unique
micro-level data set, generated in an international survey project with
1,165
participating financial market professionals from six countries. In particular,
the role of professional asset managers behavioral biases, risk taking, cultural
background, and gender differences are analyzed by both selected country
studies and cross-country evidence from mature and emerging markets.
Daniela
Beckmann
studied economics and management in Hannover and Gre¬
noble. During her time as research and teaching assistant at the Chair for Money
and International Finance at the Gottfried
Wilhelm
Leibniz
Universität
Hannover,
the author combined academic insights with practical application: Gained ex¬
perience ranges from Ph.D. studies at the University of Copenhagen to private
bank consultancy and work experience at the World Bank in Washington D.C.
The authors research interests lie in international financial markets, in particular
emerging markets, institutional investors, and development economics.
Daniela
Beckmann
received her Ph.D. from the Faculty of Economics and Management
at the Gottfried
Wilhelm
Leibniz
Universität
Hannover in
2007.
|
| adam_txt |
Table
of
Contents
1
Introduction
13
1.1 Motivation
and contribution of this dissertation
13
1.2
Outline
17
1.3
Conclusions and outlook
19
Part I: Early Warning Systems and the Role of Fundamentals
2
Early Warning Systems: A Survey of New Approaches
23
2.1
Motivation
23
2.2
A framework to analyze early warning systems
24
2.3
A discussion of new approaches
26
2.3.1
The leading indicator approach of KLR
27
2.3.2
The
probit
approach of Berg and Pattillo
28
2.3.3
The robustness checks of Edison
30
2.3.4
The multinomial logit approach of Bussiere and Fratzscher
31
2.3.5
The Markov-switching approach of Abiad
32
2.4
Conclusions
33
3
Robust Lessons about Practical Early Warning Systems
37
3.1
Motivation
37
3.2
KLR extensions of time and countries
40
3.2.1
Reproducing the KLR approach
40
3.2.2
Extending KLR over time
42
3.2.3
Expanding KLR over countries
44
3.2.4
Forecasting out-of-sample
44
3.3
From composite indicators to logit models
45
3.3.1
Two iogit model alternatives
45
3.3.2
The multinomial logit
48
3.4
The impact of different crisis definitions
50
3.5
Further lessons for improving forecasts
52
3.5.1
Regional sample splits
53
3.5.2
Shortening the sample
54
3.5.3
Grasping contagion
55
3.6
Conclusions
57
3.6.1
Elements of practical early warning systems
57
3.6.2
Policy discussion
58
j q
Table of Contents
Part II:
Financial
Markets from a Behavioral Perspective
-
the
Role of Asset Managers' Behavioral Biases, Cultural Background
and Gender
Evidence from Country Studies
4
Still Emerging
-
More Biased? Asset Managers' Behavior
in Thailand, Indonesia and Germany
71
4.1
Motivation
71
4.2
Industry description and development in the three markets
74
4.3
Survey data and methodology
75
4.4
Risk behavior
78
4.5
Herd behavior
81
4.6
Home bias
86
4.7
Conclusions and outlook
93
5
Evidence for Italian Asset Managers on Overconfidence,
Risk Taking and Gender Differences
95
5.1
Motivation
95
5.2
The Italian mutual fund industry
98
5.3
Survey methodology and data
102
5.4
Asset managers' self-assessment
104
5.5
Asset managers'risk taking behavior
108
5.6
Italian asset managers in the tournament 111
5.7
Conclusions
113
Cross-Country Evidence
6
Asset Managers' Views and Behavior:
Does Culture Matter?
1
1
7
6.1
Motivation
117
6.2
Survey design and data
120
6.3
Common aspects in global asset management
123
6.4
Cross-cultural differences in global asset management
125
6.4.1
Individualism
125
6.4.2
Power Distance
130
6.4.3
Masculinity
-
Femininity
134
6.4.4
Uncertainty Avoidance
136
6.5
Discussion of cultural influences' possible implications
139
6.6
Concluding remarks and future prospects
141
Table
of
Contents 11
7 Wiil
Women be Women? Asset Managers' Struggle
between Nature and Incentives
143
7.1
Motivation
143
7.2
Data
145
7.3
Risk behavior
148
7.4
Overconfidence
152
7.5
Tournament
156
7.6
Conclusions
159
Annex
161
References
165
Asset managers have often been considered as key drivers behind financial
globalization. As they have been both praised as leaders of global financial
integration and blamed as originators of financial crises, any understanding of
the international financial markets
-
and financial crises among them
-
should
be based on a thorough understanding of its core actors, i.e. asset managers.
The contribution of this work is thus twofold: In its first part, it addresses
evidence from early warning systems and the role of fundamentals in financial
crises. With the help of macro-level data for
20
countries and based on a new
framework to assess the variety of contributions in this young field of research,
different models of early warning systems are reviewed, replicated and critically
tested for practical application. The work's second part turns the attention to
financial markets from a behavioral perspective. Individual asset managers'
views, perception and behavior are analyzed in detail with the help of a unique
micro-level data set, generated in an international survey project with
1,165
participating financial market professionals from six countries. In particular,
the role of professional asset managers' behavioral biases, risk taking, cultural
background, and gender differences are analyzed by both selected country
studies and cross-country evidence from mature and emerging markets.
Daniela
Beckmann
studied economics and management in Hannover and Gre¬
noble. During her time as research and teaching assistant at the Chair for Money
and International Finance at the Gottfried
Wilhelm
Leibniz
Universität
Hannover,
the author combined academic insights with practical application: Gained ex¬
perience ranges from Ph.D. studies at the University of Copenhagen to private
bank consultancy and work experience at the World Bank in Washington D.C.
The authors research interests lie in international financial markets, in particular
emerging markets, institutional investors, and development economics.
Daniela
Beckmann
received her Ph.D. from the Faculty of Economics and Management
at the Gottfried
Wilhelm
Leibniz
Universität
Hannover in
2007. |
| any_adam_object | 1 |
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| ctrlnum | (OCoLC)271897588 (DE-599)DNB986248029 |
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| discipline | Wirtschaftswissenschaften |
| discipline_str_mv | Wirtschaftswissenschaften |
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| genre | (DE-588)4113937-9 Hochschulschrift gnd-content |
| genre_facet | Hochschulschrift |
| id | DE-604.BV023250203 |
| illustrated | Illustrated |
| index_date | 2024-07-02T20:27:49Z |
| indexdate | 2024-07-09T21:14:07Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 9783631569559 3631569556 |
| language | English |
| oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-016435589 |
| oclc_num | 271897588 |
| open_access_boolean | |
| owner | DE-355 DE-BY-UBR DE-12 |
| owner_facet | DE-355 DE-BY-UBR DE-12 |
| physical | 181 S. graph. Darst. |
| publishDate | 2008 |
| publishDateSearch | 2008 |
| publishDateSort | 2008 |
| publisher | Lang |
| record_format | marc |
| series | Studien zu internationalen Wirtschaftsbeziehungen |
| series2 | Studien zu internationalen Wirtschaftsbeziehungen |
| spelling | Beckmann, Daniela 1978- Verfasser (DE-588)130576026 aut From early warning systems to asset managers' behavior evidence for mature and emerging markets Daniela Beckmann Frankfurt am Main [u.a.] Lang 2008 181 S. graph. Darst. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Studien zu internationalen Wirtschaftsbeziehungen 12 Zugl.: Hannover, Univ., Diss., 2007 Economic forecasting Financial crises International finance Frühwarnsystem (DE-588)4123236-7 gnd rswk-swf Investmentfonds (DE-588)4114047-3 gnd rswk-swf Anlageverhalten (DE-588)4214003-1 gnd rswk-swf Institutioneller Anleger (DE-588)4252195-6 gnd rswk-swf Prognoseverfahren (DE-588)4358095-6 gnd rswk-swf Kreditmarkt (DE-588)4073788-3 gnd rswk-swf (DE-588)4113937-9 Hochschulschrift gnd-content Kreditmarkt (DE-588)4073788-3 s Prognoseverfahren (DE-588)4358095-6 s Frühwarnsystem (DE-588)4123236-7 s Institutioneller Anleger (DE-588)4252195-6 s Investmentfonds (DE-588)4114047-3 s Anlageverhalten (DE-588)4214003-1 s DE-604 Studien zu internationalen Wirtschaftsbeziehungen 12 (DE-604)BV014252401 12 Digitalisierung UB Regensburg application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=016435589&sequence=000003&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis Digitalisierung UB Regensburg application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=016435589&sequence=000004&line_number=0002&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Klappentext |
| spellingShingle | Beckmann, Daniela 1978- From early warning systems to asset managers' behavior evidence for mature and emerging markets Studien zu internationalen Wirtschaftsbeziehungen Economic forecasting Financial crises International finance Frühwarnsystem (DE-588)4123236-7 gnd Investmentfonds (DE-588)4114047-3 gnd Anlageverhalten (DE-588)4214003-1 gnd Institutioneller Anleger (DE-588)4252195-6 gnd Prognoseverfahren (DE-588)4358095-6 gnd Kreditmarkt (DE-588)4073788-3 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4123236-7 (DE-588)4114047-3 (DE-588)4214003-1 (DE-588)4252195-6 (DE-588)4358095-6 (DE-588)4073788-3 (DE-588)4113937-9 |
| title | From early warning systems to asset managers' behavior evidence for mature and emerging markets |
| title_auth | From early warning systems to asset managers' behavior evidence for mature and emerging markets |
| title_exact_search | From early warning systems to asset managers' behavior evidence for mature and emerging markets |
| title_exact_search_txtP | From early warning systems to asset managers' behavior evidence for mature and emerging markets |
| title_full | From early warning systems to asset managers' behavior evidence for mature and emerging markets Daniela Beckmann |
| title_fullStr | From early warning systems to asset managers' behavior evidence for mature and emerging markets Daniela Beckmann |
| title_full_unstemmed | From early warning systems to asset managers' behavior evidence for mature and emerging markets Daniela Beckmann |
| title_short | From early warning systems to asset managers' behavior |
| title_sort | from early warning systems to asset managers behavior evidence for mature and emerging markets |
| title_sub | evidence for mature and emerging markets |
| topic | Economic forecasting Financial crises International finance Frühwarnsystem (DE-588)4123236-7 gnd Investmentfonds (DE-588)4114047-3 gnd Anlageverhalten (DE-588)4214003-1 gnd Institutioneller Anleger (DE-588)4252195-6 gnd Prognoseverfahren (DE-588)4358095-6 gnd Kreditmarkt (DE-588)4073788-3 gnd |
| topic_facet | Economic forecasting Financial crises International finance Frühwarnsystem Investmentfonds Anlageverhalten Institutioneller Anleger Prognoseverfahren Kreditmarkt Hochschulschrift |
| url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=016435589&sequence=000003&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=016435589&sequence=000004&line_number=0002&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
| volume_link | (DE-604)BV014252401 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT beckmanndaniela fromearlywarningsystemstoassetmanagersbehaviorevidenceformatureandemergingmarkets |