The only three questions that count: investing by knowing what others don't
Gespeichert in:
| 1. Verfasser: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Buch |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Hoboken, N.J.
John Wiley
2007
|
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Table of contents only Contributor biographical information Publisher description Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Beschreibung: | Includes bibliographical references (p. 411-420) and index |
| Beschreibung: | xxxii, 448 p. ill. 24 cm |
| ISBN: | 9780470074992 047007499X |
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| 264 | 1 | |a Hoboken, N.J. |b John Wiley |c 2007 | |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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| adam_text | CONTENTS
Acknowledgments ix
Foreword xiii
Preface xix
Who Am I to Tell You Something That Counts? xix
Idiots and Professionals: Oh, but I
Repeat Myself xxii
Because Mr. Crafty, It s Not a Craft xxvi
It s All Latin to Me Starting to Think like
a Scientist xxix
The Only Three Questions That Count xxx
1 Question One: What Do You Believe That
Is Actually False? 1
If You Knew It Was Wrong, You Wouldn t
Believe It 1
The Mythological Correlation 8
Always Look at It Differently 20
When You Are Really, Really Wrong 27
2 Question Two: What Can You Fathom That
Others Find Unfathomable? 37
Fathoming the Unfathomable 37
Ignore the Rock in the Bushes 38
v
vi Contents
Discounting the Media Machine and Advanced
Fad Avoidance 40
The Shocking Truth about Yield Curves 48
What the Yield Curve Is Trying to Tell You 63
The Presidential Term Cycle 72
3 Question Three: What the Heck Is My Brain
Doing to Blindside Me Now? 81
It s Not Your Fault Blame Evolution 81
Cracking the Stone Age Code—Pride and Regret 87
The Great Humiliator s Favorite Tricks 105
Get Your Head Out of the Cave 107
4 Capital Markets Technology 119
Building and Putting Capital Markets Technology
into Practice 119
It s Good while It Lasts 122
Forecast with Accuracy Not like a Professional 128
Better Living through Global Benchmarking 140
5 When There s No There, There! 165
Johns Hopkins, My Grampa, Life Lessons, and
Pulling a Gertrude 165
In the Center Ring—Oil versus Stocks 171
Sell in May because the January Effect Will
Dampen Your Santa Claus Rally Unless There
Is a Witching Effect 185
6 No, If s Just the Opposite 193
When You Are Wrong—Really, Really,
Really Wrong 193
Multiplier Effects and the Heroin Addicted
Apple iPod Borrower 202
Let s Trade This Deficit for That One 213
The New Gold Standard 222
Contents vii
7 Shocking but True 235
Supply and Demand ... and That s It 235
Weak Dollar, Strong Dollar What Does It Matter? 257
8 The Great Humiliator and Your Stone Age Brain 273
That Predictable Market 273
Anatomy of a Bubble 282
Some Basic Bear Rules 293
What Causes a Bear Market? 304
9 Putting It All Together 311
Stick with Your Strategy and Stick It to Him 311
Four Rules That Count 324
Finally! How to Pick Stocks That Only Win 343
When the Heck Do You Sell? 352
Conclusion 359
Transformationalism 360
Appendix A: U.S. Equity Total Returns 1830 to 1925 367
Appendix B: S P 500 Composite Returns 369
Appendix C: Simulated Technology Returns 375
Appendix D: Nasdaq Composite Returns 377
Appendix E: U.K. Stock Market Total Returns 381
Appendix F: U.K. Stock Market (FTSE All Share)
Total Returns 385
Appendix G: Germany Stock Market Returns 389
Appendix H: Germany Stock Market (DAX) Total Returns 393
Appendix I: Japan Stock Market Total Returns 397
viii Contents
Appendix J: Japan Stock Market (TOPIX) Total Returns 401
Appendix K: Fisher Investments Global Total Return
Performance 405
Appendix L: Ten Year History of the Forbes Report Card 407
Appendix M: The United Deficits: Data 409
Notes 411
Glossary 421
Index 431
|
| adam_txt |
CONTENTS
Acknowledgments ix
Foreword xiii
Preface xix
Who Am I to Tell You Something That Counts? xix
Idiots and Professionals: Oh, but I
Repeat Myself xxii
Because Mr. Crafty, It's Not a Craft xxvi
It's All Latin to Me Starting to Think like
a Scientist xxix
The Only Three Questions That Count xxx
1 Question One: What Do You Believe That
Is Actually False? 1
If You Knew It Was Wrong, You Wouldn't
Believe It 1
The Mythological Correlation 8
Always Look at It Differently 20
When You Are Really, Really Wrong 27
2 Question Two: What Can You Fathom That
Others Find Unfathomable? 37
Fathoming the Unfathomable 37
Ignore the Rock in the Bushes 38
v
vi Contents
Discounting the Media Machine and Advanced
Fad Avoidance 40
The Shocking Truth about Yield Curves 48
What the Yield Curve Is Trying to Tell You 63
The Presidential Term Cycle 72
3 Question Three: What the Heck Is My Brain
Doing to Blindside Me Now? 81
It's Not Your Fault Blame Evolution 81
Cracking the Stone Age Code—Pride and Regret 87
The Great Humiliator's Favorite Tricks 105
Get Your Head Out of the Cave 107
4 Capital Markets Technology 119
Building and Putting Capital Markets Technology
into Practice 119
It's Good while It Lasts 122
Forecast with Accuracy Not like a Professional 128
Better Living through Global Benchmarking 140
5 When There's No There, There! 165
Johns Hopkins, My Grampa, Life Lessons, and
Pulling a Gertrude 165
In the Center Ring—Oil versus Stocks 171
Sell in May because the January Effect Will
Dampen Your Santa Claus Rally Unless There
Is a Witching Effect 185
6 No, If s Just the Opposite 193
When You Are Wrong—Really, Really,
Really Wrong 193
Multiplier Effects and the Heroin Addicted
Apple iPod Borrower 202
Let's Trade This Deficit for That One 213
The New Gold Standard 222
Contents vii
7 Shocking but True 235
Supply and Demand . and That's It 235
Weak Dollar, Strong Dollar What Does It Matter? 257
8 The Great Humiliator and Your Stone Age Brain 273
That Predictable Market 273
Anatomy of a Bubble 282
Some Basic Bear Rules 293
What Causes a Bear Market? 304
9 Putting It All Together 311
Stick with Your Strategy and Stick It to Him 311
Four Rules That Count 324
Finally! How to Pick Stocks That Only Win 343
When the Heck Do You Sell? 352
Conclusion 359
Transformationalism 360
Appendix A: U.S. Equity Total Returns 1830 to 1925 367
Appendix B: S P 500 Composite Returns 369
Appendix C: Simulated Technology Returns 375
Appendix D: Nasdaq Composite Returns 377
Appendix E: U.K. Stock Market Total Returns 381
Appendix F: U.K. Stock Market (FTSE All Share)
Total Returns 385
Appendix G: Germany Stock Market Returns 389
Appendix H: Germany Stock Market (DAX) Total Returns 393
Appendix I: Japan Stock Market Total Returns 397
viii Contents
Appendix J: Japan Stock Market (TOPIX) Total Returns 401
Appendix K: Fisher Investments Global Total Return
Performance 405
Appendix L: Ten Year History of the Forbes Report Card 407
Appendix M: The United Deficits: Data 409
Notes 411
Glossary 421
Index 431 |
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| spelling | Fisher, Ken Verfasser aut The only three questions that count investing by knowing what others don't Kenneth L. Fisher with Jennifer Chou and Lara Hoffmans ; foreword by James J. Cramer Hoboken, N.J. John Wiley 2007 xxxii, 448 p. ill. 24 cm txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Includes bibliographical references (p. 411-420) and index Investeringen gtt Investments Speculation Anlagepolitik (DE-588)4206018-7 gnd rswk-swf Finanzanalyse (DE-588)4133000-6 gnd rswk-swf Investment Banking (DE-588)4200159-6 gnd rswk-swf Investment Banking (DE-588)4200159-6 s Anlagepolitik (DE-588)4206018-7 s Finanzanalyse (DE-588)4133000-6 s DE-604 Chou, Jennifer Sonstige oth Hoffmans, Lara Sonstige oth http://www.loc.gov/catdir/toc/fy0708/2006047097.html Table of contents only http://www.loc.gov/catdir/enhancements/fy0741/2006047097-b.html Contributor biographical information http://www.loc.gov/catdir/enhancements/fy0741/2006047097-d.html Publisher description HBZ Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=016244847&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Fisher, Ken The only three questions that count investing by knowing what others don't Investeringen gtt Investments Speculation Anlagepolitik (DE-588)4206018-7 gnd Finanzanalyse (DE-588)4133000-6 gnd Investment Banking (DE-588)4200159-6 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4206018-7 (DE-588)4133000-6 (DE-588)4200159-6 |
| title | The only three questions that count investing by knowing what others don't |
| title_auth | The only three questions that count investing by knowing what others don't |
| title_exact_search | The only three questions that count investing by knowing what others don't |
| title_exact_search_txtP | The only three questions that count investing by knowing what others don't |
| title_full | The only three questions that count investing by knowing what others don't Kenneth L. Fisher with Jennifer Chou and Lara Hoffmans ; foreword by James J. Cramer |
| title_fullStr | The only three questions that count investing by knowing what others don't Kenneth L. Fisher with Jennifer Chou and Lara Hoffmans ; foreword by James J. Cramer |
| title_full_unstemmed | The only three questions that count investing by knowing what others don't Kenneth L. Fisher with Jennifer Chou and Lara Hoffmans ; foreword by James J. Cramer |
| title_short | The only three questions that count |
| title_sort | the only three questions that count investing by knowing what others don t |
| title_sub | investing by knowing what others don't |
| topic | Investeringen gtt Investments Speculation Anlagepolitik (DE-588)4206018-7 gnd Finanzanalyse (DE-588)4133000-6 gnd Investment Banking (DE-588)4200159-6 gnd |
| topic_facet | Investeringen Investments Speculation Anlagepolitik Finanzanalyse Investment Banking |
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