Global risk: business success in turbulent times
In today's rapidly changing and increasingly complex business world, successful risk management is the key to survival and success. Business leaders are increasingly facing different kinds of risk, from those traditionally associated with the market- project risks, competitive risks, and curren...
Gespeichert in:
| Hauptverfasser: | , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Buch |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Basingstoke, Hampshire [u.a.]
Palgrave Macmillan
2007
|
| Ausgabe: | 1. publ. |
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Zusammenfassung: | In today's rapidly changing and increasingly complex business world, successful risk management is the key to survival and success. Business leaders are increasingly facing different kinds of risk, from those traditionally associated with the market- project risks, competitive risks, and currency risks, to a set of new, more hazardous threats. Businesses in the Twenty-First century face a range of global risks. These are having an increasingly large impact on the activities of individual firms. While ten or fifteen years ago, risks flowing from civil unrest, climate change, terrorism or pandemics had a very limited effect on business, this is no longer the case. Risks beyond the control of the firm affect businesses more than ever before. Risk is the business of business, and the fundamental job of executives is to anticipate change and manage it on the basis of an opinion about the future. Those who don't take and manage risks properly lose ground and are eventually driven out. |
| Beschreibung: | Hier auch später erschienene, unveränderte Nachdrucke |
| Beschreibung: | XVIII, 270 S. Ill., graph. Darst. |
| ISBN: | 9780230525313 0230525318 |
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| 520 | 3 | |a In today's rapidly changing and increasingly complex business world, successful risk management is the key to survival and success. Business leaders are increasingly facing different kinds of risk, from those traditionally associated with the market- project risks, competitive risks, and currency risks, to a set of new, more hazardous threats. Businesses in the Twenty-First century face a range of global risks. These are having an increasingly large impact on the activities of individual firms. While ten or fifteen years ago, risks flowing from civil unrest, climate change, terrorism or pandemics had a very limited effect on business, this is no longer the case. Risks beyond the control of the firm affect businesses more than ever before. Risk is the business of business, and the fundamental job of executives is to anticipate change and manage it on the basis of an opinion about the future. Those who don't take and manage risks properly lose ground and are eventually driven out. | |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
| _version_ | 1804137244932440064 |
|---|---|
| adam_text | Contents
List of figures vi
List of tables vii
Foreword by Klaus Schwab viii
Acknowledgments x
Introduction xii
Chapter 1 Today s risks are different: The impact of
global risks 1
1.1. An expanding range 1
1.2. Is today s world riskier than before? 6
1.3. The changing nature of risks An increasingly
turbulent world 9
1.3.1. Greater interconnectivity and interdependence 11
1.3.2. Asymmetry 12
1.3.3. Volatility 13
1.3.4. Time compression 14
1.3.5. Weak signals 15
1.4. Hurricane Katrina A distressingly effective example 16
Chapter 2 The idiosyncrasies of risk perception:
Why your risk is different from mine 21
2.1. The asymmetry of human choices: Why winning
$1,000 is not the same as losing it 23
2.2. Cognitive illusions: Why our ability to assess risk
gets distorted 24
2.2.1. Availability 25
2.2.2. Confirmation bias 26
2.2.3. Overconfidence 26
2.2.4. Anchoring 27
2.2.5. Representativeness 27
2.2.6. Cultural specificity 28
hi
iv Contents
2.3. The neuroeconomics of risk Emotions overpower reason! 29
2.3.1. Future rewards and time inconsistency 30
2.3.2. Fear of the unknown 31
2.3.3. Interpersonal trust 32
2.4. Conclusions 33
Chapter 3 The management of risk 36
3.1. Enterprise risk management What does a good
system look like? 39
3.2. Responsibilities of the board 42
3.3. Management s tasks 43
Chapter 4 Defining and assessing risk 44
4.1. Risk identification 44
4.2. Quantifying the risk: Risk assessment 47
4.3. Risk assessment tools 53
4.3.1. Assessing global risks 53
4.3.2. Quantitative tools for risk assessment 59
Chapter 5 Mitigating risk 66
5.1. Insurance The sound principle of risk sharing 67
5.1.1. Insurance and global risks 68
5.2. Other instruments to manage financial risk 71
5.2.1. Derivative instruments 71
5.2.2. Securitization 72
5.2.3. Alternative risk transfer instruments 72
5.3. Enterprise resilience The goal of risk management 73
Chapter 6 Communicating risk 82
6.1. The principles of risk communication 85
6.2. From risk perception to risk communication 88
6.3. Communicating in a crisis 91
Chapter 7 Managing global risks Four examples 96
7.1. Combating global terror 99
7.1.1. The wider jihad 104
7.1.2. Stabilizing the Middle East: A comprehensive
approach to peace 114
7.1.3. The financial risks of terrorism: Balancing public
and private roles 115
Contents v
7.2. Hedge funds and derivatives 117
7.3. Pandemics 120
7.3.1. Scenarios 122
7.3.2. So what do we do? 124
7.3.3. Global risk scenario A: Pandemic and its
discontents 124
7.3.4. HIV/AIDS 126
7.4. Climate change 127
7.4.1. Glaciers and icecaps 129
7.4.2. The global ecosystem 131
7.4.3. Conferences and conventions 133
7.4.4. Grappling with the consequences 136
7.4.5. Risk in context 137
Chapter 8 Pulling it together: Key success factors
(and reasons for failure ... ) 139
8.1. Embedding risk thinking in the corporate culture 141
8.2. Aligning risk assessment, risk management and risk
communication 141
8.3. Assessing the vulnerabilities 143
8.4. Building partnerships 145
8.5. Building and using knowledge and networks 147
8.6. Being aware of the cognitive biases 148
8.7. Puncturing denial Being prepared and acting fast 149
8.8. Displaying humility 152
Conclusion: Leadership and resilience 155
Appendix 1. The modern history of risk 158
Appendix 2. Global risk in historical and future perspectives 173
Notes 219
Bibliography 259
Index 263
List of figures
Figure 1.1 The increasing importance of
nonbusiness risks 4
Figure 1.2 An increasingly complex and turbulent world 11
Figure 2.1 Sources of fallacious assessment of risk 34
Figure 3.1a Risk management 38
Figure 3.1 b Risk management 39
Figure 4.1 The risk universe of the firm Four
layers of risks 45
Figure 4.2 The risk universe of the firm The four layers
unpacked 46
Figure 4.3 Assessing risk A first cut 50
Figure 4.4 The impact of volatility 51
Figure 4.5 Both probability and impact vary over time 52
Figure 4.5a Variation in probability of ten different
risks over the duration of the project 52
Figure 4.5b Variation in the anticipated impact of the
same risks over the duration of the project 53
Figure 5.1 Defining elements of the competitive
environment 79
Figure 7.1 Global risk barometer, WEF global risk network 97
Figure 7.2 A strategic response to global terrorism 112
Figure 7.3 Long value chain appropriate responses
to HIV/AIDS 128
Figure 8.1 Dealing effectively with risk 143
n
List of tables
Table 2.1 Heuristics as cognitive distortions 25
Table 4.1 Quantifying probability and impact An indicative
approach 49
Table 8.1 Key factors for success 140
vii
|
| adam_txt |
Contents
List of figures vi
List of tables vii
Foreword by Klaus Schwab viii
Acknowledgments x
Introduction xii
Chapter 1 Today's risks are different: The impact of
global risks 1
1.1. An expanding range 1
1.2. Is today's world riskier than before? 6
1.3. The changing nature of risks An increasingly
turbulent world 9
1.3.1. Greater interconnectivity and interdependence 11
1.3.2. Asymmetry 12
1.3.3. Volatility 13
1.3.4. Time compression 14
1.3.5. Weak signals 15
1.4. Hurricane Katrina A distressingly effective example 16
Chapter 2 The idiosyncrasies of risk perception:
Why your risk is different from mine 21
2.1. The asymmetry of human choices: Why winning
$1,000 is not the same as losing it 23
2.2. Cognitive illusions: Why our ability to assess risk
gets distorted 24
2.2.1. Availability 25
2.2.2. Confirmation bias 26
2.2.3. Overconfidence 26
2.2.4. Anchoring 27
2.2.5. Representativeness 27
2.2.6. Cultural specificity 28
hi
iv Contents
2.3. The neuroeconomics of risk Emotions overpower reason! 29
2.3.1. Future rewards and time inconsistency 30
2.3.2. Fear of the unknown 31
2.3.3. Interpersonal trust 32
2.4. Conclusions 33
Chapter 3 The management of risk 36
3.1. Enterprise risk management What does a good
system look like? 39
3.2. Responsibilities of the board 42
3.3. Management's tasks 43
Chapter 4 Defining and assessing risk 44
4.1. Risk identification 44
4.2. Quantifying the risk: Risk assessment 47
4.3. Risk assessment tools 53
4.3.1. Assessing global risks 53
4.3.2. Quantitative tools for risk assessment 59
Chapter 5 Mitigating risk 66
5.1. Insurance The sound principle of risk sharing 67
5.1.1. Insurance and global risks 68
5.2. Other instruments to manage financial risk 71
5.2.1. Derivative instruments 71
5.2.2. Securitization 72
5.2.3. Alternative risk transfer instruments 72
5.3. Enterprise resilience The goal of risk management 73
Chapter 6 Communicating risk 82
6.1. The principles of risk communication 85
6.2. From risk perception to risk communication 88
6.3. Communicating in a crisis 91
Chapter 7 Managing global risks Four examples 96
7.1. Combating global terror 99
7.1.1. The wider jihad 104
7.1.2. Stabilizing the Middle East: A comprehensive
approach to peace 114
7.1.3. The financial risks of terrorism: Balancing public
and private roles 115
Contents v
7.2. Hedge funds and derivatives 117
7.3. Pandemics 120
7.3.1. Scenarios 122
7.3.2. So what do we do? 124
7.3.3. Global risk scenario A: Pandemic and its
discontents 124
7.3.4. HIV/AIDS 126
7.4. Climate change 127
7.4.1. Glaciers and icecaps 129
7.4.2. The global ecosystem 131
7.4.3. Conferences and conventions 133
7.4.4. Grappling with the consequences 136
7.4.5. Risk in context 137
Chapter 8 Pulling it together: Key success factors
(and reasons for failure . ) 139
8.1. Embedding risk thinking in the corporate culture 141
8.2. Aligning risk assessment, risk management and risk
communication 141
8.3. Assessing the vulnerabilities 143
8.4. Building partnerships 145
8.5. Building and using knowledge and networks 147
8.6. Being aware of the cognitive biases 148
8.7. Puncturing denial Being prepared and acting fast 149
8.8. Displaying humility 152
Conclusion: Leadership and resilience 155
Appendix 1. The modern history of risk 158
Appendix 2. Global risk in historical and future perspectives 173
Notes 219
Bibliography 259
Index 263
List of figures
Figure 1.1 The increasing importance of
'nonbusiness' risks 4
Figure 1.2 An increasingly complex and turbulent world 11
Figure 2.1 Sources of fallacious assessment of risk 34
Figure 3.1a Risk management 38
Figure 3.1 b Risk management 39
Figure 4.1 The risk universe of the firm Four
layers of risks 45
Figure 4.2 The risk universe of the firm The four layers
unpacked 46
Figure 4.3 Assessing risk A first cut 50
Figure 4.4 The impact of volatility 51
Figure 4.5 Both probability and impact vary over time 52
Figure 4.5a Variation in probability of ten different
risks over the duration of the project 52
Figure 4.5b Variation in the anticipated impact of the
same risks over the duration of the project 53
Figure 5.1 Defining elements of the competitive
environment 79
Figure 7.1 Global risk barometer, WEF global risk network 97
Figure 7.2 A strategic response to global terrorism 112
Figure 7.3 Long value chain appropriate responses
to HIV/AIDS 128
Figure 8.1 Dealing effectively with risk 143
n
List of tables
Table 2.1 Heuristics as cognitive distortions 25
Table 4.1 Quantifying probability and impact An indicative
approach 49
Table 8.1 Key factors for success 140
vii |
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| id | DE-604.BV023023863 |
| illustrated | Illustrated |
| index_date | 2024-07-02T19:14:16Z |
| indexdate | 2024-07-09T21:09:13Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 9780230525313 0230525318 |
| language | English |
| oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-016227872 |
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| spelling | Cleary, Sean Verfasser (DE-588)1042741336 aut Global risk business success in turbulent times Seán Cleary and Thierry Malleret 1. publ. Basingstoke, Hampshire [u.a.] Palgrave Macmillan 2007 XVIII, 270 S. Ill., graph. Darst. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Hier auch später erschienene, unveränderte Nachdrucke In today's rapidly changing and increasingly complex business world, successful risk management is the key to survival and success. Business leaders are increasingly facing different kinds of risk, from those traditionally associated with the market- project risks, competitive risks, and currency risks, to a set of new, more hazardous threats. Businesses in the Twenty-First century face a range of global risks. These are having an increasingly large impact on the activities of individual firms. While ten or fifteen years ago, risks flowing from civil unrest, climate change, terrorism or pandemics had a very limited effect on business, this is no longer the case. Risks beyond the control of the firm affect businesses more than ever before. Risk is the business of business, and the fundamental job of executives is to anticipate change and manage it on the basis of an opinion about the future. Those who don't take and manage risks properly lose ground and are eventually driven out. Risk management Risikomanagement (DE-588)4121590-4 gnd rswk-swf Risikomanagement (DE-588)4121590-4 s DE-604 Malleret, Thierry 1961- Verfasser (DE-588)171221443 aut HBZ Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=016227872&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Cleary, Sean Malleret, Thierry 1961- Global risk business success in turbulent times Risk management Risikomanagement (DE-588)4121590-4 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4121590-4 |
| title | Global risk business success in turbulent times |
| title_auth | Global risk business success in turbulent times |
| title_exact_search | Global risk business success in turbulent times |
| title_exact_search_txtP | Global risk business success in turbulent times |
| title_full | Global risk business success in turbulent times Seán Cleary and Thierry Malleret |
| title_fullStr | Global risk business success in turbulent times Seán Cleary and Thierry Malleret |
| title_full_unstemmed | Global risk business success in turbulent times Seán Cleary and Thierry Malleret |
| title_short | Global risk |
| title_sort | global risk business success in turbulent times |
| title_sub | business success in turbulent times |
| topic | Risk management Risikomanagement (DE-588)4121590-4 gnd |
| topic_facet | Risk management Risikomanagement |
| url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=016227872&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
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