The emergence of numerical weather prediction: Richardson's dream
Gespeichert in:
| 1. Verfasser: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Buch |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Cambridge [u.a.]
Cambridge Univ. Press
2006
|
| Ausgabe: | 1. publ. |
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Publisher description Table of contents only Contributor biographical information Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Beschreibung: | XII, 279 S. Ill., graph. Darst., Kt., Portr. 26 cm |
| ISBN: | 0521857295 |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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| adam_text | THE EMERGENCE OF NUMERICAL WEATHER PREDICTION RICHARDSON S DREAM PETER
LYNCH UNIVERSITY COLLEGE DUBLIN CAMBRIDGE UNIVERSITY PRESS CONTENTS
GUIDING SIGNS PAGE VIII PREFACE IX ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS XI 1 WEATHER
PREDICTION BY NUMERICAL PROCESS 1 1.1 THE PROBLEM 1 1.2 VILHELM BJERKNES
AND SCIENTIFIC FORECASTING 4 1.3 OUTLINE OF RICHARDSON S LIFE AND WORK
10 1.4 THE ORIGIN OF WEATHER PREDICTION BY NUMERICAL PROCESS 14 1.5 .
OUTLINE OF THE CONTENTS OF WPNP 18 1.6 PREVIEW OF REMAINING CHAPTERS 25
2 THE FUNDAMENTAL EQUATIONS 29 2.1 RICHARDSON S GENERAL CIRCULATION
MODEL 30 2.2 THE BASIC EQUATIONS 31 2.3 THE VERTICAL VELOCITY EQUATION
39 2.4 TEMPERATURE IN THE STRATOSPHERE 42 2.5 PRESSURE CO-ORDINATES 44 3
THE OSCILLATIONS OF THE ATMOSPHERE 47 3.1 THE LAPLACE TIDAL EQUATIONS 48
3.2 NORMAL MODES OF THE ATMOSPHERE 49 3.3 ATMOSPHERIC TIDES 55 3.4
NUMERICAL SOLUTION OF THE LAPLACE TIDAL EQUATIONS 56 4 THE BAROTROPIC
FORECAST 6 3 4.1 RICHARDSON S MODEL AND DATA 63 4.2 THE FINITE
DIFFERENCE SCHEME 65 VI CONTENTS 4.3 RICHARDSON S CONCLUSIONS 68 4.4 THE
GLOBAL NUMERICAL MODEL 70 4.5 EXTENDING THE FORECAST 72 4.6
NON-DIVERGENT AND BALANCED INITIAL CONDITIONS 75 4.7 REFLECTIONS ON THE
SINGLE LAYER MODEL 77 5 THE SOLUTION ALGORITHM 79 5.1 THE FINITE
DIFFERENCE METHOD 79 5.2 INTEGRATION IN TIME 81 5.3 THE
COURANT-FRIEDRICHS-LEWY STABILITY CRITERION 85 5.4 THE RICHARDSON GRID
87 5.5 THE EQUATIONS FOR THE STRATA 89 5.6 THE COMPUTATIONAL ALGORITHM
92 6 OBSERVATIONS AND INITIAL FIELDS 97 6.1 AEROLOGICAL OBSERVATIONS 97
6.2 DINES METEOROGRAPH 100 6.3 THE LEIPZIG CHARTS 104 6.4 PREPARATION
OF THE INITIAL FIELDS 109 7 RICHARDSON S FORECAST 117 - 7.1 WHAT
RICHARDSON ACTUALLY PREDICTED: 20 NUMBERS 117 7.2 SCALING THE EQUATIONS
OF MOTION 120 7.3 ANALYSIS OF THE INITIAL TENDENCIES 125 7.4 THE CAUSES
OF THE FORECAST FAILURE 131 7.5 MAX MARGULES AND THE IMPOSSIBILITY OF
FORECASTING 133 8 BALANCE AND INITIALISATION 137 8.1 BALANCE IN THE
ATMOSPHERE 137 8.2 THE SLOW MANIFOLD 140 8.3 TECHNIQUES OF
INITIALISATION 142 8.4 THE SWINGING SPRING 146 8.5 DIGITAL FILTER
INITIALISATION 152 9 SMOOTHING THE FORECAST 159 9.1 RECONSTRUCTION OF
THE FORECAST 159 9.2 RICHARDSON S FIVE SMOOTHING METHODS 162 9.3 DIGITAL
FILTERING OF THE INITIAL DATA 164 9.4 EXTENSION OF THE FORECAST 175
CONTENTS VII 10 THE ENIAC INTEGRATIONS 181 10.1 THE METEOROLOGY PROJECT
182 10.2 THE FILTERED EQUATIONS 187 10.3 THE FIRST COMPUTER FORECAST 190
10.4 THE BAROTROPIC MODEL 196 10.5 MULTI-LEVEL MODELS 199 10.6 PRIMITIVE
EQUATION MODELS 202 10.7 GENERAL CIRCULATION MODELS AND CLIMATE
MODELLING 206 11 NUMERICAL WEATHER PREDICTION TODAY 209 11.1
OBSERVATIONAL DATA 209 11.2 OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS 213 11.3 PROGRESS IN
COMPUTING 219 11.4 THE EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR MEDIUM-RANGE WEATHER
FORECASTS 221 11.5 MESO-SCALE MODELLING 228 11.6 CHAOS, PREDICTABILITY
AND ENSEMBLE FORECASTING 231 12 FULFILMENT OF THE DREAM 243 12.1
RICHARDSON S EXPLANATION OF HIS GLARING ERROR 243 12.2 THE FORECAST
FACTORY 246 12.3 RICHARDSON S DREAM 248 APPENDIX 1 TABLE OF NOTATION
251 APPENDIX 2 MILESTONES IN RICHARDSON S LIFE AND CAREER 254 APPENDIX 3
LAPLACE TIDAL EQUATIONS: SEPARATION OF VARIABLES 256 APPENDIX 4
RICHARDSON S FORECAST FACTORY: THE $64 000 QUESTION 25 9 REFERENCES 262
INDEX 274
|
| adam_txt |
THE EMERGENCE OF NUMERICAL WEATHER PREDICTION RICHARDSON'S DREAM PETER
LYNCH UNIVERSITY COLLEGE DUBLIN CAMBRIDGE UNIVERSITY PRESS CONTENTS
GUIDING SIGNS PAGE VIII PREFACE IX ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS XI 1 WEATHER
PREDICTION BY NUMERICAL PROCESS 1 1.1 THE PROBLEM 1 1.2 VILHELM BJERKNES
AND SCIENTIFIC FORECASTING 4 1.3 OUTLINE OF RICHARDSON'S LIFE AND WORK
10 1.4 THE ORIGIN OF WEATHER PREDICTION BY NUMERICAL PROCESS 14 1.5 .
OUTLINE OF THE CONTENTS OF WPNP 18 1.6 PREVIEW OF REMAINING CHAPTERS 25
2 THE FUNDAMENTAL EQUATIONS 29 2.1 RICHARDSON'S GENERAL CIRCULATION
MODEL 30 2.2 THE BASIC EQUATIONS 31 2.3 THE VERTICAL VELOCITY EQUATION
39 2.4 TEMPERATURE IN THE STRATOSPHERE 42 2.5 PRESSURE CO-ORDINATES 44 3
THE OSCILLATIONS OF THE ATMOSPHERE 47 3.1 THE LAPLACE TIDAL EQUATIONS 48
3.2 NORMAL MODES OF THE ATMOSPHERE 49 3.3 ATMOSPHERIC TIDES 55 3.4
NUMERICAL SOLUTION OF THE LAPLACE TIDAL EQUATIONS 56 4 THE BAROTROPIC
FORECAST 6 3 4.1 RICHARDSON'S MODEL AND DATA 63 4.2 THE FINITE
DIFFERENCE SCHEME 65 VI CONTENTS 4.3 RICHARDSON'S CONCLUSIONS 68 4.4 THE
GLOBAL NUMERICAL MODEL 70 4.5 EXTENDING THE FORECAST 72 4.6
NON-DIVERGENT AND BALANCED INITIAL CONDITIONS 75 4.7 REFLECTIONS ON THE
SINGLE LAYER MODEL 77 5 THE SOLUTION ALGORITHM 79 5.1 THE FINITE
DIFFERENCE METHOD 79 5.2 INTEGRATION IN TIME 81 5.3 THE
COURANT-FRIEDRICHS-LEWY STABILITY CRITERION 85 5.4 THE RICHARDSON GRID
87 5.5 THE EQUATIONS FOR THE STRATA 89 5.6 THE COMPUTATIONAL ALGORITHM
92 6 OBSERVATIONS AND INITIAL FIELDS 97 6.1 AEROLOGICAL OBSERVATIONS 97
6.2 DINES' METEOROGRAPH 100 6.3 THE LEIPZIG CHARTS 104 6.4 PREPARATION
OF THE INITIAL FIELDS 109 7 RICHARDSON'S FORECAST 117 - 7.1 WHAT
RICHARDSON ACTUALLY PREDICTED: 20 NUMBERS 117 7.2 SCALING THE EQUATIONS
OF MOTION 120 7.3 ANALYSIS OF THE INITIAL TENDENCIES 125 7.4 THE CAUSES
OF THE FORECAST FAILURE 131 7.5 MAX MARGULES AND THE 'IMPOSSIBILITY' OF
FORECASTING 133 8 BALANCE AND INITIALISATION 137 8.1 BALANCE IN THE
ATMOSPHERE 137 8.2 THE SLOW MANIFOLD 140 8.3 TECHNIQUES OF
INITIALISATION 142 8.4 THE SWINGING SPRING 146 8.5 DIGITAL FILTER
INITIALISATION 152 9 SMOOTHING THE FORECAST 159 9.1 RECONSTRUCTION OF
THE FORECAST 159 9.2 RICHARDSON'S FIVE SMOOTHING METHODS 162 9.3 DIGITAL
FILTERING OF THE INITIAL DATA 164 9.4 EXTENSION OF THE FORECAST 175
CONTENTS VII 10 THE ENIAC INTEGRATIONS 181 10.1 THE'METEOROLOGY PROJECT'
182 10.2 THE FILTERED EQUATIONS 187 10.3 THE FIRST COMPUTER FORECAST 190
10.4 THE BAROTROPIC MODEL 196 10.5 MULTI-LEVEL MODELS 199 10.6 PRIMITIVE
EQUATION MODELS 202 10.7 GENERAL CIRCULATION MODELS AND CLIMATE
MODELLING 206 11 NUMERICAL WEATHER PREDICTION TODAY 209 11.1
OBSERVATIONAL DATA 209 11.2 OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS 213 11.3 PROGRESS IN
COMPUTING 219 11.4 THE EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR MEDIUM-RANGE WEATHER
FORECASTS 221 11.5 MESO-SCALE MODELLING 228 11.6 CHAOS, PREDICTABILITY
AND ENSEMBLE FORECASTING 231 12 FULFILMENT OF THE DREAM 243 12.1
RICHARDSON'S EXPLANATION OF HIS GLARING ERROR 243 12.2 THE'FORECAST
FACTORY' 246 12.3 RICHARDSON'S DREAM 248 APPENDIX 1 TABLE OF NOTATION
251 APPENDIX 2 MILESTONES IN RICHARDSON'S LIFE AND CAREER 254 APPENDIX 3
LAPLACE TIDAL EQUATIONS: SEPARATION OF VARIABLES 256 APPENDIX 4
RICHARDSON'S FORECAST FACTORY: THE $64 000 QUESTION 25 9 REFERENCES 262
INDEX 274 |
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| index_date | 2024-07-02T19:03:28Z |
| indexdate | 2024-07-09T21:08:33Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 0521857295 |
| language | English |
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| spelling | Lynch, Peter Verfasser aut The emergence of numerical weather prediction Richardson's dream Peter Lynch 1. publ. Cambridge [u.a.] Cambridge Univ. Press 2006 XII, 279 S. Ill., graph. Darst., Kt., Portr. 26 cm txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Richardson, Lewis Fry 1881-1953 Richardson, Lewis Fry 1881-1953 (DE-588)119163462 gnd rswk-swf Geschichte Weather forecasting History Numerische Wettervorhersage (DE-588)4268740-8 gnd rswk-swf Richardson, Lewis Fry 1881-1953 (DE-588)119163462 p Numerische Wettervorhersage (DE-588)4268740-8 s DE-604 http://www.loc.gov/catdir/enhancements/fy0707/2007295296-d.html Publisher description http://www.loc.gov/catdir/enhancements/fy0707/2007295296-t.html Table of contents only http://www.loc.gov/catdir/enhancements/fy0733/2007295296-b.html Contributor biographical information GBV Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=016161990&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Lynch, Peter The emergence of numerical weather prediction Richardson's dream Richardson, Lewis Fry 1881-1953 Richardson, Lewis Fry 1881-1953 (DE-588)119163462 gnd Geschichte Weather forecasting History Numerische Wettervorhersage (DE-588)4268740-8 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)119163462 (DE-588)4268740-8 |
| title | The emergence of numerical weather prediction Richardson's dream |
| title_auth | The emergence of numerical weather prediction Richardson's dream |
| title_exact_search | The emergence of numerical weather prediction Richardson's dream |
| title_exact_search_txtP | The emergence of numerical weather prediction Richardson's dream |
| title_full | The emergence of numerical weather prediction Richardson's dream Peter Lynch |
| title_fullStr | The emergence of numerical weather prediction Richardson's dream Peter Lynch |
| title_full_unstemmed | The emergence of numerical weather prediction Richardson's dream Peter Lynch |
| title_short | The emergence of numerical weather prediction |
| title_sort | the emergence of numerical weather prediction richardson s dream |
| title_sub | Richardson's dream |
| topic | Richardson, Lewis Fry 1881-1953 Richardson, Lewis Fry 1881-1953 (DE-588)119163462 gnd Geschichte Weather forecasting History Numerische Wettervorhersage (DE-588)4268740-8 gnd |
| topic_facet | Richardson, Lewis Fry 1881-1953 Geschichte Weather forecasting History Numerische Wettervorhersage |
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