Quantitative and empirical analysis of energy markets:
Gespeichert in:
| 1. Verfasser: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Buch |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Singapore [u.a.]
World Scientific Publ.
2007
|
| Schriftenreihe: | World scientific series on energy and resource economics
1 |
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Table of contents only Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Beschreibung: | Includes bibliographical references and index |
| Beschreibung: | XII, 291 S. graph. Darst. |
| ISBN: | 9789812704740 |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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| adam_text | CONTENTS FOREWORD XI PART 1: CRUDE OIL MARKETS 1 1 UNIT ROOT BEHAVIOR IN
ENERGY FUTURES PRICES 7 1.1 INTRODUCTION 7 1.2 DATA 8 1.3 EMPIRICAL
EVIDENCE 8 1.3.1 AUTOCORRELATION BASED TESTS 8 1.3.2 UNIVARIATE TESTS
FOR UNIT ROOTS 11 1.4 CONCLUSIONS 14 2 RATIONAL EXPECTATIONS, RISK, AND
EFFICIENCY IN ENERGY FUTURES MARKETS 15 2.1 INTRODUCTION 15 2.2
THEORETICAL FOUNDATIONS , 16 2.3 DATA 18 2.4 REGRESSION AND
COINTEGRATION TESTS 20 2.5 CONCLUSION 22 3 MATURITY EFFECTS IN ENERGY
FUTURES 23 3.1 INTRODUCTION 23 3.2 DATA AND THE MEASUREMENT OF FUTURES
PRICE VARIABILITY . . 24 3.3 EMPIRICAL RESULTS 25 3.4 CONCLUSION 37 4
BUSINESS CYCLES AND THE BEHAVIOR OF ENERGY PRICES 38 4.1 INTRODUCTION ,
38 4.2 THEORETICAL FOUNDATIONS 39 4.3 DATA 41 VI CONTENTS 4.4 TEST
RESULTS 41 4.5 CONCLUSION 43 5 A COINTEGRATION ANALYSIS OF PETROLEUM
FUTURES PRICES 46 5.1 INTRODUCTION 46 5.2 THE DATA AND STOCHASTIC TRENDS
47 5.3 ECONOMETRIC METHODOLOGY AND EMPIRICAL RESULTS . 50 5.4 CONCLUSION
54 PART 2: NATURAL GAS MARKETS 55 6 IS THERE AN EAST-WEST SPLIT IN NORTH
AMERICAN NATURAL GAS MARKETS? 59 6.1 INTRODUCTION 59 6.2 THE NORTH
AMERICAN NATURAL GAS SPOT MARKETS 60 6.3 THE DATA AND STOCHASTIC TRENDS
61 6.4 TEST METHODS (AND CAPABILITIES) AND RESULTS 66 6.5 CONCLUSION 72
7 BUSINESS CYCLES AND NATURAL GAS PRICES 73 7.1 INTRODUCTION . 73 7.2
THE STYLIZED FACTS 74 7.3 GRANGER CAUSALITY TESTS 77 7.4 CONCLUSION 80 8
FUTURES TRADING AND THE STORAGE OF NORTH AMERICAN NATURAL GAS 82 8.1
INTRODUCTION 82 8.2 TESTING THE THEORY OF STORAGE.. 83 8.3 THE DATA 84
8.4 EMPIRICAL RESULTS . , . 84 8.5 ROBUSTNESS 86 8.6 CONCLUSION 86 PART
3: ELECTRICITY MARKETS 89 9 POWER TRADE ON THE ALBERTA-BC
INTERCONNECTION 93 9.1 INTRODUCTION 93 9.2 WHOLESALE TRADE OF
ELECTRICITY: ECONOMIC AND PHYSICAL IMPLICATIONS . 94 9.3 THE
ALBERTA-BRITISH COLUMBIA INTERCONNECTION 96 CONTENTS VII 9.4 EMPIRICAL
ANALYSIS 97 9.5 AN RTO SCENARIO IN THE WESTERN REGION 99 9.6 CONCLUSION
101 10 IMPORTS, EXPORTS, AND PRICES IN ALBERTA S DEREGULATED POWER
MARKET 103 10.1 INTRODUCTION 103 10.2 THE ROLE OF IMPORTS AND EXPORTS
104 10.3 DATA 106 10.4 GRANGER CAUSALITY TESTS 108 10.5 EMPIRICAL
EVIDENCE 118 10.6 CONCLUSIONS 120 11 COINTEGRATION ANALYSIS OF POWER
PRICES IN THE WESTERN NORTH AMERICAN MARKETS 121 11.1 INTRODUCTION 121
11.2 LITERATURE REVIEW 122 11.3 THE DATA 124 11.4 TESTING FOR STOCHASTIC
TRENDS 129 11.5 TESTING FOR COINTEGRATION 131 11.6 ERROR CORRECTION
MODELING AND CAUSALITY TESTING 137 11.6.1 BIVARIATE GRANGER CAUSALITY
TESTS 137 11.6.2 TRIVARIATE GRANGER CAUSALITY TESTS 140 11.7 CONCLUSIONS
142 PART 4: CRUDE OIL, NATURAL GAS, AND ELECTRICITY MARKETS 145 12 THE
CYCLICAL BEHAVIOR OF MONTHLY NYMEX ENERGY PRICES 149 12.1 INTRODUCTION
149 12.2 METHODOLOGY 150 12.3 DATA AND RESULTS 151 12.4 CONCLUSION 154
13 THE MESSAGE IN NORTH AMERICAN ENERGY PRICES 156 13.1 INTRODUCTION 156
13.2 SOME BASIC FACTS , . . . 157 13.3 THE INTEGRATION PROPERTIES OF THE
VARIABLES 159 13.4 SHARED PRICE TRENDS 163 13.5 ERROR CORRECTION
ESTIMATES AND CAUSALITY TESTS 166 13.6 CONCLUSION 168 VIII CONTENTS 14
TESTING FOR COMMON FEATURES IN NORTH AMERICAN ENERGY MARKETS 172 14.1
INTRODUCTION 172 14.2 COMMON TRENDS AND COMMON CYCLES 174 14.2.1 COMMON
TRENDS 174 14.2.2 COMMON CYCLES 175 14.2.3 CODEPENDENT CYCLES 176 14.3
THE EVIDENCE 177 14.4 COMMON FEATURES IN NATURAL GAS MARKETS 183 14.5
CONCLUSION 187 PART 5: VOLATILITY MODELLING IN ENERGY MARKETS 189 15
RETURNS AND VOLATILITY IN THE NYMEX HENRY HUB NATURAL GAS FUTURES MARKET
193 15.1 INTRODUCTION 193 15.2 THE DATA 194 15.3 MODELING RETURNS 196
15.4 MODELING VOLATILITY . . , . . , . 199 15.5 CONCLUSION 202 16
MEASURING AND TESTING NATURAL GAS AND ELECTRICITY MARKETS VOLATILITY:
EVIDENCE FROM ALBERTA S DEREGULATED MARKETS 205 16.1 INTRODUCTION 205
16.2 THE DATA 206 16.3 THE MODEL 207 16.4 EMPIRICAL RESULTS 212 16.5
CONCLUSIONS 220 PART 6: CHAOS, FRACTALS, AND RANDOM MODULATIONS IN
ENERGY MARKETS 221 17 THE NORTH AMERICAN NATURAL GAS LIQUIDS MARKETS ARE
CHAOTIC 225 17.1 INTRODUCTION . 225 17.2 BACKGROUND 227 17.3 BASIC FACTS
AND INTEGRATION TESTS 228 17.4 TESTS FOR CHAOS 232 17.5 EMPIRICAL
RESULTS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 234 17.6 CONCLUSION 244
CONTENTS IX 18 RANDO M FRACTAL STRUCTURES IN NORTH AMERICAN ENERGY
MARKETS 245 18.1 INTRODUCTION 245 18.2 DATA AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS 246
18.2.1 THE ABOVE AND BELOW TEST FOR RANDOMNESS 246 18.2.2 THE HURST TEST
248 18.3 A FRACTAL NOISE MODEL 249 18.3.1 THE POWER SPECTRUM 250 18.3.2
THE STRUCTURE FUNCTION TEST 250 18.4 A MULTIFRACTAL DATA ANALYSIS 253
18.5 ON TURBULENT BEHAVIOR 254 18.6 CONCLUSION 255 19 RANDOMLY MODULATED
PERIODIC SIGNALS IN ALBERTA S ELECTRICITY MARKET 256 19.1 INTRODUCTION ,
256 19.2 RANDOMLY MODULATED PERIODICITY 257 19.3 SIGNAL COHERENCE
SPECTRUM 259 19.4 ALBERTA S POWER MARKET 260 19.5 RMP IN ALBERTA S POWER
MARKET 262 19.6 CONCLUSION 267 BIBLIOGRAPHY 269 AUTHOR INDEX 283 TOPIC
INDEX 287 PPN: 263883469 TITEL: QUANTITATIVE AND EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS OF
ENERGY MARKETS / APOSTOLOS SERLETIS. - SINGAPORE : WORLD SCIENTIFIC
PUBL., 2007 ISBN: 978-981-270-474-0 BIBLIOGRAPHISCHER DATENSATZ IM
SWB-VERBUND
|
| adam_txt |
CONTENTS FOREWORD XI PART 1: CRUDE OIL MARKETS 1 1 UNIT ROOT BEHAVIOR IN
ENERGY FUTURES PRICES 7 1.1 INTRODUCTION 7 1.2 DATA 8 1.3 EMPIRICAL
EVIDENCE 8 1.3.1 AUTOCORRELATION BASED TESTS 8 1.3.2 UNIVARIATE TESTS
FOR UNIT ROOTS 11 1.4 CONCLUSIONS 14 2 RATIONAL EXPECTATIONS, RISK, AND
EFFICIENCY IN ENERGY FUTURES MARKETS 15 2.1 INTRODUCTION 15 2.2
THEORETICAL FOUNDATIONS , 16 2.3 DATA 18 2.4 REGRESSION AND
COINTEGRATION TESTS 20 2.5 CONCLUSION 22 3 MATURITY EFFECTS IN ENERGY
FUTURES 23 3.1 INTRODUCTION 23 3.2 DATA AND THE MEASUREMENT OF FUTURES
PRICE VARIABILITY . . 24 3.3 EMPIRICAL RESULTS 25 3.4 CONCLUSION 37 4
BUSINESS CYCLES AND THE BEHAVIOR OF ENERGY PRICES 38 4.1 INTRODUCTION ,
38 4.2 THEORETICAL FOUNDATIONS 39 4.3 DATA 41 VI CONTENTS 4.4 TEST
RESULTS 41 4.5 CONCLUSION 43 5 A COINTEGRATION ANALYSIS OF PETROLEUM
FUTURES PRICES 46 5.1 INTRODUCTION 46 5.2 THE DATA AND STOCHASTIC TRENDS
47 5.3 ECONOMETRIC METHODOLOGY AND EMPIRICAL RESULTS . 50 5.4 CONCLUSION
54 PART 2: NATURAL GAS MARKETS 55 6 IS THERE AN EAST-WEST SPLIT IN NORTH
AMERICAN NATURAL GAS MARKETS? 59 6.1 INTRODUCTION 59 6.2 THE NORTH
AMERICAN NATURAL GAS SPOT MARKETS 60 6.3 THE DATA AND STOCHASTIC TRENDS
61 6.4 TEST METHODS (AND CAPABILITIES) AND RESULTS 66 6.5 CONCLUSION 72
7 BUSINESS CYCLES AND NATURAL GAS PRICES 73 7.1 INTRODUCTION . 73 7.2
THE STYLIZED FACTS 74 7.3 GRANGER CAUSALITY TESTS 77 7.4 CONCLUSION 80 8
FUTURES TRADING AND THE STORAGE OF NORTH AMERICAN NATURAL GAS 82 8.1
INTRODUCTION 82 8.2 TESTING THE THEORY OF STORAGE. 83 8.3 THE DATA 84
8.4 EMPIRICAL RESULTS . , . 84 8.5 ROBUSTNESS 86 8.6 CONCLUSION 86 PART
3: ELECTRICITY MARKETS 89 9 POWER TRADE ON THE ALBERTA-BC
INTERCONNECTION 93 9.1 INTRODUCTION 93 9.2 WHOLESALE TRADE OF
ELECTRICITY: ECONOMIC AND PHYSICAL IMPLICATIONS . 94 9.3 THE
ALBERTA-BRITISH COLUMBIA INTERCONNECTION 96 CONTENTS VII 9.4 EMPIRICAL
ANALYSIS 97 9.5 AN RTO SCENARIO IN THE WESTERN REGION 99 9.6 CONCLUSION
101 10 IMPORTS, EXPORTS, AND PRICES IN ALBERTA'S DEREGULATED POWER
MARKET 103 10.1 INTRODUCTION 103 10.2 THE ROLE OF IMPORTS AND EXPORTS
104 10.3 DATA 106 10.4 GRANGER CAUSALITY TESTS 108 10.5 EMPIRICAL
EVIDENCE 118 10.6 CONCLUSIONS 120 11 COINTEGRATION ANALYSIS OF POWER
PRICES IN THE WESTERN NORTH AMERICAN MARKETS 121 11.1 INTRODUCTION 121
11.2 LITERATURE REVIEW 122 11.3 THE DATA 124 11.4 TESTING FOR STOCHASTIC
TRENDS 129 11.5 TESTING FOR COINTEGRATION 131 11.6 ERROR CORRECTION
MODELING AND CAUSALITY TESTING 137 11.6.1 BIVARIATE GRANGER CAUSALITY
TESTS 137 11.6.2 TRIVARIATE GRANGER CAUSALITY TESTS 140 11.7 CONCLUSIONS
142 PART 4: CRUDE OIL, NATURAL GAS, AND ELECTRICITY MARKETS 145 12 THE
CYCLICAL BEHAVIOR OF MONTHLY NYMEX ENERGY PRICES 149 12.1 INTRODUCTION
149 12.2 METHODOLOGY 150 12.3 DATA AND RESULTS 151 12.4 CONCLUSION 154
13 THE MESSAGE IN NORTH AMERICAN ENERGY PRICES 156 13.1 INTRODUCTION 156
13.2 SOME BASIC FACTS , . . . 157 13.3 THE INTEGRATION PROPERTIES OF THE
VARIABLES 159 13.4 SHARED PRICE TRENDS 163 13.5 ERROR CORRECTION
ESTIMATES AND CAUSALITY TESTS 166 13.6 CONCLUSION 168 VIII CONTENTS 14
TESTING FOR COMMON FEATURES IN NORTH AMERICAN ENERGY MARKETS 172 14.1
INTRODUCTION 172 14.2 COMMON TRENDS AND COMMON CYCLES 174 14.2.1 COMMON
TRENDS 174 14.2.2 COMMON CYCLES 175 14.2.3 CODEPENDENT CYCLES 176 14.3
THE EVIDENCE 177 14.4 COMMON FEATURES IN NATURAL GAS MARKETS 183 14.5
CONCLUSION 187 PART 5: VOLATILITY MODELLING IN ENERGY MARKETS 189 15
RETURNS AND VOLATILITY IN THE NYMEX HENRY HUB NATURAL GAS FUTURES MARKET
193 15.1 INTRODUCTION 193 15.2 THE DATA 194 15.3 MODELING RETURNS 196
15.4 MODELING VOLATILITY . . , . . , . 199 15.5 CONCLUSION 202 16
MEASURING AND TESTING NATURAL GAS AND ELECTRICITY MARKETS VOLATILITY:
EVIDENCE FROM ALBERTA'S DEREGULATED MARKETS 205 16.1 INTRODUCTION 205
16.2 THE DATA 206 16.3 THE MODEL 207 16.4 EMPIRICAL RESULTS 212 16.5
CONCLUSIONS 220 PART 6: CHAOS, FRACTALS, AND RANDOM MODULATIONS IN
ENERGY MARKETS 221 17 THE NORTH AMERICAN NATURAL GAS LIQUIDS MARKETS ARE
CHAOTIC 225 17.1 INTRODUCTION . 225 17.2 BACKGROUND 227 17.3 BASIC FACTS
AND INTEGRATION TESTS 228 17.4 TESTS FOR CHAOS 232 17.5 EMPIRICAL
RESULTS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 234 17.6 CONCLUSION 244
CONTENTS IX 18 RANDO M FRACTAL STRUCTURES IN NORTH AMERICAN ENERGY
MARKETS 245 18.1 INTRODUCTION 245 18.2 DATA AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS 246
18.2.1 THE ABOVE AND BELOW TEST FOR RANDOMNESS 246 18.2.2 THE HURST TEST
248 18.3 A FRACTAL NOISE MODEL 249 18.3.1 THE POWER SPECTRUM 250 18.3.2
THE STRUCTURE FUNCTION TEST 250 18.4 A MULTIFRACTAL DATA ANALYSIS 253
18.5 ON TURBULENT BEHAVIOR 254 18.6 CONCLUSION 255 19 RANDOMLY MODULATED
PERIODIC SIGNALS IN ALBERTA'S ELECTRICITY MARKET 256 19.1 INTRODUCTION ,
256 19.2 RANDOMLY MODULATED PERIODICITY 257 19.3 SIGNAL COHERENCE
SPECTRUM 259 19.4 ALBERTA'S POWER MARKET 260 19.5 RMP IN ALBERTA'S POWER
MARKET 262 19.6 CONCLUSION 267 BIBLIOGRAPHY 269 AUTHOR INDEX 283 TOPIC
INDEX 287 PPN: 263883469 TITEL: QUANTITATIVE AND EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS OF
ENERGY MARKETS / APOSTOLOS SERLETIS. - SINGAPORE : WORLD SCIENTIFIC
PUBL., 2007 ISBN: 978-981-270-474-0 BIBLIOGRAPHISCHER DATENSATZ IM
SWB-VERBUND |
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| index_date | 2024-07-02T18:13:09Z |
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| series | World scientific series on energy and resource economics |
| series2 | World scientific series on energy and resource economics |
| spelling | Serletis, Apostolos Verfasser aut Quantitative and empirical analysis of energy markets Apostolos Serletis Energy markets Singapore [u.a.] World Scientific Publ. 2007 XII, 291 S. graph. Darst. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier World scientific series on energy and resource economics 1 Includes bibliographical references and index Ökonometrisches Modell Energy industries Econometric models Energiemarkt (DE-588)4014712-5 gnd rswk-swf Energiewirtschaft (DE-588)4014743-5 gnd rswk-swf Ökonometrisches Modell (DE-588)4043212-9 gnd rswk-swf Energiemarkt (DE-588)4014712-5 s Ökonometrisches Modell (DE-588)4043212-9 s DE-604 Energiewirtschaft (DE-588)4014743-5 s World scientific series on energy and resource economics 1 (DE-604)BV023249787 1 http://www.loc.gov/catdir/toc/ecip0711/2007005203.html Table of contents only SWB Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=015756215&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Serletis, Apostolos Quantitative and empirical analysis of energy markets World scientific series on energy and resource economics Ökonometrisches Modell Energy industries Econometric models Energiemarkt (DE-588)4014712-5 gnd Energiewirtschaft (DE-588)4014743-5 gnd Ökonometrisches Modell (DE-588)4043212-9 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4014712-5 (DE-588)4014743-5 (DE-588)4043212-9 |
| title | Quantitative and empirical analysis of energy markets |
| title_alt | Energy markets |
| title_auth | Quantitative and empirical analysis of energy markets |
| title_exact_search | Quantitative and empirical analysis of energy markets |
| title_exact_search_txtP | Quantitative and empirical analysis of energy markets |
| title_full | Quantitative and empirical analysis of energy markets Apostolos Serletis |
| title_fullStr | Quantitative and empirical analysis of energy markets Apostolos Serletis |
| title_full_unstemmed | Quantitative and empirical analysis of energy markets Apostolos Serletis |
| title_short | Quantitative and empirical analysis of energy markets |
| title_sort | quantitative and empirical analysis of energy markets |
| topic | Ökonometrisches Modell Energy industries Econometric models Energiemarkt (DE-588)4014712-5 gnd Energiewirtschaft (DE-588)4014743-5 gnd Ökonometrisches Modell (DE-588)4043212-9 gnd |
| topic_facet | Ökonometrisches Modell Energy industries Econometric models Energiemarkt Energiewirtschaft |
| url | http://www.loc.gov/catdir/toc/ecip0711/2007005203.html http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=015756215&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
| volume_link | (DE-604)BV023249787 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT serletisapostolos quantitativeandempiricalanalysisofenergymarkets AT serletisapostolos energymarkets |