European energy futures 2030: technology and social visions from the European energy Delphi survey
Gespeichert in:
| Format: | Buch |
|---|---|
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Berlin [u.a.]
Springer
2007
|
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltstext Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Beschreibung: | Literaturverz. S. 109 - 112 |
| Beschreibung: | XXXII, 231 S. graph. Darst. 24 cm |
| ISBN: | 9783540691648 |
Internformat
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| 648 | 7 | |a Prognose 2010-2030 |2 gnd |9 rswk-swf | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Energy consumption |z Europe |x Forecasting | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Energy industries |z Europe |x Forecasting | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Power resources |z Europe |x Forecasting | |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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| adam_text |
Contents
Foreword .v
Acknowledgements.vii
Contents .ix
Authors’ Index.xv
Summary .xvii
Scope of EurEnDel.xvii
19 Technology Trends.xviii
Three Societal Visions.xxiii
Assessment of Results.xxiv
Europe’s Energy Future in 2030 - Three Scenarios.xxvi
Conclusions and Policy Recommendations.xxvii
1. Introduction.1
2. Outline of the Report.3
3. Methodological Approach of EurEnDel.5
3.1. Outline of the project.5
3.2. Basic Assumptions.8
3.3. EurEnDel’s Search for a Multitude of Futures.9
3.4. Design of the Delphi Questionnaire.10
15
16
19
20
27
31
33
36
38
41
43
47
.47
.48
.53
53
54
56
61
65
67
69
75
79
Main Survey Results.
General remarks.
Technology Statements.
Time of Occurrence.
Impact Assessment.
Actions Needed.
Wildcards.
Societal Visions.
Major Findings on Technologies and Energy Sources
Major Findings on Instruments and Innovations.
Country Specific Analysis.
Quantitative Co-Assessment.
Reference Studies.
Comparison of Results.
Comparison of Social and Technological
Perspectives.
Introduction.
Possible sources of divergences in the evaluation of
the statements.
The “Preferences” of the three Societal Visions for
the Technology Statements.
Preferences of the Societal Visions for Technologies
and “feasibility gaps”.
Main Conclusions.
EurEnDel Scenarios.
Change of Paradigm.
Fossil Fuel Wars.
Muddling Through Across the Gas Bridge.
Contents xi
6.4. Comments on the Scenarios.82
6.4.1. Alternative Pathways.82
6.4.2. Comparison to Quantitative Forecasting.83
6.4.3. Quantitative C02 Emission Classification of the
Scenarios.83
7. Policy Recommendations.85
7.1. “Safe Bet"’ and “Conditional” Technologies.86
7.2. Comparative Analysis of R D Priorities.89
7.3. In-depth Analysis of Results and Recommendations.91
7.3.1. Energy Demand.91
7.3.2. Transport.93
7.3.3. Energy Storage and Grids.94
7.3.4. Energy Supply.98
7.4. Conclusions.103
8. References.109
9. Annex A ֊ Evaluation of former foresight studies.113
10. Annex B - Tables with Results from 1st and 2nd
Survey Round.129
10.1. Raw Data Technological Statements.129
10.2. Raw Data Wild cards.136
10.3. Raw Data Societal Visions.137
10.4. Definition of Terms.139
11. Annex C - Country Specific Analysis.141
11.1. Respondents by Country.142
11.2. Other Background Variables.144
11.3. Time of Occurrence.147
xii Contents
11.3.1. Country Specific Analysis ֊ Germany, Spain, Poland.14'
11.3.2. “Germany, Spain, Poland” vs. “Rest of World”.162
11.4. Impact Assessments.166
11.4.1. Country specific analysis ~ Gennany, Spain, Poland.166
11.4.2. Europe vs. the World.169
11.5. Societal Visions.171
11.6. Summary.174
12. Annex D ֊ Correspondence Factors.179
12.1. Relations between Societal Visions and Social
Impacts.179
12.2. Relations between Policies and Actions.180
12.3. Relations between Technologies and Statements.180
13. Annex E - Graphs on Delphi results.183
13.1. Impact Assessment.183
13.1.1. Impact on Wealth Creation.183
13.1.2. Impact on Environment.184
13.1.3. Impact on Quality of Life.185
13.1.4. Impact on Security of Supply.186
13.2. Actions Needed.187
13.3. Wildcards.190
13.4. Societal Visions.192
13.4.1. Vision 1 - Individual Choice.192
13.4.2. Vision 2֊ Ecological Balance.192
13.4.3. Vision 3 - Social Equity.193
14. Annex F ֊ Description of Societal Visions.195
14.1. Vision I ֊ Individual Choice.195
14.2. Vision II - Ecological balance.196
Contents xiii
14.3. Vision III ֊ Social equity.197
15. Annex Ci - Evaluation of Comments.199
15.1. Comments on Statements.199
15.2. Comments on Wildeards.219
15.3. Comments on Visions.220
16. Annex H - Statement list - short term descriptions. 229 |
| adam_txt |
Contents
Foreword .v
Acknowledgements.vii
Contents .ix
Authors’ Index.xv
Summary .xvii
Scope of EurEnDel.xvii
19 Technology Trends.xviii
Three Societal Visions.xxiii
Assessment of Results.xxiv
Europe’s Energy Future in 2030 - Three Scenarios.xxvi
Conclusions and Policy Recommendations.xxvii
1. Introduction.1
2. Outline of the Report.3
3. Methodological Approach of EurEnDel.5
3.1. Outline of the project.5
3.2. Basic Assumptions.8
3.3. EurEnDel’s Search for a Multitude of Futures.9
3.4. Design of the Delphi Questionnaire.10
15
16
19
20
27
31
33
36
38
41
43
47
.47
.48
.53
53
54
56
61
65
67
69
75
79
Main Survey Results.
General remarks.
Technology Statements.
Time of Occurrence.
Impact Assessment.
Actions Needed.
Wildcards.
Societal Visions.
Major Findings on Technologies and Energy Sources
Major Findings on Instruments and Innovations.
Country Specific Analysis.
Quantitative Co-Assessment.
Reference Studies.
Comparison of Results.
Comparison of Social and Technological
Perspectives.
Introduction.
Possible sources of divergences in the evaluation of
the statements.
The “Preferences” of the three Societal Visions for
the Technology Statements.
Preferences of the Societal Visions for Technologies
and “feasibility gaps”.
Main Conclusions.
EurEnDel Scenarios.
Change of Paradigm.
Fossil Fuel Wars.
Muddling Through Across the Gas Bridge.
Contents xi
6.4. Comments on the Scenarios.82
6.4.1. Alternative Pathways.82
6.4.2. Comparison to Quantitative Forecasting.83
6.4.3. Quantitative C02 Emission Classification of the
Scenarios.83
7. Policy Recommendations.85
7.1. “Safe Bet"’ and “Conditional” Technologies.86
7.2. Comparative Analysis of R D Priorities.89
7.3. In-depth Analysis of Results and Recommendations.91
7.3.1. Energy Demand.91
7.3.2. Transport.93
7.3.3. Energy Storage and Grids.94
7.3.4. Energy Supply.98
7.4. Conclusions.103
8. References.109
9. Annex A ֊ Evaluation of former foresight studies.113
10. Annex B - Tables with Results from 1st and 2nd
Survey Round.129
10.1. Raw Data Technological Statements.129
10.2. Raw Data Wild cards.136
10.3. Raw Data Societal Visions.137
10.4. Definition of Terms.139
11. Annex C - Country Specific Analysis.141
11.1. Respondents by Country.142
11.2. Other Background Variables.144
11.3. Time of Occurrence.147
xii Contents
11.3.1. Country Specific Analysis ֊ Germany, Spain, Poland.14'
11.3.2. “Germany, Spain, Poland” vs. “Rest of World”.162
11.4. Impact Assessments.166
11.4.1. Country specific analysis ~ Gennany, Spain, Poland.166
11.4.2. Europe vs. the World.169
11.5. Societal Visions.171
11.6. Summary.174
12. Annex D ֊ Correspondence Factors.179
12.1. Relations between Societal Visions and Social
Impacts.179
12.2. Relations between Policies and Actions.180
12.3. Relations between Technologies and Statements.180
13. Annex E - Graphs on Delphi results.183
13.1. Impact Assessment.183
13.1.1. Impact on Wealth Creation.183
13.1.2. Impact on Environment.184
13.1.3. Impact on Quality of Life.185
13.1.4. Impact on Security of Supply.186
13.2. Actions Needed.187
13.3. Wildcards.190
13.4. Societal Visions.192
13.4.1. Vision 1 - Individual Choice.192
13.4.2. Vision 2֊ Ecological Balance.192
13.4.3. Vision 3 - Social Equity.193
14. Annex F ֊ Description of Societal Visions.195
14.1. Vision I ֊ Individual Choice.195
14.2. Vision II - Ecological balance.196
Contents xiii
14.3. Vision III ֊ Social equity.197
15. Annex Ci - Evaluation of Comments.199
15.1. Comments on Statements.199
15.2. Comments on Wildeards.219
15.3. Comments on Visions.220
16. Annex H - Statement list - short term descriptions. 229 |
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| index_date | 2024-07-02T17:40:59Z |
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| spellingShingle | European energy futures 2030 technology and social visions from the European energy Delphi survey Energy consumption Europe Forecasting Energy industries Europe Forecasting Power resources Europe Forecasting Energieverbrauch (DE-588)4014733-2 gnd Energiewirtschaft (DE-588)4014743-5 gnd Energiequelle (DE-588)4014720-4 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4014733-2 (DE-588)4014743-5 (DE-588)4014720-4 (DE-588)4015701-5 (DE-588)4143413-4 |
| title | European energy futures 2030 technology and social visions from the European energy Delphi survey |
| title_auth | European energy futures 2030 technology and social visions from the European energy Delphi survey |
| title_exact_search | European energy futures 2030 technology and social visions from the European energy Delphi survey |
| title_exact_search_txtP | European energy futures 2030 technology and social visions from the European energy Delphi survey |
| title_full | European energy futures 2030 technology and social visions from the European energy Delphi survey Timon Wehnert ... |
| title_fullStr | European energy futures 2030 technology and social visions from the European energy Delphi survey Timon Wehnert ... |
| title_full_unstemmed | European energy futures 2030 technology and social visions from the European energy Delphi survey Timon Wehnert ... |
| title_short | European energy futures 2030 |
| title_sort | european energy futures 2030 technology and social visions from the european energy delphi survey |
| title_sub | technology and social visions from the European energy Delphi survey |
| topic | Energy consumption Europe Forecasting Energy industries Europe Forecasting Power resources Europe Forecasting Energieverbrauch (DE-588)4014733-2 gnd Energiewirtschaft (DE-588)4014743-5 gnd Energiequelle (DE-588)4014720-4 gnd |
| topic_facet | Energy consumption Europe Forecasting Energy industries Europe Forecasting Power resources Europe Forecasting Energieverbrauch Energiewirtschaft Energiequelle Europa Aufsatzsammlung |
| url | http://deposit.dnb.de/cgi-bin/dokserv?id=2887116&prov=M&dok_var=1&dok_ext=htm http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=015670205&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT wehnerttimon europeanenergyfutures2030technologyandsocialvisionsfromtheeuropeanenergydelphisurvey |