Holdings: Advances in decision analysis

Advances in decision analysis: from foundations to applications

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Bibliographic Details
Format:	Book
Language:	English
Published:	Cambridge [u.a.] Cambridge Univ. Press 2007
Edition:	1. ed.
Subjects:	Besliskunde Prise de décision Systèmes d'aide à la décision Théorie de la décision Decision making Entscheidungstheorie Aufsatzsammlung
Online Access:	Table of contents only Publisher description Inhaltsverzeichnis
Item Description:	Includes bibliographical references and index
Physical Description:	XV, 623 S. graph. Darst.
ISBN:	9780521863681 0521863686 9780521682305 0521682304

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MARC


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Record in the Search Index

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adam_text	Contents List of Contributors page ix Preface xi 1 Introduction 1 Ward Edwards, Ralph F Miles, Jr., and Detlofvon Winterfeldt PART I. HISTORY AND FOUNDATIONS OF DECISION ANALYSIS 2 The Emergence of Decision Analysis 13 Ralph F Miles, Jr. 3 The Foundations of Decision Analysis Revisited 32 Ronald A. Howard 4 Decision Analysis: A Personal Account of How It Got Started and Evolved 57 Howard Raiffa 5 Reflections on the Contributions of Ward Edwards to Decision Analysis and Behavioral Research 71 Lawrence D. Phillips and Detlofvon Winterfeldt PART II. STRUCTURING DECISION PROBLEMS 6 Defining a Decision Analytic Structure 81 Detlofvon Winterfeldt and Ward Edwards 7 Developing Objectives and Attributes 104 Ralph L. Keeney PART III. PROBABILITIES AND BAYES NETS 8 Eliciting Probabilities from Experts 129 Stephen C. Hora 9 Aggregating Probability Distributions 154 Robert T. Clemen and Robert L. Winkler 10 Model Building with Belief Networks and Influence Diagrams 177 Ross D. Shachter 11 A Bayesian Approach to Learning Causal Networks 202 David Heckerman vi Contents PART IV. UTILITIES 12 Utility and Risk Preferences 221 David E. Bell 13 Practical Value Models 232 Ralph L. Keeney and Detlof von Winterfeldt 14 Extensions of the Subjective Expected Utility Model 253 Robert F. Nau PARTV. RISK ANALYSIS 15 Probabilistic Risk Analysis for Engineered Systems 279 Vicki M. Bier and Louis Anthony Cox, Jr. 16 The Engineering Risk-Analysis Method and Some Applications 302 M. Elisabeth Paté-Cornell 17 Health Risk Analysis for Risk-Management Decision-Making 325 Louis Anthony Cox, Jr. PART VI. DECISION ANALYSIS IN A BEHAVIORAL AND ORGANIZATIONAL CONTEXT 18 What Have We Learned from Our Mistakes? 351 Barbara Meilers and Connson Locke 19 Decision Conferencing 375 Lawrence D. Phillips 20 Resource Allocation Decisions 400 Don N. Kleinmuntz 21 From Decision Analysis to the Decision Organization 419 David Matheson and James E. Matheson 22 Building Decision Competency in Organizations 451 Carl S. Spetzler 23 Negotiation Analysis: Between Decisions and Games 469 James K. Sebenius PART VII. APPLICATIONS OF DECISION ANALYSIS 24 The Adoption of Multiattribute Utility Theory for the Evaluation of Plutonium Disposition Options in the United States and Russia 489 John C. Butler, Alexander N. Chebeskov, James S. Dyer, Thomas A. Edmunds, Jianmin Jia, and Vladimir I. Oussanov 25 Choosing a Tritium Supply Technology for Nuclear Weapons: Reflections on a Controversial Decision Analysis 514 Detlof von Winterfeldt 26 Applications of Decision Analysis to the Military Systems Acquisition Process 539 Dennis M. Buede and Terry A. Bresnick Contents vii 27 Balancing Environmental and Operational Objectives in Nuclear Refueling Strategies 564 Phillip С Beccue and Jeffrey S. Stonebraker 28 Perspective on Decision Analysis Applications 582 Donald L. Keef er, Craig W. Kirkwood, and James L. Corner Index 611
adam_txt	Contents List of Contributors page ix Preface xi 1 Introduction 1 Ward Edwards, Ralph F Miles, Jr., and Detlofvon Winterfeldt PART I. HISTORY AND FOUNDATIONS OF DECISION ANALYSIS 2 The Emergence of Decision Analysis 13 Ralph F Miles, Jr. 3 The Foundations of Decision Analysis Revisited 32 Ronald A. Howard 4 Decision Analysis: A Personal Account of How It Got Started and Evolved 57 Howard Raiffa 5 Reflections on the Contributions of Ward Edwards to Decision Analysis and Behavioral Research 71 Lawrence D. Phillips and Detlofvon Winterfeldt PART II. STRUCTURING DECISION PROBLEMS 6 Defining a Decision Analytic Structure 81 Detlofvon Winterfeldt and Ward Edwards 7 Developing Objectives and Attributes 104 Ralph L. Keeney PART III. PROBABILITIES AND BAYES NETS 8 Eliciting Probabilities from Experts 129 Stephen C. Hora 9 Aggregating Probability Distributions 154 Robert T. Clemen and Robert L. Winkler 10 Model Building with Belief Networks and Influence Diagrams 177 Ross D. Shachter 11 A Bayesian Approach to Learning Causal Networks 202 David Heckerman vi Contents PART IV. UTILITIES 12 Utility and Risk Preferences 221 David E. Bell 13 Practical Value Models 232 Ralph L. Keeney and Detlof von Winterfeldt 14 Extensions of the Subjective Expected Utility Model 253 Robert F. Nau PARTV. RISK ANALYSIS 15 Probabilistic Risk Analysis for Engineered Systems 279 Vicki M. Bier and Louis Anthony Cox, Jr. 16 The Engineering Risk-Analysis Method and Some Applications 302 M. Elisabeth Paté-Cornell 17 Health Risk Analysis for Risk-Management Decision-Making 325 Louis Anthony Cox, Jr. PART VI. DECISION ANALYSIS IN A BEHAVIORAL AND ORGANIZATIONAL CONTEXT 18 What Have We Learned from Our Mistakes? 351 Barbara Meilers and Connson Locke 19 Decision Conferencing 375 Lawrence D. Phillips 20 Resource Allocation Decisions 400 Don N. Kleinmuntz 21 From Decision Analysis to the Decision Organization 419 David Matheson and James E. Matheson 22 Building Decision Competency in Organizations 451 Carl S. Spetzler 23 Negotiation Analysis: Between Decisions and Games 469 James K. Sebenius PART VII. APPLICATIONS OF DECISION ANALYSIS 24 The Adoption of Multiattribute Utility Theory for the Evaluation of Plutonium Disposition Options in the United States and Russia 489 John C. Butler, Alexander N. Chebeskov, James S. Dyer, Thomas A. Edmunds, Jianmin Jia, and Vladimir I. Oussanov 25 Choosing a Tritium Supply Technology for Nuclear Weapons: Reflections on a Controversial Decision Analysis 514 Detlof von Winterfeldt 26 Applications of Decision Analysis to the Military Systems Acquisition Process 539 Dennis M. Buede and Terry A. Bresnick Contents vii 27 Balancing Environmental and Operational Objectives in Nuclear Refueling Strategies 564 Phillip С Beccue and Jeffrey S. Stonebraker 28 Perspective on Decision Analysis Applications 582 Donald L. Keef er, Craig W. Kirkwood, and James L. Corner Index 611
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spelling	Advances in decision analysis from foundations to applications ed. by Ward Edwards ... 1. ed. Cambridge [u.a.] Cambridge Univ. Press 2007 XV, 623 S. graph. Darst. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Includes bibliographical references and index Besliskunde gtt Prise de décision Systèmes d'aide à la décision Théorie de la décision Decision making Entscheidungstheorie (DE-588)4138606-1 gnd rswk-swf (DE-588)4143413-4 Aufsatzsammlung gnd-content Entscheidungstheorie (DE-588)4138606-1 s DE-604 Edwards, Ward 1927-2005 Sonstige (DE-588)170175286 oth http://www.loc.gov/catdir/toc/ecip0618/2006025610.html Table of contents only http://www.loc.gov/catdir/enhancements/fy0668/2006025610-d.html Publisher description Digitalisierung UB Bamberg application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=015514250&sequence=000004&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis
spellingShingle	Advances in decision analysis from foundations to applications Besliskunde gtt Prise de décision Systèmes d'aide à la décision Théorie de la décision Decision making Entscheidungstheorie (DE-588)4138606-1 gnd
subject_GND	(DE-588)4138606-1 (DE-588)4143413-4
title	Advances in decision analysis from foundations to applications
title_auth	Advances in decision analysis from foundations to applications
title_exact_search	Advances in decision analysis from foundations to applications
title_exact_search_txtP	Advances in decision analysis from foundations to applications
title_full	Advances in decision analysis from foundations to applications ed. by Ward Edwards ...
title_fullStr	Advances in decision analysis from foundations to applications ed. by Ward Edwards ...
title_full_unstemmed	Advances in decision analysis from foundations to applications ed. by Ward Edwards ...
title_short	Advances in decision analysis
title_sort	advances in decision analysis from foundations to applications
title_sub	from foundations to applications
topic	Besliskunde gtt Prise de décision Systèmes d'aide à la décision Théorie de la décision Decision making Entscheidungstheorie (DE-588)4138606-1 gnd
topic_facet	Besliskunde Prise de décision Systèmes d'aide à la décision Théorie de la décision Decision making Entscheidungstheorie Aufsatzsammlung
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work_keys_str_mv	AT edwardsward advancesindecisionanalysisfromfoundationstoapplications

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