Economic growth in the transition economies of central and eastern Europe:
Gespeichert in:
| 1. Verfasser: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Buch |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Baden-Baden
Nomos Verl.-Ges.
2001
|
| Ausgabe: | 1. Aufl. |
| Schriftenreihe: | HWWA studies of the Hamburg Institute of International Economics
60 |
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Beschreibung: | Zugl.: Hamburg, Univ. der Bundeswehr, Diss., 2000 |
| Beschreibung: | 192 S. graph. Darst. |
| ISBN: | 3789071153 |
Internformat
MARC
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Datensatz im Suchindex
| _version_ | 1804136066638151680 |
|---|---|
| adam_text | Contents
List of Figures 9
List of Tables 10
1 INTRODUCTION 11
2 THE ECONOMICS OF TRANSITION 15
2.1 Data Limitations 16
2.2 Macroeconomic development 18
2.3 Measuring Reform Progress 22
2.4 Theory and hypotheses 24
2.4.1 Transition theory 25
2.4.2 Traditional growth theory 28
2.5 Results and interpretation 33
3 A NON ECONOMIC PERSPECTIVE ON TRANSITION:
IS TRANSITION A KILLER? 37
3.1 The health status pre transition and during transition an overview 39
3.1.1 Pre transition 39
3.1.2 Transition 41
3.2 Theoretical considerations 44
3.3 Empirical assessment 47
3.3.1 Determinants of the level of health (world sample) 47
3.3.2 The effect of transition on health 52
3.3.2.1 Was there any effect? 52
3.3.2.2 Determinants of health during transition 55
3.4 Conclusion 68
4 IS TRANSITION OVER? 71
4.1 Data 73
4.2 Results 74
4.2.1 A snapshot after(?) transition 74
4.2.1.1 Industrial structure 80
4.2.1.2 Capital investment 82
4.2.1.3 Financial system 83
4.2.1.4 Legal and institutional framework 85
4.2.2 A fishing expedition 87
4.2.3 A note on the adjustment over time 89
4.3 Concluding remarks 91
7
5 THE CEECS GROWTH PERSPECTIVES CONVERGENCE OR
DIVERGENCE? 93
5.1 Exogenous growth theory 94
5.1.1 The Solow growth model and conditional convergence 97
5.1.2 The Solow growth model and not necessarily conditional
convergence 102
5.1.3 Human capital and a potential escape from the low level
equilibrium 106
5.1.3.1 Human capital and multiple equilibria 107
5.1.3.2 Human capital in the CEECs 111
5.1.4 The Overlapping generations growth model 114
5.1.5 Further sources of club convergence in the Solow model 119
5.1.5.1 Variable Saving Rates 119
5.1.5.2 Non diminishing returns to capital for some range of
capital 120
5.1.5.3 Endogenous fertility 120
5.1.6 Case study in exogenous growth: energy and growth in
transition economies 121
5.1.6.1 The energy sector of the CEECs before transition 122
5.1.6.2 The energy sector of the CEECs in transition 124
5.1.6.3 Energy and the economy 128
5.1.6.4 Energy in a neoclassical growth model 131
5.1.6.5 Conclusion 139
5.2 Endogenous growth theory incentives to grow 141
5.2.1 The broad capital approach in new growth theory 142
5.2.2 The endogenous innovation approach in new growth theory 143
5.2.3 Case study in endogenous growth: R D and imitation in
transition economies 146
5.2.3.1 The domestic R D sector in transition 146
5.2.3.1.1 R D Input 147
5.2.3.1.2 R D Output I49
5.2.4 Technological backwardness, imitation and economic growth 153
5.2.4.1 The assumptions 155
5.2.4.2 The steady state 158
5.2.4.3 Transitional dynamics 160
5.2.4.3.1 General model I60
5.2.4.3.2 Special case human capital intensive
education and knowledge production 164
5.2.4.4 Conclusion and policy implications 166
6 SUMMARY AND CONCLUSION 167
APPENDIX 171
REFERENCES 179
8
List of Figures
Figure
2.1 The path of output in transition (1989=100) 15
2.2 Reform policy and GDP growth 27
2.3 Structural characteristics and growth 29
2.4 Inflation and GDP growth 32
3.1 Changes (%) in life expectancy at birth 1989 95 41
3.2 Standardised death rates due to circulatory disease (age 0 64 per 10000) 43
3.3 Standardised death rates due to ischeamic heart disease (age 0 64 per
10000) 43
3.4 Life expectancy, infant mortality and the level of economic
development 48
3.5 Divergence in crude death rates 64
3.6 Actual vs. fitted mortality development (CDR20 39 male) 65
4.1 CEE outliers and reform progress 89
5.1 Unique equilibrium in the Solow model 100
5.2 Multiple equilibria in the Solow model 105
5.3 Multiple equilibria in the Mankiw/Romer/Weil model 109
5.4 Declining relative wage for teachers 113
5.5 A E:Variety of development scenarios in the OLG model 118
5.6 Energy intensity and GNP p.c. PPP 126
5.7 Equilibrium in the energy economy 133
5.8 The effect of an increase in the energy price 136
5.9 Transitional dynamics in the energy and growth model 137
5.10 GERD as percentage of GDP 148
5.11 National patent applications 150
5.12 Inventiveness coefficient 151
5.13 Dependency ratio 151
5.14 Convergence between East and West (general model) 162
5.15 Convergence with different imitation efficiencies 163
5.16 Convergence in the special case 165
5.17 Imbalance effect 165
9
List of Tables
Table
2.1 Real GDP (% change) in CEE 19
2.2 Inflation (annual averages, consumer/retail prices) 20
2.3 Reform progress in Central and Eastern Europe 23
2.4 Results of panel regressions (GLS) 33
3.1 Regression results (OLS) on determinants of under 5 mortality rate 50
3.2 Regression results (OLS) on determinants of infant mortality rate 50
3.3 Regression results (OLS) on determinants of life expectancy at birth 51
3.4 Chow test results 54
3.5 Panel results based on GLS regression 60
4.1 Regression Results 76
4.2 Single country dummies and t value 78
4.3 Robustness test for commercial energy use 82
4.4 Overall outliers 88
4.5 Regression results for selected 1990 indicators (only dummies) 90
5.1 Energy intensity in selected CEECs, the US and Western Germany in
1989 123
5.2 Energy prices in Poland, July 1997 (Dollar/GJoule) 125
5.3 Change in total R D personnel (%) 148
10
|
| adam_txt |
Contents
List of Figures 9
List of Tables 10
1 INTRODUCTION 11
2 THE ECONOMICS OF TRANSITION 15
2.1 Data Limitations 16
2.2 Macroeconomic development 18
2.3 Measuring Reform Progress 22
2.4 Theory and hypotheses 24
2.4.1 Transition theory 25
2.4.2 Traditional growth theory 28
2.5 Results and interpretation 33
3 A NON ECONOMIC PERSPECTIVE ON TRANSITION:
IS TRANSITION A KILLER? 37
3.1 The health status pre transition and during transition an overview 39
3.1.1 Pre transition 39
3.1.2 Transition 41
3.2 Theoretical considerations 44
3.3 Empirical assessment 47
3.3.1 Determinants of the level of health (world sample) 47
3.3.2 The effect of transition on health 52
3.3.2.1 Was there any effect? 52
3.3.2.2 Determinants of health during transition 55
3.4 Conclusion 68
4 IS TRANSITION OVER? 71
4.1 Data 73
4.2 Results 74
4.2.1 A snapshot after(?) transition 74
4.2.1.1 Industrial structure 80
4.2.1.2 Capital investment 82
4.2.1.3 Financial system 83
4.2.1.4 Legal and institutional framework 85
4.2.2 A fishing expedition 87
4.2.3 A note on the adjustment over time 89
4.3 Concluding remarks 91
7
5 THE CEECS' GROWTH PERSPECTIVES CONVERGENCE OR
DIVERGENCE? 93
5.1 Exogenous growth theory 94
5.1.1 The Solow growth model and conditional convergence 97
5.1.2 The Solow growth model and not necessarily conditional
convergence 102
5.1.3 Human capital and a potential escape from the low level
equilibrium 106
5.1.3.1 Human capital and multiple equilibria 107
5.1.3.2 Human capital in the CEECs 111
5.1.4 The Overlapping generations growth model 114
5.1.5 Further sources of club convergence in the Solow model 119
5.1.5.1 Variable Saving Rates 119
5.1.5.2 Non diminishing returns to capital for some range of
capital 120
5.1.5.3 Endogenous fertility 120
5.1.6 Case study in exogenous growth: energy and growth in
transition economies 121
5.1.6.1 The energy sector of the CEECs before transition 122
5.1.6.2 The energy sector of the CEECs in transition 124
5.1.6.3 Energy and the economy 128
5.1.6.4 Energy in a neoclassical growth model 131
5.1.6.5 Conclusion 139
5.2 Endogenous growth theory incentives to grow 141
5.2.1 The 'broad capital' approach in new growth theory 142
5.2.2 The 'endogenous innovation' approach in new growth theory 143
5.2.3 Case study in endogenous growth: R D and imitation in
transition economies 146
5.2.3.1 The domestic R D sector in transition 146
5.2.3.1.1 R D Input 147
5.2.3.1.2 R D Output I49
5.2.4 Technological backwardness, imitation and economic growth 153
5.2.4.1 The assumptions 155
5.2.4.2 The steady state 158
5.2.4.3 Transitional dynamics 160
5.2.4.3.1 General model I60
5.2.4.3.2 Special case human capital intensive
education and knowledge production 164
5.2.4.4 Conclusion and policy implications 166
6 SUMMARY AND CONCLUSION 167
APPENDIX 171
REFERENCES 179
8
List of Figures
Figure
2.1 The path of output in transition (1989=100) 15
2.2 Reform policy and GDP growth 27
2.3 Structural characteristics and growth 29
2.4 Inflation and GDP growth 32
3.1 Changes (%) in life expectancy at birth 1989 95 41
3.2 Standardised death rates due to circulatory disease (age 0 64 per 10000) 43
3.3 Standardised death rates due to ischeamic heart disease (age 0 64 per
10000) 43
3.4 Life expectancy, infant mortality and the level of economic
development 48
3.5 Divergence in crude death rates 64
3.6 Actual vs. fitted mortality development (CDR20 39 male) 65
4.1 CEE outliers and reform progress 89
5.1 Unique equilibrium in the Solow model 100
5.2 Multiple equilibria in the Solow model 105
5.3 Multiple equilibria in the Mankiw/Romer/Weil model 109
5.4 Declining relative wage for teachers 113
5.5 A E:Variety of development scenarios in the OLG model 118
5.6 Energy intensity and GNP p.c. PPP 126
5.7 Equilibrium in the energy economy 133
5.8 The effect of an increase in the energy price 136
5.9 Transitional dynamics in the energy and growth model 137
5.10 GERD as percentage of GDP 148
5.11 National patent applications 150
5.12 Inventiveness coefficient 151
5.13 Dependency ratio 151
5.14 Convergence between East and West (general model) 162
5.15 Convergence with different imitation efficiencies 163
5.16 Convergence in the special case 165
5.17 Imbalance effect 165
9
List of Tables
Table
2.1 Real GDP (% change) in CEE 19
2.2 Inflation (annual averages, consumer/retail prices) 20
2.3 Reform progress in Central and Eastern Europe 23
2.4 Results of panel regressions (GLS) 33
3.1 Regression results (OLS) on determinants of under 5 mortality rate 50
3.2 Regression results (OLS) on determinants of infant mortality rate 50
3.3 Regression results (OLS) on determinants of life expectancy at birth 51
3.4 Chow test results 54
3.5 Panel results based on GLS regression 60
4.1 Regression Results 76
4.2 Single country dummies and t value 78
4.3 Robustness test for commercial energy use 82
4.4 Overall outliers 88
4.5 Regression results for selected 1990 indicators (only dummies) 90
5.1 Energy intensity in selected CEECs, the US and Western Germany in
1989 123
5.2 Energy prices in Poland, July 1997 (Dollar/GJoule) 125
5.3 Change in total R D personnel (%) 148
10 |
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| discipline | Wirtschaftswissenschaften |
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| id | DE-604.BV022091465 |
| illustrated | Illustrated |
| index_date | 2024-07-02T16:14:46Z |
| indexdate | 2024-07-09T20:50:29Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 3789071153 |
| language | English |
| oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-015306299 |
| oclc_num | 47013350 |
| open_access_boolean | |
| owner | DE-706 |
| owner_facet | DE-706 |
| physical | 192 S. graph. Darst. |
| publishDate | 2001 |
| publishDateSearch | 2001 |
| publishDateSort | 2001 |
| publisher | Nomos Verl.-Ges. |
| record_format | marc |
| series | HWWA studies of the Hamburg Institute of International Economics |
| series2 | HWWA studies of the Hamburg Institute of International Economics |
| spelling | Suhrcke, Marc Verfasser aut Economic growth in the transition economies of central and eastern Europe Marc Suhrcke 1. Aufl. Baden-Baden Nomos Verl.-Ges. 2001 192 S. graph. Darst. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier HWWA studies of the Hamburg Institute of International Economics 60 Zugl.: Hamburg, Univ. der Bundeswehr, Diss., 2000 Wirtschaft Wirtschaftspolitik Mixed economy Europe, Central Mixed economy Europe, Eastern Wirtschaftsreform (DE-588)4066512-4 gnd rswk-swf Wirtschaftsentwicklung (DE-588)4066438-7 gnd rswk-swf Wirtschaftswachstum (DE-588)4066527-6 gnd rswk-swf Europe, Central Economic conditions Europe, Central Economic policy Europe, Eastern Economic conditions 1989- Europe, Eastern Economic policy 1989- Mitteleuropa (DE-588)4039677-0 gnd rswk-swf Osteuropa (DE-588)4075739-0 gnd rswk-swf (DE-588)4113937-9 Hochschulschrift gnd-content Mitteleuropa (DE-588)4039677-0 g DE-604 Wirtschaftsentwicklung (DE-588)4066438-7 s Osteuropa (DE-588)4075739-0 g Wirtschaftsreform (DE-588)4066512-4 s Wirtschaftswachstum (DE-588)4066527-6 s 1\p DE-604 HWWA studies of the Hamburg Institute of International Economics 60 (DE-604)BV013697603 HBZ Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=015306299&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis 1\p cgwrk 20201028 DE-101 https://d-nb.info/provenance/plan#cgwrk |
| spellingShingle | Suhrcke, Marc Economic growth in the transition economies of central and eastern Europe HWWA studies of the Hamburg Institute of International Economics Wirtschaft Wirtschaftspolitik Mixed economy Europe, Central Mixed economy Europe, Eastern Wirtschaftsreform (DE-588)4066512-4 gnd Wirtschaftsentwicklung (DE-588)4066438-7 gnd Wirtschaftswachstum (DE-588)4066527-6 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4066512-4 (DE-588)4066438-7 (DE-588)4066527-6 (DE-588)4039677-0 (DE-588)4075739-0 (DE-588)4113937-9 |
| title | Economic growth in the transition economies of central and eastern Europe |
| title_auth | Economic growth in the transition economies of central and eastern Europe |
| title_exact_search | Economic growth in the transition economies of central and eastern Europe |
| title_exact_search_txtP | Economic growth in the transition economies of central and eastern Europe |
| title_full | Economic growth in the transition economies of central and eastern Europe Marc Suhrcke |
| title_fullStr | Economic growth in the transition economies of central and eastern Europe Marc Suhrcke |
| title_full_unstemmed | Economic growth in the transition economies of central and eastern Europe Marc Suhrcke |
| title_short | Economic growth in the transition economies of central and eastern Europe |
| title_sort | economic growth in the transition economies of central and eastern europe |
| topic | Wirtschaft Wirtschaftspolitik Mixed economy Europe, Central Mixed economy Europe, Eastern Wirtschaftsreform (DE-588)4066512-4 gnd Wirtschaftsentwicklung (DE-588)4066438-7 gnd Wirtschaftswachstum (DE-588)4066527-6 gnd |
| topic_facet | Wirtschaft Wirtschaftspolitik Mixed economy Europe, Central Mixed economy Europe, Eastern Wirtschaftsreform Wirtschaftsentwicklung Wirtschaftswachstum Europe, Central Economic conditions Europe, Central Economic policy Europe, Eastern Economic conditions 1989- Europe, Eastern Economic policy 1989- Mitteleuropa Osteuropa Hochschulschrift |
| url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=015306299&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
| volume_link | (DE-604)BV013697603 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT suhrckemarc economicgrowthinthetransitioneconomiesofcentralandeasterneurope |