Demographic methods:
Gespeichert in:
1. Verfasser: | |
---|---|
Format: | Buch |
Sprache: | English |
Veröffentlicht: |
London [u.a.]
Arnold
2005
|
Ausgabe: | Reprinted |
Schlagworte: | |
Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
Beschreibung: | XIII, 305 S. graph. Darst. |
ISBN: | 0340718927 9780340718926 |
Internformat
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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adam_text | Contents
Preface
xi
Acknowledgements
xiv
1
Some Demographic Fundamentals
1
1.1
Introduction
1
1.2
The basic demographic equation
1
1.3
Demographic processes as transitions between states
2
1.4
Demographic rates
3
1.5
Population structure
4
1.6
Data sources
4
Further reading
7
Exercises
7
2
The Measurement of Mortality
8
2.1
Introduction
8
2.2
The crude death rate
8
2.3
Age-specific death rates
9
2.4
The two types of mortality rate
10
2.5
The Lexis chart
12
2.6
The relationship between the two types of mortality rate
13
2.7
Advantages and disadvantages of the two types of mortality rate
15
Exercises
і
6
3
Comparing Mortality Experiences
19
3.1
Introduction
19
3.2
Single-figure indices
19
3.3
The standardized death rate
21
3.4
The standardized mortality ratio
22
3.5
The limits of standardization
23
3.6
Other problems commonly encountered when comparing mortality
experiences
25
Further reading
26
Exercises
26
vi
Contents
4
The Life Table
4.1
Introduction
4.2
The theory of the life table
4.3
Abridged life tables
4.4*
The force of mortality
4.5
The calculation of life tables for specific populations
4.6
English Life Table
14
4.7
Using the life table in practical work
4.8
The general shape of life table quantities
Further reading
Exercises
5
Multiple-Decrement Life Tables
5.1
Introduction
5.2
The idea of the multiple-decrement life table
5.3
The algebra of the multiple-decrement life table
5.4
Some examples
5.5
Dependent and independent death rates
5.6
The relationship between dependent and independent rates of decrement
5.7
Censoring
5.8
Estimating multiple-decrement
Ufe
tables from data in the form of /w-type rates
Exercises
6
Survival Analysis
6.1
Introduction
6.2
A model of mortality
6.3*
The survivor function
6.4*
The probability density function
6.5*
The hazard function
6.6*
The relationships between the three functions
6.7
Censoring
6.8*
The estimation of mortality using survival analysis
6.9
Using survival analysis to estimate a life table
6.10
Advantages of survival analysis
Further reading
Exercises
7
The Analysis of Marriage
7.1
Introduction
7.2
The marriage process
7.3
Marriage rates
7.4
Period and cohort analysis of marriage
7.5
Death and marriage combined
7.6
The average age at marriage
7.7
The analysis of marriage using current status data
7.8
The analysis of other transitions in the marriage process
7.9
Cohabitation and separation
Further reading
Exercises
Contents
vii
8
The Measurement of Fertility
95
8.1
Introduction
95
8.2
Some simple single-figure indices of fertility
95
8.3
Age-specific fertility rates
97
8.4
Standardization applied to fertility rates
99
8.5
The total fertility rate
100
8.6
Period and cohort analysis of fertility
101
8.7
Advantages and disadvantages of the period approach
102
8.8
Advantages and disadvantages of the cohort approach
103
Further reading
104
Exercises
104
9
Parity Progression
107
9.1
Introduction
107
9.2
Order-specific birth rates
107
9.3
Parity progression ratios
109
9.4
Period parity progression ratios
110
9.5
Age-based and parity-based decomposition of total fertility
117
Further reading
118
Exercises
118
10
The Determinants of Fertility
121
10.1
Introduction
121
10.2
The effects of marriage on fertility
122
10.3
Measures of fertility specific to marital status
123
10.4
The effects of breastfeeding and abstinence from sexual intercourse after birth
124
10.5
Birth control
125
10.6
Quantifying the effects of the proximate determinants of fertility
125
10.7
Reproductive histories
129
Further reading
130
Exercises
і
30
11
Birth Interval Analysis
133
11.1
Introduction
133
11.2
Birth intervals
133
11.3
Data for the analysis of birth intervals
135
11.4
The components of birth intervals
138
11.5
Life table analysis
140
П.6
Survival analysis
141
11.7
Covariates
144
11.8*
Estimating the parameters
і
45
li.
9
Extensions using survival analysis
147
Further reading
148
Exercises
і
48
12
Population Growth
150
12.1
Introduction
150
12.2
Fertility and population growth
151
viii Contents
12.3
The net reproduction rate
12.4
Geometric and exponential growth
12.5
The annual rate of growth and the net reproduction rate
Exercises
13
Models of Population Structure
13.1
Introduction
13.2
The age and sex structure of a population
13.3
The demographic determinants of the shape of the population pyramid
13.4
The age and sex structure as a historical record
13.5
Stationary and stable populations
13.6
Fertility, mortality and the age structure in stable populations
13.7
Outline of a proof that a stable population has a constant age structure
13.8*
The rate of growth
13.9
The length of a generation
Further reading
Exercises
14
Applications of Stable Population Theory
14.1
Introduction
14.2
General features of a stable population
14.3
Example: a company s workforce
14.4
Demographic reconstruction
14.5
Model life tables
14.6
Demographic reconstruction with two censuses
14.7
Some useful approximations
Further reading
Exercises
15
The Analysis of Migration
Î
5.1
Introduction
15.2
Some preliminary issues
15.3
Data for the analysis of migration: moves and transitions
15.4
Migration rates
15.5
Indirect estimation of net migration
15.6
Migration streams
Further reading
16
Introducing Population Projection
16.5 Introduction
і
6.2
The need for population forecasts
16.3
Approaches to population projection
16.4
The general procedure
16.5*
The mathematical method
16.6
The limitations of the mathematical method
Exercise
Contents ix
17
The Component
Method of
Population
Projection
205
17.1
Introduction
205
17.2
Principles of the method
206
17.2
The details of the method
207
17.4
The use of broader age groups
210
17.5
Data requirements
211
17.6
More complex component projections
215
17.7
Population projections for
subnational
units
216
Further reading
217
Exercises
217
18
Population Projection and Population Dynamics
219
18.1
Introduction
219
18.2
The United Kingdom national population projections
219
18.3
The impact of uncertainty about fertility
220
18.4
Replacement level and population momentum
223
18.5
A cautionary tale of population projection
224
Further reading
225
Appendix
226
Solutions to Exercises
228
References
292
Index
297
|
adam_txt |
Contents
Preface
xi
Acknowledgements
xiv
1
Some Demographic Fundamentals
1
1.1
Introduction
1
1.2
The basic demographic equation
1
1.3
Demographic processes as transitions between states
2
1.4
Demographic rates
3
1.5
Population structure
4
1.6
Data sources
4
Further reading
7
Exercises
7
2
The Measurement of Mortality
8
2.1
Introduction
8
2.2
The crude death rate
8
2.3
Age-specific death rates
9
2.4
The two types of mortality rate
10
2.5
The Lexis chart
12
2.6
The relationship between the two types of mortality rate
13
2.7
Advantages and disadvantages of the two types of mortality rate
15
Exercises
і
6
3
Comparing Mortality Experiences
19
3.1
Introduction
19
3.2
Single-figure indices
19
3.3
The standardized death rate
21
3.4
The standardized mortality ratio
22
3.5
The limits of standardization
23
3.6
Other problems commonly encountered when comparing mortality
experiences
25
Further reading
26
Exercises
26
vi
Contents
4
The Life Table
4.1
Introduction
4.2
The theory of the life table
4.3
Abridged life tables
4.4*
The force of mortality
4.5
The calculation of life tables for specific populations
4.6
English Life Table
14
4.7
Using the life table in practical work
4.8
The general shape of life table quantities
Further reading
Exercises
5
Multiple-Decrement Life Tables
5.1
Introduction
5.2
The idea of the multiple-decrement life table
5.3
The algebra of the multiple-decrement life table
5.4
Some examples
5.5
Dependent and independent death rates
5.6
The relationship between dependent and independent rates of decrement
5.7
Censoring
5.8
Estimating multiple-decrement
Ufe
tables from data in the form of /w-type rates
Exercises
6
Survival Analysis
6.1
Introduction
6.2
A model of mortality
6.3*
The survivor function
6.4*
The probability density function
6.5*
The hazard function
6.6*
The relationships between the three functions
6.7
Censoring
6.8*
The estimation of mortality using survival analysis
6.9
Using survival analysis to estimate a life table
6.10
Advantages of survival analysis
Further reading
Exercises
7
The Analysis of Marriage
7.1
Introduction
7.2
The marriage process
7.3
Marriage rates
7.4
Period and cohort analysis of marriage
7.5
Death and marriage combined
7.6
The average age at marriage
7.7
The analysis of marriage using current status data
7.8
The analysis of other transitions in the marriage process
7.9
Cohabitation and separation
Further reading
Exercises
Contents
vii
8
The Measurement of Fertility
95
8.1
Introduction
95
8.2
Some simple single-figure indices of fertility
95
8.3
Age-specific fertility rates
97
8.4
Standardization applied to fertility rates
99
8.5
The total fertility rate
100
8.6
Period and cohort analysis of fertility
101
8.7
Advantages and disadvantages of the period approach
102
8.8
Advantages and disadvantages of the cohort approach
103
Further reading
104
Exercises
104
9
Parity Progression
107
9.1
Introduction
107
9.2
Order-specific birth rates
107
9.3
Parity progression ratios
109
9.4
Period parity progression ratios
110
9.5
Age-based and parity-based decomposition of total fertility
117
Further reading
118
Exercises
118
10
The Determinants of Fertility
121
10.1
Introduction
121
10.2
The effects of marriage on fertility
122
10.3
Measures of fertility specific to marital status
123
10.4
The effects of breastfeeding and abstinence from sexual intercourse after birth
124
10.5
Birth control
125
10.6
Quantifying the effects of the proximate determinants of fertility
125
10.7
Reproductive histories
129
Further reading
130
Exercises
і
30
11
Birth Interval Analysis
133
11.1
Introduction
133
11.2
Birth intervals
133
11.3
Data for the analysis of birth intervals
135
11.4
The components of birth intervals
138
11.5
Life table analysis
140
П.6
Survival analysis
141
11.7
Covariates
144
11.8*
Estimating the parameters
і
45
li.
9
Extensions using survival analysis
147
Further reading
148
Exercises
і
48
12
Population Growth
150
12.1
Introduction
150
12.2
Fertility and population growth
151
viii Contents
12.3
The net reproduction rate
12.4
Geometric and exponential growth
12.5
The annual rate of growth and the net reproduction rate
Exercises
13
Models of Population Structure
13.1
Introduction
13.2
The age and sex structure of a population
13.3
The demographic determinants of the shape of the population pyramid
13.4
The age and sex structure as a historical record
13.5
Stationary and stable populations
13.6
Fertility, mortality and the age structure in stable populations
13.7"
Outline of a proof that a stable population has a constant age structure
13.8*
The rate of growth
13.9
The length of a generation
Further reading
Exercises
14
Applications of Stable Population Theory
14.1
Introduction
14.2
General features of a stable population
14.3
Example: a company's workforce
14.4
Demographic reconstruction
14.5
Model life tables
14.6
Demographic reconstruction with two censuses
14.7
Some useful approximations
Further reading
Exercises
15
The Analysis of Migration
Î
5.1
Introduction
15.2
Some preliminary issues
15.3
Data for the analysis of migration: moves and transitions
15.4
Migration rates
15.5
Indirect estimation of net migration
15.6
Migration streams
Further reading
16
Introducing Population Projection
16.5 Introduction
і
6.2
The need for population forecasts
16.3
Approaches to population projection
16.4
The general procedure
16.5*
The mathematical method
16.6
The limitations of the mathematical method
Exercise
Contents ix
17
The Component
Method of
Population
Projection
205
17.1
Introduction
205
17.2
Principles of the method
206
17.2
The details of the method
207
17.4
The use of broader age groups
210
17.5
Data requirements
211
17.6
More complex component projections
215
17.7
Population projections for
subnational
units
216
Further reading
217
Exercises
217
18
Population Projection and Population Dynamics
219
18.1
Introduction
219
18.2
The United Kingdom national population projections
219
18.3
The impact of uncertainty about fertility
220
18.4
Replacement level and population momentum
223
18.5
A cautionary tale of population projection
224
Further reading
225
Appendix
226
Solutions to Exercises
228
References
292
Index
297 |
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illustrated | Illustrated |
index_date | 2024-07-02T15:09:09Z |
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institution | BVB |
isbn | 0340718927 9780340718926 |
language | English |
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spelling | Hinde, Andrew Verfasser aut Demographic methods Andrew Hinde Reprinted London [u.a.] Arnold 2005 XIII, 305 S. graph. Darst. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Demographie (DE-588)4011412-0 gnd rswk-swf Methode (DE-588)4038971-6 gnd rswk-swf Demographie (DE-588)4011412-0 s Methode (DE-588)4038971-6 s DE-604 Digitalisierung UB Bamberg application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=014886712&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
spellingShingle | Hinde, Andrew Demographic methods Demographie (DE-588)4011412-0 gnd Methode (DE-588)4038971-6 gnd |
subject_GND | (DE-588)4011412-0 (DE-588)4038971-6 |
title | Demographic methods |
title_auth | Demographic methods |
title_exact_search | Demographic methods |
title_exact_search_txtP | Demographic methods |
title_full | Demographic methods Andrew Hinde |
title_fullStr | Demographic methods Andrew Hinde |
title_full_unstemmed | Demographic methods Andrew Hinde |
title_short | Demographic methods |
title_sort | demographic methods |
topic | Demographie (DE-588)4011412-0 gnd Methode (DE-588)4038971-6 gnd |
topic_facet | Demographie Methode |
url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=014886712&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
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