Three essays on tight exchange rate regimes and fiscal discipline in transition economies:
Gespeichert in:
| 1. Verfasser: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Abschlussarbeit Buch |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Berlin
dissertation.de
2006
|
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Beschreibung: | X, 129 S. graph. Darst. |
| ISBN: | 3866241046 |
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| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a Three essays on tight exchange rate regimes and fiscal discipline in transition economies |c von Dalia Grigonytė |
| 264 | 1 | |a Berlin |b dissertation.de |c 2006 | |
| 300 | |a X, 129 S. |b graph. Darst. | ||
| 336 | |b txt |2 rdacontent | ||
| 337 | |b n |2 rdamedia | ||
| 338 | |b nc |2 rdacarrier | ||
| 502 | |a Zugl.: Bonn, Univ., Diss., 2005 | ||
| 650 | 4 | |a Auslandsverschuldung / Zins / Risikoprämie / Länderrisiko / Übergangswirtschaft / Schätzung / Osteuropa | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Wechselkurssystem / Currency Board / Finanzpolitik / Übergangswirtschaft / Haushaltskonsolidierung / Theorie / Schätzung / Nordosteuropa / Osteuropa | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Wirtschaftsreform - Fiskalpolitik - Currency Board - Wechselkursstabilität - Monetäre Wechselkurstheorie | |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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| adam_text | Contents
Acknowledgements i
1 Introduction 1
2 The Influence of Currency Boards on Fiscal Discipline in Central and Eastern
European Countries 5
2.1 Introduction 5
2.2 Theoretical Background 7
2.2.1 Basic Features of the Discipline Hypothesis 8
2.2.2 Adjustment to Monetary Dominance 9
2.2.3 The Choice of Nominal Anchor in Stabilisation 12
2.3 The Model 12
2.3.1 The Private Agent 13
2.3.2 Fiscal and Monetary Authorities 15
2.3.3 Determining the Equilibrium Consumption and Money Demand
of the Private Sector 15
2.3.4 Two Alternative Stabilisation Programs 16
2.3.5 Determining the Fiscal Transfers 17
2.3.6 Fiscal Policy under Two Alternative Stabilisation Programs 18
2.3.7 Comparison of Fiscal Discipline under Alternative Nominal
Anchors 20
2.3.8 Implications for Empirical Research 21
2.4 Empirical Results in the Literature 22
2.5 Currency Boards in Central and Eastern European Countries 24
2.5.1 Estonia 25
2.5.2 Lithuania 27
2.5.3 Bulgaria 29
2.6 Descriptive Statistics 30
2.7 Empirical Analysis 32
2.7.1 Testing for Panel Heteroskedasticity 34
2.7.2 Testing for Correlation across Countries 34
2.7.3 Testing for Serial Correlation 35
2.8 Results 35
2.9 Concluding Remarks 45
2.A Appendix I: Exchange Rate Regimes in Central and Eastern European
Countries 48
2.B Appendix II: General Government Finance in Central and Eastern
European Countries 49
2.C Appendix III: General Government Expenditure and Balance in Central
and Eastern European Countries 50
2.D Appendix IV: Summary Statistics on Primary Expenditure and Balance in
CEEC 52
2.E Appendix V: The Index for Quality of Budget Institutions 53
3 Fiscal Adjustment under Tight Exchange Rates: the Case of the Baltic States 55
3.1 Introduction 55
3.2 Monetary Dominance and Fiscal Adjustment 56
3.2.1 Unpleasant Monetarist Arithmetic 57
3.2.2 The Government s Budget Constraint 61
3.3 Fiscal Theory of Price Level and Its Relevance for Fixed Exchange Rates 62
3.3.1 Fiscal Theory of Price Level 62
3.3.2 Fiscal Policy and Fixed Exchange Rates 65
3.3.3 Critique of the Fiscal Theory of Price Level 67
3.4 Fiscal Discipline in the Baltic States 68
3.5 Public Finance in Central and Eastern European Countries 72
3.6 Empirical Analysis 74
3.7 Data 77
3.8 Results 78
3.9 Concluding Remarks 82
3.A Appendix I: Deriving Equation (3.6) 84
3.B Appendix II: Central and Eastern European Countries: Selected Indicators 85
3.C Appendix III: Data Description 86
4 Sovereign Risk Premiums in Central and Eastern European Countries 87
4.1 Introduction 87
4.2 Literature Review 88
4.2.1 Theoretical Considerations 88
4.2.2 Review of Previous Empirical Results 89
4.3 The Model 94
4.4 Empirical Analysis 96
4.5 Data 97
4.6 Descriptive Evidence 99
4.7 Empirical Results 106
4.8 Concluding Remarks 109
4. A Appendix I: Share of Total General Government Debt Denominated in
Foreign Currency 110
4.B Appendix II: Spreads of Central and Eastern European Government Bonds 111
5 Concluding Remarks 115
6 References 119
List of Tables
2.1 Coverage of Money Base by Foreign Assets 26
2.2 Data Set Properties 34
2.3 Regression Results (1) 36
2.4 Regression Results (2) 37
2.5 Regression Results Controlling for Business Cycle 38
2.6 Regression Results Controlling for External Effects 39
2.7 Regression Results Controlling for Quality of Budgetary Institutions 42
2.8 Regression Results Controlling for Differences in Legal Frameworks 43
2.9 Regression Results Including Interaction Terms 47
2.A.1 Exchange Rate Regimes in Central and Eastern European Countries 48
2.B. 1 General Government Expenditure in CEEC 49
2.B.2 General Government Balance in CEEC 49
2.B.3 General Government Debt 49
2.D.I Primary Government Expenditure 52
2.D.2 Primary Government Balance 52
2.E.1 The Index for Quality of Budget Institutions 53
3.1 Data Set Properties 77
3.2 Regression Results (1) 80
3.3 Regression Results (2) 81
3.B.I Changes in Consumer Prices 8^
3.B.2 GDP Growth Rates 85
3.C.1 Data Description 86
4.1 Data Description 98
4.2 Regression Results (I) °7
4.3 Regression Results (2) °7
4.4 Regression Results with Time Fixed Effects (1) 08
4.5 Regression Results with Time Fixed Effects (2) l09
4.A. 1 Share of Total General Government Debt Denominated in Foreign Currency 110
4.B.1 Spreads of Central and Eastern European Government Bonds 111
List of Figures
2.CM General Government Expenditure 50
2.C.2 Cicncral (iovcrnment Balance in (EEC 51
3.1 Government Balances and GDP Growth Rates in the Baltic States 70
3.2 Cieneral Government Revenue in the Baltic States 71
3.3 Cieneral Government Expenditure in the Baltic States 71
3.4 General Government Debt in the Baltic States 72
3.5 Development of Public Deficits and Debts in CEEC 73
4.1 Spreads in Central and Eastern European Countries in 1991 2002 101
4.2 Spreads in Relation to Public Debt 102
4.3 Spreads in Relation to Debt Service 103
4.4 Spreads in Relation to General Government Balance 104
4.5 Spreads in Relation to Tax to Debt Ratio 105
|
| adam_txt |
Contents
Acknowledgements i
1 Introduction 1
2 The Influence of Currency Boards on Fiscal Discipline in Central and Eastern
European Countries 5
2.1 Introduction 5
2.2 Theoretical Background 7
2.2.1 Basic Features of the Discipline Hypothesis 8
2.2.2 Adjustment to Monetary Dominance 9
2.2.3 The Choice of Nominal Anchor in Stabilisation 12
2.3 The Model 12
2.3.1 The Private Agent 13
2.3.2 Fiscal and Monetary Authorities 15
2.3.3 Determining the Equilibrium Consumption and Money Demand
of the Private Sector 15
2.3.4 Two Alternative Stabilisation Programs 16
2.3.5 Determining the Fiscal Transfers 17
2.3.6 Fiscal Policy under Two Alternative Stabilisation Programs 18
2.3.7 Comparison of Fiscal Discipline under Alternative Nominal
Anchors 20
2.3.8 Implications for Empirical Research 21
2.4 Empirical Results in the Literature 22
2.5 Currency Boards in Central and Eastern European Countries 24
2.5.1 Estonia 25
2.5.2 Lithuania 27
2.5.3 Bulgaria 29
2.6 Descriptive Statistics 30
2.7 Empirical Analysis 32
2.7.1 Testing for Panel Heteroskedasticity 34
2.7.2 Testing for Correlation across Countries 34
2.7.3 Testing for Serial Correlation 35
2.8 Results 35
2.9 Concluding Remarks 45
2.A Appendix I: Exchange Rate Regimes in Central and Eastern European
Countries 48
2.B Appendix II: General Government Finance in Central and Eastern
European Countries 49
2.C Appendix III: General Government Expenditure and Balance in Central
and Eastern European Countries 50
2.D Appendix IV: Summary Statistics on Primary Expenditure and Balance in
CEEC 52
2.E Appendix V: The Index for Quality of Budget Institutions 53
3 Fiscal Adjustment under Tight Exchange Rates: the Case of the Baltic States 55
3.1 Introduction 55
3.2 Monetary Dominance and Fiscal Adjustment 56
3.2.1 Unpleasant Monetarist Arithmetic 57
3.2.2 The Government's Budget Constraint 61
3.3 Fiscal Theory of Price Level and Its Relevance for Fixed Exchange Rates 62
3.3.1 Fiscal Theory of Price Level 62
3.3.2 Fiscal Policy and Fixed Exchange Rates 65
3.3.3 Critique of the Fiscal Theory of Price Level 67
3.4 Fiscal Discipline in the Baltic States 68
3.5 Public Finance in Central and Eastern European Countries 72
3.6 Empirical Analysis 74
3.7 Data 77
3.8 Results 78
3.9 Concluding Remarks 82
3.A Appendix I: Deriving Equation (3.6) 84
3.B Appendix II: Central and Eastern European Countries: Selected Indicators 85
3.C Appendix III: Data Description 86
4 Sovereign Risk Premiums in Central and Eastern European Countries 87
4.1 Introduction 87
4.2 Literature Review 88
4.2.1 Theoretical Considerations 88
4.2.2 Review of Previous Empirical Results 89
4.3 The Model 94
4.4 Empirical Analysis 96
4.5 Data 97
4.6 Descriptive Evidence 99
4.7 Empirical Results 106
4.8 Concluding Remarks 109
4. A Appendix I: Share of Total General Government Debt Denominated in
Foreign Currency 110
4.B Appendix II: Spreads of Central and Eastern European Government Bonds 111
5 Concluding Remarks 115
6 References 119
List of Tables
2.1 Coverage of Money Base by Foreign Assets 26
2.2 Data Set Properties 34
2.3 Regression Results (1) 36
2.4 Regression Results (2) 37
2.5 Regression Results Controlling for Business Cycle 38
2.6 Regression Results Controlling for External Effects 39
2.7 Regression Results Controlling for Quality of Budgetary Institutions 42
2.8 Regression Results Controlling for Differences in Legal Frameworks 43
2.9 Regression Results Including Interaction Terms 47
2.A.1 Exchange Rate Regimes in Central and Eastern European Countries 48
2.B. 1 General Government Expenditure in CEEC 49
2.B.2 General Government Balance in CEEC 49
2.B.3 General Government Debt 49
2.D.I Primary Government Expenditure 52
2.D.2 Primary Government Balance 52
2.E.1 The Index for Quality of Budget Institutions 53
3.1 Data Set Properties 77
3.2 Regression Results (1) 80
3.3 Regression Results (2) 81
3.B.I Changes in Consumer Prices 8^
3.B.2 GDP Growth Rates 85
3.C.1 Data Description 86
4.1 Data Description 98
4.2 Regression Results (I) ' °7
4.3 Regression Results (2) ' °7
4.4 Regression Results with Time Fixed Effects (1) '08
4.5 Regression Results with Time Fixed Effects (2) l09
4.A. 1 Share of Total General Government Debt Denominated in Foreign Currency 110
4.B.1 Spreads of Central and Eastern European Government Bonds 111
List of Figures
2.CM General Government Expenditure 50
2.C.2 Cicncral (iovcrnment Balance in (EEC 51
3.1 Government Balances and GDP Growth Rates in the Baltic States 70
3.2 Cieneral Government Revenue in the Baltic States 71
3.3 Cieneral Government Expenditure in the Baltic States 71
3.4 General Government Debt in the Baltic States 72
3.5 Development of Public Deficits and Debts in CEEC 73
4.1 Spreads in Central and Eastern European Countries in 1991 2002 101
4.2 Spreads in Relation to Public Debt 102
4.3 Spreads in Relation to Debt Service 103
4.4 Spreads in Relation to General Government Balance 104
4.5 Spreads in Relation to Tax to Debt Ratio 105 |
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| spelling | Grigonytė, Dalia 1975- Verfasser (DE-588)131546104 aut Three essays on tight exchange rate regimes and fiscal discipline in transition economies von Dalia Grigonytė Berlin dissertation.de 2006 X, 129 S. graph. Darst. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Zugl.: Bonn, Univ., Diss., 2005 Auslandsverschuldung / Zins / Risikoprämie / Länderrisiko / Übergangswirtschaft / Schätzung / Osteuropa Wechselkurssystem / Currency Board / Finanzpolitik / Übergangswirtschaft / Haushaltskonsolidierung / Theorie / Schätzung / Nordosteuropa / Osteuropa Wirtschaftsreform - Fiskalpolitik - Currency Board - Wechselkursstabilität - Monetäre Wechselkurstheorie Wirtschaftsreform (DE-588)4066512-4 gnd rswk-swf Wechselkursstabilität (DE-588)4079091-5 gnd rswk-swf Currency Board (DE-588)4522367-1 gnd rswk-swf Monetäre Wechselkurstheorie (DE-588)4758072-0 gnd rswk-swf Fiskalpolitik (DE-588)4071234-5 gnd rswk-swf (DE-588)4113937-9 Hochschulschrift gnd-content Wirtschaftsreform (DE-588)4066512-4 s Fiskalpolitik (DE-588)4071234-5 s Currency Board (DE-588)4522367-1 s Wechselkursstabilität (DE-588)4079091-5 s Monetäre Wechselkurstheorie (DE-588)4758072-0 s DE-604 HBZ Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=014846623&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Grigonytė, Dalia 1975- Three essays on tight exchange rate regimes and fiscal discipline in transition economies Auslandsverschuldung / Zins / Risikoprämie / Länderrisiko / Übergangswirtschaft / Schätzung / Osteuropa Wechselkurssystem / Currency Board / Finanzpolitik / Übergangswirtschaft / Haushaltskonsolidierung / Theorie / Schätzung / Nordosteuropa / Osteuropa Wirtschaftsreform - Fiskalpolitik - Currency Board - Wechselkursstabilität - Monetäre Wechselkurstheorie Wirtschaftsreform (DE-588)4066512-4 gnd Wechselkursstabilität (DE-588)4079091-5 gnd Currency Board (DE-588)4522367-1 gnd Monetäre Wechselkurstheorie (DE-588)4758072-0 gnd Fiskalpolitik (DE-588)4071234-5 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4066512-4 (DE-588)4079091-5 (DE-588)4522367-1 (DE-588)4758072-0 (DE-588)4071234-5 (DE-588)4113937-9 |
| title | Three essays on tight exchange rate regimes and fiscal discipline in transition economies |
| title_auth | Three essays on tight exchange rate regimes and fiscal discipline in transition economies |
| title_exact_search | Three essays on tight exchange rate regimes and fiscal discipline in transition economies |
| title_exact_search_txtP | Three essays on tight exchange rate regimes and fiscal discipline in transition economies |
| title_full | Three essays on tight exchange rate regimes and fiscal discipline in transition economies von Dalia Grigonytė |
| title_fullStr | Three essays on tight exchange rate regimes and fiscal discipline in transition economies von Dalia Grigonytė |
| title_full_unstemmed | Three essays on tight exchange rate regimes and fiscal discipline in transition economies von Dalia Grigonytė |
| title_short | Three essays on tight exchange rate regimes and fiscal discipline in transition economies |
| title_sort | three essays on tight exchange rate regimes and fiscal discipline in transition economies |
| topic | Auslandsverschuldung / Zins / Risikoprämie / Länderrisiko / Übergangswirtschaft / Schätzung / Osteuropa Wechselkurssystem / Currency Board / Finanzpolitik / Übergangswirtschaft / Haushaltskonsolidierung / Theorie / Schätzung / Nordosteuropa / Osteuropa Wirtschaftsreform - Fiskalpolitik - Currency Board - Wechselkursstabilität - Monetäre Wechselkurstheorie Wirtschaftsreform (DE-588)4066512-4 gnd Wechselkursstabilität (DE-588)4079091-5 gnd Currency Board (DE-588)4522367-1 gnd Monetäre Wechselkurstheorie (DE-588)4758072-0 gnd Fiskalpolitik (DE-588)4071234-5 gnd |
| topic_facet | Auslandsverschuldung / Zins / Risikoprämie / Länderrisiko / Übergangswirtschaft / Schätzung / Osteuropa Wechselkurssystem / Currency Board / Finanzpolitik / Übergangswirtschaft / Haushaltskonsolidierung / Theorie / Schätzung / Nordosteuropa / Osteuropa Wirtschaftsreform - Fiskalpolitik - Currency Board - Wechselkursstabilität - Monetäre Wechselkurstheorie Wirtschaftsreform Wechselkursstabilität Currency Board Monetäre Wechselkurstheorie Fiskalpolitik Hochschulschrift |
| url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=014846623&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT grigonytedalia threeessaysontightexchangerateregimesandfiscaldisciplineintransitioneconomies |