Demography: analysis and synthesis ; [a treatise in population studies] 4
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adam_text | Contents
Volume
IV
SECTION
I
HISTORY OF POPULATION
THOUGHT AND POLICIES
Introduction to Volume IV
1
GEAZIELLA
CASELLI,
JACQUES
VALLIN,
AND
GUILLAUME
WUNSCH
PART
I
HISTORY OF POPULATION
THOUGHT AND SHORT
INTRODUCTION TO
POPULATION POLICIES
3
GRAZIELLA
CASELLI,
JACQUES
VALLIN,
AND
GUILLAUME
WUNSCH
V. The First
Demographers
15
VI. Thomas Robert
Malthus
15
VII.
The 19th Century—Pro or
Anti
Malthus
18
VIII.
Mathematical, Biological, and Sociological
Theories
21
IX. Optimum Population
21
X. Demographic Transition
22
XL Major Contemporary Debates
23
CHAPTER
98
History of Ideas in Population
since
1940 27
PAUL DEMENY
I. Landmarks of Population Thought since
1940:
An Overview and a Literature Guide
28
II. The Global Population Problem
33
III. The Problem of Below-Replacement
Fertility
35
CHAPTER
CHAPTER
97
History of Population Thought
5
ÉRIC
VILQUIN
I. Some of the Earliest Known Population
Theories
6
II. The Demographic Dictates of Some Major
Religions
10
III. The Middle Ages and the Renaissance
11
IV.
Mercantilists and Physiocrats
12
99
Ethics and Demography: or Macrodemus
and Microdemus in the Country
of Ethicists
39
FRANÇOIS
HERAN
40
I. First Exploration of the Ethicists Island
II. The Dream of Macrodemus
44
III. When Macrodemus Fancied that Demography
Could Make a Mockery of Ethics
44
IV. When Macrodemus Imagined that Demography
was Already Ethics in Itself
46
VI
Contents
V. Universal, Impartial, and Neutral?
48
VI. The Limits of the Ethical Content of
Macrodemography: The Ethicists
Response
50
VII.
Dialogue between Macrodemus and
Microdemus on Changes in Demographic
Survey Methods
54
VIII.
Research Ethics: An Epidemiological Model
Ill-suited to Demography
58
IX. Strengths and Weaknesses of Ethics Codes
63
PART
II
FROM FERTILITY CONTROL TO
FERTILITY SUPPORT
93
GRAZIELLA
CASELLI,
JACQUES
VALLIN,
AND
GUILLAUME
WUNSCH
CHAPTER
CHAPTER
100
History of Population
Policies up to
1940 71
MICHAEL
S. TEITELBAUM
I. Origins: From the Ancient World to
Malthus
and Marx
72
II. From the 19th to the 20th Century
74
CHAPTER
101
An Introduction to Population Policies
83
STEFANO BALDI
AND RAIMONDO
CAGIANO DE AZEVEDO
I. Definitions, Objectives, and Components of
Population Policies
84
II. The Relationship between Population Policies
and Population Theories
85
III. The Role of International Organizations and
Aid in Promoting Population Policies
88
102
Fertility Control in Third
World Countries
95
THÉRÈSE LOCOH
AND
CÉLINE VANDERMEERSCH
I. Since
1950
Fertility Has Decreased by Half in
Third World Countries
96
II. The Elaboration of Fertility Control
Policies
98
III. Policies for Fertility Control. Which
Methods?
104
IV. Forty Years of Progress in Contraception 111
CHAPTER
103
Towards a Policy Turnaround in
Low-Fertility Developing Countries?
129
MAGALI BARBIERI
I. Singapore
129
II. South Korea
132
III. Other Low Fertility Countries
134
CHAPTER
104
Pronatalist Policy in
Industrialized Nations
137
GUSTAVO DE
SANTIS
I. Pronatalist Policy, Social Policy
139
II. A Possible Classification of Pronatalist
Policies
141
Contents
Vil
CHAPTER
CHAPTER
105
The Effect of Pronatalist Policies in
Industrialized Countries
147
GÉRARD CALOT
I. The Difficulty of Linking Causes and Effects in
Social Science
147
II. The Rise in French Fertility After the Second
World War
150
III. The Fertility Trend in
Sarre
152
IV. The Fertility Trend in the Former GDR and the
Former FRG
152
V. The Fertility Trend in Northwestern
Europe
153
PART
III
THE DEMOGRAPHIC IMPACT OF
PUBLIC HEALTH POLICIES
155
GRAZIELLA
CASELLI,
JACQUES
VALLIN,
AND
GUILLAUME
WUNSCH
CHAPTER
106
Origin of Health Policies
159
JACQUES
VALLIN
AND FRANCE
MESLÉ
I. Antiquity, Medicine, and Religion: From
Imhotep to Galen
159
II. Middle Ages and Renaissance: From Avicenna
to Ambroise
Paré
162
III. The 17th and 18th Centuries: Containment of
Mass Epidemics and Decline of Famine
163
IV. 19th Century: Hospitals for the Sick and
Hygiene for All
165
V.
1880-1945:
From Pasteur to the Welfare
State
167
107
Health Policies: What Strategies? For
Whose Benefit?
173
JACQUES
VALLIN
AND FRANCE
MESLÉ
I. Objectives and Strategies
173
II. Actors and Resources
191
CHAPTER
108
Health Policies: Can the Results
Be Evaluated?
211
JACQUES
VALLIN
AND FRANCE
MESLÉ
I. Global Results: Health Policies and Increased
Life Expectancy?
212
II. Reaching Targets in Pathological Terms
219
III. Fulfilling Objectives Targeted in Terms of
Groups
232
CHAPTER
109
Information Systems for
Health Policies
249
VIVIANA EGIDI
AND
VITTORIA BURATTA
I. Creating Information Systems for Health
Policies
250
II. Identifying the Objectives of Health
Policy
251
III. Identifying the Stakeholders of Health
Policy
252
IV. Defining a Conceptual Framework
252
V. The Information Base: A Compromise between
Content And Technology
253
VI. Creating Systems of Indicators Representative
of a Complex Reality
253
VII.
Ensuring Comparability through
Harmonization
255
VIII.
Some Examples of Information Systems
256
Vlil
Contents
PART
IV
MIGRATION POLICIES AND
MANAGEMENT OF THE
POPULATION PYRAMID
261
GRAZIELLA
CASELLI,
JACQUES
VALLIN,
AND
GUILLAUME
WUNSCH
CHAPTER
110
Migration Policies
263
STEFANO BALDI
AND
RAIMONDO
CAGIANO DE AZAVEDO
I. The Policies of the Receiving Countries
263
II. The Policies in the Countries of
Emigration
271
III. New Elements in Migration Policies
275
CHAPTER
111
Economic and Social Management of the
Population Pyramid
281
MICHEL LORIAUX
I. Population Policies or Management of
Population Structures?
281
II. Demographic Structures Change Because
Everything Changes, and Vice Versa
282
III. To Act on the Age and Sex Composition
Despite the Inertia and Resistance?
283
IV. Age Policy: Watch Out for Unexpected
Effects!
284
V. The Baby Boom: Good Luck or Bad Luck of
History?
286
VI. A
Population Isn t a Business
286
VII.
Good or Bad Structures: Some
Propositions
288
VIII.
A Necessary Reversal of the Problem
289
IX. The Financing of Social Security: A False
Debate?
289
X. Intergenerational Equity: A Clever Diversion
for Other Less Avowabie Ends?
290
XL A More Positive Approach: Solidarity of the
Ages of Life
291
XII.
Declining Birth Rates and Pension Insolvency:
A Vicious Circle?
292
XIII.
The Ultimate Question: Renegotiate a New
Intergenerational Contract
296
PART
V
COUNTRY CASE STUDIES
299
GRAZIELLA
CASELLI,
JACQUES
VALLIN,
AND
GUILLAUME
WUNSCH
CHAPTER
112
Fifty Years of Demographic Policies in
China: An Assessment
301
ISABELLE AITANE
I. Household Registration and Mobility
Control
301
II. Balancing Regional Development and
Strengthening Border Regions
305
III. Health Policies
307
IV. Controlling Fertility
310
V. Toward Reproductive-Health Policies
315
CHAPTER
113
India s Population Policy in the Face of
Demographic Momentum
321
S. IRUDAYA
RAJAN
AND JACQUES
VÉRON
I. Indian Population Policy: Stakes and
Directions
321
II. Fertility, Family Planning and Development in
India: National and State Levels
325
III. Fifty Years of Birth Control in India
329
IV. The Other Components of Population
Policy
331
Contents
їх
CHAPTER
CHAPTER
114
Population Policies in Mexico
335
MARIA E. COSIO-ZAVALA
I. Genesis and Implementation of a Malthusian
Population Policy in Mexico
335
II. The Population Policy in Mexico after
1994 344
118
Population Policy in Russia
407
SERGUEÏ
IVANOV,
ANATOLE VISHNEVSKI
AND
SERGUEÏ ZAKHAROV
I. Family Policy
408
II. Health Policy
414
III. Migration Policy
423
CHAPTER
115
Population Policy in Kenya
349
VALÉRIE
GOLAZ AND CAROLYNE WANJA NJUE
I. Colonial Upheavals
349
II. Transition and Independence
353
III. A Difficult End to the Century
355
CHAPTER
116
Population Policies in Cote-D Ivoire
367
AMOAKON ANOH
I. The Main Demographic Trends since
1950 367
II. A Declaredly Pronatalist Policy up
to
1991 373
III. A Shift in Population Policies from
1991 379
IV. The Constitution of the Reproductive
Health Supply and the Evolution of Family
Planning
384
CHAPTER
117
Population Policy in the United States
395
CARL
НАШ
I. Immigration
397
II. Current Immigration Law
398
III. Immigrants
399
IV. Immigration Limits Prescribed by Law
399
V. Nonimmigrants
399
VI. Fertility
400
VII.
Distribution
403
VIII.
Mortality
404
CHAPTER
119
Population Policy in France
1896-2003 435
JEAN-CLAUDE CHESNAIS
I. The Policy of Encouraging Fertility
436
II. Public Health Policy
445
III. National and Regional Development
448
IV. Immigration Policy
450
CHAPTER
120
World Population Growth and the
International Community from
1950
to the
Present Day
457
JEAN-CLAUDE CHASTELAND
I.
1946-1965:
Creation of the Population
Movement in the United States
458
II.
1966-1973:
the United Nations Growing
Influence
462
III.
1974-1983
Bucharest: The Voice of the Third
World
465
IV.
1984-1993
Mexico: The U.S. and the Third
World at Odds
468
V. From
1994
to the Present Day: Cairo, an
Anglo-Saxon Victory
471
VI. The Future of Global Population Policy
479
Contents
SECTION
CHAPTER
II
OBSERVATION, AUXILIARY
METHODS, TEACHING,
AND RESEARCH
Introduction
487
GRAZIELLA
CASELLI,
JACQUES
VALLIN,
AND
GUILLAUME
WUNSCH
PART
I
OBSERVATION SYSTEMS
AND INDIRECT
ESTIMATION METHODS
489
GRAZIELLA
CASELLI,
JACQUES
VALLIN,
AND
GUILLAUME
WUNSCH
122
Internal Migration: Observation
and Concepts
523
BRIGITTE BACCAÏNI
I. Diversity in Approaches and Concepts
524
II. Multiple but Defective Sources
529
CHAPTER
123
Conceptual Framework and Data
Collection in International Migration
537
CORRADO BONIFAZI
AND
SALVATORE STROZZA
I. The Overall Framework
538
II. Identification Criteria for the Different
Components of Migration
541
III. A Critical Analysis of the Major Data Collection
Systems
544
CHAPTER
CHAPTER
121
Information Systems in Demography
DOMINIQUE TABUTIN
493
I. History and Role of Observation in
Demography
494
II. A Typology of Demographic Observation
Systems
496
III. Continuous Registration Systems
497
IV. Censuses
502
V. Sample Surveys
507
VI. Extra Tools: Aerial Photography and Remote
Sensing
514
VII.
Neglected Sources: Administrative
Information
516
VIII.
A Few Words on Qualitative Approaches
516
IX. Privacy and Data Collection
517
124
Demographic Surveillance Sites
555
GILLES
PISÓN
I. A Growing Number of Demographic
Surveillance Sites in Developing
Countries
555
II. The Demographic and Health Surveillance Sites
at Bandafassi and Mlomp, Senegal
560
CHAPTER
125
Comparing to Understand
571
VIVIANA
EGIDI AND PATRICK
FESTY
I. The Conditions for Comparison: Data
Comparability
572
II. Methods of Comparison
584
Contents
Xl
CHAPTER
FART
126
Methods of Historical Demography
597
LORENZO DEL
ΡΑΝΤΑ,
ROSELLA RETTAROLI,
AND
PAUL-
ANDRÉ ROSENTAL
I. Data Assessment and Checking: The
Cornerstone of Research in Historical
Demography
597
II. Micro and Macro in Historical Demography:
Antithetical or Complementary
Approaches?
599
III. Issues and New Directions in the Analysis of
Individual Data
601
IV. Data Series and Model-based
Reconstitutions
603
V. Statistical Methodology and Historical
Demography
607
CHAPTER
127
Indirect Estimation Methods
619
KENNETH HILL
I. Two Types of Indirect Estimation
620
II. Estimation Methods for Fertility
620
III. Estimation Methods for Child Mortality
IV. Estimation Methods for Adult Mortality
V. Estimation Methods for Migration
629
623
626
II
STATISTICAL ANALYSES,
SPECIFIC TOOLS AND
QUALITATIVE APPROACHES
645
GRAZIELLA
CASELLI,
JACQUES
VALLIN
AND
GUILLAUME
WUNSCH
CHAPTER
129
Theory Building in Demography
647
HUBERT
GÉRARD
I. Theorization
647
II. Main Theory
650
III. Auxiliary theory
656
CHAPTER
130
Causality and Causal Models
661
JOSIANNE
DUCHÊNE
AND
GUILLAUME
WUNSCH
I. Cause and Effect in Social Science
662
II. Causality and Statistical Modelling
665
CHAPTER
CHAPTER
128
Model Life Tables
633
JOSIANNE
DUCHÊNE
I. Model Life Tables Based on Regression
Methods and on Data from Developed
Countries
633
II. The Logit System
635
III. Model Tables Based on Regression Methods
and Data from Developing Countries
637
IV. Applying Model Tables to Data from
Developing Nations
639
131
Multidimensional Exploratory
Analysis
671
LAURENT TOULEMON
I. Exploratory Data Analysis
671
II. Methods for Multidimensional Analysis
III. Methods of Classification
682
678
Xli
Contents
CHAPTER
CHAPTER
132
Regression Analysis
687
LAURENT TOULEMON
I. Model Construction
687
II. Why Regression?
689
III. Types of Regression
692
CHAPTER
133
Bridging the Gap between Micro-
demography and Macro-demography
695
FRANCESCO BILLARI
I. Why do Demographers Need to Bridge the
Gap?
695
II. Formal Demography and Statistical
Demography: The Paradigm Shift
698
III. On Empirical Analyses: Macro-level
Correlations and True Micro-Level
Effects
700
IV. From Micro to Macro: The Role of Agent-based
Computational Demography
703
CHAPTER
134
Fertility, Child Mortality, and Nuptiality
Indicators at the Individual Level
709
DOMINIQUE TABUTIN
I. Data and General Problems
710
II. Individual Fertility Indicators
710
III. Indicators of Child Mortality Per Woman
714
IV. Some Possibilities Regarding nuptiality
717
V. Limitations
718
135
Cohort and Period Measures of Fertility
Based on
Microdata 721
ALBERTO PALLONI
AND PAOLO
DE SANDRE
I. General Framework
722
II. Extensions and Application of the Life Table
Procedure
724
III. Estimating the Tempo and Quantum
Dimensions of Parity-Specific Fertility
726
CHAPTER
136
The Contribution of Qualitative Methods
to Demography
731
MICHEL BOZON
I. Samples of Comprehensive
Demography
732
II. Qualitative Observation Techniques
734
III. Qualitative Methods and the Quality of
Demographic Data Collection
737
IV. Qualitative Approaches and the Renewal of
Demography
739
CHAPTER
137
Methods of Social
Network Aanalysis
745
ALEXIS FERRAND AND AINHOA
DE FEDERICO DE LA
RÚA
I. Observed Networks and Relational
Systems
746
II. Properties of Relationships and Networks
III. Survey Protocols
754
748
Contents
ХНІ
PART
III
HISTORY OF DEMOGRAPHIC
SCIENCE, TEACHING,
AND RESEARCH
765
GRAZIELLA
CASELLI,
JACQUES
VALLIN,
AND
GUILLAUME
WUNSCH
CHAPTER
138
The Origins of Demographic Science
ÉRIC
VILQUIN
767
I. Demography Before
1662 767
II. The Birth of Demographic Analysis
(1662) 769
III. Direct Measurement of Population
770
IV. Political Arithmetic
771
V. Development of Modern Demographic Analysis
(19th Century)
773
Appendix
3:
Demographic Treatises and Textbooks in
German
805
ALEXIA
FÜRNKRANZ-PRSKAWETZ
Appendix
4:
Demographic Treatises and Textbooks
in Spanish
809
ROSA GÓMEZ REDONDO
AND
MARÍA
EUGENIA
COSÍO-ZAVALA
Appendix
5:
Demographic Treatises and Textbooks
in Portuguese
815
ELZA BERQUÓ
Appendix
6:
Demographic Treatises and Textbooks
in Dutch
817
GIJS BEETS AND
/OLANDE SIEBENGA
Appendix
7:
Demographic Textbooks in
Japanese
821
SHIGEMI KONO
Appendix
8:
A Selection of Demographic Treatises
and Textbooks Published in Other Languages
or Other Countries
823
MARTINE DEVILLE
CHAPTER
139
Demographic Textbooks and Treatises:
Some Considerations
779
ANNUNZIATA
NOBILE
AND
ALESSANDRA DE
ROSE
I. European Textbooks During Wild
Demography s Years
780
II. The 50 s and 60 s: Demography as a Global
Science
781
III. The 70 s: Demography in the Limelight
783
IV. Demography and Demographies: Textbooks
Since the 80 s
785
V. Future Horizons: Textbooks and Manuals in the
New Millennium
790
Appendix
1:
Demographic Textbooks and Treatises in
English, French, and Italian
793
Appendix
2:
Teaching Demography in the Russian
Language
799
ALEXANDRE
AVDEEV AND MARIA AVDEEVA
CHAPTER
140
Demography Teaching and Rresearch
825
DIONISIA MAFFIOLI
I. Understanding Demographic Behaviors
828
II. Participating in Social Management
830
III. Developing Abilities of Interest for
Business
832
IV. Teaching Demography
833
V. Pre-University Training and
Popularization
837
XIV
Contents
CHAPTER
CHAPTER
141
Advantages and Limitations of
Demographic Software and
Simulation Programs
841
ANTONELLA PINNELLI AND ANNA-MARIA BimNDELLI
I. Using Software for Teaching Demography
II. Demographic Software: Inventory and
Characteristics
844
III. Criteria for Evaluating Demographic
Software
850
CHAPTER
142
Centers of Demographic Research
and Teaching
853
DIONISIA MAFFIOLI
I. The Origin of Institutions Devoted to
Demography
854
II. The Current Situation
861
III. University Centers of Training and
Demographic Research
863
842
143
Demography Viewed
by Demographers
871
MICHEL LORIAUX AND
TANIA
VISHNIEVSKAIA
I. A Rather Peculiar Survey
872
IL A
Discipline Torn Between Its Historical
Divisions
875
III. A Stroll Through Demographers Geographic,
Linguistic, and Institutional Space
879
IV. Multiplicity of Study Themes
879
V. Demography s Major Factors of Change
883
VI. Between Paradigms and Methods: Putting
Demographers Tools to the Test
884
VII. A
Discipline in Crisis or a Developing Science:
Does Demography Still Have a Future?
INDEX
893
|
adam_txt |
Contents
Volume
IV
SECTION
I
HISTORY OF POPULATION
THOUGHT AND POLICIES
Introduction to Volume IV
1
GEAZIELLA
CASELLI,
JACQUES
VALLIN,
AND
GUILLAUME
WUNSCH
PART
I
HISTORY OF POPULATION
THOUGHT AND SHORT
INTRODUCTION TO
POPULATION POLICIES
3
GRAZIELLA
CASELLI,
JACQUES
VALLIN,
AND
GUILLAUME
WUNSCH
V. The First
Demographers
15
VI. Thomas Robert
Malthus
15
VII.
The 19th Century—Pro or
Anti
Malthus
18
VIII.
Mathematical, Biological, and Sociological
Theories
21
IX. Optimum Population
21
X. Demographic Transition
22
XL Major Contemporary Debates
23
CHAPTER
98
History of Ideas in Population
since
1940 27
PAUL DEMENY
I. Landmarks of Population Thought since
1940:
An Overview and a Literature Guide
28
II. The Global Population Problem
33
III. The Problem of Below-Replacement
Fertility
35
CHAPTER
CHAPTER
97
History of Population Thought
5
ÉRIC
VILQUIN
I. Some of the Earliest Known Population
Theories
6
II. The Demographic Dictates of Some Major
Religions
10
III. The Middle Ages and the Renaissance
11
IV.
Mercantilists and Physiocrats
12
99
Ethics and Demography: or Macrodemus
and Microdemus in the Country
of Ethicists
39
FRANÇOIS
HERAN
40
I. First Exploration of the Ethicists' Island
II. The Dream of Macrodemus
44
III. When Macrodemus Fancied that Demography
Could Make a Mockery of Ethics
44
IV. When Macrodemus Imagined that Demography
was Already Ethics in Itself
46
VI
Contents
V. Universal, Impartial, and Neutral?
48
VI. The Limits of the Ethical Content of
Macrodemography: The Ethicists'
Response
50
VII.
Dialogue between Macrodemus and
Microdemus on Changes in Demographic
Survey Methods
54
VIII.
Research Ethics: An Epidemiological Model
Ill-suited to Demography
58
IX. Strengths and Weaknesses of Ethics Codes
63
PART
II
FROM FERTILITY CONTROL TO
FERTILITY SUPPORT
93
GRAZIELLA
CASELLI,
JACQUES
VALLIN,
AND
GUILLAUME
WUNSCH
CHAPTER
CHAPTER
100
History of Population
Policies up to
1940 71
MICHAEL
S. TEITELBAUM
I. Origins: From the Ancient World to
Malthus
and Marx
72
II. From the 19th to the 20th Century
74
CHAPTER
101
An Introduction to Population Policies
83
STEFANO BALDI
AND RAIMONDO
CAGIANO DE AZEVEDO
I. Definitions, Objectives, and Components of
Population Policies
84
II. The Relationship between Population Policies
and Population Theories
85
III. The Role of International Organizations and
Aid in Promoting Population Policies
88
102
Fertility Control in Third
World Countries
95
THÉRÈSE LOCOH
AND
CÉLINE VANDERMEERSCH
I. Since
1950
Fertility Has Decreased by Half in
Third World Countries
96
II. The Elaboration of Fertility Control
Policies
98
III. Policies for Fertility Control. Which
Methods?
104
IV. Forty Years of Progress in Contraception 111
CHAPTER
103
Towards a Policy Turnaround in
Low-Fertility Developing Countries?
129
MAGALI BARBIERI
I. Singapore
129
II. South Korea
132
III. Other Low Fertility Countries
134
CHAPTER
104
Pronatalist Policy in
Industrialized Nations
137
GUSTAVO DE
SANTIS
I. Pronatalist Policy, Social Policy
139
II. A Possible Classification of Pronatalist
Policies
141
Contents
Vil
CHAPTER
CHAPTER
105
The Effect of Pronatalist Policies in
Industrialized Countries
147
GÉRARD CALOT
I. The Difficulty of Linking Causes and Effects in
Social Science
147
II. The Rise in French Fertility After the Second
World War
150
III. The Fertility Trend in
Sarre
152
IV. The Fertility Trend in the Former GDR and the
Former FRG
152
V. The Fertility Trend in Northwestern
Europe
153
PART
III
THE DEMOGRAPHIC IMPACT OF
PUBLIC HEALTH POLICIES
155
GRAZIELLA
CASELLI,
JACQUES
VALLIN,
AND
GUILLAUME
WUNSCH
CHAPTER
106
Origin of Health Policies
159
JACQUES
VALLIN
AND FRANCE
MESLÉ
I. Antiquity, Medicine, and Religion: From
Imhotep to Galen
159
II. Middle Ages and Renaissance: From Avicenna
to Ambroise
Paré
162
III. The 17th and 18th Centuries: Containment of
Mass Epidemics and Decline of Famine
163
IV. 19th Century: Hospitals for the Sick and
Hygiene for All
165
V.
1880-1945:
From Pasteur to the Welfare
State
167
107
Health Policies: What Strategies? For
Whose Benefit?
173
JACQUES
VALLIN
AND FRANCE
MESLÉ
I. Objectives and Strategies
173
II. Actors and Resources
191
CHAPTER
108
Health Policies: Can the Results
Be Evaluated?
211
JACQUES
VALLIN
AND FRANCE
MESLÉ
I. Global Results: Health Policies and Increased
Life Expectancy?
212
II. Reaching Targets in Pathological Terms
219
III. Fulfilling Objectives Targeted in Terms of
Groups
232
CHAPTER
109
Information Systems for
Health Policies
249
VIVIANA EGIDI
AND
VITTORIA BURATTA
I. Creating Information Systems for Health
Policies
250
II. Identifying the Objectives of Health
Policy
251
III. Identifying the Stakeholders of Health
Policy
252
IV. Defining a Conceptual Framework
252
V. The Information Base: A Compromise between
Content And Technology
253
VI. Creating Systems of Indicators Representative
of a Complex Reality
253
VII.
Ensuring Comparability through
Harmonization
255
VIII.
Some Examples of Information Systems
256
Vlil
Contents
PART
IV
MIGRATION POLICIES AND
MANAGEMENT OF THE
POPULATION PYRAMID
261
GRAZIELLA
CASELLI,
JACQUES
VALLIN,
AND
GUILLAUME
WUNSCH
CHAPTER
110
Migration Policies
263
STEFANO BALDI
AND
RAIMONDO
CAGIANO DE AZAVEDO
I. The Policies of the Receiving Countries
263
II. The Policies in the Countries of
Emigration
271
III. New Elements in Migration Policies
275
CHAPTER
111
Economic and Social Management of the
Population Pyramid
281
MICHEL LORIAUX
I. Population Policies or Management of
Population Structures?
281
II. Demographic Structures Change Because
Everything Changes, and Vice Versa
282
III. To Act on the Age and Sex Composition
Despite the Inertia and Resistance?
283
IV. Age Policy: Watch Out for Unexpected
Effects!
284
V. The Baby Boom: Good Luck or Bad Luck of
History?
286
VI. A
Population Isn't a Business
286
VII.
Good or Bad Structures: Some
Propositions
288
VIII.
A Necessary Reversal of the Problem
289
IX. The Financing of Social Security: A False
Debate?
289
X. Intergenerational Equity: A Clever Diversion
for Other Less Avowabie Ends?
290
XL A More Positive Approach: Solidarity of the
Ages of Life
291
XII.
Declining Birth Rates and Pension Insolvency:
A Vicious Circle?
292
XIII.
The Ultimate Question: Renegotiate a New
Intergenerational Contract
296
PART
V
COUNTRY CASE STUDIES
299
GRAZIELLA
CASELLI,
JACQUES
VALLIN,
AND
GUILLAUME
WUNSCH
CHAPTER
112
Fifty Years of Demographic Policies in
China: An Assessment
301
ISABELLE AITANE
I. Household Registration and Mobility
Control
301
II. Balancing Regional Development and
Strengthening Border Regions
305
III. Health Policies
307
IV. Controlling Fertility
310
V. Toward Reproductive-Health Policies
315
CHAPTER
113
India's Population Policy in the Face of
Demographic Momentum
321
S. IRUDAYA
RAJAN
AND JACQUES
VÉRON
I. Indian Population Policy: Stakes and
Directions
321
II. Fertility, Family Planning and Development in
India: National and State Levels
325
III. Fifty Years of Birth Control in India
329
IV. The Other Components of Population
Policy
331
Contents
їх
CHAPTER
CHAPTER
114
Population Policies in Mexico
335
MARIA E. COSIO-ZAVALA
I. Genesis and Implementation of a Malthusian
Population Policy in Mexico
335
II. The Population Policy in Mexico after
1994 344
118
Population Policy in Russia
407
SERGUEÏ
IVANOV,
ANATOLE VISHNEVSKI
AND
SERGUEÏ ZAKHAROV
I. Family Policy
408
II. Health Policy
414
III. Migration Policy
423
CHAPTER
115
Population Policy in Kenya
349
VALÉRIE
GOLAZ AND CAROLYNE WANJA NJUE
I. Colonial Upheavals
349
II. Transition and Independence
353
III. A Difficult End to the Century
355
CHAPTER
116
Population Policies in Cote-D'Ivoire
367
AMOAKON ANOH
I. The Main Demographic Trends since
1950 367
II. A Declaredly Pronatalist Policy up
to
1991 373
III. A Shift in Population Policies from
1991 379
IV. The Constitution of the Reproductive
Health Supply and the Evolution of Family
Planning
384
CHAPTER
117
Population Policy in the United States
395
CARL
НАШ
I. Immigration
397
II. Current Immigration Law
398
III. Immigrants
399
IV. Immigration Limits Prescribed by Law
399
V. Nonimmigrants
399
VI. Fertility
400
VII.
Distribution
403
VIII.
Mortality
404
CHAPTER
119
Population Policy in France
1896-2003 435
JEAN-CLAUDE CHESNAIS
I. The Policy of Encouraging Fertility
436
II. Public Health Policy
445
III. National and Regional Development
448
IV. Immigration Policy
450
CHAPTER
120
World Population Growth and the
International Community from
1950
to the
Present Day
457
JEAN-CLAUDE CHASTELAND
I.
1946-1965:
Creation of the Population
Movement in the United States
458
II.
1966-1973:
the United Nations' Growing
Influence
462
III.
1974-1983
Bucharest: The Voice of the Third
World
465
IV.
1984-1993
Mexico: The U.S. and the Third
World at Odds
468
V. From
1994
to the Present Day: Cairo, an
Anglo-Saxon Victory
471
VI. The Future of Global Population Policy
479
Contents
SECTION
CHAPTER
II
OBSERVATION, AUXILIARY
METHODS, TEACHING,
AND RESEARCH
Introduction
487
GRAZIELLA
CASELLI,
JACQUES
VALLIN,
AND
GUILLAUME
WUNSCH
PART
I
OBSERVATION SYSTEMS
AND INDIRECT
ESTIMATION METHODS
489
GRAZIELLA
CASELLI,
JACQUES
VALLIN,
AND
GUILLAUME
WUNSCH
122
Internal Migration: Observation
and Concepts
523
BRIGITTE BACCAÏNI
I. Diversity in Approaches and Concepts
524
II. Multiple but Defective Sources
529
CHAPTER
123
Conceptual Framework and Data
Collection in International Migration
537
CORRADO BONIFAZI
AND
SALVATORE STROZZA
I. The Overall Framework
538
II. Identification Criteria for the Different
Components of Migration
541
III. A Critical Analysis of the Major Data Collection
Systems
544
CHAPTER
CHAPTER
121
Information Systems in Demography
DOMINIQUE TABUTIN
493
I. History and Role of Observation in
Demography
494
II. A Typology of Demographic Observation
Systems
496
III. Continuous Registration Systems
497
IV. Censuses
502
V. Sample Surveys
507
VI. Extra Tools: Aerial Photography and Remote
Sensing
514
VII.
Neglected Sources: Administrative
Information
516
VIII.
A Few Words on Qualitative Approaches
516
IX. Privacy and Data Collection
517
124
Demographic Surveillance Sites
555
GILLES
PISÓN
I. A Growing Number of Demographic
Surveillance Sites in Developing
Countries
555
II. The Demographic and Health Surveillance Sites
at Bandafassi and Mlomp, Senegal
560
CHAPTER
125
Comparing to Understand
571
VIVIANA
EGIDI AND PATRICK
FESTY
I. The Conditions for Comparison: Data
Comparability
572
II. Methods of Comparison
584
Contents
Xl
CHAPTER
FART
126
Methods of Historical Demography
597
LORENZO DEL
ΡΑΝΤΑ,
ROSELLA RETTAROLI,
AND
PAUL-
ANDRÉ ROSENTAL
I. Data Assessment and Checking: The
Cornerstone of Research in Historical
Demography
597
II. Micro and Macro in Historical Demography:
Antithetical or Complementary
Approaches?
599
III. Issues and New Directions in the Analysis of
Individual Data
601
IV. Data Series and Model-based
Reconstitutions
603
V. Statistical Methodology and Historical
Demography
607
CHAPTER
127
Indirect Estimation Methods
619
KENNETH HILL
I. Two Types of Indirect Estimation
620
II. Estimation Methods for Fertility
620
III. Estimation Methods for Child Mortality
IV. Estimation Methods for Adult Mortality
V. Estimation Methods for Migration
629
623
626
II
STATISTICAL ANALYSES,
SPECIFIC TOOLS AND
QUALITATIVE APPROACHES
645
GRAZIELLA
CASELLI,
JACQUES
VALLIN
AND
GUILLAUME
WUNSCH
CHAPTER
129
Theory Building in Demography
647
HUBERT
GÉRARD
I. Theorization
647
II. Main Theory
650
III. Auxiliary theory
656
CHAPTER
130
Causality and Causal Models
661
JOSIANNE
DUCHÊNE
AND
GUILLAUME
WUNSCH
I. Cause and Effect in Social Science
662
II. Causality and Statistical Modelling
665
CHAPTER
CHAPTER
128
Model Life Tables
633
JOSIANNE
DUCHÊNE
I. Model Life Tables Based on Regression
Methods and on Data from Developed
Countries
633
II. The Logit System
635
III. Model Tables Based on Regression Methods
and Data from Developing Countries
637
IV. Applying Model Tables to Data from
Developing Nations
639
131
Multidimensional Exploratory
Analysis
671
LAURENT TOULEMON
I. Exploratory Data Analysis
671
II. Methods for Multidimensional Analysis
III. Methods of Classification
682
678
Xli
Contents
CHAPTER
CHAPTER
132
Regression Analysis
687
LAURENT TOULEMON
I. Model Construction
687
II. Why Regression?
689
III. Types of Regression
692
CHAPTER
133
Bridging the Gap between Micro-
demography and Macro-demography
695
FRANCESCO BILLARI
I. Why do Demographers Need to Bridge the
Gap?
695
II. Formal Demography and Statistical
Demography: The Paradigm Shift
698
III. On Empirical Analyses: Macro-level
Correlations and True Micro-Level
Effects
700
IV. From Micro to Macro: The Role of Agent-based
Computational Demography
703
CHAPTER
134
Fertility, Child Mortality, and Nuptiality
Indicators at the Individual Level
709
DOMINIQUE TABUTIN
I. Data and General Problems
710
II. Individual Fertility Indicators
710
III. Indicators of Child Mortality Per Woman
714
IV. Some Possibilities Regarding nuptiality
717
V. Limitations
718
135
Cohort and Period Measures of Fertility
Based on
Microdata 721
ALBERTO PALLONI
AND PAOLO
DE SANDRE
I. General Framework
722
II. Extensions and Application of the Life Table
Procedure
724
III. Estimating the Tempo and Quantum
Dimensions of Parity-Specific Fertility
726
CHAPTER
136
The Contribution of Qualitative Methods
to Demography
731
MICHEL BOZON
I. Samples of Comprehensive
Demography
732
II. Qualitative Observation Techniques
734
III. Qualitative Methods and the Quality of
Demographic Data Collection
737
IV. Qualitative Approaches and the Renewal of
Demography
739
CHAPTER
137
Methods of Social
Network Aanalysis
745
ALEXIS FERRAND AND AINHOA
DE FEDERICO DE LA
RÚA
I. Observed Networks and Relational
Systems
746
II. Properties of Relationships and Networks
III. Survey Protocols
754
748
Contents
ХНІ
PART
III
HISTORY OF DEMOGRAPHIC
SCIENCE, TEACHING,
AND RESEARCH
765
GRAZIELLA
CASELLI,
JACQUES
VALLIN,
AND
GUILLAUME
WUNSCH
CHAPTER
138
The Origins of Demographic Science
ÉRIC
VILQUIN
767
I. Demography Before
1662 767
II. The Birth of Demographic Analysis
(1662) 769
III. Direct Measurement of Population
770
IV. Political Arithmetic
771
V. Development of Modern Demographic Analysis
(19th Century)
773
Appendix
3:
Demographic Treatises and Textbooks in
German
805
ALEXIA
FÜRNKRANZ-PRSKAWETZ
Appendix
4:
Demographic Treatises and Textbooks
in Spanish
809
ROSA GÓMEZ REDONDO
AND
MARÍA
EUGENIA
COSÍO-ZAVALA
Appendix
5:
Demographic Treatises and Textbooks
in Portuguese
815
ELZA BERQUÓ
Appendix
6:
Demographic Treatises and Textbooks
in Dutch
817
GIJS BEETS AND
/OLANDE SIEBENGA
Appendix
7:
Demographic Textbooks in
Japanese
821
SHIGEMI KONO
Appendix
8:
A Selection of Demographic Treatises
and Textbooks Published in Other Languages
or Other Countries
823
MARTINE DEVILLE
CHAPTER
139
Demographic Textbooks and Treatises:
Some Considerations
779
ANNUNZIATA
NOBILE
AND
ALESSANDRA DE
ROSE
I. European Textbooks During "Wild
Demography's" Years
780
II. The '50's and '60's: Demography as a Global
Science
781
III. The '70's: Demography in the Limelight
783
IV. Demography and Demographies: Textbooks
Since the '80's
785
V. Future Horizons: Textbooks and Manuals in the
New Millennium
790
Appendix
1:
Demographic Textbooks and Treatises in
English, French, and Italian
793
Appendix
2:
Teaching Demography in the Russian
Language
799
ALEXANDRE
AVDEEV AND MARIA AVDEEVA
CHAPTER
140
Demography Teaching and Rresearch
825
DIONISIA MAFFIOLI
I. Understanding Demographic Behaviors
828
II. Participating in Social Management
830
III. Developing Abilities of Interest for
Business
832
IV. Teaching Demography
833
V. Pre-University Training and
Popularization
837
XIV
Contents
CHAPTER
CHAPTER
141
Advantages and Limitations of
Demographic Software and
Simulation Programs
841
ANTONELLA PINNELLI AND ANNA-MARIA BimNDELLI
I. Using Software for Teaching Demography
II. Demographic Software: Inventory and
Characteristics
844
III. Criteria for Evaluating Demographic
Software
850
CHAPTER
142
Centers of Demographic Research
and Teaching
853
DIONISIA MAFFIOLI
I. The Origin of Institutions Devoted to
Demography
854
II. The Current Situation
861
III. University Centers of Training and
Demographic Research
863
842
143
Demography Viewed
by Demographers
871
MICHEL LORIAUX AND
TANIA
VISHNIEVSKAIA
I. A Rather Peculiar Survey
872
IL A
Discipline Torn Between Its Historical
Divisions
875
III. A Stroll Through Demographers' Geographic,
Linguistic, and Institutional Space
879
IV. Multiplicity of Study Themes
879
V. Demography's Major Factors of Change
883
VI. Between Paradigms and Methods: Putting
Demographers' Tools to the Test
884
VII. A
Discipline in Crisis or a Developing Science:
Does Demography Still Have a Future?
INDEX
893 |
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spelling | Demography analysis and synthesis ; [a treatise in population studies] 4 Graziella Caselli ... With contributions by Daniel Courgeau ... 2006 Elsevier XXIV, 977 S. graph. Darst., Kt. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Demographie (DE-588)4011412-0 gnd rswk-swf (DE-588)4143413-4 Aufsatzsammlung gnd-content Demographie (DE-588)4011412-0 s DE-604 Caselli, Graziella Sonstige oth Courgeau, Daniel Sonstige oth (DE-604)BV021316195 4 Digitalisierung UB Regensburg application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=014636683&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
spellingShingle | Demography analysis and synthesis ; [a treatise in population studies] Demographie (DE-588)4011412-0 gnd |
subject_GND | (DE-588)4011412-0 (DE-588)4143413-4 |
title | Demography analysis and synthesis ; [a treatise in population studies] |
title_auth | Demography analysis and synthesis ; [a treatise in population studies] |
title_exact_search | Demography analysis and synthesis ; [a treatise in population studies] |
title_exact_search_txtP | Demography analysis and synthesis ; [a treatise in population studies] |
title_full | Demography analysis and synthesis ; [a treatise in population studies] 4 Graziella Caselli ... With contributions by Daniel Courgeau ... |
title_fullStr | Demography analysis and synthesis ; [a treatise in population studies] 4 Graziella Caselli ... With contributions by Daniel Courgeau ... |
title_full_unstemmed | Demography analysis and synthesis ; [a treatise in population studies] 4 Graziella Caselli ... With contributions by Daniel Courgeau ... |
title_short | Demography |
title_sort | demography analysis and synthesis a treatise in population studies |
title_sub | analysis and synthesis ; [a treatise in population studies] |
topic | Demographie (DE-588)4011412-0 gnd |
topic_facet | Demographie Aufsatzsammlung |
url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=014636683&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
volume_link | (DE-604)BV021316195 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT caselligraziella demographyanalysisandsynthesisatreatiseinpopulationstudies4 AT courgeaudaniel demographyanalysisandsynthesisatreatiseinpopulationstudies4 |