Crises in Emerging Market economies: a global perspective
"The paper argues that global financial factors played an important role in the capital-inflow episode in Emerging Market economies (EMs), during the early part of the 1990s, and clearly in the Sudden Stop (of capital inflows) crises that took place after the 1998 Russian crisis. Moreover, the...
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Format: | Buch |
Sprache: | English |
Veröffentlicht: |
Cambridge, Mass.
National Bureau of Economic Research
2005
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Schriftenreihe: | National Bureau of Economic Research <Cambridge, Mass.>: NBER working paper series
11305 |
Schlagworte: | |
Online-Zugang: | Volltext |
Zusammenfassung: | "The paper argues that global financial factors played an important role in the capital-inflow episode in Emerging Market economies (EMs), during the early part of the 1990s, and clearly in the Sudden Stop (of capital inflows) crises that took place after the 1998 Russian crisis. Moreover, the paper shows that recovery after crises that exhibit large output loss (more than 5 percent of GDP from peak to trough) occurs in a Phoenix-like fashion: little credit or investment is required. These results strongly suggest that: (1) deep financial crises can be prevented or at least largely alleviated and (2) global institutions and arrangements should be high on the policy agenda. The paper then discusses an Emerging Market Fund (EMF) charged with the task of lowering the incidence of contagion in EM bond prices. In addition, the paper analyzes domestic policies and concludes that they are critical and important in making EMs less vulnerable to shocks but are unlikely to succeed in fully shielding these economies from global financial shocks if not supported by arrangements like the EMF. Finally, two sections of the paper are devoted to discussing some current issues regarding applicable theory and econometrics"--National Bureau of Economic Research web site. |
Beschreibung: | 40 S. graph. Darst. |
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490 | 1 | |a National Bureau of Economic Research <Cambridge, Mass.>: NBER working paper series |v 11305 | |
520 | 3 | |a "The paper argues that global financial factors played an important role in the capital-inflow episode in Emerging Market economies (EMs), during the early part of the 1990s, and clearly in the Sudden Stop (of capital inflows) crises that took place after the 1998 Russian crisis. Moreover, the paper shows that recovery after crises that exhibit large output loss (more than 5 percent of GDP from peak to trough) occurs in a Phoenix-like fashion: little credit or investment is required. These results strongly suggest that: (1) deep financial crises can be prevented or at least largely alleviated and (2) global institutions and arrangements should be high on the policy agenda. The paper then discusses an Emerging Market Fund (EMF) charged with the task of lowering the incidence of contagion in EM bond prices. In addition, the paper analyzes domestic policies and concludes that they are critical and important in making EMs less vulnerable to shocks but are unlikely to succeed in fully shielding these economies from global financial shocks if not supported by arrangements like the EMF. Finally, two sections of the paper are devoted to discussing some current issues regarding applicable theory and econometrics"--National Bureau of Economic Research web site. | |
650 | 4 | |a Entwicklungsländer | |
650 | 4 | |a Ökonometrisches Modell | |
650 | 4 | |a Financial crises |z Developing countries |x Econometric models | |
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999 | |a oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-013366867 |
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author | Calvo, Guillermo 1941- |
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id | DE-604.BV020045857 |
illustrated | Illustrated |
indexdate | 2024-07-09T20:11:36Z |
institution | BVB |
language | English |
oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-013366867 |
oclc_num | 60395207 |
open_access_boolean | 1 |
owner | DE-703 DE-521 DE-19 DE-BY-UBM |
owner_facet | DE-703 DE-521 DE-19 DE-BY-UBM |
physical | 40 S. graph. Darst. |
publishDate | 2005 |
publishDateSearch | 2005 |
publishDateSort | 2005 |
publisher | National Bureau of Economic Research |
record_format | marc |
series | National Bureau of Economic Research <Cambridge, Mass.>: NBER working paper series |
series2 | National Bureau of Economic Research <Cambridge, Mass.>: NBER working paper series |
spelling | Calvo, Guillermo 1941- Verfasser (DE-588)124774679 aut Crises in Emerging Market economies a global perspective Guillermo A. Calvo Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 2005 40 S. graph. Darst. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier National Bureau of Economic Research <Cambridge, Mass.>: NBER working paper series 11305 "The paper argues that global financial factors played an important role in the capital-inflow episode in Emerging Market economies (EMs), during the early part of the 1990s, and clearly in the Sudden Stop (of capital inflows) crises that took place after the 1998 Russian crisis. Moreover, the paper shows that recovery after crises that exhibit large output loss (more than 5 percent of GDP from peak to trough) occurs in a Phoenix-like fashion: little credit or investment is required. These results strongly suggest that: (1) deep financial crises can be prevented or at least largely alleviated and (2) global institutions and arrangements should be high on the policy agenda. The paper then discusses an Emerging Market Fund (EMF) charged with the task of lowering the incidence of contagion in EM bond prices. In addition, the paper analyzes domestic policies and concludes that they are critical and important in making EMs less vulnerable to shocks but are unlikely to succeed in fully shielding these economies from global financial shocks if not supported by arrangements like the EMF. Finally, two sections of the paper are devoted to discussing some current issues regarding applicable theory and econometrics"--National Bureau of Economic Research web site. Entwicklungsländer Ökonometrisches Modell Financial crises Developing countries Econometric models International finance Erscheint auch als Online-Ausgabe National Bureau of Economic Research <Cambridge, Mass.>: NBER working paper series 11305 (DE-604)BV002801238 11305 http://papers.nber.org/papers/w11305.pdf kostenfrei Volltext |
spellingShingle | Calvo, Guillermo 1941- Crises in Emerging Market economies a global perspective National Bureau of Economic Research <Cambridge, Mass.>: NBER working paper series Entwicklungsländer Ökonometrisches Modell Financial crises Developing countries Econometric models International finance |
title | Crises in Emerging Market economies a global perspective |
title_auth | Crises in Emerging Market economies a global perspective |
title_exact_search | Crises in Emerging Market economies a global perspective |
title_full | Crises in Emerging Market economies a global perspective Guillermo A. Calvo |
title_fullStr | Crises in Emerging Market economies a global perspective Guillermo A. Calvo |
title_full_unstemmed | Crises in Emerging Market economies a global perspective Guillermo A. Calvo |
title_short | Crises in Emerging Market economies |
title_sort | crises in emerging market economies a global perspective |
title_sub | a global perspective |
topic | Entwicklungsländer Ökonometrisches Modell Financial crises Developing countries Econometric models International finance |
topic_facet | Entwicklungsländer Ökonometrisches Modell Financial crises Developing countries Econometric models International finance |
url | http://papers.nber.org/papers/w11305.pdf |
volume_link | (DE-604)BV002801238 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT calvoguillermo crisesinemergingmarketeconomiesaglobalperspective |