Pension reform and economic theory: a non-orthodox analysis
Gespeichert in:
| 1. Verfasser: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Buch |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Cheltenham [u.a.]
Elgar
2005
|
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Beschreibung: | Includes bibliographical references and index |
| Beschreibung: | XII, 365 S. |
| ISBN: | 1840643641 |
Internformat
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| 264 | 1 | |a Cheltenham [u.a.] |b Elgar |c 2005 | |
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| 650 | 4 | |a Aging - Economic aspects | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Old age pensions - Finance | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Pensions - Finance | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Social security - Economic aspects | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Soziale Sicherheit | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Old age pensions |x Finance | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Pensions |x Finance | |
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| 650 | 4 | |a Social security |x Economic aspects | |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
| _version_ | 1804133555923582976 |
|---|---|
| adam_text | Contents
List of Tables viii
List of Figures x
List of Abbreviations xl
Acknowledgements xn
Introduction
1. Alternative Views of PAYG as a Social Institution 16
1.1 Introduction 16
1.2 Origin of Retirement as a Social Institution 18
1.3 Private and Social Insurances 25
1.4 The Insurance Fiction in Practice: The Political Legitimacy
of PAYG 21
1.5 The Insurance Fiction in Theory: Samuelson s Model 31
1.6 The Samuelson Lerner Controversy 36
1.7 The Post Samuelson Lerner Debate 38
1.8 Moral Social Habits and Social Transfers 42
1.9 Final Remarks 43
2. Re engineering PAYG: The Controversy over the Notional Defined
Contribution Reforms
2.1 Introduction 52
2.2 Archetypal Accounting Structures of PAYG 54
2.3 Notional Defined Contribution Reforms 60
2.4 Criticism of the NDC scheme 74
2.5 The Italian NDC Reform 80
2.6 Final Remarks 84
3. The Conventional Interpretation of a Fully Funded Scheme and
on
Capital Theory w
3.1 Introduction 90
3.2 Description of a Fully Fledged FF Scheme 93
3.3 FF Schemes and Capital Theory 95
3.4 The Rates of Return of FF and PAYG Schemes 99
3.5 Equivalent Schemes Vis a Vis a Demographic Shock 101
V
vi Pension Reform and Economic Theory
3.6 Alternative Pension Schemes and Savings in an Imperfect
Design Context 117
3.7 Final Remarks 123
Appendix 3.1: Simple Formal Exposition and Simulations of the
Demographic Shocks in a Neoclassical FF Scheme 131
Appendix 3.2: Economies Indifferent between PAYG and FF
Schemes 139
4. The Transition from PA YG to FF Schemes 142
4.1 Introduction 142
4.2 The Transition to Capitalization and the Savings Rate 145
4.3 Two Kinds of Transition Plans 149
4.4 Alleged Advantages of Disguised PA YG 154
4.5 Divergent Interpretations of the Chilean Reform 161
4.6 Modigliani s and Feldstein s Transition Plans 163
4.7 Pension Funds and the Savings Paradox 165
4.8 Final Remarks 169
Appendix 4.1: A World Bank Example of a False Transition to an
FF System 175
Appendix 4.2: On Feldstein s Transition Plans 178
5. The Controversy over the Social Security Surplus 185
5.1 Introduction 185
5.2 The Social Security Surplus in National Accounts 185
5.3 Interpretations of the Social Security Trust Fund 186
5.4 An Appraisal of the Controversy 188
5.5 Final Remarks 192
Appendix 5.1: Severance Pay and the Creation of an FF Scheme in
Italy 196
6. The Classical Keynesian Macroeconomics of Pension Reform in
Closed and Open Economies 198
6.1 Introduction 198
6.2 The Theory of Effective Demand in the Short and in the
Long Period 200
6.3 Pension Transfers and Demand Led Growth 202
6.4 The Impact of the Demographic Shocks in the Light of the
Theory of Effective Demand 204
6.5 A Classical Proposal of an FF Reform 207
6.6 A World of Investment Opportunities: Emerging Markets
and Endogenous Growth 212
6.7 A Keynesian View of International Capital Flows 218
6.8 Final Remarks 220
Contents vii
7. Classical and Neoclassical Perspectives on the Welfare State and
Pensions 227
7.1 Introduction 227
7.2 The Classical Theory of Distribution 229
7.3 Lineages of a Classical Approach to the Welfare State 231
7.4 Public and Private Provision of Social Wage Goods 235
7.5 The Classical View of the Incidence of Payroll Taxation 238
7.6 The Net Distributive Role of the State 239
7.7 Classical and Neoclassical Approaches 239
7.8 Dissatisfaction with Welfare Economics 241
7.9 Classical and Neoclassical Views of Pensions 242
7.10 The Classical Approach and the Political and Moral Economy
Views of Pensions 245
7.11 Final Remarks 246
8. The Viability of an Ageing Society: A Classical Exploration 252
8.1 Introduction 252
8.2 Stylized Demographic Trends 255
8.3 Ageing and the Labour Market 268
8.4 Ageing and the Cost of PAYG 282
8.5 Final Remarks 293
Appendix 8.1: Keynes on Population Decline 301
9. Summary of the Main Arguments 303
9.1 Introduction 303
9.2 Alternative Views of PAYG 304
9.3 Actuarial Anaesthesia ? The NDC Reforms 308
9.4 Fully Funded Reforms 312
9.5 The Economic Impact of Ageing on the Labour Market and
on the Sustainability of PA YG 318
9.6 The Interpretation and the Future of PAYG in the Classical
Keynesian View 325
References 333
Index 350
Tables
2.1 Notional defined contribution scheme 65
2.2 Tendency adjustment in an NDC scheme after a fall in
employment growth 67
2.3 Increased longevity in an NDC scheme 70
2.4 Increased longevity and retirement age in an NDC scheme 72
3.1 Simulation of the secular equilibrium of a neoclassical
stationary economy with an FF scheme 95
3.2 Feldstein s calculations of the effects of an increase of 60 per
cent in the capital stock 100
3.3 Simulation of the adjustment to a baby bust in a neoclassical
stationary economy with an FF scheme 103
3.4 Simulation of the adjustment to a baby bust in a neoclassical
stationary economy with a PAYG scheme (government
intervention) 110
3.5 Simulation of the adjustment to a baby bust in a neoclassical
stationary economy with a PAYG scheme (no government
intervention) 110
3.6 Simulation of the adjustment to a baby bust in a stationary
economy with an FF reform 112
3.7 Simulation of the effects of increased longevity in a
neoclassical economy with an FF scheme 115
3.8 Simulation of a postponement of retirement age in a
neoclassical stationary economy with an FF scheme 116
A3.1.1 Simulation of the adjustment of a growing and then declining
neoclassical stationary economy with an FF scheme 137
A3.2.1 Neoclassical secular equilibrium of Table 3.1 with PAYG and
different ownership of the capital stock 140
4.1 Castellino and Fornero s debt financed transition plan 153
4.2 Effective rate of return on government bonds issued under a
debt financed reform 156
4.3 Feldstein Modigliani s style transition model 164
A4.1.1 A World Bank example of a presumed transition to a two
pillar system 176
A4.2.1 Feldstein s transition plan revisited 180
viii
Tables ix
A4.2.2 Feldstein and Liebman s (2001) original illustration of their
transition plan 183
6.1 Simulation of pension saving flows to southern countries in a
neoclassical economy with an FF scheme 215
6.2 Pension saving flows to southern countries in a neoclassical
economy with an FF scheme 217
8.1 Evolution of the world population. Alternative UN scenarios
by regions 259
8.2 Past and expected population trends by regions 261
8.3 Impact of migration flows: alternative UN scenarios 266
8.4 Evolution of labour supply 2000 50 (percentage changes).
OECD projections 269
8.5 Evolution of participation rates in OECD countries 2000 50
(percentage changes). OECD projections 271
8.6 Old age and total dependency ratios 2000 50 (percentage
changes). OECD projections 273
8.7 Old age pension spending 2000 50 (percentage changes).
OECD projections 284
Figures
I.I Classification of pension systems 13
1.1 Optimal saving consumption decision with zero interest rate 32
1.2 Optimal saving consumption decision with a positive interest
rate 33
2.1 Elementary illustration of a PAYG scheme 55
3.1 Classification of the effects on savings of the introduction of
a PAYG scheme 121
A3.1.1 A K s and Solow s graphical illustrations of economic growth 133
4.1 Simple illustration of a narrow prefunded scheme 151
6.1 Effects of a decline in population growth in a rich country on
the poverty trap in a poor country 213
7.1 Direct and indirect income distribution in the classical
approach 234
x
|
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| spelling | Cesaratto, Sergio 1955- Verfasser (DE-588)170386309 aut Pension reform and economic theory a non-orthodox analysis Sergio Cesaratto Cheltenham [u.a.] Elgar 2005 XII, 365 S. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Includes bibliographical references and index Aging - Economic aspects Old age pensions - Finance Pensions - Finance Social security - Economic aspects Soziale Sicherheit Old age pensions Finance Pensions Finance Aging Economic aspects Social security Economic aspects Rentenreform (DE-588)4049506-1 gnd rswk-swf Altersversorgung (DE-588)4001479-4 gnd rswk-swf Wirtschaftstheorie (DE-588)4079351-5 gnd rswk-swf Rentenfinanzierung (DE-588)4122330-5 gnd rswk-swf Reform (DE-588)4115716-3 gnd rswk-swf Bevölkerungsentwicklung (DE-588)4006292-2 gnd rswk-swf Altersversorgung (DE-588)4001479-4 s Reform (DE-588)4115716-3 s Bevölkerungsentwicklung (DE-588)4006292-2 s DE-604 Rentenfinanzierung (DE-588)4122330-5 s Rentenreform (DE-588)4049506-1 s Wirtschaftstheorie (DE-588)4079351-5 s DE-188 HBZ Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=013325328&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Cesaratto, Sergio 1955- Pension reform and economic theory a non-orthodox analysis Aging - Economic aspects Old age pensions - Finance Pensions - Finance Social security - Economic aspects Soziale Sicherheit Old age pensions Finance Pensions Finance Aging Economic aspects Social security Economic aspects Rentenreform (DE-588)4049506-1 gnd Altersversorgung (DE-588)4001479-4 gnd Wirtschaftstheorie (DE-588)4079351-5 gnd Rentenfinanzierung (DE-588)4122330-5 gnd Reform (DE-588)4115716-3 gnd Bevölkerungsentwicklung (DE-588)4006292-2 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4049506-1 (DE-588)4001479-4 (DE-588)4079351-5 (DE-588)4122330-5 (DE-588)4115716-3 (DE-588)4006292-2 |
| title | Pension reform and economic theory a non-orthodox analysis |
| title_auth | Pension reform and economic theory a non-orthodox analysis |
| title_exact_search | Pension reform and economic theory a non-orthodox analysis |
| title_full | Pension reform and economic theory a non-orthodox analysis Sergio Cesaratto |
| title_fullStr | Pension reform and economic theory a non-orthodox analysis Sergio Cesaratto |
| title_full_unstemmed | Pension reform and economic theory a non-orthodox analysis Sergio Cesaratto |
| title_short | Pension reform and economic theory |
| title_sort | pension reform and economic theory a non orthodox analysis |
| title_sub | a non-orthodox analysis |
| topic | Aging - Economic aspects Old age pensions - Finance Pensions - Finance Social security - Economic aspects Soziale Sicherheit Old age pensions Finance Pensions Finance Aging Economic aspects Social security Economic aspects Rentenreform (DE-588)4049506-1 gnd Altersversorgung (DE-588)4001479-4 gnd Wirtschaftstheorie (DE-588)4079351-5 gnd Rentenfinanzierung (DE-588)4122330-5 gnd Reform (DE-588)4115716-3 gnd Bevölkerungsentwicklung (DE-588)4006292-2 gnd |
| topic_facet | Aging - Economic aspects Old age pensions - Finance Pensions - Finance Social security - Economic aspects Soziale Sicherheit Old age pensions Finance Pensions Finance Aging Economic aspects Social security Economic aspects Rentenreform Altersversorgung Wirtschaftstheorie Rentenfinanzierung Reform Bevölkerungsentwicklung |
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