A climate modelling primer:
Gespeichert in:
| Hauptverfasser: | , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Buch |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Hoboken, N.J. [u.a.]
J. Wiley
2005
|
| Ausgabe: | 3. ed. |
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Table of contents Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Beschreibung: | Includes bibliographical references and index |
| Beschreibung: | XIV, 280 S. Ill., graph. Darst. 1 CD-ROM (12 cm) |
| ISBN: | 0470857501 047085751X |
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| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a A climate modelling primer |c Kendal McGuffie and Ann Henderson-Sellers |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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| adam_text | Titel: A climate modelling primer
Autor: McGuffie, Kendal
Jahr: 2005
Contents
Preface.................................................. xiii
Acknowledgements ......................................... xv
CHAPTER 1 Climate ..................................... 1
1.1 The components of climate............................... 1
Introduction and outline of the book................... 3
The climate system ............................... 5
1.2 Climate change assessment............................... 7
1.2.1 The scientific perspective........................... 9
1.2.2 The human perspective ............................ 13
1.2.3 Isotopes and climate .............................. 18
1.3 Climate forcings....................................... 22
1.3.1 External causes of climatic change.................... 23
Milankovitch variations............................ 23
Solar activity.................................... 25
Other external factors ............................. 26
1.3.2 Internal factors: human-induced changes................ 26
Greenhouse gases ................................ 26
Tropospheric aerosols and clouds..................... 27
Stratospheric ozone............................... 27
Land-surface changes ............................. 29
1.3.3 Internal factors: natural changes...................... 31
Volcanic eruptions................................ 31
Ocean circulation changes.......................... 33
1.4 Climate feedbacks and sensitivity .......................... 35
1.4.1 The ice-albedo feedback mechanism................... 36
1.4.2 The water vapour greenhouse ...................... 36
1.4.3 Cloud feedbacks ................................. 36
1.4.4 Combining feedback effects......................... 38
1.5 Range of questions for climate modelling .................... 42
Recommended reading ...................................... 43
Web resources ........................................ 45
viu CONTENTS
CHAPTER 2 A History of and Introduction to Climate Models..... 47
2.1 Introducing climate modelling............................. 47
The need for simplification.......................... 47
Resolution in time and space ........................ 48
2.2 Types of climate models................................. 49
2.2.1 Energy balance climate models ...................... 52
2.2.2 One-dimensional radiative-convective climate models...... 53
2.2.3 Dimensionally-constrained climate models .............. 54
2.2.4 General circulation models.......................... 55
2.2.5 Stable isotopes and interactive biogeochemistry .......... 59
2.3 History of climate modelling.............................. 63
2.4 Sensitivity of climate models ............................. 66
Equilibrium climatic states.......................... 67
Stability of model results ........................... 68
Equilibrium conditions and transitivity of climate
systems........................................ 69
Measures of climate model sensitivity.................. 70
2.5 Parameterization of climatic processes....................... 72
Interactions in the climate system..................... 73
The need for observations .......................... 76
2.6 Simulation of the full, interacting climate system: one goal of
modelling............................................ 76
Recommended reading ...................................... 77
Web resources ........................................ 78
CHAPTER 3 Energy Balance Models......................... 81
3.1 Balancing the planetary radiation budget..................... 81
3.2 The structure of energy balance models...................... 82
3.2.1 Zero-dimensional EBMs ........................... 82
3.2.2 One-dimensional EBMs............................ 85
3.3 Parameterizing the climate system for energy balance models...... 86
Albedo ........................................ 87
Outgoing infrared radiation......................... 88
Heat transport................................... 88
3.4 BASIC models ........................................ 89
3.4.1 A BASIC EBM.................................. 89
Description of the EBM............................ 89
EBM model code................................. 96
3.4.2 BASIC geophysiology............................. 96
3.5 Energy balance models and glacial cycles .................... 99
3.5.1 Milankovitch cycles............................... 101
3.5.2 Snowball Earth .................................. 103
3.6 Box models - another form of energy balance model............ 105
CONTENTS ix
3.6.1 Zonal box models that maximize planetary entropy........ 106
3.6.2 A simple box model of the ocean-atmosphere............ 108
3.6.3 A coupled atmosphere, land and ocean energy balance box
model......................................... Ill
3.7 Energy balance models: deceptively simple models ............. 113
Recommended reading ...................................... 115
Web resources ........................................ 116
CHAPTER 4 Intermediate Complexity Models.................. 117
4.1 Why lower complexity? ................................. 117
4.2 One-dimensional radiative-convective models................. 121
The structure of global radiative-convective models ....... 122
4.3 Radiation: the driver of climate............................ 124
4.3.1 Shortwave radiation............................... 126
Albedo ........................................ 128
Shortwave radiation subject to scattering (RJ............ 128
Shortwave radiation subject to absorption (RJ........... 129
4.3.2 Longwave radiation............................... 131
4.3.3 Heat balance at the ground.......................... 133
4.4 Convective adjustment .................................. 134
4.5 Sensitivity experiments with radiative-convective models ........ 136
Sensitivity to humidity ............................. 137
Sensitivity to clouds............................... 138
Sensitivity to lapse rate selected for convective
adjustment...................................... 139
4.6 Development of radiative-convective models.................. 140
4.6.1 Cloud prediction applied to the early Earth.............. 140
Cloud prediction ................................. 140
Model sensitivity................................. 141
Regional and local applications...................... 142
4.6.2 Single column models............................. 143
4.7 Two-dimensional statistical dynamical climate models ........... 143
4.7.1 Parameterizations for two-dimensional modelling ......... 143
4.7.2 Column processes in two-dimensional statistical
dynamical (SD) models............................ 149
4.8 The EMIC spectrum.................................... 150
4.8.1 An upgraded energy balance model ................... 150
4.8.2 Multi-column RC models........................... 151
4.8.3 A severely truncated spectral general circulation climate
model......................................... 154
4.8.4 Repeating sectors in a global grid model .............. 155
4.8.5 A two-and-a-half-dimensional model: CLIMBER-2........ 156
4.8.6 McGill palaeoclimate model......................... 158
x CONTENTS
4.8.7 An all-aspects, severely truncated EMIC: MoBidiC........ 158
4.8.8 EMICs predict future release of radiocarbons from the
oceans......................................... 158
4.9 Why are some climate modellers Flatlanders? ................. 160
Recommended reading ...................................... 162
Web resources ........................................ 163
CHAPTER 5 Coupled Climate System Models................... 165
5.1 Three-dimensional models of the climate system ............... 165
5.2 Modelling the atmosphere................................ 166
5.2.1 Finite grid formulation of atmospheric models ........... 168
5.2.2 Spectral models.................................. 170
Representing the atmosphere with waves................ 171
Structure of a spectral model........................ 172
Truncation...................................... 174
5.2.3 Geodesic grids................................... 175
5.2.4 The influence of computer architecture on numerical
methods ....................................... 177
5.2.5 Atmospheric GCM components ...................... 178
Radiative transfer ................................ 179
Boundary layer.................................. 180
Cloud prediction ................................. 182
Convection processes.............................. 183
Précipitation.................................... 187
Gravity wave drag................................ 187
5.3 Modelling the ocean.................................... 188
5.3.1 Background..................................... 188
5.3.2 Formulation of three-dimensional ocean models .......... 190
Co-ordinate system ............................... 191
5.3.3 Validating ocean parameterization with 14C isotopie
simulation...................................... 195
5.4 Modelling the cryosphere ................................ 195
5.5 Modelling the land surface ............................... 199
5.6 Atmospheric chemistry.................................. 202
5.7 Coupling models: towards the predictive Earth system model...... 204
Climate drift and flux correction...................... 208
The cold start phenomenon ........................ 208
Model complexity comes full circle: using MAGICC...... 208
5.8 Earth system and climate models........................... 210
Recommended reading ...................................... 210
Web resources ........................................ 212
CHAPTER 6 Practical Climate Modelling ..................... 213
6.1 Working with climate models ............................. 213
6.2 Data interchange ...................................... 214
CONTENTS xi
6.3 Earth System Modelling Frameworks ....................... 216
6.4 Model evaluation ...................................... 218
6.4.1 Intercomparisons facilitated by technology.............. 219
6.4.2 AMIP and CMIP................................. 220
6.4.3 Radiation and cloud intercomparisons.................. 221
6.4.4 Project for Intercomparison of Land-surface Parameterization
Schemes (PILPS)................................. 222
6.4.5 Comparing carbon-cycle subcomponents of climate models . . 224
Isotopes quantify the global carbon budget.............. 226
6.4.6 More and more MIPs.............................. 228
6.4.7 Benefits gained from climate model intercomparisons...... 230
6.5 Exploitation of climate model predictions .................... 230
6.5.1 Expert assessment................................ 231
6.5.2 GCM experiments for specific applications.............. 232
Land use change................................. 232
Palaeoclimate and mineral deposits................... 234
6.5.3 Regional climate prediction ......................... 236
6.5.4 Policy development............................... 238
6.6 Integrated assessment models ............................. 239
6.7 The future of climate modelling ........................... 244
Recommended reading ...................................... 246
Web resources ........................................ 248
APPENDIX A Twentieth-century Classics...................... 249
EBMs and other simple models ..................... 249
Classic model experiments.......................... 250
Dynamics ...................................... 251
Clouds and radiation.............................. 251
The ocean...................................... 252
The land surface................................. 253
Coupled models.................................. 253
Sea ice and snow................................. 254
Novel ideas and applications: outside the box............ 254
Climate system .................................. 254
Palaeoclimate models ............................. 255
Feedbacks and forcings............................ 255
APPENDIX Â Glossary.................................... 257
APPENDIX C About the Primer CD.......................... 273
Index ................................................... 275
|
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| dewey-sort | 3551.6 11 11 |
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| discipline | Geowissenschaften Geologie / Paläontologie Physik Geographie |
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| isbn | 0470857501 047085751X |
| language | English |
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| spelling | McGuffie, Kendal Verfasser aut A climate modelling primer Kendal McGuffie and Ann Henderson-Sellers 3. ed. Hoboken, N.J. [u.a.] J. Wiley 2005 XIV, 280 S. Ill., graph. Darst. 1 CD-ROM (12 cm) txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Includes bibliographical references and index aClimatology xMathematical models Modell (DE-588)4039798-1 gnd rswk-swf Klima (DE-588)4031170-3 gnd rswk-swf Mathematisches Modell (DE-588)4114528-8 gnd rswk-swf Klimatologie (DE-588)4031178-8 gnd rswk-swf Modellierung (DE-588)4170297-9 gnd rswk-swf Klima (DE-588)4031170-3 s Klimatologie (DE-588)4031178-8 s Mathematisches Modell (DE-588)4114528-8 s Modellierung (DE-588)4170297-9 s 1\p DE-604 Modell (DE-588)4039798-1 s 2\p DE-604 Henderson-Sellers, Ann Verfasser aut http://www.loc.gov/catdir/toc/ecip0420/2004016112.html Table of contents HBZ Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=013195726&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis 1\p cgwrk 20201028 DE-101 https://d-nb.info/provenance/plan#cgwrk 2\p cgwrk 20201028 DE-101 https://d-nb.info/provenance/plan#cgwrk |
| spellingShingle | McGuffie, Kendal Henderson-Sellers, Ann A climate modelling primer aClimatology xMathematical models Modell (DE-588)4039798-1 gnd Klima (DE-588)4031170-3 gnd Mathematisches Modell (DE-588)4114528-8 gnd Klimatologie (DE-588)4031178-8 gnd Modellierung (DE-588)4170297-9 gnd |
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| title | A climate modelling primer |
| title_auth | A climate modelling primer |
| title_exact_search | A climate modelling primer |
| title_full | A climate modelling primer Kendal McGuffie and Ann Henderson-Sellers |
| title_fullStr | A climate modelling primer Kendal McGuffie and Ann Henderson-Sellers |
| title_full_unstemmed | A climate modelling primer Kendal McGuffie and Ann Henderson-Sellers |
| title_short | A climate modelling primer |
| title_sort | a climate modelling primer |
| topic | aClimatology xMathematical models Modell (DE-588)4039798-1 gnd Klima (DE-588)4031170-3 gnd Mathematisches Modell (DE-588)4114528-8 gnd Klimatologie (DE-588)4031178-8 gnd Modellierung (DE-588)4170297-9 gnd |
| topic_facet | aClimatology xMathematical models Modell Klima Mathematisches Modell Klimatologie Modellierung |
| url | http://www.loc.gov/catdir/toc/ecip0420/2004016112.html http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=013195726&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT mcguffiekendal aclimatemodellingprimer AT hendersonsellersann aclimatemodellingprimer |