Analysis of Sudan's agricultural trade under uncertainty:
Gespeichert in:
| 1. Verfasser: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Buch |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Aachen
Shaker
2004
|
| Schriftenreihe: | Berliner Schriften zur Agrar- und Umweltökonomik
8 |
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Beschreibung: | Zugl.: Berlin, Humboldt-Univ., Diss., 2004 |
| Beschreibung: | XVIII, 126 S. graph. Darst. |
| ISBN: | 3832228500 |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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| adam_text |
BERLINER SCHRIFTEN ZUR AGRAR- UND UMWELTOKONOMIK HERAUSGEGEBEN VON
DIETER KIRSCHKE, MARTIN ODENING, HARALD VON WITZKE HUMBOLDT-UNIVERSITAT
ZU BERLIN BAND 8 HANAA ABDEL HAMID IBRAHIM ANALYSIS OF SUDAN'S
AGRICULTURAL TRADE UNDER UNCERTAINTY SHAKER VERLAG AACHEN 2004 TABLE OF
CONTENTS ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS I TABLE OF CONTENTS HI LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS '
VII LIST OF FIGURES IX LIST OF TABLES XI LIST OF APPENDICES XIII SUMMARY
XV ZUSAMMENFASSUNG XVII 1. INTRODUCTION 1 1.1 INTRODUCTION 1 1.2 PROBLEM
SETTING 2 1.3 OBJECTIVES OF THE STUDY 4 1.4 STUDY OVERVIEW 4 2.
AGRICULTURAL TRADE IN SUDAN: AN OVERVIEW 7 2.1 INTRODUCTION 7 2.2
COMPOSITION OF SUDAN'S AGRICULTURAL TRADE 8 2.3 AGRICULTURAL EXPORT
COMMODITIES 9 2.3.1 COTTON 9 2.3.2 GUMARABIC 9 2.3.3 SESAME 10 2.3.4
GROUNDNUTS 11 2.3.5 SORGHUM 12 2.3.6 LIVESTOCK 13 2.4 WHEAT IMPORTS R 14
2.5 AGRICULTURAL POLICIES 15 SOURCES AND IMPLICATIONS OF UNCERTAINTY ON
AGRICULTURAL MARKETS 19 3.1 INTRODUCTION 19 3.2 SOURCES OF UNCERTAINTY
IN AGRICULTURE 20 3.2.1 PRICE UNCERTAINTY 20 3.2.2 PRODUCTION
UNCERTAINTY 21 3.2.3 GOVERNMENT INTERVENTION 21 3.3 SOME IMPLICATIONS OF
UNCERTAINTY 22 3.3.1 PRODUCER BEHAVIOR 22 3.3.2 CONSUMER BEHAVIOR 23
3.3.3 ACCESS TO CREDIT 24 3.4 TRADE POLICY, UNCERTAINTY AND INSTABILITY
OF AGRICULTURAL MARKETS 24 A MULTI-MARKET MODEL FOR SUDAN'S AGRICULTURE
UNDER UNCERTAINTY 29 4.1 INTRODUCTION 29 4.2 THE MULTI-MARKET APPROACH,
CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK AND MODEL SPECIFICATION 31 4.2.1 THE MODEL APPROACH
31 4.2.2 CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK AND MODEL SPECIFICATIONS 32 4.3 THE
MULTI-MARKET MODEL FOR SUDAN'S AGRICULTURE 32 4.3.1 SUPPLY AND DEMAND
EQUATIONS 3 3 4.3.2 PRICE EQUATIONS 34 4.3.3 WELFARE ANALYSIS 35 4.3.4
TOTAL AGRICULTURAL EXPORTS 37 4.3.5 TOTAL AGRICULTURAL IMPORTS 37 4.3.6
AGRICULTURAL BALANCE OF TRADE 38 4.3.7 CALIBRATION OF THE MULTI-MARKET
MODEL 38 4.4 EXPRESSING UNCERTAINTY IN SUDAN'S MULTI-MARKET MODEL 40
4.4.1 MEASUREMENT OF UNCERTAINTY 40 4.4.1.1 EXPRESSING UNCERTAINTY IN
THE MODEL 42 4.4.1.2 STOCHASTIC VARIABLE ESTIMATION 42 4.4.1.2.1
DOMESTIC SUPPLY 43 4.4.1.2.2 WORLD MARKET PRICES 45 4.4.2 CORRELATION
BETWEEN STOCHASTIC VARIABLES 47 4.5 MODEL SIMULATION 49 4.6 DATA SOURCES
AND MANAGEMENT 49 5. ANALYSIS OF SUDAN'S AGRICULTURAL TRADE UNDER
UNCERTAINTY AND WORLD POLICY SCENARIOS 51 5.1 SCENARIOS 51 5.1.1 BASE
SCENARIO 51 5.1.2 WORLD POLICY SCENARIOS 51 5.1.3 DOMESTIC POLICY
SCENARIOS 52 5.2 POLICY SITUATION IN THE BASE SIMULATION MODEL 53 5.3
BASE SCENARIO SIMULATION RESULTS 54 5.3.1 TRADE EFFECTS . 55 5.3.2
WELFARE EFFECTS 58 5.4 URUGUAY ROUND SCENARIO 1 (UR1) 62 5.4.1 TRADE
EFFECTS 63 5.4.2 WELFARE EFFECTS 66 5.5 URUGUAY ROUND SCENARIO 2 (UR2)
68 5.5.1 TRADE EFFECTS 68 5.5.2 WELFARE EFFECTS 71 5.6 SENSITIVITY
ANALYSIS 74 5.6.1 TRADE EFFECT 74 5.6.2 WELFARE EFFECT 77 6. ANALYSIS OF
SUDAN'S AGRICULTURAL TRADE UNDER UNCERTAINTY AND DOMESTIC POLICY
SCENARIOS 81 6.1 PARTIAL LIBERALIZATION POLICY SCENARIO 81 6.1.1 TRADE
EFFECTS 82 6.1.2 WELFARE EFFECTS 85 6.2 FULL LIBERALIZATION POLICY
SCENARIO 88 6.2.1 TRADE EFFECTS 88 6.2.2 WELFARE EFFECTS 91 7. SUMMARY,
CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS 95 REFERENCES 101 APPENDIX 105 |
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| geographic | Sudan (DE-588)4058378-8 gnd |
| geographic_facet | Sudan |
| id | DE-604.BV019675396 |
| illustrated | Illustrated |
| indexdate | 2024-08-10T01:41:35Z |
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| language | English |
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| physical | XVIII, 126 S. graph. Darst. |
| publishDate | 2004 |
| publishDateSearch | 2004 |
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| publisher | Shaker |
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| series | Berliner Schriften zur Agrar- und Umweltökonomik |
| series2 | Berliner Schriften zur Agrar- und Umweltökonomik |
| spelling | Ibrahim, Hanaa Abdel Hamid 1969- Verfasser (DE-588)129260681 aut Analysis of Sudan's agricultural trade under uncertainty Hanaa Abdel Hamid Ibrahim Aachen Shaker 2004 XVIII, 126 S. graph. Darst. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Berliner Schriften zur Agrar- und Umweltökonomik 8 Zugl.: Berlin, Humboldt-Univ., Diss., 2004 Landwirtschaft Agriculture Economic aspects Sudan Produce trade Sudan Liberalisierung (DE-588)4120670-8 gnd rswk-swf Exporterlös (DE-588)4127551-2 gnd rswk-swf Agrarexport (DE-588)4000752-2 gnd rswk-swf Außenhandel (DE-588)4003832-4 gnd rswk-swf Wohlfahrtseffekt (DE-588)4273396-0 gnd rswk-swf Sudan (DE-588)4058378-8 gnd rswk-swf (DE-588)4113937-9 Hochschulschrift gnd-content Sudan (DE-588)4058378-8 g Agrarexport (DE-588)4000752-2 s Exporterlös (DE-588)4127551-2 s Außenhandel (DE-588)4003832-4 s Liberalisierung (DE-588)4120670-8 s Wohlfahrtseffekt (DE-588)4273396-0 s DE-604 Berliner Schriften zur Agrar- und Umweltökonomik 8 (DE-604)BV014159975 8 GBV Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=013003505&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Ibrahim, Hanaa Abdel Hamid 1969- Analysis of Sudan's agricultural trade under uncertainty Berliner Schriften zur Agrar- und Umweltökonomik Landwirtschaft Agriculture Economic aspects Sudan Produce trade Sudan Liberalisierung (DE-588)4120670-8 gnd Exporterlös (DE-588)4127551-2 gnd Agrarexport (DE-588)4000752-2 gnd Außenhandel (DE-588)4003832-4 gnd Wohlfahrtseffekt (DE-588)4273396-0 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4120670-8 (DE-588)4127551-2 (DE-588)4000752-2 (DE-588)4003832-4 (DE-588)4273396-0 (DE-588)4058378-8 (DE-588)4113937-9 |
| title | Analysis of Sudan's agricultural trade under uncertainty |
| title_auth | Analysis of Sudan's agricultural trade under uncertainty |
| title_exact_search | Analysis of Sudan's agricultural trade under uncertainty |
| title_full | Analysis of Sudan's agricultural trade under uncertainty Hanaa Abdel Hamid Ibrahim |
| title_fullStr | Analysis of Sudan's agricultural trade under uncertainty Hanaa Abdel Hamid Ibrahim |
| title_full_unstemmed | Analysis of Sudan's agricultural trade under uncertainty Hanaa Abdel Hamid Ibrahim |
| title_short | Analysis of Sudan's agricultural trade under uncertainty |
| title_sort | analysis of sudan s agricultural trade under uncertainty |
| topic | Landwirtschaft Agriculture Economic aspects Sudan Produce trade Sudan Liberalisierung (DE-588)4120670-8 gnd Exporterlös (DE-588)4127551-2 gnd Agrarexport (DE-588)4000752-2 gnd Außenhandel (DE-588)4003832-4 gnd Wohlfahrtseffekt (DE-588)4273396-0 gnd |
| topic_facet | Landwirtschaft Agriculture Economic aspects Sudan Produce trade Sudan Liberalisierung Exporterlös Agrarexport Außenhandel Wohlfahrtseffekt Sudan Hochschulschrift |
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