Political choice in Britain:
Gespeichert in:
| Format: | Buch |
|---|---|
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Oxford [u.a.]
Oxford Univ. Press
2004
|
| Ausgabe: | 1. publ. |
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Beschreibung: | XIX, 371 S. graph. Darst. |
| ISBN: | 0199266549 019924488x |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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|---|---|
| adam_text | Contents
List of Figures xiv
List of Tables xvii
1. Political Choice in Britain 1
2. Theories and Models of Party Support 17
3. Party Support in Britain, 1964 2001 39
4. Electoral Choice in 2001 79
5. Electoral Choice and the 2001 Campaign 131
6. The Dynamics of Party Identification 175
7. Theories and Models of Turnout 217
8. The Decision (Not) to Vote 237
9. The 2001 Election and Democracy in Britain 279
10. Valence Politics 315
Appendix A: 2001 BES Data Used in this Book 329
Appendix B: BES Party Identification Questions, 1963 2001 337
Appendix C: Vote in 2001 by Socio Demographic Characteristics 340
Appendix D.Turnout by Socio Demographic Characteristics 342
References 345
Index 363
List of Figures
1.1 Vote shares, United Kingdom, 1945 2001 general elections 3
1.2 Voting turnout, United Kingdom, 1945—2001 general elections 4
3.1 Strength of party identification, 1964 2001 41
3.2 The decline of class voting, 1964 2001 general elections 43
3.3 Middle class support for Conservatives and working class support for
Labour, 1964 2001 general elections 45
3.4 Working class support for Conservatives and middle class support for
Labour, 1964 2001 general elections 46
3.5 Effects of socio demographic characteristics on Conservative versus
Labour voting, 1964 2001 general elections 47
3.6 Effects of social class and combined other socio demographic
characteristics on Conservative versus Labour voting, 1964—2001
general elections 48
3.7 Conservative support in middle and working classes,
January 1992 April 2001 49
3.8 Labour support in middle and working classes, January
1992 April 2001 49
3.9 Liberal Democrat support in middle and working classes,
January 1992 April 2001 50
3.10 Effects of social class and issue proximity on Conservative versus
Labour voting, 1964—2001 general elections 57
3.11 Effects of social class, leader competence and health, education,
and welfare issues on Conservative versus Labour voting, 1964—2001
general elections 59
3.12 Conservatives versus Labour as party best able to manage the economy,
January 1991 May 2001 63
3.13 Voting intentions: Conservative, Labour, and Liberal Democrat support
in public opinion polls, January 1992 May 2001 64
3.14 Effects of social class and other factors on Conservative versus Labour
voting, 1964 2001 general elections 65
4.1 Direction of party identification, 2001 80
4.2 Average distances between voters and parties on the left right and
tax spend dimensions 82
4.3 Electoral choice—sincere and tactical voting in the 2001 general election 83
4.4 Economic evaluations, 2001 85
List of Figures
4.5 Government performance evaluations, 2001 BES pre election survey 88
4.6 Feelings about party leaders in 2001 92
4.7 Party leader images in 2001 93
4.8 Effects of significant predictors on probability of voting labour,
composite voting model 113
4.9 Effects of significant predictors on probability of voting Conservative,
composite voting model 115
4.10 Effects of significant predictors on probability of voting Liberal
Democrat, composite voting model 116
4.11 Direct and Blair mediated effects of reactions to the economy on
probability of voting Labour among nonidentifiers and Labour party
identifiers 122
5.1 Exposure to the 2001 general election campaign 141
5.2 Number of contacts with party mobilizing activities during the 2001
general election campaign 144
5.3 Dynamics of vote intentions during the 2001 general
election campaign 146
5.4 Dynamics of feelings about party leaders during the 2001 general
election campaign 147
5.5 Dynamics of party best able to handle most important issue, 2001
general election campaign 148
5.6 Dynamics of party identification during the 2001 general election
campaign 150
5.7 Dynamics of strength of party identification during the 2001 general
election campaign 151
5.8 Dynamics of interest in the election during the 2001 general election
campaign 152
5.9 Candidate expenditures in 2001 by margin of victory in 1997 general
election, controlling for seats won and lost in 1997 157
6.1 Party identification, 1964 2001 177
6.2 Trend in strength of relationship between social class and party
identification 179
6.3 Trends in strength of party identification, 1964 2001 180
6.4 Dynamics of party identification in four wave panels, 1963—2001 186
6.5 Stability of party identification across panel by initial party
identification 187
6.6 Sizes of mover and stayer groups estimated by mixed Markov
latent class models 193
6.7 Dynamics of party identification, January 1992 December 2002 204
6.8 Trends in party identification, January 1992 December 2002 205
8.1 Social trust: people can be trusted or cannot be too careful 241
List of Figures
8.2 Social trust: people are fair or take advantage 241
8.3 Extent of voluntary activity past few years 243
8.4 Perceived political influence scale 244
8.5 Differential party benefits index 249
8.6 Effects of significant predictors on probability of voting, composite
turnout model 260
8.7 Party positions on left right ideological scale, 1945 2001 265
8.8 Sense of civic duty across political generations 272
9.1 Indicators of political engagement, 1964 2001 285
9.2 Voting is a civic duty, 1994 2001 287
9.3 Democracy satisfaction in Britain, 1973 2001 293
9.4 Percentage believing membership in European Union has been
good for Britain, 1973 2000 296
9.5 Democracy satisfaction in England, Scotland, and Wales, 1973 2001 301
List of Tables
2.1 Confirmatory factor analyses of party leader images 31
3.1 Class voting, 1964 and 2001 42
3.2 Average scores on nationalization privatization scales, 1987 97 54
3.3 Average scores on increase taxes and services versus reduce taxes and
services scales, 1987 2001 55
3.4 Voting behaviour and proximity of parties to voter on reduce
taxation versus increase services scale, 1987 56
3.5 Party best able to manage the economy, 1964—91 62
3.6 Models of Conservative, Labour, and Liberal (Democrat) voting,
1966,1992,1997 66
3.7 Annual and pooled models of party support, 1992 2001 71
4.1 Most important election issue in 2001 general election and party
best able to handle it 90
4.2 Logit models of the effects of social class on voting in the 2001
general election 96
4.3 Logit models of the effects of socio demographic characteristics on
voting in the 2001 general election 98
4.4 Rival models of Labour versus other party voting in the 2001
general election 99
4.5 Rival logit models of Conservative voting in the 2001 general
election 101
4.6 Rival logit models of Liberal Democrat voting in the 2001 general
election 102
4.7 Goodness of fit statistics for rival models of electoral choice 104
4.8 Encompassing tests, rival models of voting for Labour versus
other parties 106
4.9 Encompassing tests, rival models of voting for the Conservatives,
Liberal Democrats, or other parties 107
4.10 Binomial and multinomial logit models of voting in the 2001
general election, composite specification 109
4.11 Tests of party leader effects on voting 117
4.12 Factors affecting feelings about party leaders 119
5.1 Spatial and temporal dimensions of the 2001 general
election campaign 135
5.2 Changes in turnout and Labour vote share between 1997 and 2001
by marginality of seats captured by Labour in 1997 140
List of Tables
5.3 Changes in turnout and Conservative vote share between 1997
and 2001 by marginality of seats captured by Conservatives in 1997 140
5.4 Exposure to the 2001 general election campaign 142
5.5 Conversion and reinforcement in constituency campaigns 143
5.6 Pre campaign vote intentions and voting behaviour in 2001 145
5.7 Candidate expenditures in 2001 154
5.8 Effects of constituency marginality on candidate expenditures 155
5.9 Logit model of constituency level campaign effects on Labour vote 159
5.10 Logit model of constituency level campaign effects on
Conservative vote 159
5.11 Logit model of constituency level campaign effects on Liberal
Democrat vote 160
5.12 Logit models of constituency level and other campaign effects on
Labour vote 163
5.13 Logit models of constituency level and other campaign effects
on Conservative vote 165
5.14 Logit models of constituency level and other campaign effects on
Liberal Democrat vote 167
5.15 Logit model of constituency level campaign effects on tactical voting 171
6.1 Percentages of very strong party identifiers among groups of voters
first entering the electorate between 1945 and 2001 183
6.2 Mean strength of party identification among groups of voters first
entering the electorate between 1945 and 2001 184
6.3 Patterns of changing party identification and changing party images
in panel surveys 189
6.4 Mixed Markov latent class model of the dynamics of party
identification, 1997 2000 four wave panel 191
6.5 Mixed Markov latent class model of the dynamics of party identification,
1992 96 four wave panel 192
6.6 Mixed Markov latent class model of the dynamics of party identification,
1963 70 four wave panel 194
6.7 Rival mixed Markov latent class models of the dynamics of party
identification 195
6.8 Responses to traditional party identification question and alternative
party supporter question 198
6.9 Models of the individual level dynamics of party identification 201
6.10 Estimates of the fractional differencing parameter, d 207
6.11 Error correction models of Labour party identification,
April 1992 December 2002 208
6.12 Error correction models of Conservative party identification,
April 1992 December 2002 210
7.1 Political participation in Britain 221
List of Tables
7.2 Confirmatory factor analysis of four factor model of political
participation 223
8.1 Indicators in the equity fairness model 239
8.2 Indicators in the civic voluntarism model 245
8.3 Indicators in the cognitive mobilization model 246
8.4 Costs of political participation 250
8.5 Additional indicators in the general incentives model 251
8.6 Rival models of turnout in the 2001 general election 253
8.7 Comparison of the performance of rival models of turnout 257
8.8 Encompassing tests of rival models of turnout 258
8.9 Composite model of turnout in the 2001 general election 259
8.10 Effects of inter party competition and ideological proximity
on turnout in 1945 2001 general elections 267
8.11 Percentages of people first entering the electorate between
1970 and 2001 voting in successive general elections 269
8.12 Age and turnout in 2001: logit estimates of life cycle and
generational effects 271
8.13 Age and civic duty in 2001: OLS estimates of life cycle and
generational effects 272
9.1 Political efficacy, 1963 2001 286
9.2 Willingness to engage in various political activities, 1973—2001 288
9.3 Beliefs about political parties, 2001 289
9.4 Feelings about political parties, 1974 2001 290
9.5 Beliefs about elections, 2001 290
9.6 Beliefs about democracy in Britain, 2001 291
9.7 Attitudes towards political institutions, 1974 2001 294
9.8 Attitudes towards forces from above: the EC/EU and
globalization, 1964 2001 295
9.9 National identity versus British identity, 1979 2001 298
9.10 Attitudes towards forces from below: support for devolution
options, 1979 2001 299
9.11 Mean scores on political orientation scales, 2001 300
9.12 Possible influences on satisfaction with democracy 303
9.13 Ordered logit model of satisfaction with democracy
in Britain, 2001 306
9.14 Democracy satisfaction scenarios: probabilities of having
different levels of democracy satisfaction 308
10.1 The dynamics of electoral choice: single factor scenarios 323
10.2 The dynamics of electoral choice: multiple factor scenarios 324
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| genre_facet | Statistik 1964-2001 |
| geographic | Großbritannien Großbritannien (DE-588)4022153-2 gnd |
| geographic_facet | Großbritannien |
| id | DE-604.BV019295900 |
| illustrated | Illustrated |
| indexdate | 2024-07-09T19:43:47Z |
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| isbn | 0199266549 019924488x |
| language | English |
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| spelling | Political choice in Britain Harold D. Clarke ... 1. publ. Oxford [u.a.] Oxford Univ. Press 2004 XIX, 371 S. graph. Darst. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Geschichte 1964-2001 gnd rswk-swf Culture politique - Grande-Bretagne Empirisch sociaal onderzoek gtt Kiesgedrag gtt Partis politiques - Grande-Bretagne Politieke participatie gtt Verkiezingen gtt Vote - Grande-Bretagne Élections - Grande-Bretagne Elections Great Britain Political culture Great Britain Political parties Great Britain Voting Great Britain Wahlverhalten (DE-588)4079009-5 gnd rswk-swf Großbritannien Großbritannien (DE-588)4022153-2 gnd rswk-swf (DE-588)4056995-0 Statistik 1964-2001 gnd-content Großbritannien (DE-588)4022153-2 g Wahlverhalten (DE-588)4079009-5 s Geschichte 1964-2001 z DE-604 Clarke, Harold D. Sonstige oth HBZ Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=012047223&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Political choice in Britain Culture politique - Grande-Bretagne Empirisch sociaal onderzoek gtt Kiesgedrag gtt Partis politiques - Grande-Bretagne Politieke participatie gtt Verkiezingen gtt Vote - Grande-Bretagne Élections - Grande-Bretagne Elections Great Britain Political culture Great Britain Political parties Great Britain Voting Great Britain Wahlverhalten (DE-588)4079009-5 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4079009-5 (DE-588)4022153-2 (DE-588)4056995-0 |
| title | Political choice in Britain |
| title_auth | Political choice in Britain |
| title_exact_search | Political choice in Britain |
| title_full | Political choice in Britain Harold D. Clarke ... |
| title_fullStr | Political choice in Britain Harold D. Clarke ... |
| title_full_unstemmed | Political choice in Britain Harold D. Clarke ... |
| title_short | Political choice in Britain |
| title_sort | political choice in britain |
| topic | Culture politique - Grande-Bretagne Empirisch sociaal onderzoek gtt Kiesgedrag gtt Partis politiques - Grande-Bretagne Politieke participatie gtt Verkiezingen gtt Vote - Grande-Bretagne Élections - Grande-Bretagne Elections Great Britain Political culture Great Britain Political parties Great Britain Voting Great Britain Wahlverhalten (DE-588)4079009-5 gnd |
| topic_facet | Culture politique - Grande-Bretagne Empirisch sociaal onderzoek Kiesgedrag Partis politiques - Grande-Bretagne Politieke participatie Verkiezingen Vote - Grande-Bretagne Élections - Grande-Bretagne Elections Great Britain Political culture Great Britain Political parties Great Britain Voting Great Britain Wahlverhalten Großbritannien Statistik 1964-2001 |
| url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=012047223&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT clarkeharoldd politicalchoiceinbritain |