Facing the development challenge in Mozambique: an economywide perspective
Gespeichert in:
| Format: | Buch |
|---|---|
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Washington, D.C.
International Food Policy Research Institute
2002
|
| Schriftenreihe: | Research report / International Food Policy Research Institute
126 |
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Beschreibung: | Includes bibliographical references (p. 183-189) |
| Beschreibung: | xv, 189 p. ill. : 28 cm |
| ISBN: | 0896291316 |
Internformat
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| 650 | 4 | |a Wirtschaft | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Agriculture |x Economic aspects |z Mozambique | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Poverty |z Mozambique | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Structural adjustment (Economic policy) |z Mozambique | |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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| adam_text |
Titel: Facing the development challenge in Mozambique
Autor: Tarp, Finn
Jahr: 2002
Contents
Tables iv
Figures viii
Foreword ix
Acknowledgments xi
Summary xiii
1. Introduction 1
2. Economic and Social Structure in Perspective 3
3. The Path to Economic Collapse 19
4. Stabilization and Structural Adjustment 27
5. Linkage and Multiplier Analysis Based on the Social Accounting Matrix 45
6. A CGE Model for Mozambique 61
7. Aid Dependence 76
8. The Agricultural Bias Revisited 86
9. Marketing Margins and Agricultural Technology 102
10. Agricultural Technology, Risk, and Gender 109
11. Food Aid 119
12. Scenario Building: The Merged Model 126
13. A Standard World Bank-IMF Simulation Framework with CGE Features 148
14. Lessons Learned 164
Appendix A: The CGE-Model Specification 167
Appendix B: The Merged Model 177
Appendix C: Variable Definitions in Chapter 13 180
Acronyms and Abbreviations 181
Bibliography 183
ill
Tables
2.1 Comparative overview 4
2.2 Structure of production and employment, 1996 7
2.3 Chenery-Syrquin regression results 9
4.1 Real gross domestic product (GDP), 1991-96 32
4.2 Sectoral shares of real value-added, 1991-96 33
4.3 Sectoral shares of nominal value-added, 1991-96 33
4.4 Real GDP expenditures, 1991-96 34
4.5 Nominal GDP expenditures, 1991-96 34
4.6 Public financial expenditures, 1992-96 35
4.7 Money stock, Maputo CPI, and exchange rate, 1991-96 36
4.8 Current account balance, 1991-96 37
4.9 Capital account balance, 1991-96 37
4.10 Financing of the balance of payments, 1991-96 38
4.11 Social indicators, 1991-96 38
5.1 Comparison of 1994 data sources 40
5.2 Labels of the Macroeconomic social accounting matrix (MACSAM) 47
5.3 Balanced 1995 Macroeconomic social accounting matrix for Mozambique 49
5.4 Sectoral production costs 50
5.5 Sectoral domestic production 51
5.6 Composition of sectoral supplies 51
5.7 Composition of sectoral demand 52
5.8 Agricultural commodity multipliers 54
5.9 Sectoral commodity multipliers 56
5.10 Household multipliers 59
iv
TABLES v
6.1 Production structure of the economy 63
6.2 Support set end points on predicted values for imports 70
6.3 Trade parameter support sets and estimates 71
6.4 Correlations and pseudo R-squared for macroaggregates 73
6.5 Measures of fit for exports and imports 73
7.1 Experiment descriptions for aid dependence simulations 78
7.2 Macroeconomic indicators for aid dependence simulations 78
7.3 Real GDP components for aid dependence simulations 79
7.4 Price indices and agricultural terms of trade for aid dependence simulations 83
8.1 Experiment descriptions for agricultural bias simulations 87
8.2 Price indices and agricultural terms of trade for agricultural bias simulations 90
8.3 Macroeconomic indicators for agricultural bias simulations 91
8.4 Real GDP components for agricultural bias simulations 92
8.5 Macroeconomic indicators for agricultural bias simulations 97
8.6 Real GDP components for agricultural bias simulations 98
8.7 Price indices and agricultural terms of trade for agricultural bias simulations 99
9.1 Experiment descriptions for marketing margin and agricultural
technology simulations 104
9.2 Macroeconomic indicators and prices for marketing margin and
agricultural technology simulations 104
9.3 Equivalent variation on consumption for marketing margin and
agricultural technology simulations 106
9.4 Components of real GDP for marketing margin and agricultural
technology simulations 106
9.5 Factor price indices for marketing margin and agricultural
technology simulations 107
10.1 Female labor share by agricultural activity for agricultural
technology, risk, and gender simulations 110
10.2 Cassava production, price, and risk premium for agricultural technology.
risk, and gender simulations 113
10.3 Macroeconomic indicators for agricultural technology, risk, and
gender simulations 114
10.4 Agricultural terms of trade in value-added terms for agricultural
technology, risk, and gender simulations 115
10.5 Equivalent variation on consumption for agricultural technology, risk.
and gender simulations 115
vi TABLES
10.6 Factor price indices for agricultural technology, risk, and gender simulations 116
11.1 Experiment descriptions for food aid simulations 121
11.2 Declines in technology used to simulate drought for food aid simulations 121
11.3 GDP and welfare for food aid simulations 122
11.4 Equivalent variation on consumption for food aid simulations 123
11.5 Grain and food aid imports for food aid simulations 123
11.6 Agricultural terms of trade for food aid simulations 123
11.7 Factor price indices for food aid simulations 125
12.1 Parameter values for the merged model, 1995-97 129
12.2 Parameter values for the optimistic scenario in the merged-model
simulations, 1998-2002 130
12.3 Growth in the material balance for the merged-model simulations,
1995-2002 132
12.4 Growth in sectoral GDP for the merged-model simulations, 1995-2002 133
12.5 Growth in sectoral exports for the merged-model simulations, 1995-2002 133
12.6 Current account of the balance of payments for the merged-model
simulations, 1995-2002 135
12.7 Price inflation for the merged-model simulations, 1995-2002 136
12.8 Capital account of the balance of payments for the merged-model
simulations, 1995-2002 137
12.9 Government budget for the merged-model simulations, 1995-2002 138
12.10 Government finance for the merged-model simulations, 1995-2002 139
12.11 Money supply for the merged-model simulations, 1995-2002 139
12.12 Parameter values for the pessimistic scenario in the merged-model
simulations, 1998-2002 140
12.13 Growth in material balance for the merged-model simulations, 1995-2002 142
12.14 Growth in sectoral GDP for the merged-model simulations. 1995-2002 143
12.15 Growth in sectoral exports for the merged-model simulations. 1995-2002 143
12.16 Price inflation for the merged-model simulations, 1995-2002 143
12.17 Current account of the balance of payments for the merged-model
simulations, 1995-2002 144
12.18 Capital account of the balance of payments for the merged-model
simulations, 1995-2002 145
12.19 Government budget for the merged-model simulations, 1995-2002 145
12.20 Government finance for the merged-model simulations. 1995-2002 145
TABLES vii
12.21 Money supply for the merged-model simulations, 1995-2002 146
13.1 Real side of the merged model 150
13.2 Financial side of the merged model 151
13.3 Real-side variables in the merged model 152
13.4 Financial-side variables in the merged model 153
13.5 CGE-model variables 155
13.6 Price inflation for the integrated-model simulations, 1998-2002 160
13.7 Inflation in domestic world market prices for the integrated-model
simulations, 1998-2002 161
13.8 Growth in factor returns for the integrated-model simulations, 1998-2002 161
13.9 Equivalent variation for the integrated-model simulations, 1998-2002 162
Figures
2.1 Southern Africa's per capita gross national product, 1995 6
2.2 Investment and savings regression results 10
2.3 International trade regression results 11
2.4 Structure of production regression results 12
2.5 Allocation of income regression results 13
2.6 Education regression results 14
2.7 Labor by sector: Urbanization and share of labor in agriculture
regression results 15
11.1 Maize production and imports for food aid simulations 120
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| id | DE-604.BV016410019 |
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| indexdate | 2025-01-10T13:12:56Z |
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| spelling | Facing the development challenge in Mozambique an economywide perspective Finn Tarp ... [et al.] Washington, D.C. International Food Policy Research Institute 2002 xv, 189 p. ill. : 28 cm txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Research report / International Food Policy Research Institute 126 Includes bibliographical references (p. 183-189) Landwirtschaft Wirtschaft Agriculture Economic aspects Mozambique Poverty Mozambique Structural adjustment (Economic policy) Mozambique Wirtschaftsentwicklung (DE-588)4066438-7 gnd rswk-swf Mozambique Economic conditions 1975- Mozambique Social conditions 1975- Moçambique (DE-588)4039786-5 gnd rswk-swf Moçambique (DE-588)4039786-5 g Wirtschaftsentwicklung (DE-588)4066438-7 s DE-604 Tarp, Finn 1951- Sonstige (DE-588)122163435 oth International Food Policy Research Institute Research report 126 (DE-604)BV000721261 126 HBZ Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=010149217&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Facing the development challenge in Mozambique an economywide perspective Landwirtschaft Wirtschaft Agriculture Economic aspects Mozambique Poverty Mozambique Structural adjustment (Economic policy) Mozambique Wirtschaftsentwicklung (DE-588)4066438-7 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4066438-7 (DE-588)4039786-5 |
| title | Facing the development challenge in Mozambique an economywide perspective |
| title_auth | Facing the development challenge in Mozambique an economywide perspective |
| title_exact_search | Facing the development challenge in Mozambique an economywide perspective |
| title_full | Facing the development challenge in Mozambique an economywide perspective Finn Tarp ... [et al.] |
| title_fullStr | Facing the development challenge in Mozambique an economywide perspective Finn Tarp ... [et al.] |
| title_full_unstemmed | Facing the development challenge in Mozambique an economywide perspective Finn Tarp ... [et al.] |
| title_short | Facing the development challenge in Mozambique |
| title_sort | facing the development challenge in mozambique an economywide perspective |
| title_sub | an economywide perspective |
| topic | Landwirtschaft Wirtschaft Agriculture Economic aspects Mozambique Poverty Mozambique Structural adjustment (Economic policy) Mozambique Wirtschaftsentwicklung (DE-588)4066438-7 gnd |
| topic_facet | Landwirtschaft Wirtschaft Agriculture Economic aspects Mozambique Poverty Mozambique Structural adjustment (Economic policy) Mozambique Wirtschaftsentwicklung Mozambique Economic conditions 1975- Mozambique Social conditions 1975- Moçambique |
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