Discrete choice models for airline network management:
Gespeichert in:
| 1. Verfasser: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Abschlussarbeit Buch |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Idstein
Schulz-Kirchner
2003
|
| Ausgabe: | 1. Aufl. |
| Schriftenreihe: | Wissenschaftliche Schriften
Reihe 4, Volkswirtschaftliche Beiträge ; 168 |
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Beschreibung: | XXI, 132 S. graph. Darst. |
| ISBN: | 3824804581 |
Internformat
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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| adam_text | Contents
List of Figures xli
List of Tables xiv
List of Symbols xv
Abbreviations xx
1 Introduction
1.1 Airline Network Management . 1
1.2 Scope of the thesis 3
1.3 Outline of the thesis 6
2 Econometric Models 9
2.1 Discrete Choice Models and Utility Theory 9
2.2 Econometric Formulation 12
2.3 General Extreme Value (GEV) Models 14
2.4 Multinomial Probit (MNP) Models 17
2.4.1 Effects of covariance: A Trinomial Case Study 18
2.4.2 Difficulties concerning MNP: Identification and other problems 27
2.4.3 MNP specifications adapted to Airline Network Management 36
2.4.4 Attribute Based Covariance Multinomial Probit (ABC MNP) 39
2.5 Mixed Multinomial Logit Models 42
2.6 Nonlinear utility specifications 44
2.6.1 Classical approaches to nonlinear specifications 44
2.6.2 Alternative specifications 47
2.7 Summary 50
3 Parameter Estimation, Simulation Methods, Tests 51
3.1 Estimation Methods 52
3.1.1 Maximum Likelihood Estimation 52
3.1.2 Method of Moments Estimation 56
3.1.3 Method of Simulated Scores 61
3.1.4 Assessment of simulation based estimators 62
3.2 Simulation Methods 63
3.2.1 Discrete Simulators 64
3.2.2 Smooth Simulators 65
3.2.3 Overall assessment of simulators 74
3.3 Model and Prediction Tests 76
3.3.1 Basic Hypotheses Testing 76
3.3.2 Goodness of Fit Measures 77
3.3.3 Test of the Model Structure 79
3.4 Summary 80
4 Monte Carlo Simulation Study 81
4.1 Simulation Setup 81
4.2 Simulation Results 86
4.3 Summary 88
5 Application to Airline Network Management 91
5.1 Data 91
5.2 Model specification 94
5.3 Estimation Results and Discussion 95
5.4 Summary 100
6 Summary and Outlook 105
Appendices 109
A Covariances in the ABC MNP 109
B Numerical examples concerning GAR 111
C Results of the Monte Carlo Study 115
Bibliography 125
List of Figures
1.1 Sketch of the Lufthansa hub structure and network 2
1.2 Ideal bank structure of Delta Airlines (DL) in Atlanta (ATL) 3
1.3 Hypothetical O D market Berlin (BER) London (LON) 3
1.4 Hypothetical experiment: Shifting one alternative over the day 5
2.1 Effect of variance in case of ui = v2 = 113 19
2.2 Effect of correlations in case of vi = v2 = v $ 20
2.3 Effect of correlations in case of vx = v2 = V3 21
2.4 Effect of different correlation strategies in case of vx = V2 = V3 23
2.5 Effect of correlations in case of «i = l,i 2 = 0.75 24
2.6 Effect of variance in case of vi = l,i/2 = 0.75, v3 = 0.75 25
2.7 Effect of correlations in case of vx = l,j 2 = 0.75, v3 = 0.75 26
2.8 Effect of Fixing o at 1.0 when true a22 = 1.5 35
3.1 Logarithmic bias of linear simulators 54
3.2 Comparison of Indicator function and smooth kernel functions 67
3.3 Idea of the Acceptance/Rejection method 72
4.1 Departure time difference dependent covariances 83
4.2 Monte Carlo Results 90
5.1 Diurnality: Time of day preferences 97
5.2 Change of choice probabilities 104
C.I Density plots for difference between actual vs. forecasted market shares 116
C.2 Density plots for log likelihood 117
vii
C.3 Density plots for the systematic utility component 118
C.4 Density plots for covariance amplitudes in ABC MNP 119
C.5 Density plots for covariance widths in ABC MNP 120
,,Jte
List of Tables
2.1 Correlation strategies 22
2.2 ML Estimation results with fixed pi2 and a^ 34
3.1 Average RMSE ratings from Hajivassiliou et al. (1996) 75
4.1 Sample design Monte Carlo study 82
4.2 Monte Carlo Results 85
4.3 Estimation Results utility 87
5.1 Estimation Results 96
5.2 Modified likelihood ratio statistics 98
5.3 Flights in an exemplary market 99
5.4 Covariance matrix implied by ABC MNP 101
5.5 Covariance matrix implied by GAR MNP (before adding a new flight) 102
5.6 Covariance matrix implied by GAR MNP (after adding a new flight) 103
C.I Estimation Results log likelihood 121
C.2 Estimation Results utility 122
C.3 Estimation Results covariance amplitude 123
C.4 Estimation Results covariance width 123
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| author_facet | Scheidler, Michael |
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| author_sort | Scheidler, Michael |
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| building | Verbundindex |
| bvnumber | BV015818758 |
| classification_rvk | ZO 7015 |
| ctrlnum | (OCoLC)53903045 (DE-599)BVBBV015818758 |
| discipline | Verkehr / Transport |
| edition | 1. Aufl. |
| format | Thesis Book |
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| genre_facet | Hochschulschrift |
| id | DE-604.BV015818758 |
| illustrated | Illustrated |
| indexdate | 2024-07-09T19:09:44Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 3824804581 |
| language | English |
| oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-010128957 |
| oclc_num | 53903045 |
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| owner_facet | DE-20 DE-M347 DE-83 |
| physical | XXI, 132 S. graph. Darst. |
| publishDate | 2003 |
| publishDateSearch | 2003 |
| publishDateSort | 2003 |
| publisher | Schulz-Kirchner |
| record_format | marc |
| series | Wissenschaftliche Schriften |
| series2 | Wissenschaftliche Schriften : Reihe 4, Volkswirtschaftliche Beiträge |
| spelling | Scheidler, Michael Verfasser aut Discrete choice models for airline network management Michael Scheidler 1. Aufl. Idstein Schulz-Kirchner 2003 XXI, 132 S. graph. Darst. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Wissenschaftliche Schriften : Reihe 4, Volkswirtschaftliche Beiträge 168 Zugl.: Frankfurt (Main), Univ., Diss., 2002 Linienluftverkehr (DE-588)4168271-3 gnd rswk-swf Netzwerk (DE-588)4171529-9 gnd rswk-swf Management (DE-588)4037278-9 gnd rswk-swf Diskrete Entscheidung (DE-588)4194151-2 gnd rswk-swf (DE-588)4113937-9 Hochschulschrift gnd-content Linienluftverkehr (DE-588)4168271-3 s Netzwerk (DE-588)4171529-9 s Management (DE-588)4037278-9 s Diskrete Entscheidung (DE-588)4194151-2 s DE-604 Wissenschaftliche Schriften Reihe 4, Volkswirtschaftliche Beiträge ; 168 (DE-604)BV000020428 168 HBZ Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=010128957&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Scheidler, Michael Discrete choice models for airline network management Wissenschaftliche Schriften Linienluftverkehr (DE-588)4168271-3 gnd Netzwerk (DE-588)4171529-9 gnd Management (DE-588)4037278-9 gnd Diskrete Entscheidung (DE-588)4194151-2 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4168271-3 (DE-588)4171529-9 (DE-588)4037278-9 (DE-588)4194151-2 (DE-588)4113937-9 |
| title | Discrete choice models for airline network management |
| title_auth | Discrete choice models for airline network management |
| title_exact_search | Discrete choice models for airline network management |
| title_full | Discrete choice models for airline network management Michael Scheidler |
| title_fullStr | Discrete choice models for airline network management Michael Scheidler |
| title_full_unstemmed | Discrete choice models for airline network management Michael Scheidler |
| title_short | Discrete choice models for airline network management |
| title_sort | discrete choice models for airline network management |
| topic | Linienluftverkehr (DE-588)4168271-3 gnd Netzwerk (DE-588)4171529-9 gnd Management (DE-588)4037278-9 gnd Diskrete Entscheidung (DE-588)4194151-2 gnd |
| topic_facet | Linienluftverkehr Netzwerk Management Diskrete Entscheidung Hochschulschrift |
| url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=010128957&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
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| work_keys_str_mv | AT scheidlermichael discretechoicemodelsforairlinenetworkmanagement |