Faultlines of conflict in Central Asia and the South Caucasus: implications for the U.S. Army
Gespeichert in:
| Format: | Buch |
|---|---|
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Santa Monica, CA [u.a.]
RAND
2003
|
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Beschreibung: | XXVII, 379 S. Kt. |
| ISBN: | 0833032607 |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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| adam_text | FAULTLINES OF C O N F L I C T IN CENTRAL ASIA AND THE SOUTH CAUCASUS
IMPLICATIONS FOR THE US. ARMY A 375070 EDITED BY OLGA OLIKER THOMAS S.
SZAYNA UNITED STATES ARMY RAND ARROYO CENTER APPROVED FOR PUBLIC
RELEASE; DISTRIBUTION UNLIMITED CONTENTS PREFACE VII FIGURES XV TABLES
XVII SUMMARY XIX ACKNOWLEDGMENTS XXVII CHAPTER ONE INTRODUCTION THOMAS
S. SZAYNA AND OLGA OLIKER 1 THE CONTEXT 1 OBJECTIVES, APPROACH, AND
ORGANIZATION 3 CHAPTER TWO THE POLITICAL EVOLUTION OF CENTRAL ASIA AND
SOUTH CAUCASUS: IMPLICATIONS FOR REGIONAL SECURITY TANYA CHARLICK-PALEY
WITH PHIL WILLIAMS AND OLGA OLIKER . 7 INTRODUCTION . . 7 POLITICAL
INSTITUTIONALIZATION, DEPRIVATION, AND STATE AND SOCIETAL CAPACITY: A
FRAMEWORK FOR RISK ANALYSIS ... 9 INSTITUTIONALIZATION IN CENTRAL ASIA
AND SOUTH CAUCASUS: RATING THE RISK OF INTERNAL CONFLICT 15 THE ROLE OF
ISLAM 21 POLITICAL LANDSCAPE: CONCLUSIONS 28 PROXIMATE CAUSES OF
CONFLICT IN CENTRAL ASIA AND SOUTH CAUCASUS 29 FAULTLINES OF CONFLICT IN
CENTRAL ASIA AND THE SOUTH CAUCASUS THE FERGHANA VALLEY AND CROSS-BORDER
INCURSIONS 31 NAGORNO-KARABAKH 34 GEORGIAN SEPARATISTS AND RUSSIA 36
CONCLUSIONS 39 CHAPTER THREE SOME ECONOMIC DIMENSIONS OF SECURITY IN
CENTRAL ASIA AND SOUTH CAUCASUS ABRAHAM S. BECKER 41 INTRODUCTION 41
REGIONAL OVERVIEW 47 POVERTY 47 DEPENDENCE 53 PROSPECTS 63 CHAPTER FOUR
CRIMINALIZATION AND STABILITY IN CENTRAL ASIA AND SOUTH CAUCASUS PHIL
WILLIAMS 71 INTRODUCTION 71 CHARACTERISTICS OF CENTRAL ASIA AND SOUTH
CAUCASUS 73 THE CRIMINALIZATION SYNDROME 77 ORGANIZED CRIME 78 DRUG
TRAFFICKING 83 THE SHADOW ECONOMY 88 CORRUPTION AND RENT SEEKING 90
COSTS AND BENEFITS OF CRIMINALIZATION 93 GOVERNANCE AND CRIMINALIZATION
IN CENTRAL ASIA AND SOUTH CAUCASUS 94 SULTANISTIC REGIMES 95 CONTESTED
STATES 97 GOVERNANCE, CRIMINALIZATION, AND INSTABILITY IN CENTRAL ASIA
AND SOUTH CAUCASUS 99 THE COLLAPSE OF SULTANISTIC REGIMES 99 THE
ESCALATION OR RESURGENCE OF VIOLENCE IN CONTESTED STATES 105 CONCLUSIONS
107 CONTENTS XI CHAPTER FIVE NATURAL RESOURCES AND POTENTIAL CONFLICT IN
THE CASPIAN SEA REGION SERGEJ MAHNOVSKI 109 INTRODUCTION 109 FOSSIL FUEL
PRODUCTION IN THE CASPIAN SEA REGION 110 CRUDE OIL 110 NATURAL GAS 112
FOSSIL FUEL TRANSPORT TO MARKETS 115 CRUDE OIL 115 CURRENT TRANSPORT
OPTIONS 115 MEDIUM TERM (UNTIL 2005) 116 LONGER TERM (2005-2010) 119
NATURAL GAS 120 WESTERN MARKETS 122 EASTERN MARKETS 123 OTHER OPTIONS
FOR NATURAL GAS? 125 ENERGY RELATIONSHIPS IN THE CASPIAN SEA REGION 127
INTERSTATE DYNAMICS 127 INTRASTATE DYNAMICS 130 THE ROLE OF WATER AND
ELECTRICITY IN CENTRAL ASIA 131 CAN NATURAL RESOURCES CONTRIBUTE TO
ARMED CONFLICT? . . . 134 RESOURCES AS TARGET OF CONFLICT:
INFRASTRUCTURE SABOTAGE 134 RESOURCES AS CAUSE OF CONFLICT: COMPETITION
OVER DISTRIBUTION OF WEALTH 136 SOME POTENTIAL MITIGATING FACTORS TO
CONFLICT 138 CASPIAN SEA TERRITORIAL DISPUTES 138 PETROLEUM FUNDS 140
WATER MANAGEMENT STRATEGIES 141 CONCLUSIONS 143 CHAPTER SIX POTENTIAL
FOR ETHNIC CONFLICT IN THE CASPIAN REGION THOMAS S. SZAYNA 145
INTRODUCTION 145 THE ETHNIC FACTOR IN THE CASC STATES 147 PRECONDITIONS
FOR ETHNIC CONFLICT 161 XII FAULTLINES OF CONFLICT IN CENTRAL ASIA AND
THE SOUTH CAUCASUS KAZAKHSTAN: AN EXAMPLE OF A NATIONALIZING STATE 166
CATALYSTS TO ETHNIC VIOLENCE 173 POTENTIAL FOR ETHNIC VIOLENCE IN THE
CASC REGION 176 CENTRALASIA 176 SOUTH CAUCASUS 179 FINAL OBSERVATIONS .
. . . 181 CHAPTER SEVEN CONFLICT IN CENTRAL ASIA AND SOUTH CAUCASUS:
IMPLICATIONS OF FOREIGN INTERESTS AND INVOLVEMENT OLGA OLIKER 185
INTRODUCTION 185 RUSSIA 189 TURKEY 199 THE EUROPEAN UNION AND ITS MEMBER
STATES 206 IRAN 208 CHINA 213 AFGHANISTAN 217 THE UNITED STATES 220
INDIA AND PAKISTAN 225 GREAT POWER COMPETITION AND GREAT POWER CONFLICT
226 THE LOCAL PERSPECTIVE 228 CONCLUSIONS 239 CHAPTER EIGHT CENTRAL ASIA
AND SOUTH CAUCASUS AS AN AREA OF OPERATIONS: CHALLENGES AND CONSTRAINTS
WILLIAM D. O MALLEY 241 INTRODUCTION 241 DEPLOYMENT 243 DEPLOYMENT BY
AIR : 7 249 BY SEA 258 INFRASTRUCTURE: TRANSITING THE CENTRAL ASIA AND
SOUTH CAUCASUS REGION 260 RAIL 261 ROAD 262 WATER 262 CONTENTS XIII AIR:
POSSIBLE STAGING LOCATIONS FOR U.S. FORCES OPERATING WITHIN OR OUTSIDE
THE REGION 263 INTERMEDIATE SUPPORT BASE POSSIBILITIES 269 OPERATIONAL
ENVIRONMENT 272 SOUTH CAUCASUS 276 ARMENIA 276 AZERBAIJAN 277 GEORGIA
279 CENTRALASIA 281 KAZAKHSTAN 281 KYRGYZSTAN 283 TAJIKISTAN 286
TURKMENISTAN ; 287 UZBEKISTAN 288 OPERATIONAL ENVIRONMENT: IMPLICATIONS
290 LOCAL MILITARY CAPABILITIES: CAPACITY AND INTEROPERABILITY
DIRECTIONS OF MILITARY REFORM IN CENTRAL ASIA AND SOUTH CAUCASUS 292
IMPLICATIONS FOR U.S. FORCES: INTEROPERABILITY AND REQUIREMENTS 296
CONCLUSIONS 299 CHAPTER NINE SOURCES OF CONFLICT AND PATHS TO U.S.
INVOLVEMENT OLGA OLIKER AND THOMAS S. SZAYNA 307 CENTRALASIA 311
KAZAKHSTAN 311 KYRGYZSTAN 315 TAJIKISTAN 320 TURKMENISTAN 325 UZBEKISTAN
330 TRANS-CENTRAL ASIAN CONFLICT 336 SOUTH CAUCASUS 338 ARMENIA 338
AZERBAIJAN 340 GEORGIA 345 TRANS-CAUCASUS CONFLICT . 349 TRANS-CASPIAN
CONFLICT 350 XIV FAULTLINES OF CONFLICT IN CENTRAL ASIA AND THE SOUTH
CAUCASUS PATHS TO CONFLICT AND U.S. INVOLVEMENT 352 CONFLICT LIKELIHOOD,
CONFLICT SEVERITY, AND POTENTIAL FOR ARMY DEPLOYMENT 352 BIBLIOGRAPHY
359
|
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| spelling | Faultlines of conflict in Central Asia and the South Caucasus implications for the U.S. Army ed. by Olga Oliker ... Santa Monica, CA [u.a.] RAND 2003 XXVII, 379 S. Kt. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Sicherheitspolitik (DE-588)4116489-1 gnd rswk-swf USA - Kaukasusländer - Sicherheitspolitik - Aufsatzsammlung USA - Mittelasien - Sicherheitspolitik - Aufsatzsammlung USA - Zentralasien - Sicherheitspolitik - Aufsatzsammlung Mittelasien (DE-588)4039661-7 gnd rswk-swf Zentralasien (DE-588)4079487-8 gnd rswk-swf USA (DE-588)4078704-7 gnd rswk-swf Kaukasusländer (DE-588)4448813-0 gnd rswk-swf (DE-588)4143413-4 Aufsatzsammlung gnd-content Kaukasusländer (DE-588)4448813-0 g Sicherheitspolitik (DE-588)4116489-1 s USA (DE-588)4078704-7 g DE-604 Zentralasien (DE-588)4079487-8 g Mittelasien (DE-588)4039661-7 g Oliker, Olga 1970- Sonstige (DE-588)141911999 oth GBV Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=009952591&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Faultlines of conflict in Central Asia and the South Caucasus implications for the U.S. Army Sicherheitspolitik (DE-588)4116489-1 gnd |
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| title | Faultlines of conflict in Central Asia and the South Caucasus implications for the U.S. Army |
| title_auth | Faultlines of conflict in Central Asia and the South Caucasus implications for the U.S. Army |
| title_exact_search | Faultlines of conflict in Central Asia and the South Caucasus implications for the U.S. Army |
| title_full | Faultlines of conflict in Central Asia and the South Caucasus implications for the U.S. Army ed. by Olga Oliker ... |
| title_fullStr | Faultlines of conflict in Central Asia and the South Caucasus implications for the U.S. Army ed. by Olga Oliker ... |
| title_full_unstemmed | Faultlines of conflict in Central Asia and the South Caucasus implications for the U.S. Army ed. by Olga Oliker ... |
| title_short | Faultlines of conflict in Central Asia and the South Caucasus |
| title_sort | faultlines of conflict in central asia and the south caucasus implications for the u s army |
| title_sub | implications for the U.S. Army |
| topic | Sicherheitspolitik (DE-588)4116489-1 gnd |
| topic_facet | Sicherheitspolitik USA - Kaukasusländer - Sicherheitspolitik - Aufsatzsammlung USA - Mittelasien - Sicherheitspolitik - Aufsatzsammlung USA - Zentralasien - Sicherheitspolitik - Aufsatzsammlung Mittelasien Zentralasien USA Kaukasusländer Aufsatzsammlung |
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