Global environmental change: modelling and monitoring
Gespeichert in:
| Hauptverfasser: | , , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Buch |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Berlin [u.a.]
Springer
2002
|
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Beschreibung: | XIV, 316 S. Ill., graph. Darst. |
| ISBN: | 3540433732 |
Internformat
MARC
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| 100 | 1 | |a Kondratʹev, Kirill Ja. |d 1920-2006 |e Verfasser |0 (DE-588)120564238 |4 aut | |
| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a Global environmental change |b modelling and monitoring |c Kirill Ya. Kondratyev ; Vladimir F. Krapivin ; Gary W. Phillips |
| 264 | 1 | |a Berlin [u.a.] |b Springer |c 2002 | |
| 300 | |a XIV, 316 S. |b Ill., graph. Darst. | ||
| 336 | |b txt |2 rdacontent | ||
| 337 | |b n |2 rdamedia | ||
| 338 | |b nc |2 rdacarrier | ||
| 650 | 4 | |a Changement global (Environnement) | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Global environmental change | |
| 650 | 0 | 7 | |a Umweltveränderung |0 (DE-588)4304982-5 |2 gnd |9 rswk-swf |
| 689 | 0 | 0 | |a Umweltveränderung |0 (DE-588)4304982-5 |D s |
| 689 | 0 | |5 DE-604 | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Krapivin, Vladimir F. |d 1936- |e Verfasser |0 (DE-588)123739519 |4 aut | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Phillips, Gary W. |e Verfasser |4 aut | |
| 856 | 4 | 2 | |m DNB Datenaustausch |q application/pdf |u http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=009934648&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |3 Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| 943 | 1 | |a oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-009934648 | |
Datensatz im Suchindex
| _version_ | 1826212298550673408 |
|---|---|
| adam_text |
CONTENTS
PREFACE
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. .
V
ABBREVIATIONS
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
XIII
1
I
N
TR
OD
U
CTI
O
N
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
1
1.1
CONTEMPORARY STAGE OF
THE CIVILIZATION DEVELOPMENT . . . . . . . .
1
1.2
CONTEMPORARY GLOBAL ECODYNAMICS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
6
1.3
SUS
TAINABLE DEVELOPMENT .
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
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.
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.
18
1.4
CONCLUS
ION.
UNS
OLVED PROBLEMS .
.
.
.
.
.
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.
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23
2
THE BASIC PRINCIPLES OF
GLOBAL ECOINFORMATICS
. . . . . . . . . . .
27
2.1
THE MAIN IDEA OF
GLOBAL ECOINFORMATICS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
27
2.2
THE TECHNOLOGY OF
GEOINFORMATION MONITORING . . . . . . . . . . .
32
2.3
ELEMENTS OF
THE EVOLUTIONARY COMPUTER TECHNOLOGY . . . . . . . .
36
2.4
A NEW TYPE OF
GLOBAL MODEL . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
39
2.5
GLOBAL MODELING AND THEORY OF
COMPLEX SYSTEMS SURVIVABILITY . .
43
2.5.1
BASIC DEFINITIONS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
.
45
2.5.2
STUDY OF
THE SIMPLE SURVIVABILITY MODEL . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
48
2.5.3
METHODS FOR DETERMINING STABLE STRATEGIES . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
58
3
MATHEMATICAL MODEL FOR GLOBAL ECOLOGICAL INVESTIGATIONS
. . . . .
63
3.1
CONCEPTUAL ASPECTS OF
GLOBAL ECOLOGICAL INVESTIGATIONS . . . . . . .
63
3.2
GENERAL DESCRIPTION OF
THE GLOBAL MODEL . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
75
3.3
BIOGEOCHEMICAL CYCLES . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
80
3.3.1
CARBON UNIT . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
.
80
3.3.2
NITROGEN UNIT . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
.
93
3.3.3
SULFUR UNIT . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. .
97
3.4
UNITS OF
BIOGEOCENOTIC,
HYDROLOGIC AND CLIMATIC PROCESSES . . . .
100
3.5
OTHER UNITS OF
THE NATURE/SOCIETY SYSTEM MODEL . . . . . . . . . .
102
3.5.1
WORLD OCEAN BIOPRODUCTIVITY UNIT . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
102
3.5.2
DEMOGRAPHIC UNIT . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
103
3.6
BIOCOMPLEXITY INDEX . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
104
3.6.1
BIOCOMPLEXITY INDICATOR . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
104
3.6.2
THE BSS BIOCOMPLEXITY MODEL . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
106
3.7
ALGORITHMS FOR THE DATA PROCESSING . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
108
3.7.1
DATA RECONSTRUCTION USING THE HARMONIC FUNCTIONS . . . . . . . .
108
3.7.2
METHOD FOR PARAMETRICAL IDENTIFICATION
OF
THE ENVIRONMENTAL OBJECTS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
110
3.7.3
METHOD OF
DIFFERENTIAL APPROXIMATION . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
111
3.7.4
QUASI-LINEARIZATION METHOD . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
112
3.8
EXPERIMENTS USING THE GLOBAL SIMULATION MODEL . . . . . . . . . .
122
3.8.1
PLANT COVER RESTORATION . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
123
3.8.2
DIVERSION OF
SIBERIAN RIVERS TO CENTRAL ASIA . . . . . . . . . . . . .
125
3.8.3
FORECAST FOR A REGIONAL-LEVEL ECOSYSTEM DYNAMICS . . . . . . . . .
125
3.8.4
OTHER GLOBAL SIMULATION MODEL APPLICATIONS . . . . . . . . . . . .
127
4MODELING OF
OCEAN ECOSYSTEM DYNAMICS
. . . . . . . . . . . . . .
131
4.1
THE WORLD OCEAN AS A COMPLEX HIERARCHICAL SYSTEM . . . . . . . .
131
4.2
COMMON PRINCIPLES FOR THE SYNTHESIS OF
OCEAN ECOSYSTEM MODELS
132
4.3
EQUATIONS DESCRIBING THE OCEAN ECOSYSTEM DYNAMICS . . . . . . .
136
4.4
ANALYSIS OF
THE VERTICAL STRUCTURE OF
THE OCEAN ECOSYSTEM . . . . .
140
4.5
MATHEMATICAL MODEL OF
THE UPWELLING ECOSYSTEM . . . . . . . . . .
143
4.6
PROBABILISTIC MODEL OF
THE INTERACTION BETWEEN
OCEAN ECOSYSTEM COMPONENTS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
157
5
APPLICATION OF
A GLOBAL MODEL TO THE STUDY
OF
ARCTIC BASIN POLLUTION
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
163
5.1
INTRODUCTION . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
.
163
5.2
THE SPATIAL SIMULATION MODEL OF
THE ARCTIC ECOSYSTEM STRUCTURE
. .
164
5.3
THE MARINE BIOTA UNIT . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
167
5.4
THE HYDROLOGICAL UNIT . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
171
5.5
THE POLLUTION UNIT . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
173
5.6
SIMULATION RES
ULTS .
.
.
.
.
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175
5.6.1
THE ASSUMPTIONS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
175
5.6.2
THE DYNAMICS OF
ARCTIC BASIN RADIONUCLEAR POLLUTION . . . . . . .
175
5.6.3
THE DYNAMICS OF
ARCTIC BASIN POLLUTION BY HEAVY METALS . . . . . .
181
5.6.4
THE DYNAMICS OF
ARCTIC BASIN POLLUTION BY OIL HYDROCARBONS . . .
182
5.6.5
THE DYNAMICS OF
THE POLLUTANTS IN THE ARCTIC BASIN . . . . . . . . .
184
5.7
SUMMARY AND CONCLUSION . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
185
6
ESTIMATION OF
THE PERUVIAN CURRENT ECOSYSTEM
. . . . . . . . . . .
189
6.1
INTRODUCTION . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
.
189
6.2
BLOCK DIAGRAM AND PRINCIPAL EQUATIONS
OF
THE PERUVIAN CURRENT ECOSYSTEM (PCE) MODEL . . . . . . . . . .
190
6.3
EXPERIMENTS THAT USE THE MODEL OF
THE PCE . . . . . . . . . . . . .
195
6.3.1
TEMPERATURE VARIATIONS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
197
6.3.2
VARIATIONS OF
ILLUMINATION . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
199
6.3.3
THE EFFECT OF
WATER SATURATION WITH OXYGEN . . . . . . . . . . . . .
200
CONTENTS
X
6.3.4
THE EFFECT OF
VARYING THE CONCENTRATION OF
NUTRIENTS . . . . . . . .
202
6.3.5
THE EFFECT OF
VARIATIONS IN THE VELOCITY OF
VERTICAL ADVECTION . . . .
202
6.3.6
THE PCE SENSITIVITY WITH RESPECT TO VARIATION
IN THE MODEL PARAMETERS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
203
6.3.7
INVESTIGATION OF
PCE SURVIVABILITY UNDER VARIATIONS
IN THE TROPHIC GRAPH . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
205
7
A NEW TECHNOLOGY FOR MONITORING ENVIRONMENT
IN THE OKHOTSK SEA
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
207
7.1
INTRODUCTION . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
.
207
7.2
BLOCK DIAGRAM AND PRINCIPAL STRUCTURE OF
THE SIMULATION MODEL
OF
THE OKHOTSK SEA ECOSYSTEM . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
209
7.3
THE MARINE BIOTA UNIT . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
211
7.4
THE HYDROLOGICAL UNIT . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
215
7.5
THE SIMULATION PROCEDURE AND EXPERIMENTS THAT USE
THE SIMULATION MODEL OF
THE OKHOTSK SEA ECOSYSTEM . . . . . . . .
217
7.6
BIOCOMPLEXITY CRITERIA AND THE EVALUATION
OF
THE OKHOTSK SEA ECOSYSTEM . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
224
7.7
CONCLUDING REMARKS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
228
8
POLLUTANTS DYNAMICS IN THE ANGARA-YENISEY RIVER SYSTEM (AYRS)
229
8.1
INTRODUCTION . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
.
229
8.2
AN AYRS SIMULATION MODEL (AYRSSM) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
231
8.3
ON-SITE MEAS
UREMENTS .
.
.
.
.
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.
.
.
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236
8.3.1
RADIONUCLIDES IN RIVER SEDIMENTS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
236
8.3.2
HEAVY METALS IN RIVER SEDIMENTS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
239
8.4
EXPERIMENTS USING THE AYRSSM . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
239
8.5
CONCLUDING REMARKS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
241
9
REALIZATION OF
THE GIMS-TECHNOLOGY FOR THE STUDY
OF
THE ARAL-CASPIAN AQUAGEOSYSTEM
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
243
9.1
THE NATURE OF
THE PROBLEM . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
243
9.2
REMOTE MONITORING DATABASE . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
245
9.3
THEORY-INFORMATION MODEL OF
THE ARAL-CASPIAN AQUAGEOSYSTEM . .
247
9.4
SIMULATION SYSTEM FOR THE STUDY OF
THE HYDROLOGICAL FIELDS
OF
THE ARAL SEA . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
250
9.5
SIMULATION MODEL OF
THE KARA-BOGAZ-GOL GULF
WATER REGIME . . .
252
9.6
SIMULATION EXPERIMENTS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
254
9.7
SUMMARY AND RECOMMENDATIONS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
257
10
MONITORING OF
THE SEAS IN THE OIL AND GAS EXTRACTION ZONES
. . . .
259
10.1
THE PROBLEM OF
COLLECTION AND PROCESSING
OF
DATA IN MONITORING SYSTEMS OPERATING IN ZONES OF
OIL
AND GAS EXTRACTION . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
259
CONTENTS
XI
10.2
CONCEPT OF
A SYSTEM OF
ECOLOGICAL MONITORING
OF
THE SEA SURFACE AND THE ATMOSPHERE IN ZONES OF
OIL
AND GAS EXTRACTION . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
263
10.3
ESTIMATION OF
OIL HYDROCARBON POLLUTION PARAMETERS IN SEAWATER 269
10.4
EXPERT SYSTEM FOR THE IDENTIFICATION OF
POLLUTANT SPILLS
ON THE WATER SURFACE . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
273
10.5
MONITORING OF
THE GAS EXTRACTION ZONE IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA . .
275
11
DECISION-MAKING PROCEDURES
IN ENVIRONMENTAL MONITORING SYSTEMS
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
279
11.1
THE PROBLEM OF
STATISTICAL DECISION-MAKING AND BASIC DEFINITIONS
279
11.1.1
CORRELATION BETWEEN CLASSIC
AND SEQUENTIAL DECISION-MAKING PROCEDURES . . . . . . . . . . . .
279
11.1.2
DISTRIBUTION OF
THE SEQUENTIAL ANALYSIS AND ITS UNIVERSALITY . . . .
281
11.1.3
SCHEME OF
THE DECISION-MAKING PROCEDURE USING
SEQUENTIAL ANALYSIS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
.
281
11.2
PARAMETRICAL ESTIMATIONS FOR SEQUENTIAL ANALYSIS . . . . . . . . . .
286
11.3
AN ALGORITHM FOR MULTICHANNEL DATA PROCESSING
IN THE DECISION-MAKING TASK . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
289
11.3.1
ORGANIZATIONAL SCHEME OF
THE STATISTICAL ANALYZER OPERATION . . . .
290
11.3.2
ERROR PROBABILITY ASSESSMENT OF
THE SYSTEM
AND THE REQUISITE DELAY MEMORY CAPACITY
WITH CONSTANT EXPECTATION TIME . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
291
11.3.3
EVALUATION OF
THE SYSTEM ERROR PROBABILITY AND THE REQUISITE
MEMORY CAPACITY DELAY WITH A CONSTANT NUMBER
OF
COMPUTER STORAGE REGIS
TERS .
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
292
11.4
APPLICATIONS OF
THE SEQUENTIAL DECISION-MAKING PROCEDURE . . . .
294
REFERENCES
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
299
INDEX
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. .
313
CONTENTS
XII |
| any_adam_object | 1 |
| author | Kondratʹev, Kirill Ja. 1920-2006 Krapivin, Vladimir F. 1936- Phillips, Gary W. |
| author_GND | (DE-588)120564238 (DE-588)123739519 |
| author_facet | Kondratʹev, Kirill Ja. 1920-2006 Krapivin, Vladimir F. 1936- Phillips, Gary W. |
| author_role | aut aut aut |
| author_sort | Kondratʹev, Kirill Ja. 1920-2006 |
| author_variant | k j k kj kjk v f k vf vfk g w p gw gwp |
| building | Verbundindex |
| bvnumber | BV014613741 |
| callnumber-first | G - Geography, Anthropology, Recreation |
| callnumber-label | GE149 |
| callnumber-raw | GE149.K655 2002 |
| callnumber-search | GE149.K655 2002 |
| callnumber-sort | GE 3149 K655 42002 |
| callnumber-subject | GE - Environmental Sciences |
| classification_rvk | AR 12450 AR 14000 RB 10438 |
| ctrlnum | (OCoLC)49704724 (DE-599)BVBBV014613741 |
| dewey-full | 363.738/74 363.738/7421 |
| dewey-hundreds | 300 - Social sciences |
| dewey-ones | 363 - Other social problems and services |
| dewey-raw | 363.738/74 363.738/74 21 |
| dewey-search | 363.738/74 363.738/74 21 |
| dewey-sort | 3363.738 274 |
| dewey-tens | 360 - Social problems and services; associations |
| discipline | Allgemeines Soziologie Geographie |
| format | Book |
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| id | DE-604.BV014613741 |
| illustrated | Illustrated |
| indexdate | 2025-03-10T13:02:44Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 3540433732 |
| language | English |
| oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-009934648 |
| oclc_num | 49704724 |
| open_access_boolean | |
| owner | DE-20 DE-703 DE-12 DE-521 DE-634 DE-83 DE-11 |
| owner_facet | DE-20 DE-703 DE-12 DE-521 DE-634 DE-83 DE-11 |
| physical | XIV, 316 S. Ill., graph. Darst. |
| publishDate | 2002 |
| publishDateSearch | 2002 |
| publishDateSort | 2002 |
| publisher | Springer |
| record_format | marc |
| spelling | Kondratʹev, Kirill Ja. 1920-2006 Verfasser (DE-588)120564238 aut Global environmental change modelling and monitoring Kirill Ya. Kondratyev ; Vladimir F. Krapivin ; Gary W. Phillips Berlin [u.a.] Springer 2002 XIV, 316 S. Ill., graph. Darst. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Changement global (Environnement) Global environmental change Umweltveränderung (DE-588)4304982-5 gnd rswk-swf Umweltveränderung (DE-588)4304982-5 s DE-604 Krapivin, Vladimir F. 1936- Verfasser (DE-588)123739519 aut Phillips, Gary W. Verfasser aut DNB Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=009934648&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Kondratʹev, Kirill Ja. 1920-2006 Krapivin, Vladimir F. 1936- Phillips, Gary W. Global environmental change modelling and monitoring Changement global (Environnement) Global environmental change Umweltveränderung (DE-588)4304982-5 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4304982-5 |
| title | Global environmental change modelling and monitoring |
| title_auth | Global environmental change modelling and monitoring |
| title_exact_search | Global environmental change modelling and monitoring |
| title_full | Global environmental change modelling and monitoring Kirill Ya. Kondratyev ; Vladimir F. Krapivin ; Gary W. Phillips |
| title_fullStr | Global environmental change modelling and monitoring Kirill Ya. Kondratyev ; Vladimir F. Krapivin ; Gary W. Phillips |
| title_full_unstemmed | Global environmental change modelling and monitoring Kirill Ya. Kondratyev ; Vladimir F. Krapivin ; Gary W. Phillips |
| title_short | Global environmental change |
| title_sort | global environmental change modelling and monitoring |
| title_sub | modelling and monitoring |
| topic | Changement global (Environnement) Global environmental change Umweltveränderung (DE-588)4304982-5 gnd |
| topic_facet | Changement global (Environnement) Global environmental change Umweltveränderung |
| url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=009934648&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
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