Empirical studies on exchange rate policies in transition economies:
Gespeichert in:
| 1. Verfasser: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Abschlussarbeit Buch |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Aachen
Shaker
2002
|
| Schriftenreihe: | Berichte aus der Volkswirtschaft
|
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Beschreibung: | XIII, 164 S. |
| ISBN: | 3832201963 |
Internformat
MARC
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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Contents
Acknowledgements v
1 General Introduction 1
1.1 Overview of Exchange Rate Policies 2
1.1.1 The Choice of Exchange Rate Regimes 3
1.1.2 Capital Account Liberalization and Exchange Rate Policies 6
1.2 Structure of the Dissertation 9
1.2.1 Exchange Rate Regimes: Classification and Evolution . 9
1.2.2 Determination of Official Exchange Rate Regimes 10
1.2.3 Determination of De Facto Regimes and Regime Discrepancies 11
1.2.4 Capital Controls and Exchange Rate Regime Choices . 12
2 Exchange Rate Regimes in Transition Economies: Classification
and Evolution 15
2.1 Introduction 15
2.2 Classification of Exchange Rate Regimes 16
2.2.1 The IMF Classification 16
2.2.2 De Facto Classification 21
2.3 Comparisons Between Classifications 25
2.3.1 Exploring the Middle Ground 26
2.3.2 Words versus Deeds 28
2.3.3 Global and Regional Standards for Regime Classifications . 31
2.4 Evolution of Exchange Rate Regimes 34
2.4.1 Changing Patterns of Exchange Rate Regimes 35
2.4.2 Gaps Between Official and De Facto Exchange Rate Regimes 38
2.4.3 The Relevance of the "Hollowing Out" Hypothesis 40
2.5 Conclusions 46
2.A Appendix: Cluster Analysis 48
vii
riii CONTENTS
3 The Choice of Official Exchange Rate Regimes in Transition
Economies: An Empirical Analysis 51
3.1 Introduction 51
3.2 Determinants of Regime Choicess 53
3.3 Model and Data for Empirical Analysis 57
3.3.1 The Model 57
3.3.2 The Data 59
3.4 Empirical Results and Discussions 61
3.4.1 Static Choice Model 61
3.4.2 Static Choice Model with Interactive Dummy for the CIS . 63
3.4.3 Dynamic Choice Model 66
3.4.4 Dynamic Choice Model for the Non CIS Sample 69
3.5 Conclusions 70
3.A Appendix: Results with Alternative Classification 73
4 Fear of Floating and the Choice of De Facto Exchange Rate
Regimes 75
4.1 Introduction 75
4.2 Fear of Floating and Fear of Pegging 76
4.2.1 Identification of regime discrepancies 77
., 4.2.2 Lack of credibility and optimal exchange rate policies . 81
I 4.2.3 Determinants of de facto regimes and regime discrepancies 83
I 4.3 The Joint Determination of Two Regimes 86
' 4.3.1 A bivariate probit model for joint regime determinations . 86
4.3.2 Dependent and explanatory variables 87
4.3.3 Empirical results and discussions 89
4.4 The Determination of Regime Discrepancies 94
4.4.1 A univariate probit model for regime discrepancies . 94
4.4.2 Empirical results and discussions 97
4.5 Conclusions 101
4.A Appendix I: Likelihood Expressions 103
4.B Appendix II: Results with LYS's Classification 104
5 The Determination of Capital Controls: Which Role Do Ex¬
change Rate Regimes Play? 107
5.1 Introduction 107
5.2 Theoretical Arguments for Capital Controls 109
5.2.1 Preexistence of Distortions and Second best Arguments . . 109
5.2.2 Multiple Equilibria and First Best Arguments Ill
5.2.3 Political Economy of Capital Controls 112
CONTENTS ix
5.3 Measurement and Determinants of Capital Controls 114
5.3.1 Measuring Capital Controls 114
5.3.2 Determinants of Capital Controls 117
5.4 A Simultaneous Equations Model 121
5.4.1 The Model and the Estimation Procedure 121
5.4.2 The Explanatory Variables 123
5.4.3 Empirical Results with Official Regime Classifications . . . 124
5.4.4 Empirical Results with De Facto Regime Classifications . . 128
5.5 A Single Equation Model 130
5.5.1 Three Specifications of the Model 130
5.5.2 Results of Empirical Estimations 131
5.6 Conclusions 135
5.A Appendix I: Logical Consistency 137
5.B Appendix II: Two Stage Estimation Procedures 138
6 Concluding Remarks 141
6.1 Main Findings 141
6.2 Directions for Further Research 142
A Exchange Rate Regime Classifications 145
A.I Old IMF Classification 146
A.2 New IMF Classification 147
A.3 LYS's De Facto Classification 148
A.4 Author's De Facto Classification 149
B Definitions of Variables and Data Sources 151
B.I Dependent Variables 151
B.I.I Official Exchange Rate Regimes 151
B.1.2 De Facto Exchange Rate Regimes 151
B.1.3 Capital Controls 152
B.2 Explanatory Variables 152
References 155
List of Tables
2.1 The IMF Classification of Exchange Rate Regimes: Transition
Economies, as of December 31, 1997 18
2.2 Mean and Median Volatility of Each Cluster (in percent) 25
2.3 Differentiation of Broad Regime Groups: 1990 1997 27
2.4 Distribution of Official and De Facto Exchange Rate Regimes in
Transition Economies: 1990 1999 29
2.5 Distribution of De Facto Regimes (in percent) 33
2.6 Volatility in Different Country Groups (in percent) 33
2.7 Changing Distributions of Exchange Rate Regimes (in percent) . 38
2.8 Transition Matrices for Various Regime Classifications 42
2.9 ^ Statistics for Likelihood Ratio Tests 44
2.10 Full sample Steady state Distributions (in percent) 45
2.11 Defining Features of De Facto Regime Groups 49
3.1 Changing Trade Patterns of Transition Economies (in percent) . . 54
3.2 Determinants of Exchange rate Regime Choices 56
3.3 Static Ordered Choice Model 62
3.4 Static Ordered Choice Model with Interactive Dummy 65
3.5 Dynamic Ordered Choice Model: Full Sample 68
3.6 Dynamic Ordered Choice Model: Non CIS Sample 71
3.7 Static Ordered Choice Model with Conventional Pegs as Interme¬
diate Regimes 73
4.1 Discrepancies Between Official and De Facto Exchange Rate Regimes 78
4.2 Average Frequency and Size of Regime Changes 79
4.3 Persistence of Exchange Rate Regimes: 1991 1999 80
4.4 Persistence of Regime Discrepancies: 1991 1999 81
4.5 Selected Determinants of De Facto Regimes 84
4.6 Bivariate Ordered Probit Model for the Joint Determination of
Official and De Facto Regimes (with Author's Classification) . 90
4.7 Marginal Effects (with Author's De Facto Classification) 93
4.8 Determination of Regime Discrepancies (with Author's De Facto
Regime Classification) 98
xi
xii LIST OF TABLES
4.9 Marginal Effects on Regime Discrepancies (with Author's De Facto
Regime Classification) 100
4.10 Bivariate Ordered Probit Model for the Joint Determination of Offi¬
cial and De Facto Exchange Rate Regimes (with LYS's Classification) 104
4.11 Determination of Regime Discrepancies (with LYS's De Facto Regime
Classification) 106
5.1 Determinants of Capital Controls: Proxies and Expected Signs . . 120
5.2 Simultaneous Equations Model: with Official Regimes 125
5.3 Simultaneous Equations Model: with De Facto Regimes 129
5.4 Single Equation Model for the Determination of Capital Controls:
with Official Exchange Rate Regimes 132
5.5 Single Equation Model for the Determination of Capital Controls:
with De Facto Regimes 134
A.I Old IMF Classification 146
A.2 NEW IMF Classification 147
A.3 LYS's De Facto Classification 148
A.4 Author's De Facto Classification 149
List of Figures
2.1 Distribution of De Facto Regimes: Two Classifications 32
2.2 Evolution of Exchange Rate Regimes 36
2.3 The Gaps Between Official and De Facto Regimes 40
5.1 Distribution of the Index for Capital Controls in Transition Economies:
1990 1999 116
xiii |
| any_adam_object | 1 |
| author | Zhou, Jizhong 1968- |
| author_GND | (DE-588)12374945X |
| author_facet | Zhou, Jizhong 1968- |
| author_role | aut |
| author_sort | Zhou, Jizhong 1968- |
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| bvnumber | BV014289403 |
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| discipline | Wirtschaftswissenschaften |
| format | Thesis Book |
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| id | DE-604.BV014289403 |
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| indexdate | 2025-01-02T09:21:25Z |
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| language | English |
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| series2 | Berichte aus der Volkswirtschaft |
| spelling | Zhou, Jizhong 1968- Verfasser (DE-588)12374945X aut Empirical studies on exchange rate policies in transition economies Jizhong Zhou Aachen Shaker 2002 XIII, 164 S. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Berichte aus der Volkswirtschaft Zugl.: Bonn, Univ., Diss., 2002 Europäische Union (DE-588)5098525-5 gnd rswk-swf Wechselkurspolitik (DE-588)4131291-0 gnd rswk-swf Systemtransformation (DE-588)4060633-8 gnd rswk-swf Planwirtschaft (DE-588)4046242-0 gnd rswk-swf Marktwirtschaft (DE-588)4037653-9 gnd rswk-swf Wirtschaftsreform (DE-588)4066512-4 gnd rswk-swf Osteuropa (DE-588)4075739-0 gnd rswk-swf (DE-588)4113937-9 Hochschulschrift gnd-content Osteuropa (DE-588)4075739-0 g Wirtschaftsreform (DE-588)4066512-4 s Wechselkurspolitik (DE-588)4131291-0 s DE-604 Planwirtschaft (DE-588)4046242-0 s Systemtransformation (DE-588)4060633-8 s Marktwirtschaft (DE-588)4037653-9 s Europäische Union (DE-588)5098525-5 b HBZ Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=009800563&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Zhou, Jizhong 1968- Empirical studies on exchange rate policies in transition economies Europäische Union (DE-588)5098525-5 gnd Wechselkurspolitik (DE-588)4131291-0 gnd Systemtransformation (DE-588)4060633-8 gnd Planwirtschaft (DE-588)4046242-0 gnd Marktwirtschaft (DE-588)4037653-9 gnd Wirtschaftsreform (DE-588)4066512-4 gnd |
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| title | Empirical studies on exchange rate policies in transition economies |
| title_auth | Empirical studies on exchange rate policies in transition economies |
| title_exact_search | Empirical studies on exchange rate policies in transition economies |
| title_full | Empirical studies on exchange rate policies in transition economies Jizhong Zhou |
| title_fullStr | Empirical studies on exchange rate policies in transition economies Jizhong Zhou |
| title_full_unstemmed | Empirical studies on exchange rate policies in transition economies Jizhong Zhou |
| title_short | Empirical studies on exchange rate policies in transition economies |
| title_sort | empirical studies on exchange rate policies in transition economies |
| topic | Europäische Union (DE-588)5098525-5 gnd Wechselkurspolitik (DE-588)4131291-0 gnd Systemtransformation (DE-588)4060633-8 gnd Planwirtschaft (DE-588)4046242-0 gnd Marktwirtschaft (DE-588)4037653-9 gnd Wirtschaftsreform (DE-588)4066512-4 gnd |
| topic_facet | Europäische Union Wechselkurspolitik Systemtransformation Planwirtschaft Marktwirtschaft Wirtschaftsreform Osteuropa Hochschulschrift |
| url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=009800563&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
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