Population change and economic development in East Asia: challenges met, opportunities seized
Gespeichert in:
Format: | Buch |
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Sprache: | English |
Veröffentlicht: |
Stanford, Calif.
Stanford Univ. Press
2001
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Schriftenreihe: | Contemporary issues in Asia and the Pacific
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Schlagworte: | |
Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
Beschreibung: | XXII, 503 S. graph. Darst. |
ISBN: | 0804743223 0804743037 |
Internformat
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245 | 1 | 0 | |a Population change and economic development in East Asia |b challenges met, opportunities seized |c ed. by Andrew Mason |
264 | 1 | |a Stanford, Calif. |b Stanford Univ. Press |c 2001 | |
300 | |a XXII, 503 S. |b graph. Darst. | ||
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651 | 4 | |a Ostasien | |
651 | 4 | |a East Asia |x Economic conditions |v Congresses | |
651 | 4 | |a East Asia |x Population policy |v Congresses | |
651 | 4 | |a East Asia |x Population |x Economic aspects |v Congresses | |
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adam_text | Contents
Figures ix
Tables xiii
Contributors xix
Preface xxi
1. Population and Economic Growth
in East Asia 1
Andrew Mason
Part I
The Population Economic Growth Nexus in East Asia
2. Economic Growth and Policy in East Asia 33
John Bauer
3. Population in East Asia 61
Griffith Feeney and Andrew Mason
4. Induced Innovation and Agricultural
Development in East Asia 96
Yujiro Hayami
Part II
Saving and Investment
5. The Accumulation and Demography
Connection in East Asia 123
Jeffrey G. Williamson and
Matthew Higgins
6. Saving, Wealth, and the Demographic
Transition in East Asia 155
Ronald D. Lee, Andrew Mason,
and Timothy Miller
viii Contents
7. Savings, Capital Formation, and Economic
Growth in Singapore 185
Mun Heng Toh
8. Population, Capital, and Labor 209
Andrew Mason
Part III
Human Resource Issues
9. Education and the East Asian Miracle 231
Dennis A. Ahlburg and Eric R. Jensen
10. Child Health and Health Care in Indonesia
and the Philippines 255
Eric R. Jensen and Dennis A. Ahlburg
11. Education, Earning, and Fertility in Taiwan 279
Fung Mey Huang
12. Changing Labor Forces and Labor Markets
in Asia s Miracle Economies 300
Yoshio Okunishi
13. The Role Played by Labor Migration
in the Asian Economic Miracle 332
Philip L. Martin
Part IV
Inequality and the Economic Role of Women
14. Demographic Change, Development, and
the Economic Status of Women in East Asia 359
John Bauer
15. Population and Inequality in East Asia 385
Harry Oshima and Andrew Mason
PartV
Population Policy and Programs
16. Population Policies and Family Planning Programs
in Asia s Rapidly Developing Economies 413
Amy Ong Tsui
Notes 445
Bibliography 455
Index 489
Figures
2.1 Capital per worker: Four Asian countries, 1965 92 37
3.1 Stylized demographic transition 64
3.2 Extremes of human survivorship 67
3.3 Life expectancy and income: 113 countries, 1960 64 68
3.4 Life expectancy and income: 113 countries, 1990 94 69
3.5 Fertility and income: 113 countries, 1960 64 70
3.6 Fertility and income: 113 countries, 1990 94 71
3.7 Changes in a model age distribution over the demographic
transition 75
3.8 Changes in Thailand s age distribution, 1970 2030 77
3.9 Changes in South Korea s age distribution, 1950 2050 79
3.10 Changes in family size: Japan, South Korea, and Indonesia,
1930 90 84
3.11 Trends in sibset size: South Korea and Indonesia, 1940 92 87
4.1 Rice yields per hectare planted: Japan, Korea, and Taiwan,
five year moving average, 1895 1935 (semilogarithmic scale) 102
4.2 Rice yields per hectare harvested: Selected Asian countries,
five year moving average, 1953 95 (semilogarithmic scale) 103
4.3 Shift in fertilizer response curve along the meta response curve 105
4.4 Trends in irrigation improvement, cultivated land area,
and land labor ratio: Japan, 1880 1960 110
4.5 Trends in irrigation improvement, cultivated land area,
and land labor ratio: Philippines, 1950 72 1 11
4.6 Percentages of rice areas harvested in modern varieties:
Bangladesh and selected regions of India, 1966 89
(five year moving average) 113
x Figures
4.7 Average rice yields: Bangladesh and selected regions of India,
1963 89 (five year moving average) 114
5.1 Simulated demographic transition 136
5.2 Age distribution coefficients 141
6.1 Economic support ratio: Taiwan, 1950 2100 158
6.2 Simulated saving rates: Taiwan, 1950 2100 170
6.3 Simulated capital output ratio: Taiwan, 1950 2100 171
7.1 Rate of contribution to the CPF as a percentage of wages 193
8.1 Labor force growth and population growth, 1960 90:
World and six East Asian countries 211
8.2 Capital deepening and labor force growth: International cross
section, 1965 90 213
8.3 Investment as a percentage of gross domestic product:
104 countries, 1960 and 1990 214
8.4 Closed economy equilibria 219
8.5 Open economy equilibria 220
10.1 Vaccinations by child s age and whether mother produced
vaccination card: Indonesia, 1991 Demographic and
Health Survey 274
11.1 Age profiles of monthly earnings for birth cohorts of male
elementary school graduates 285
11.2 Age profiles of monthly earnings for birth cohorts of male
junior high school graduates 286
11.3 Age profiles of monthly earnings for birth cohorts of male
senior high school graduates 287
11.4 Age profiles of monthly earnings for birth cohorts of male
vocational school graduates 288
11.5 Age profiles of monthly earnings for birth cohorts of male
college graduates 289
11.6 Taiwan s educational system 298
12.1 Hourly wages in manufacturing: Five East Asian countries
and the United States, recent decades 314
12.2 Yearly hours worked in manufacturing: Five East Asian
countries and the United States, recent decades 315
12.3 Index of monthly wage differentials between blue collar and
white collar male workers employed in manufacturing: Japan,
South Korea, and Taiwan, recent decades 320
Figures xi
12.4 Percentage of blue collar workers among (male)
manufacturing workers: Japan, South Korea, and
Taiwan, recent decades 320
12.5 Index of monthly wage differentials by education for
males in all industries: Japan, South Korea, and Taiwan,
recent decades) 321
12.6 Index of monthly wage differentials by sex for all industries:
Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, and Singapore, recent decades 322
12.7 Labor turnover rates in manufacturing: Japan, South Korea,
Taiwan, and Singapore, recent decades 328
13.1 The migration hump 352
14.1 Female labor force participation rates by age group and birth
cohort: Japan, 1936 40 to 1961 65 cohorts 381
14.2 Female labor force participation rates by age group and birth
cohort: Taiwan, 1931 35 to 1961 65 cohorts 382
14.3 Female labor force participation rates by age group and birth
cohort: Singapore, 1936 40 to 1961 65 cohorts 383
15.1 Gini ratio and Lorenz curve 389
15.2 Inequality in years lived, model life tables 405
16.1 Annual per capita funding for family planning by source:
South Korea, 1972 92 425
16.2 Annual per capita funding for family planning by source:
Taiwan, 1973 92 426
16.3 Annual per capita funding for family planning by source:
Singapore, 1972 91 427
16.4 Annual per capita funding for family planning by source:
Thailand, 1972 93 428
16.5 Annual per capita funding for family planning by source:
Indonesia, 1972 92 429
16.6 Trends in modern contraceptive prevalence among
reproductive age women in unions: Six rapidly developing
Asian countries, 1955 95 432
16.7 Percentage of women in unions using various contraceptive
methods: Indonesia, 1973 94 432
16.8 Percentage of women in unions using various contraceptive
methods: South Korea, 1964 94 433
Tables
1.1 Summary of agricultural statistics: Six East Asian countries,
1960 90 10
1.2 Population and labor force growth: Average annual growth
rates in major world regions, 1960 90 14
1.3 Predicted saving rates (%), 1960 90, based on Taiwan s
demographics: Five alternative models 16
2.1 Average annual economic growth in real GDP per capita (%):
16 countries, 1960 90 35
2.2 Gross domestic savings as a percentage of GDP: Eight East
Asian countries, 1960 93 36
2.3 Growth in real GDP per capita relative to real GDP per
worker (growth rate of GDP per capita/growth rate of GDP
per worker): Eight East Asian countries 46
3.1 Population size and population growth: Six Asian countries
and major regions of the world, 1950 95 62
3.2 Life expectancy and infant mortality: Six Asian countries
and major regions of the world, early 1950s to early 1990s 66
3.3 Total fertility rates: Six Asian countries and selected
comparison countries, selected periods 73
3.4 Population growth in six Asian countries and major regions
of the world, 1990 2050 78
3.5 Age structure: Six Asian countries and major world regions,
1960 and 1990 81
3.6 Singulate mean age at marriage for females: Six Asian
countries, 1960 and 1990 83
3.7 Percentage of women who were mothers, by age group:
Four Asian countries, 1970s and early 1990s 83
xiv Tables
3.8 Percentage of elderly currently married: Six Asian countries,
1970 and 1990 90
3.9 Age composition of households headed by the elderly:
Five Asian countries, recent decades 92
4.1 Land resource endowments and agricultural productivity:
Six major regions, 1994 98
4.2 Indexes of food output per capita, arable land area per capita,
and food output per hectare of arable area: Asia, Africa, and
Latin America, 1963 93 99
4.3 Yield response to nitrogen input by rice variety: Bangladesh
and Japan, early 1960s 105
4.4 Fertilizer rice price ratio and rice yield per hectare for Japan,
1883 1987, and for four tropical Asian countries 107
4.5 Nominal rates of agricultural protection (%): 3 Northeast
Asian countries and 11 other developed countries, 1955 90 119
5.1 Dependency rates (%) in East Asia during the second half
of the twentieth century 127
5.2 Annual population growth rates (%) by region: 1965 90 128
5.3 Actual and projected prime age shares (%): East Asia,
1990 2025 129
5.4 Savings, investment, and net capital flows as percentage shares
of GDP: East Asia, 1950 92 131
5.5 Impact of dependency rates on savings, investment, and net
capital flows as percentage shares of GDP: East Asia, 1950 92 144
5.6 How different were the fast transition East Asian countries?
Actual savings, investment, and current account balance as
percentages of GDP, counterfactual (CF) shares, and the
difference between actual and counterfactual shares: East
Asia, 1955 92 148
5.7 Actual and projected impact of dependency rates on savings,
investment, and foreign capital dependency (%): East Asia
and South Asia, 1990 2025 152
6.1 Steady state effects of different mortality regimes with other
variables set at baseline values 165
6.2 Steady state effects of different fertility regimes with other
variables set at baseline values 165
6.3 Steady state effects of fertility and mortality varying together,
with other variables set at baseline values 165
; Tables xv
6.4 Steady state effects of varying productivity growth and fixed
interest rate (at 0.03) with other variables set at baseline values 166
6.5 Steady state effects of varying interest rate and fixed
productivity growth (at 0.02) with other variables set at
baseline values 166
6.6 Steady state effects of interest rates and productivity growth
varying together, with other variables set at baseline values 166
6.7 Steady state effects of different levels of familial transfers to
elderly, with other variables set at baseline values 167
6.8 Steady state effects of different levels of parental investment
in children, with other variables set at baseline values 167
7.1 Selected indicators of saving and investment (%): Singapore,
1960 95 189
7.2 Sources and uses of gross saving: Singapore, 1975 95 190
7.3 Schemes introduced under the CPF, 1968 95 191
7.4 Coverage of CPF Scheme, 1965 95 192
7.5 Withdrawals from the CPF by type: 1968 95 194
7.6 Net capital inflow, foreign direct investment, and portfolio
investment in Singapore: 1983 93 196
7.7 Stock of foreign direct investments (FDI) and official foreign
reserves (OFR): Singapore, 1982 93 199
8.1 Accounting for growth in output per capita: Four Asian
countries, 1965 90 215
8.2 Growth rates of selected variables: Four East Asian countries,
1965 90 224
8.3 Comparison of steady state and actual growth variables:
Four East Asian countries, 1965 90 225
8.4 Accounting for growth in output per capita: Four Asian
countries, 1965 90 227
8.5 Accounting for growth, with sensitivity to capital elasticity:
Four East Asian countries, 1965 90 228
9.1 School enrollment rates: Six East Asian countries, 1970 90 233
9.2 Total primary, secondary, and tertiary enrollments (in
thousands): Six East Asian countries, 1960 90 234
9.3 Percentage of females in enrollments, by level: Six East Asian
countries, 1960 90 235
9.4 Public expenditure on education per pupil, by level (expressed
in US dollars): Six East Asian countries, 1960 90 236
xvi Tables
9.5 Percentages of current public expenditure on education,
by level: Six East Asian countries, 1960 90 237
9.6 Total educational expenditure as a percentage of GNP:
Six East Asian countries, 1960 90 238
9.7 Primary pupil teacher ratios: Six East Asian countries,
1960 90 239
9.8 Results of econometric studies on the effect of sibset size
on educational outcomes: Four East Asian countries and
Cote d lvoire 248
10.1 Description of variables used in the analysis: Philippines 262
10.2 Coefficients of probit models of child morbidity: Philippines 264
10.3 Coefficients of the models of treatment for child morbidity:
Philippines 266
10.4 Coefficients of ordinary least squares (OLS), Tobit, and Poisson
regressions for vaccinations: Philippines 267
10.5 Description of variables used in the analysis: Indonesia, 1991 269
10.6 Coefficients of probit models of child morbidity: Indonesia,
1991 270
10.7 Coefficients of models of treatment for child morbidity:
Indonesia, 1991 272
10.8 Coefficients of ordinary least squares (OLS), Tobit, and Poisson
regressions for vaccinations: Indonesia, 1991 275
11.1 Distribution of birth cohorts by sex and education level:
Taiwan, 1926 70 284
11.2 Definition of variables 293
11.3 Coefficient estimates (t ratio) of structural model: Taiwan 294
12.1 Labor force change rate, the contribution of population, and the
contribution of participation rate change by sex and age (%):
Six East Asian countries, recent decades 303
12.2 Labor force participation rates by sex and age (%): Six East
Asian countries, recent decades 306
12.3 Composition of labor force by sex and age (%): Six East Asian
countries, recent decades 309
12.4 Percentages of employed persons by educational attainment:
Six East Asian countries, two recent decades 312
12.5 Relationships among population, development, and labor
markets 316
1
¦I
Tables xvii
12.6 Male wage differentials by age (20 29 wage = 100) and
percentage of workers by age (in parentheses): High school
and college graduates, Japan and South Korea, recent decades 323
12.7 Wage premiums and worker ratios (in parentheses) of male
college graduates, by age cohort: South Korea, 1980 95 326
12.8 Labor turnover rates (%) and percentages of workers (in
parentheses) by age and occupation: Japan, 1982 and 1997,
and Singapore, 1995 329
13.1 Recognized legal immigrants and total migrants: Major Asian
labor importers and exporters, 1997 99 335
13.2 Factors influencing the decision to migrate 337
14.1 Labor force participation rates for women age 15 and older:
Six Asian countries, recent decades 361
14.2 Percentages of secondary school age girls enrolled for
secondary education: Six Asian countries, 1965 90 362
14.3 Ratio of female to male secondary school students: Six Asian
countries, 1960 90 362
14.4 Ratio of female to male tertiary school students: Six Asian
countries, 1960 90 363
14.5 Percentage distribution of working women by occupation:
Four Asian countries, 1960 90 364
14.6 Women as a percentage of the total labor force: Four East
Asian countries, 1960 90 366
14.7 Women and labor force growth: Four East Asian countries,
recent decades 366
14.8 Percentage of women in manufacturing employment: Six
Asian countries, recent decades 368
14.9 Occupational segregation by sex (percentage of women in
occupation/percentage of men in occupation): Four Asian
countries, 1960 90 375
14.10 Women s life cycle phases: Japan, 1927 and 1959 birth cohorts 378
14.11 Women s life cycle phases: South Korea, 1955 64 and 1975
85 rates 379
15.1 Income inequality: Regions of the world and eight East Asian
countries, recent years 389
15.2 Household size and composition: Six East Asian countries,
circa 1960 90 394
xviii Tables
15.3 Income inequality among males, females, and households:
Taiwan, 1976 93 401
15.4 Income and expenditure inequality in postwar Asia: Gini ratios
for 14 Asian countries by subregion and period 409
16.1 Actual and projected population size and growth rates: Six
Asian countries, regions of Asia, and the developing world,
1950 2030 417
16.2 Government position on population growth and family
planning: Seven Asian countries, circa 1970 420
16.3 Average annual per capita funding (in US cents) for family
planning by source: Five Asian countries, circa 1972 92 425
16.4 Trends in the percentage of women of reproductive age and
in unions using contraception, by method type: Six Asian
countries, recent decades 431
16.5 Averages and standard deviations (SDs) for development
indicators and family planning effort (FPE) scores: Six rapidly
developing Asian countries and other developing countries,
1972 94 436
16.6 Results from fixed effects time series regression for family
planning effort (FPE) score: 80 developing countries,
recent years 439
16.7 Results from fixed effects time series regression for change
in the logarithm of the total fertility rate: 73 developing
countries, recent years 440
16.8 Simulated total fertility rates: 6 rapidly developing Asian
countries and 74 other developing countries, recent years 441
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genre | (DE-588)1071861417 Konferenzschrift gnd-content |
genre_facet | Konferenzschrift |
geographic | Extrême-Orient - Conditions économiques - Congrès Extrême-Orient - Politique démographique - Congrès Extrême-Orient - Population - Aspect économique - Congrès Ostasien East Asia Economic conditions Congresses East Asia Population policy Congresses East Asia Population Economic aspects Congresses Ostasien (DE-588)4075727-4 gnd |
geographic_facet | Extrême-Orient - Conditions économiques - Congrès Extrême-Orient - Politique démographique - Congrès Extrême-Orient - Population - Aspect économique - Congrès Ostasien East Asia Economic conditions Congresses East Asia Population policy Congresses East Asia Population Economic aspects Congresses |
id | DE-604.BV014142850 |
illustrated | Illustrated |
indexdate | 2024-07-09T18:58:24Z |
institution | BVB |
isbn | 0804743223 0804743037 |
language | English |
oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-009691207 |
oclc_num | 47643264 |
open_access_boolean | |
owner | DE-739 DE-12 DE-473 DE-BY-UBG DE-11 DE-Re13 DE-BY-UBR |
owner_facet | DE-739 DE-12 DE-473 DE-BY-UBG DE-11 DE-Re13 DE-BY-UBR |
physical | XXII, 503 S. graph. Darst. |
publishDate | 2001 |
publishDateSearch | 2001 |
publishDateSort | 2001 |
publisher | Stanford Univ. Press |
record_format | marc |
series2 | Contemporary issues in Asia and the Pacific |
spelling | Population change and economic development in East Asia challenges met, opportunities seized ed. by Andrew Mason Stanford, Calif. Stanford Univ. Press 2001 XXII, 503 S. graph. Darst. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Contemporary issues in Asia and the Pacific Bevolkingsontwikkeling gtt Bevolkingspolitiek gtt Sociaal-economische ontwikkeling gtt Wirtschaft Bevölkerungspolitik (DE-588)4006295-8 gnd rswk-swf Soziale Situation (DE-588)4077575-6 gnd rswk-swf Wirtschaftsentwicklung (DE-588)4066438-7 gnd rswk-swf Bevölkerungswachstum (DE-588)4129300-9 gnd rswk-swf Extrême-Orient - Conditions économiques - Congrès Extrême-Orient - Politique démographique - Congrès Extrême-Orient - Population - Aspect économique - Congrès Ostasien East Asia Economic conditions Congresses East Asia Population policy Congresses East Asia Population Economic aspects Congresses Ostasien (DE-588)4075727-4 gnd rswk-swf (DE-588)1071861417 Konferenzschrift gnd-content Ostasien (DE-588)4075727-4 g Bevölkerungswachstum (DE-588)4129300-9 s Wirtschaftsentwicklung (DE-588)4066438-7 s DE-604 Bevölkerungspolitik (DE-588)4006295-8 s Soziale Situation (DE-588)4077575-6 s Mason, Andrew Sonstige oth HBZ Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=009691207&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
spellingShingle | Population change and economic development in East Asia challenges met, opportunities seized Bevolkingsontwikkeling gtt Bevolkingspolitiek gtt Sociaal-economische ontwikkeling gtt Wirtschaft Bevölkerungspolitik (DE-588)4006295-8 gnd Soziale Situation (DE-588)4077575-6 gnd Wirtschaftsentwicklung (DE-588)4066438-7 gnd Bevölkerungswachstum (DE-588)4129300-9 gnd |
subject_GND | (DE-588)4006295-8 (DE-588)4077575-6 (DE-588)4066438-7 (DE-588)4129300-9 (DE-588)4075727-4 (DE-588)1071861417 |
title | Population change and economic development in East Asia challenges met, opportunities seized |
title_auth | Population change and economic development in East Asia challenges met, opportunities seized |
title_exact_search | Population change and economic development in East Asia challenges met, opportunities seized |
title_full | Population change and economic development in East Asia challenges met, opportunities seized ed. by Andrew Mason |
title_fullStr | Population change and economic development in East Asia challenges met, opportunities seized ed. by Andrew Mason |
title_full_unstemmed | Population change and economic development in East Asia challenges met, opportunities seized ed. by Andrew Mason |
title_short | Population change and economic development in East Asia |
title_sort | population change and economic development in east asia challenges met opportunities seized |
title_sub | challenges met, opportunities seized |
topic | Bevolkingsontwikkeling gtt Bevolkingspolitiek gtt Sociaal-economische ontwikkeling gtt Wirtschaft Bevölkerungspolitik (DE-588)4006295-8 gnd Soziale Situation (DE-588)4077575-6 gnd Wirtschaftsentwicklung (DE-588)4066438-7 gnd Bevölkerungswachstum (DE-588)4129300-9 gnd |
topic_facet | Bevolkingsontwikkeling Bevolkingspolitiek Sociaal-economische ontwikkeling Wirtschaft Bevölkerungspolitik Soziale Situation Wirtschaftsentwicklung Bevölkerungswachstum Extrême-Orient - Conditions économiques - Congrès Extrême-Orient - Politique démographique - Congrès Extrême-Orient - Population - Aspect économique - Congrès Ostasien East Asia Economic conditions Congresses East Asia Population policy Congresses East Asia Population Economic aspects Congresses Konferenzschrift |
url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=009691207&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
work_keys_str_mv | AT masonandrew populationchangeandeconomicdevelopmentineastasiachallengesmetopportunitiesseized |