Foundations of time series analysis and prediction theory:
Gespeichert in:
1. Verfasser: | |
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Format: | Buch |
Sprache: | English |
Veröffentlicht: |
New York [u.a.]
Wiley
2001
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Schriftenreihe: | Wiley series in probability and statistics : Applied probability and statistics section
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Schlagworte: | |
Online-Zugang: | Publisher description Table of Contents Inhaltsverzeichnis |
Beschreibung: | XVIII, 414 S. graph. Darst. |
ISBN: | 0471394343 |
Internformat
MARC
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245 | 1 | 0 | |a Foundations of time series analysis and prediction theory |c Mohsen Pourahmadi |
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650 | 7 | |a Prognoses |2 gtt | |
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650 | 4 | |a Prediction theory | |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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adam_text | IMAGE 1
FOUNDATIONS OF TIME SERIES
ANALYSIS AND PREDICTION THEORY
MOHSEN POURAHMADI NORTHERN ILLINOIS UNIVERSITY
A WILEY-INTERSCIENCE PUBLICATION JOHN WILEY & SONS, INC. NEW YORK *
CHICHESTER * WEINHEIM * BRISBANE * SINGAPORE * TORONTO
IMAGE 2
CONTENTS
PREFACE VII
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS XI
ACRONYMS XVII
1 INTRODUCTION 1
1.1 NONSTATIONARY DATA AND ORTHOGONALIZATION 1
1.2 ARMA MODEL FITTING PROCESS 2
1.3 REPARAMETERIZATIONS 4
1.4 MATHEMATICS OFPREDICTION THEORY 6
2 TIME SERIES ANALYSIS: ONE LONG SERIES 9
2.1 TIME SERIES DATA 10
2.2 TRANSFORMATIONS TO STATIONARITY: TREND ELIMINATION 13 2.3 TIME
SERIES REGRESSION: TREND ESTIMATION 17
2.4 TRANSFORMATIONS TO ORTHOGONALITY 28
2.5 FORECASTING SYSTEMS 43
2.6 STATISTICAL TIME SERIES ANALYSIS 58
A2.7 PREDICTION THEORY 64
PROBLEMS 72
XIII
IMAGE 3
XIV CONTENTS
3 TIME SERIES ANALYSIS: MANY SHORT SERIES 79
3.1 THE MODELING FRAMEWORK, DATA AND EXAMPLES 81
3.2 STRUCTURED COVARIANCE MATRICES 87
3.3 SAMPLE COVARIANCE AND CORRELATION MATRICES 90
3.4 GENERALIZED CORRELOGRAMS 93
3.5 UNCONSTRAINED REPARAMETERIZATION 98
3.6 ANTEDEPENDENCE MODELS 105
3.7 GENERALIZATIONS 108
PROBLEMS 109
4 STATIONARY AR MA MODELS 111
4.1 CAUSAL STATIONARY SOLUTIONS OF AR MODELS 112
4.2 ARMA MODELS 117
4.3 PREDICTION AND MARKOVIAN REPRESENTATION 125
4.4 INFERENCE FOR GAUSSIAN ARMA MODELS 131
4.5 CHARACTERIZATION OFARMA MODELS 142
A4.6 CONSTRUCTION OFARMA PROCESSES 144
A4.7 EXISTENCE OFARMA PROCESSES 148
PROBLEMS 152
5 STATIONARY PROCESSES 157
5.1 COVARIANCE OF STATIONARY PROCESSES 158
5.2 EXAMPLES OF STATIONARY PROCESSES 160
5.3 THE SHIFT OPERATOR AND SPECTRAL REPRESENTATION 164
5.4 PREDICTION OF STOCHASTIC PROCESSES 171
5.5 LINEAR INDEPENDENCE AND PREDICTION 176
5.6 STATISTICS OF STATIONARY PROCESSES 185
PROBLEMS 196
6 PARAMETERIZATION AND PREDICTION 201
6.1 A REGRESSION LEMMA 202
6.2 AUTOREGRESSIVE PARAMETERS AND REPRESENTATIONS 204 6.3 MOVING AVERAGE
PARAMETERS AND REPRESENTATIONS 210 6.4 ARMA REPRESENTATIONS 213
6.5 INFINITE VARIANCE PROCESSES 216
PROBLEMS 223
IMAGE 4
CONTENTS XV
7 FINUEE PREDICTION AND PARTIAL CORRELATIONS 227
7.1 THE FINITE PREDICTION PROBLEM 228
7.2 DURBIN-LEVINSON ALGORITHM 233
7.3 PARTIAL CORRELATIONS 236
7.4 MULTIPLE AND CANONICAL CORRELATIONS 239
7.5 CHARACTERIZATION OFAR(P) PROCESSES 243
7.6 CONVERGENCE OF PREDICTORS 245
A7.7 SZEGOE S ORTHOGONAL POLYNOMIALS 252
A7.8 TRUNCATED MOMENT PROBLEM 260
PROBLEMS 264
8 MISSING VALUES: PAST AND FUTURE 267
8.1 PREDICTION OF LINEAR FUNCTIONS OF FUTURE 268
8.2 THE MISSING VALUE PROBLEM 270
8.3 PREDICTION USING INCOMPLETE PAST 279
8.4 INTERVENTION ANALYSIS 281
8.5 INTERPOLATION AND INVERSE CORRELATIONS 284
8.6 CANONICAL CORRELATION BETWEEN PAST AND FUTURE 287
8.7 COMPUTATION OF CANONICAL CORRELATIONS 294
PROBLEMS 296
STATIONARY SEQUENCES IN HUBERT SPACES 299
9.1 INNER PRODUCT SPACES 300
9.2 COMPLETE NORMED (BANACH) SPACES 306
9.3 ORTHOGONAL PROJECTION 309
9.4 ORTHONORMAL BASES AND EXPANSION 314
9.5 BOUNDED OPERATORS 318
9.6 PROJECTION OPERATORS AND ANGLE BETWEEN SUBSPACES 324 9.7
POSITIVE-DEFINITE FUNCTIONS 330
9.8 THE SPECTRAL THEOREM FOR UNITARY OPERATOR 334
9.9 THE SPECTRAL REPRESENTATION 340
PROBLEMS 347
IMAGE 5
XVI CONTENTS
10 STATIONARITY AND HARDY SPACES 351
10.1 THE WOLD DECOMPOSITION AND THE SPACE H 2 352
10.2 SZEGOE S DISTANCE THEOREM 359
10.3 HARDY SPACES: THEOREMS OFBEURLING 361
10.4 FOURIER SERIES 365
10.5 CONJUGATE SERIES AND ANALYTIC FUNCTIONS 369
PROBLEMS 373
APPENDIX A MULTIVARIATE DISTRIBUTIONS 375
A.1 NORMAL RANDOM VECTORS 376
A.2 MULTIVARIATE T-DISTRIBUTIONS 377
A.3 ELLIPTICALLY CONTOURED DISTRIBUTIONS 379
APPENDIX B THE BAYESIAN FORECASTING 381
B.L BAYESIAN REGRESSION MODELS 382
B.2 EFFICIENCY OFBFS 385
B.3 EFFICIENCY OFA PLUG-IN SFS 385
B.4 PROBABILITY FORECASTING SYSTEMS 386
REFERENCES 389
INDEX 405
AUTHOR INDEX 411
|
any_adam_object | 1 |
author | Pourahmadi, Mohsen |
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author_sort | Pourahmadi, Mohsen |
author_variant | m p mp |
building | Verbundindex |
bvnumber | BV013959687 |
callnumber-first | Q - Science |
callnumber-label | QA280 |
callnumber-raw | QA280.P68 2001 |
callnumber-search | QA280.P68 2001 |
callnumber-sort | QA 3280 P68 42001 |
callnumber-subject | QA - Mathematics |
classification_rvk | QH 237 SK 845 |
ctrlnum | (OCoLC)46364656 (DE-599)BVBBV013959687 |
dewey-full | 519.5/5 519.5/521 |
dewey-hundreds | 500 - Natural sciences and mathematics |
dewey-ones | 519 - Probabilities and applied mathematics |
dewey-raw | 519.5/5 519.5/5 21 |
dewey-search | 519.5/5 519.5/5 21 |
dewey-sort | 3519.5 15 |
dewey-tens | 510 - Mathematics |
discipline | Mathematik Wirtschaftswissenschaften |
format | Book |
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indexdate | 2024-07-09T18:55:07Z |
institution | BVB |
isbn | 0471394343 |
language | English |
oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-009553212 |
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physical | XVIII, 414 S. graph. Darst. |
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spelling | Pourahmadi, Mohsen Verfasser aut Foundations of time series analysis and prediction theory Mohsen Pourahmadi New York [u.a.] Wiley 2001 XVIII, 414 S. graph. Darst. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Wiley series in probability and statistics : Applied probability and statistics section Prognoses gtt Prévision, Théorie de la Série chronologique Tijdreeksen gtt Time-series analysis Prediction theory Prognoseverfahren (DE-588)4358095-6 gnd rswk-swf Zeitreihenanalyse (DE-588)4067486-1 gnd rswk-swf Zeitreihenanalyse (DE-588)4067486-1 s Prognoseverfahren (DE-588)4358095-6 s DE-604 http://www.loc.gov/catdir/description/wiley035/2001017918.html Publisher description http://www.loc.gov/catdir/toc/onix06/2001017918.html Table of Contents GBV Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=009553212&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
spellingShingle | Pourahmadi, Mohsen Foundations of time series analysis and prediction theory Prognoses gtt Prévision, Théorie de la Série chronologique Tijdreeksen gtt Time-series analysis Prediction theory Prognoseverfahren (DE-588)4358095-6 gnd Zeitreihenanalyse (DE-588)4067486-1 gnd |
subject_GND | (DE-588)4358095-6 (DE-588)4067486-1 |
title | Foundations of time series analysis and prediction theory |
title_auth | Foundations of time series analysis and prediction theory |
title_exact_search | Foundations of time series analysis and prediction theory |
title_full | Foundations of time series analysis and prediction theory Mohsen Pourahmadi |
title_fullStr | Foundations of time series analysis and prediction theory Mohsen Pourahmadi |
title_full_unstemmed | Foundations of time series analysis and prediction theory Mohsen Pourahmadi |
title_short | Foundations of time series analysis and prediction theory |
title_sort | foundations of time series analysis and prediction theory |
topic | Prognoses gtt Prévision, Théorie de la Série chronologique Tijdreeksen gtt Time-series analysis Prediction theory Prognoseverfahren (DE-588)4358095-6 gnd Zeitreihenanalyse (DE-588)4067486-1 gnd |
topic_facet | Prognoses Prévision, Théorie de la Série chronologique Tijdreeksen Time-series analysis Prediction theory Prognoseverfahren Zeitreihenanalyse |
url | http://www.loc.gov/catdir/description/wiley035/2001017918.html http://www.loc.gov/catdir/toc/onix06/2001017918.html http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=009553212&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
work_keys_str_mv | AT pourahmadimohsen foundationsoftimeseriesanalysisandpredictiontheory |