Causes of war: power and the roots of conflict
Gespeichert in:
| 1. Verfasser: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Buch |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Ithaca [u.a.]
Cornell Univ. Press
1999
|
| Ausgabe: | 1. publ. |
| Schriftenreihe: | Cornell studies in security affairs
|
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Beschreibung: | VIII, 270 S. |
| ISBN: | 0801432014 9780801482953 |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
| _version_ | 1804128692369096704 |
|---|---|
| adam_text | Copyright
© 1999
by Cornell University
All rights reserved. Except for brief quotations in a review, this book, or parts
thereof, must not be reproduced in any form without permission in writing
from the publisher. For information, address Cornell University Press,
Sage House,
512
East State Street, Ithaca, New York
14850.
First published
1999
by Cornell University Press
Printed in the United States of America
Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data
Causes of war
:
power and the roots of conflict
/
Stephen Van
Evera.
p. cm.
Includes index.
ISBN
978-0-8014-8295-3
(pbk.
:
alk.
paper).
1.
War.
2.
Balance of power.
3.
International relations—Case studies. I. Title
U21.2.V34
1999 355.02 /—
dc2i
98-43650
Cornell University Press strives to use environmentally responsible suppUers and
matenals
to the fullest extent possible in the publishing of its books. Such materials
include vegetable-based, low-VOC inks and acid-free papers that are recycled,
totally chlorine-free, or partly composed of nonwood fibers.
f-or further information, visit our website at www.comellpress.cornell.edu.
3456789 10
Paperback printing
Contents
Tables
and Diagrams
vii
Acknowledgments
viii
ι.
Introduction
ι
Questions Addressed, Why They Arise
ι
Arguments Advanced, Answers Offered
4
Implications for Realism
7
Methods
11
Plan of the Book
13
2.
False Optimism: Illusions of the Coming War
14
False Hope and War
14
Illusions of Victory
16
Illusions of Cheap War
30
To Prevent War, Promote Transparency
34
3.
Jumping the Gun: First-Move Advantages and Crisis Instability
35
First-Strike, First-Mobilization, and First-Move Advantages
37
Hypotheses on the Effects of First-Move Advantages
39
Tests of Stability Theory
53
Causes of and Cures for First-Move Advantage
69
4.
Power Shifts: Windows of Opportunity and Vulnerability
73
Types of Windows
74
Hypotheses on the Effects of Windows
75
Tests of Window Theory
87
Causes and Cures of Windows
103
[v]
Contents
5.
Cumulative
Resources 1O5
What
Ь
Cumulativity? 105
Cumulativity
and Conflict
108
Types of Cumulativity
110
Beliefs about Cumulativity and Their Implications
112
The Future of Cumulativity
114
6.
Offense, Defense, and the Security Dilemma
117
Hypotheses on the Effects of Offense Dominance
123
Qualifications: When Offensive Doctrines and Capabilities Cause Peace
152
Causes of Offense and Defense Dominance
160
Predictions and Tests of Offense-Defense Theory
166
How Much History Can Offense-Defense Theory Explain?
185
Offense-Defense Theory in Perspective
190
7.
Offense-Defense Theory and the Outbreak of World War
І
193
The Rise of the Cult of the Offensive,
1890 -1914 194
Predictions of Offense-Defense Theory about Europe,
1890-1914 199
Evidence on Offense-Defense Theory,
1890-1914 202
Offense-Defense Theory and the Test of
1914 233
Explaining World War I
236
8.
The Nuclear Revolution and the Causes of War
240
MAD among Deferrable States
243
MAD among Nondeterrable States; MAD among Many States
247
Alternatives to MAD:
MARNE,
BAD, WORSE, and USA
250
The Janus-Faced Revolution
253
9.
Conclusion
255
Appendix: Hypotheses on Power and the Causes of War
259
Index
263
[vi]
Tables
ι.
Testing stability theory: The
1950
U.S.-China conflict, World War I,
and the
1967
Arab-Israeli War
60
2.
Testing window theory: Japan,
1940-1941;
Germany,
1933-1945;
and the United States,
1950-1954 93
3.
The offense-defense balance among great powers, lyoos-present
171
4.
Testing offense-defense theory: Europe, 1789-1990S; ancient China;
and the United States, 1789-1990S
180
5.
Testing offense-defense theory: World War I
234
Diagrams
1.
Stability theory old and new
38
2.
Window theory
75
3.
How offense-defense theory developed: A schematic history
120
4.
Complex and simple explanations for World War I
237
[vii]
|
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| spelling | Van Evera, Stephen 1948- Verfasser (DE-588)133410056 aut Causes of war power and the roots of conflict Stephen Van Evera 1. publ. Ithaca [u.a.] Cornell Univ. Press 1999 VIII, 270 S. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Cornell studies in security affairs Mednarodni odnosi ssg Vojna ssg Internationale Politik (DE-588)4072885-7 gnd rswk-swf Kriegsursache (DE-588)4138422-2 gnd rswk-swf Macht (DE-588)4036824-5 gnd rswk-swf 1\p (DE-588)4522595-3 Fallstudiensammlung gnd-content Kriegsursache (DE-588)4138422-2 s Macht (DE-588)4036824-5 s DE-604 Internationale Politik (DE-588)4072885-7 s Digitalisierung UB Bamberg application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=009478666&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis 1\p cgwrk 20201028 DE-101 https://d-nb.info/provenance/plan#cgwrk |
| spellingShingle | Van Evera, Stephen 1948- Causes of war power and the roots of conflict Mednarodni odnosi ssg Vojna ssg Internationale Politik (DE-588)4072885-7 gnd Kriegsursache (DE-588)4138422-2 gnd Macht (DE-588)4036824-5 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4072885-7 (DE-588)4138422-2 (DE-588)4036824-5 (DE-588)4522595-3 |
| title | Causes of war power and the roots of conflict |
| title_auth | Causes of war power and the roots of conflict |
| title_exact_search | Causes of war power and the roots of conflict |
| title_full | Causes of war power and the roots of conflict Stephen Van Evera |
| title_fullStr | Causes of war power and the roots of conflict Stephen Van Evera |
| title_full_unstemmed | Causes of war power and the roots of conflict Stephen Van Evera |
| title_short | Causes of war |
| title_sort | causes of war power and the roots of conflict |
| title_sub | power and the roots of conflict |
| topic | Mednarodni odnosi ssg Vojna ssg Internationale Politik (DE-588)4072885-7 gnd Kriegsursache (DE-588)4138422-2 gnd Macht (DE-588)4036824-5 gnd |
| topic_facet | Mednarodni odnosi Vojna Internationale Politik Kriegsursache Macht Fallstudiensammlung |
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