Biology of plagues: evidence from historical populations
Gespeichert in:
| Hauptverfasser: | , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Buch |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Cambridge [u.a.]
Cambridge Univ. Press
2001
|
| Ausgabe: | 1. publ. |
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Beschreibung: | XIV, 420 S. graph. Darst., Kt. |
| ISBN: | 0521801508 |
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| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a Biology of plagues |b evidence from historical populations |c Susan Scott and Christopher J. Duncan |
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| 650 | 4 | |a History, 17th Century |z Europe | |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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Contents
Preface page xiii
Conversion table for imperial to metric units xiv
1 Introduction 1
1.1 What is a plague? 2
1.2 Four ages of plague 2
1.2.1 Plague at Athens, 430 427 BC 2
1.2.2 The plague of Justinian 5
1.2.3 The Great Age of plagues: the Black Death and
thereafter 6
1.2.4 Bubonic plague in the 20th century 7
1.3 The dangers of emerging plagues 8
1.4 Populations and metapopulations 12
1.5 A cautionary note 14
1.6 Pioneers in the study of plagues 15
1.7 Objectives 18
2 Epidemiol ogical concepts 21
2.1 Transmission probability 23
2.2 Secondary attack rate 23
2.3 Basic reproductive number, Ro 25
2.4 Virulence, Ro and the case fatality ratio 27
2.5 Serial generation time: the Reed and Frost model 28
2.6 Contact rates 30
2.7 Decaying and driven epidemics 38
2.8 Time series analysis of data 39
vi Contents
2.9 Lethal smallpox epidemics in London, 1650 1900:
a case study 39
2.10 Mixing patterns 41
2.11 Open versus closed population dynamics 43
2.12 Spatial components of epidemic spread 44
3 The biology of bubonic plague 47
3.1 History and geographical distribution of bubonic plague 47
3.2 Yersinia pestis 51
3.3 The rodent host 53
3.4 Murine versus sylvatic phases 54
3.5 Black and brown rats 55
3.6 The role of the flea 57
3.7 Flea survival 58
3.8 Flea reproduction 59
3.9 Population dynamics of bubonic plague 61
3.10 Evolution of bubonic plague virulence 63
3.11 Spread of bubonic plague to humans 65
3.12 Clinical manifestations of bubonic plague in humans 66
3.13 The significance of pneumonic plague 68
3.14 Pathology 70
3.15 Case studies of the dynamics and epidemiology of
bubonic plague in India in the 20th century 72
3.15.1 Mixed epizootics in Bombay City, 1905 6 72
3.15.2 Epidemiology of bubonic plague in India in the
20th century 74
3.15.3 Effects of population size 77
3.16 Conclusions: key points about the biology of bubonic
plague 78
4 The Great Pestilence 81
4.1 Arrival of the Black Death in Europe 82
4.2 The plague in Sicily 82
4.3 Spread of the Black Death in continental Europe: a
metapopulation pandemic 86
4.4 The pestilence arrives in England 88
4.5 The Great Pestilence moves through the Midlands to the
north of England 91
4.6 Spread of the epidemic in northeast England 94
Contents vii
4.7 The consequences of the Black Death in England 96
4.8 The Black Death: conclusions 98
4.8.1 Reservations expressed by Shrewsbury 98
4.8.2 The death toll of the Black Death in England 101
4.8.3 Epidemiological notes on the Black Death 103
4.8.4 Effects of malnutrition 105
4.9 Seasonally of the outbreaks of the Great Pestilence in
different localities in England 105
4.10 Was the Black Death an outbreak of bubonic plague? 107
4.11 Plagues in England following the Great Pestilence: the
14th century 109
4.12 Age specific mortality of four epidemics in the 14th
century 111
4.13 Plagues in the 15th century 112
5 Case study: the plague at Penrith in 1597 98 115
5.1 Traditional account of events in the plague 116
5.2 Size of the population at Penrith 118
5.3 The three phases of the epidemic: the serial generation
time and contact rate 119
5.4 Spread of the epidemic at Penrith 126
5.5 The epidemic during the first two phases: elucidation
of the epidemiological characteristics of plague 126
5.6 Explosion of the epidemic in phase three 135
5.7 Age and sex specific mortality in the plague at Penrith 137
5.8 Wills and testaments of those who died in the plague at
Penrith 140
5.9 Response of the population at Penrith after the plague 146
5.10 Classification of the epidemics of haemorrhagic plague 148
6 Pestilence and plague in the 16th century in England 149
6.1 The Sweating Sickness 149
6.2 Plagues in London in the 16th century 152
6.2.1 The first half of the century 152
6.2.2 Did plague become endemic in London during
the second half of the 16th century? 154
6.2.3 Epidemics in London, 1542 1600 155
6.3 Plagues in central and southern England during the
16th century 165
viii Contents
6.4 Case study of the plague at Stratford upon Avon, 1564 170
6.5 Conclusions 173
7 Plagues in the 16th century in northern England:
a metapopulation study 175
7.1 The first half of the 16th century 176
7.2 Plague and pestilence in the Northern Province, 1550 95 178
7.3 The plague of 1597 98 in northern England 181
7.4 Durham 182
7.5 The plague at Richmond 183
7.6 Plague arrives to the west of the Pennines 184
7.7 Carlisle 185
7.8 Minor outbreaks of the plague in the Eden Valley 186
7.9 Symptoms of the 1597 98 plague 189
7.10 Conclusions 190
8 Plagues in London in the 17th century 192
8.1 The outbreak in London in 1603 193
8.2 Plague in London after the epidemic of 1603 198
8.3 Plague in London in 1625 199
8.4 Recovery of the population of London after 1625 205
8.5 Plague in London in 1636 206
8.6 The Great Plague in London in 1665 66 211
8.6.1 Origins and spread of the epidemic 211
8.6.2 Seasonally and mortality 215
8.6.3 Signs and symptoms 217
8.6.4 Changes in virulence 220
8.6.5 Animals, clothing and wigs 221
8.6.6 Effect of the Great Fire of London 222
8.6.7 Identity of the first victim in households in plague
epidemics in London 222
8.7 Dynamics of plague in London 223
9 Plagues in the provinces in the 17th century 225
9.1 The years 1603 5 226
9.1.1 Spread of the plague in the northeast 226
9.1.2 Chester as a focus 228
9.1.3 Plague at Manchester 234
Contents ix
9.1.4 The Midlands and East Anglia 237
9.1.5 Southern England, 1603 5 239
9.2 The years 1609 11 239
9.3 The plague of 1625 26 240
9.4 The years 1630 37 243
9.5 Widespread plague in 1644 46 248
9.5.1 The northeast corridor 248
9.5.2 The West Country 249
9.5.3 East Anglia and the Midlands 250
9.6 The mid 17th century 250
9.6.1 Chester as a focus 251
9.6.2 Spread of the plague of 1665 66 through the
metapopulation 255
9.7 Overview of plagues in England 258
10 Plague at Eyam in 1665 66: a case study 261
10.1 The traditional story of bubonic plague at Eyam 261
10.2 Origins of the plague at Eyam 263
10.3 The first phase of the epidemic 265
10.4 The second phase: maintenance of the epidemic
through the winter 269
10.5 The third phase: explosion of the epidemic in summer
1666 275
10.6 Percentage mortality of the population during the
epidemic 279
10.7 Public health measures during the plague at Eyam 280
10.8 The nature of the infectious agent 282
11 Continental Europe during the third age of plagues:
a study of large scale metapopulation dynamics 284
11.1 Frequency of epidemics in the metapopulation of Europe 284
11.2 Plagues in France: the endemic situation 286
11.2.1 Oscillations in the frequency of the occurrence of
epidemics 286
11.2.2 The 17th century in France 292
11.2.3 Regional differences within the metapopulation
of France 293
11.2.4 Plague centroids in France 295
11.2.5 Localities with a high frequency of epidemics 297
x Contents
11.3 Italy 303
11.3.1 Occurrence and frequency of the epidemics in
Italy 304
11.3.2 Signs and symptoms 305
11.3.3 Analysis of the spread of epidemics 306
11.3.4 Plague epidemics in Italy 308
11.3.5 Conclusions 315
11.4 The Iberian peninsula 318
11.4.1 The major epidemics 318
11.4.2 Epidemics at Barcelona 324
11.5 Germany, Austria, Bohemia and Switzerland 328
11.6 The Benelux countries 331
11.7 Spread of the plague across Europe 331
12 The plague at Marseilles, 1720 22: an outbreak of bubonic
plague? 338
12.1 Spread of the plague from Marseilles to the countryside 344
12.2 Spread of the plague at Aix and Apt 350
12.3 Spread of the plague at Mende and Marvejols 350
13 Conclusions 352
13.1 The receptor for the entry of HIV 352
13.2 Was the same causative agent responsible for all
the plagues in England from 1348 to 1666? 354
13.3 Was Yersinia pestis the infectious agent in the plagues? 356
13.4 Classification of the plague epidemics in the provinces in
England 362
13.5 Seasonally of the epidemics 364
13.6 Density dependence of plague epidemics 366
13.7 Endemic versus epidemic plague 367
13.8 How were plagues initiated? 370
13.9 Spread of the plague through the metapopulation 371
13.10 Resistance, immunity and virulence 376
13.11 Medium wavelength oscillation in the spread of the
plague 378
13.12 Symptoms 379
13.13 Public health measures and the significance of the
period of quarantine 381
13.14 Why did the plague disappear? 383
Contents xi
13.15 What was the causative agent of haemorrhagic plague? 384
13.16 Co existence of two plagues 389
13.17 Population recovery after the mortality crisis of a
plague epidemic 389
13.18 Postscript 393
References 396
Index 410
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| publisher | Cambridge Univ. Press |
| record_format | marc |
| spelling | Scott, Susan Verfasser (DE-588)113163444 aut Biology of plagues evidence from historical populations Susan Scott and Christopher J. Duncan 1. publ. Cambridge [u.a.] Cambridge Univ. Press 2001 XIV, 420 S. graph. Darst., Kt. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Geschichte 1600-1700 Geschichte 1500-1600 Geschichte 1300-1665 gnd rswk-swf Epidemieën gtt Histoire du 16ème siècle - Europe Histoire du 17ème siècle - Europe Infectieziekten gtt Modellen gtt Peste - Europe ram Peste noire ram Épidémies - Europe - Histoire ram Geschichte Black Death Europe Disease Outbreaks history Europe Epidemics Epidemics Europe History 16th century Epidemics Europe History 17th century History, 16th Century Europe History, 17th Century Europe Plague Plague history Europe Geschichte (DE-588)4020517-4 gnd rswk-swf Pest (DE-588)4045326-1 gnd rswk-swf Epidemie (DE-588)4137380-7 gnd rswk-swf Krankheitsübertragung (DE-588)4384937-4 gnd rswk-swf Europa Europa (DE-588)4015701-5 gnd rswk-swf Europa (DE-588)4015701-5 g Epidemie (DE-588)4137380-7 s Geschichte (DE-588)4020517-4 s DE-604 Pest (DE-588)4045326-1 s Krankheitsübertragung (DE-588)4384937-4 s Geschichte 1300-1665 z Duncan, Christopher J. Verfasser aut HBZ Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=009444010&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Scott, Susan Duncan, Christopher J. Biology of plagues evidence from historical populations Epidemieën gtt Histoire du 16ème siècle - Europe Histoire du 17ème siècle - Europe Infectieziekten gtt Modellen gtt Peste - Europe ram Peste noire ram Épidémies - Europe - Histoire ram Geschichte Black Death Europe Disease Outbreaks history Europe Epidemics Epidemics Europe History 16th century Epidemics Europe History 17th century History, 16th Century Europe History, 17th Century Europe Plague Plague history Europe Geschichte (DE-588)4020517-4 gnd Pest (DE-588)4045326-1 gnd Epidemie (DE-588)4137380-7 gnd Krankheitsübertragung (DE-588)4384937-4 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4020517-4 (DE-588)4045326-1 (DE-588)4137380-7 (DE-588)4384937-4 (DE-588)4015701-5 |
| title | Biology of plagues evidence from historical populations |
| title_auth | Biology of plagues evidence from historical populations |
| title_exact_search | Biology of plagues evidence from historical populations |
| title_full | Biology of plagues evidence from historical populations Susan Scott and Christopher J. Duncan |
| title_fullStr | Biology of plagues evidence from historical populations Susan Scott and Christopher J. Duncan |
| title_full_unstemmed | Biology of plagues evidence from historical populations Susan Scott and Christopher J. Duncan |
| title_short | Biology of plagues |
| title_sort | biology of plagues evidence from historical populations |
| title_sub | evidence from historical populations |
| topic | Epidemieën gtt Histoire du 16ème siècle - Europe Histoire du 17ème siècle - Europe Infectieziekten gtt Modellen gtt Peste - Europe ram Peste noire ram Épidémies - Europe - Histoire ram Geschichte Black Death Europe Disease Outbreaks history Europe Epidemics Epidemics Europe History 16th century Epidemics Europe History 17th century History, 16th Century Europe History, 17th Century Europe Plague Plague history Europe Geschichte (DE-588)4020517-4 gnd Pest (DE-588)4045326-1 gnd Epidemie (DE-588)4137380-7 gnd Krankheitsübertragung (DE-588)4384937-4 gnd |
| topic_facet | Epidemieën Histoire du 16ème siècle - Europe Histoire du 17ème siècle - Europe Infectieziekten Modellen Peste - Europe Peste noire Épidémies - Europe - Histoire Geschichte Black Death Europe Disease Outbreaks history Europe Epidemics Epidemics Europe History 16th century Epidemics Europe History 17th century History, 16th Century Europe History, 17th Century Europe Plague Plague history Europe Pest Epidemie Krankheitsübertragung Europa |
| url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=009444010&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT scottsusan biologyofplaguesevidencefromhistoricalpopulations AT duncanchristopherj biologyofplaguesevidencefromhistoricalpopulations |