Seasonal adjustment with the X-11 method:
Gespeichert in:
| Hauptverfasser: | , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Buch |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
New York [u.a.]
Springer
2001
|
| Schriftenreihe: | Lecture notes in statistics
158 |
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Beschreibung: | XXII, 225 S. graph. Darst. |
| ISBN: | 0387951717 |
Internformat
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| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a Seasonal adjustment with the X-11 method |c Dominique Ladiray ; Benoît Quenneville |
| 264 | 1 | |a New York [u.a.] |b Springer |c 2001 | |
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| 650 | 4 | |a Variations saisonnières (Économie politique) - Méthodes statistiques | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Seasonal variations (Economics) -- Statistical methods | |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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| adam_text | DOMINIQUE LADIRAY BENOIT QUENNEVILLE SEASONAL ADJUSTMENT WITH THE X-11
METHOD SPRINGER CONTENTS PREFACE VII INTRODUCTION 1 1 BRIEF HISTORY OF
SEASONAL ADJUSTMENT 5 2 OUTLINE OF THE X-11 METHOD 13 2.1 COMPONENTS AND
DECOMPOSITION MODELS 13 2.2 MOVING AVERAGES 14 2.3 A SIMPLE SEASONAL
ADJUSTMENT ALGORITHM . . . 15 2.4 THE BASIC ALGORITHM OF THE X-11
METHOD . . . 16 2.5 EXTREME OBSERVATIONS AND CALENDAR EFFECTS . . . 19
2.6 THE ITERATIVE PRINCIPLE OF X-11 19 2.6.1 PART A: PRE-ADJUSTMENTS 20
2.6.2 PART B: FIRST AUTOMATIC CORRECTION OF THE SERIES . . 20 2.6.3 PART
C: SECOND AUTOMATIC CORRECTION OF THE SERIES . 20 2.6.4 PART D: SEASONAL
ADJUSTMENT 20 2.6.5 PARTS E, F AND G: STATISTICS AND CHARTS 21 2.7 FROM
CENSUS X-11 TO X-11-ARTMA AND X-L 2-ARIMA ... 22 3 MOVING AVERAGES 23
3.1 SOME DEFINITIONS AND A LITTLE THEORY 23 3.1.1 DEFINITIONS AND
EXAMPLE 25 3.1.2 GAIN AND PHASE SHIFT FUNCTIONS 26 CONTENTS 3.1.3 TREND
PRESERVATION 28 3.1.4 ELIMINATION OF SEASONALITY 29 3.1.5 REDUCTION OF
THE IRREGULAR COMPONENT 30 3.1.6 AN EXAMPLE OF CONSTRUCTION OF A MOVING
AVERAGE . 30 3.2 THE SYMMETRIC MOVING AVERAGES USED IN X-11 30 3.2.1
COMPOSITE SIMPLE MOVING AVERAGE 30 3.2.2 HENDERSON MOVING AVERAGES 36
3.3 MUSGRAVE ASYMMETRIC MOVING AVERAGES 37 3.3.1 MUSGRAVE ASYMMETRIC
MOVING AVERAGES ASSOCIATED WITH HENDERSON SYMMETRIC MOVING AVERAGES . .
. . 40 3.3.2 COMMENT ABOUT MUSGRAVE MOVING AVERAGES . . . . 40 3.3.3
ASYMMETRIC MOVING AVERAGES ASSOCIATED WITH COM- POSITE MOVING AVERAGES
41 3.4 THE X-11 MOVING AVERAGE FILTER 41 THE VARIOUS TABLES 51 4.1 B:
PRELIMINARY ESTIMATION OF EXTREME VALUES AND CALENDAR EFFECTS 55 4.1.1
B.1: RAW SERIES ADJUSTED A PRIORI 55 4.1.2 B2: TREND-CYCLE 55 4.1.3 B3:
UNMODIFIED SEASONAL-IRREGULAR 57 4.1.4 B4: REPLACEMENT VALUES FOR
EXTREME ST VALUES ... 59 4.1.5 B5: SEASONAL COMPONENT 68 4.1.6 B6:
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED SERIES 71 4.1.7 B7: TREND-CYCLE 72 4.1.8 B8:
UNMODIFIED SI COMPONENT 77 4.1.9 B9: REPLACEMENT VALUES FOR EXTREME SI
VALUES ... 77 * . 4.1.10 B10: SEASONAL COMPONENT . . 83 4.1.11 BIT:
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED SERIES 86 4.1.12 B13: IRREGULAR COMPONENT 86 4.1.13
THE TRADING-DAY COMPONENT . I 86 4.1.14 B14: IRREGULAR VALUES EXCLUDED
FROM THE TD REGRESSION 90 4.1.15 B1.5: PRELIMINARY TD REGRESSION 96
4.1.16 B16: REGRESSION-DERIVED TD ADJUSTMENT FACTORS . . 97 4.1.17 BL 7:
PRELIMINARY WEIGHTS FOR THE IRREGULAR 98 4.1.18 B18: COMBINED TD FACTORS
102 4.1.19 BL 9: RAW SERIES CORRECTED FOR TD EFFECTS . . / . . . 103
4.1.20 B20: ADJUSTMENT VALUES FOR EXTREME IRREGULARS . . . 103 4.2 C:
FINAL ESTIMATION OF EXTREME VALUES AND CALENDAR EFFECTS 104 4.2.1 CL:
MODIFIED RAW SERIES 104 4.2.2 C2: TREND-CYCLE 105 4.2.3 C4: MODIFIED ST
106 4.2.4 C5: SEASONAL COMPONENT 107 4.2.5 C6: SEASONALLY ADJUSTED
SERIES 109 4.2.6 C7: TREND-CYCLE 109 CONTENTS XIII 4.2.7 C9: SI
COMPONENT 113 4.2.8 C10: SEASONAL COMPONENT 114 4.2.9 C1.1: SEASONALLY
ADJUSTED SERIES 115 4.2.10 C13: IRREGULAR COMPONENT 116 4.2.11 C14:
IRREGULARS EXCLUDED FROM THE TD REGRESSION . 117 4.2.12 C15: FINAL TD
REGRESSION 11.9 4.2.13 C16: REGRESSION-DERIVED TD ADJUSTMENT FACTORS . .
120 4.2.14 CL 7: FINAL WEIGHTS FOR THE IRREGULAR 122 4.2.15 C18:
COMBINED TD FACTORS 125 4.2.16 C1.9: RAW SERIES CORRECTED FOR TD EFFECTS
125 4.2.17 C20: ADJUSTMENT VALUES FOR EXTREME IRREGULARS ... 126 4.3 D:
FINAL ESTIMATION OF THE DIFFERENT COMPONENTS 127 4.3.1 DL: MODIFIED RAW
SERIES 127 4.3.2 D2: TREND-CYCLE . 128 4.3.3 D4: MODIFIED SI 129 4.3.4
D5: SEASONAL COMPONENT 129 4.3.5 D6: SEASONALLY ADJUSTED SERIES 131
4.3.6 D7: TREND-CYCLE 132 4.3.7 D8: UNMODIFIED SI COMPONENT 135 4.3.8
D9: REPLACEMENT VALUES FOR EXTREME SI VALUES ... 139 4.3.9 D9A: MOVING
SEASONALLY RATIOS 140 4.3.10 D10: FINAL SEASONAL FACTORS 144 4.3.1.1
D11: FINAL SEASONALLY ADJUSTED SERIES 150 4.3.12 DL 1 A: FINAL
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED SERIES WITH REVISED ANNUAL TOTALS 151 4.3.13 D12:
FINAL TREND-CYCLE 157 ,4.3.14 D13: FINARIRREGULAR COMPONENT . . 161
4.3.15 D16: SEASONAL AND CALENDAR EFFECTS 161 4.3.16 D18: COMBINED
CALENDAR EFFECTS FACTORS 162 4.4 E: COMPONENTS MODIFIED FOR LARGE
EXTREME VALUES . ; . . . 163 4.4.1 EL: RAW SERIES MODIFIED FOR LARGE
EXTREME VALUES . 163 4.4.2 E2: SA SERIES MODIFIED FOR LARGE EXTREME
VALUES . . 164 4.4.3 E3: FINAL IRREGULAR COMPONENT ADJUSTED FOR LARGE
EXTREME VALUES 164 4.4.4 E4: COMPARING THE ANNUAL TOTALS OF RAW AND SA
SERIES -*.. 165 4.4.5 E5: CHANGES IN THE RAW SERIES 166 4.4.6 E6:
CHANGES IN THE FINAL SA SERIES 166 4.4.7 E7: CHANGES IN THE FINAL
TREND-CYCLE 167 4.4.8 E11: ROBUST ESTIMATION OF THE FINAL SA SERIES ...
167 4.5 F: SEASONAL ADJUSTMENT QUALITY MEASURES 168 4.5.1 FT: SMOOTHING
THE SA SERIES USING AN MCD MA . . 168 4.5.2 F2A: CHANGES, IN ABSOLUTE
VALUE, OF THE PRINCIPAL COMPONENTS 169 CONTENTS 4.5.3 F2B: RELATIVE
CONTRIBUTION OF COMPONENTS TO CHANGES IN THE RAW SERIES 170 4.5.4 F2C:
AVERAGES AND STANDARD DEVIATIONS OF CHANGES AS A FUNCTION OF THE TIME
LAG 172 4.5.5 F2D: AVERAGE DURATION OF RUN 172 4.5.6 F2E: CALCULATION OF
THE MCD RATIO 173 4.5.7 F2F: RELATIVE CONTRIBUTION OF COMPONENTS TO THE
VARIANCE OF THE STATIONARY PART OF THE ORIGINAL SERIES 174 4.5.8 F2G:
AUTOCORRELATIONS OF THE IRREGULAR COMPONENT . 175 4.5.9 F2H: I/C AND I/S
RATIOS 176 4.5.10 F2T: TESTS FOR THE PRESENCE OF SEASONALITY 176 4.5.11
F3: MONITORING AND QUALITY ASSESSMENT STATISTICS . 176 MODELLING OF THE
EASTER EFFECT 183 5.1 THE EASTER HOLIDAY 183 5.1.1 A BRIEF HISTORY 183
5.1.2 CALCULATION OF THE DATES OF EASTER 184 5.1.3 EASTER AND SEASONAL
ADJUSTMENT 185 5.2 THEX-11-ARLMA MODELS 187 5.2.1 THE IMMEDIATE IMPACT
MODEL 187 5.2.2 THE CORRECTED IMMEDIATE IMPACT MODEL 190 5.2.3 THE
GRADUAL IMPACT MODEL 194 5.3 THE X-12-AR IMA MODELS 199 5.3.1 THE
BATEMAN-MAYES MODEL 200 5.3.2 THE SCEASTER MODEL 206 5.3.3 THE EASTER
MODEL 210 REFERENCES 215 INDEX 221
|
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| author | Ladiray, Dominique Quenneville, Benoît |
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| id | DE-604.BV013599929 |
| illustrated | Illustrated |
| indexdate | 2024-07-09T18:48:42Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 0387951717 |
| language | English |
| oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-009289471 |
| oclc_num | 45320654 |
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| physical | XXII, 225 S. graph. Darst. |
| publishDate | 2001 |
| publishDateSearch | 2001 |
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| publisher | Springer |
| record_format | marc |
| series | Lecture notes in statistics |
| series2 | Lecture notes in statistics |
| spelling | Ladiray, Dominique Verfasser (DE-588)170488624 aut Seasonal adjustment with the X-11 method Dominique Ladiray ; Benoît Quenneville New York [u.a.] Springer 2001 XXII, 225 S. graph. Darst. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Lecture notes in statistics 158 Conjunctuurbewegingen gtt Seizoencorrecties gtt Statistische methoden gtt Variations saisonnières (Économie politique) - Méthodes statistiques Seasonal variations (Economics) -- Statistical methods Gleitendes Mittel (DE-588)4323273-5 gnd rswk-swf Saisonbereinigungsverfahren (DE-588)4178933-7 gnd rswk-swf ARIMA-Modell (DE-588)4122832-7 gnd rswk-swf Saisonbereinigungsverfahren (DE-588)4178933-7 s Gleitendes Mittel (DE-588)4323273-5 s ARIMA-Modell (DE-588)4122832-7 s DE-604 Quenneville, Benoît Verfasser (DE-588)171656849 aut Lecture notes in statistics 158 (DE-604)BV002447846 158 GBV Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=009289471&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Ladiray, Dominique Quenneville, Benoît Seasonal adjustment with the X-11 method Lecture notes in statistics Conjunctuurbewegingen gtt Seizoencorrecties gtt Statistische methoden gtt Variations saisonnières (Économie politique) - Méthodes statistiques Seasonal variations (Economics) -- Statistical methods Gleitendes Mittel (DE-588)4323273-5 gnd Saisonbereinigungsverfahren (DE-588)4178933-7 gnd ARIMA-Modell (DE-588)4122832-7 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4323273-5 (DE-588)4178933-7 (DE-588)4122832-7 |
| title | Seasonal adjustment with the X-11 method |
| title_auth | Seasonal adjustment with the X-11 method |
| title_exact_search | Seasonal adjustment with the X-11 method |
| title_full | Seasonal adjustment with the X-11 method Dominique Ladiray ; Benoît Quenneville |
| title_fullStr | Seasonal adjustment with the X-11 method Dominique Ladiray ; Benoît Quenneville |
| title_full_unstemmed | Seasonal adjustment with the X-11 method Dominique Ladiray ; Benoît Quenneville |
| title_short | Seasonal adjustment with the X-11 method |
| title_sort | seasonal adjustment with the x 11 method |
| topic | Conjunctuurbewegingen gtt Seizoencorrecties gtt Statistische methoden gtt Variations saisonnières (Économie politique) - Méthodes statistiques Seasonal variations (Economics) -- Statistical methods Gleitendes Mittel (DE-588)4323273-5 gnd Saisonbereinigungsverfahren (DE-588)4178933-7 gnd ARIMA-Modell (DE-588)4122832-7 gnd |
| topic_facet | Conjunctuurbewegingen Seizoencorrecties Statistische methoden Variations saisonnières (Économie politique) - Méthodes statistiques Seasonal variations (Economics) -- Statistical methods Gleitendes Mittel Saisonbereinigungsverfahren ARIMA-Modell |
| url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=009289471&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
| volume_link | (DE-604)BV002447846 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT ladiraydominique seasonaladjustmentwiththex11method AT quennevillebenoit seasonaladjustmentwiththex11method |