Experience curves for energy technology policy:
Gespeichert in:
| 1. Verfasser: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Buch |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Paris
International Energy Agency
2000
|
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Beschreibung: | 127 S. graph. Darst. |
| ISBN: | 9264176500 |
Internformat
MARC
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| 650 | 4 | |a Learning models (Stochastic processes) | |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
| _version_ | 1804128191374163968 |
|---|---|
| adam_text | Table of Contents TABLE OF CONTENTS
Foreword 3
Chapter 1: Riding on the Experience Curve 9
Price for an Emerging Technology 9
Assessing Future Prospects 15
Competition for Learning Opportunities 18
The Purpose of this Book 23
Chapter 2: Learning Requires Action 25
An Input Output Model of Learning 25
Influencing the Learning System: Public R D and Deployment
Policies 29
Inside the Learning System I: Technology Structural Change .. 33
Outside the Learning System: Market Structural Change 35
Inside the Learning System II: Compound Systems 40
Chapter 3: Making Emerging Technologies Commercial .. 45
Solar Heating Monitoring and Terminating an RD D
Programme 45
Wind Power Deployment Support to Increase Learning
Investments 52
Photovoltaics Creating and Supporting New Niche Markets .. 64
Chapter 4: The Dynamics of Learning and Technology
Competition 75
Effect of Learning on Estimates of CO2 Mitigation Cost 75
Competition for Learning Investments 84
Uncertainty about Learning 91
Managing the Balance between Global Learning and Local
Deployment 94
5
Table of Contents Chapter 5: Conclusions Implications for Energy
Technology Policy 97
References 101
Appendix A:
Graphic Representation of Experience Curves 107
Appendix B:
Recommendations from IEA Workshop on Experience Curves
for Policy Making The Case of Energy Technology, Stuttgart,
Germany, 10 11 May 1999 Ill
Appendix C:
International Collaboration on Experience Curves for Energy
Technnology Policy, EXCETP (pronounced exet ) 115
List of Figures and Tables
Figures
Figure 1.1 Experience Curve for PV Modules, 1976 1992 .... 11
Figure 1.2 Danish Wind Turbines, 1982 1997 13
Figure 1.3 Distribution of Progress Ratios 14
Figure 1.4 Making Photovoltaics Break Even 15
Figure 1.5 Electric Technologies in EU, 1980 1995 21
Figure 1.6 District Heating in Sweden, 1980 1995 22
Figure 2.1 Basic Model for a Learning System 27
Figure 2.2 Influences on the Learning System from Public
Policy 29
Figure 2.3 A Roadmap for Policies on Decarbonisation
Energy Technologies 31
Figure 2.4 Technology Structural Change 34
6
Table of Contents Figure 2.5 Price cost Relations for a New Product 35
Figure 2.6 Natural Gas Combined Cycle, 1981 1997 37
Figure 2.7 Market Changes for PV Modules, 1976 1996 39
Figure 2.8 Brazilian Ethanol 1978 1995 39
Figure 2.9 US Learning System for Production of Electricity
from Wind 41
Figure 2.10 Electricity from Wind Energy in USA, 1985 1994 .. 43
Figure 3.1 Solar Heated Swimming Pools: Germany,
1975 1997 46
Figure 3.2 Solar Heated Swimming Pools, 1975 1993:
Experience Curve and RD D Support 47
Figure 3.3 Electricity from Wind Energy in EU, 1980 1995 .. 54
Figure 3.4 Wind Turbines in Germany, 1990 1998 55
Figure 3.5 Average Capacity of Wind Turbines Units Installed
Each Year 55
Figure 3.6 Changing Markets for Wind Turbines in Germany .. 57
Figure 3.7 Learning Investments and Government
Expenditures 61
Figure 3.8 Investments in Wind Turbines in Germany 63
Figure 3.9 Docking PV Technology to Niche Markets
in Japan 66
Figure 3.10 Japan s PV Roof Programme: Use of Niche
Markets 68
Figure 3.11 Investments and Subsidies in PV Roof Programme .. 71
Figure 3.12 Japan s PV Roof Programme and World PV
Markets 72
Figure 3.13 Learning Investments in Residential PV Systems .. 72
Figure 4.1 Carbon Intensity of World Economy, 1971 2020 .. 76
Figure 4.2 Carbon Intensity Paths, 1971 2060 77
Figure 4.3 Additional Annual Cost for Photovoltaics 79
Figure 4.4 Additional Annual Cost for Technology
Portfolio 81
Figure 4.5 Present value of Technology Portfolio 83
7
Table oj Contents Figure 4.6 Technology Paths for the Global Electricity
System 88
Figure 4.7 Emissions of Carbon Dioxide from Global
Electricity System 89
Figure 4.8 Cost Difference between Breakaway Path
and Baseline 90
Figure 4.9 Phototvoltaics: Year of 50 GW Cumulative
Capacity 93
Tables
Table 3.1 Learning Investments and Federal RD D Support
for Solar Heated Swimming Pools 49
Table 3.2 Niche Markets for Photovoltaics in Japan 66
8
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| id | DE-604.BV013406232 |
| illustrated | Illustrated |
| indexdate | 2024-07-09T18:45:19Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 9264176500 |
| language | English |
| oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-009147540 |
| oclc_num | 441679472 |
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| owner_facet | DE-703 DE-706 DE-634 |
| physical | 127 S. graph. Darst. |
| publishDate | 2000 |
| publishDateSearch | 2000 |
| publishDateSort | 2000 |
| publisher | International Energy Agency |
| record_format | marc |
| spelling | Wene, Clas-Otto Verfasser aut Experience curves for energy technology policy [by Clas-Otto Wene] Paris International Energy Agency 2000 127 S. graph. Darst. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Energy policy Planning Experiential learning Learning models (Stochastic processes) Technologiepolitik (DE-588)4184587-0 gnd rswk-swf Energietechnik (DE-588)4014725-3 gnd rswk-swf Energietechnik (DE-588)4014725-3 s Technologiepolitik (DE-588)4184587-0 s DE-604 HBZ Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=009147540&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Wene, Clas-Otto Experience curves for energy technology policy Energy policy Planning Experiential learning Learning models (Stochastic processes) Technologiepolitik (DE-588)4184587-0 gnd Energietechnik (DE-588)4014725-3 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4184587-0 (DE-588)4014725-3 |
| title | Experience curves for energy technology policy |
| title_auth | Experience curves for energy technology policy |
| title_exact_search | Experience curves for energy technology policy |
| title_full | Experience curves for energy technology policy [by Clas-Otto Wene] |
| title_fullStr | Experience curves for energy technology policy [by Clas-Otto Wene] |
| title_full_unstemmed | Experience curves for energy technology policy [by Clas-Otto Wene] |
| title_short | Experience curves for energy technology policy |
| title_sort | experience curves for energy technology policy |
| topic | Energy policy Planning Experiential learning Learning models (Stochastic processes) Technologiepolitik (DE-588)4184587-0 gnd Energietechnik (DE-588)4014725-3 gnd |
| topic_facet | Energy policy Planning Experiential learning Learning models (Stochastic processes) Technologiepolitik Energietechnik |
| url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=009147540&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
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