Structural change of the production process and unemployment in Germany:
Gespeichert in:
| 1. Verfasser: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Buch |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Tübingen
Mohr Siebeck
2000
|
| Schriftenreihe: | Kieler Studien
307 |
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Beschreibung: | XX, 231 S. graph. Darst. |
| ISBN: | 3161474627 |
Internformat
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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Contents
A. Whodunit? 1
B. Unemployment — Facts and Theories 5
I. Aggregate Labor Market Trends 6
II. A Selective Survey of Unemployment Theories 21
1. The Natural Rate Hypothesis 22
2. Unions and Wage Bargaining 25
3. The Insider Outsider Theory 27
4. Efficiency Wage Theories 28
5. Other Unemployment Theories 30
6. Theories Face Facts 31
III. Skill Biased Technical Change versus Structural Change 32
1. Skill Biased Technical Change 33
2. Structural Change 42
3. Structural Change of the Production Process 57
4. A Shift Share Analysis 59
IV. Whodunit? 62
Appendix to Chapter B 64
1. Data from the German Socio Economic Panel 64
2. Additional Empirical Figures and Tables 69
3. Diagrams 71
4. Derivation of the Shift Share Equation 72
C. The Impact of Structural Change and Technical Change on the
Labor Market 74
I. Demand Bias and Specific Technical Change 75
1. A Survey of Existing Models 75
2. A Demand Bias towards Skill Intensive Goods 76
VIII Contents
II. A Closed Economy with Perfect Labor Mobility 77
1. The Basic Model 77
2. Excursion: Numerical Methods in Economics 87
3. Parametrization 93
4. The Impact of Technical Change in the Flexible Labor
Market Case 93
5. The Impact of Technical Change in the Rigid Labor Market
Case 96
III. Interfirm Mobility 98
1. Introducing Interfirm Mobility Costs into the Basic Model. 98
2. Labor Market Adjustment at Different Levels of Mobility
Costs 100
3. Subsidizing Interfirm Mobility 104
IV. Upskilling 105
1. Upskilling of Labor Market Entrants 105
2. Upskilling of Mid Career Workers 107
3. Subsidizing the Upskilling of Unskilled Mid Career
Workers 111
V. A Case for Intraindustry Trade 111
1. Extension of the Basic Model 112
2. Simulation Results 114
VI. Whodunit? 116
Appendix to Chapter C 118
1. Derivations 118
2. Tables 130
D. Structural Change and Unemployment Duration in Germany . 145
I. Unemployment Duration as an Issue 146
II. A Survey of the Literature on Unemployment Duration 147
1. Studies with a Focus on Unemployment Benefits 148
2. Studies with a Focus on Training 152
3. Studies with a Focus on Individual Characteristics 153
4. Empirical Regularities and Open Questions 156
Contents IX
III. The Econometrics of Hazard Rate Analysis 157
1. Different Statistical Concepts to Describe a Spell Length 157
2. Spell Data and Censoring 158
3. Estimation by Maximum Likelihood 160
4. Parametric Distributions for the Duration 161
5. The Cox Proportional Hazard Model 163
IV. The Data 174
1. Unemployment Spells 174
2. Covariates 178
V. Regression Results 181
VI. Whodunit? 192
Appendix to Chapter D 193
1. Derivations 193
2. Descriptive Statistics for the Covariates 194
3. Estimation of the Expected Wage Loss 196
E. Summary and Implications for Economic Policy 199
I. Summary of Main Arguments 199
II. What to Do about It 202
1. Fallacies 202
2. Some Thoughts on Overcoming Unemployment in
Germany 203
References 210
Index 229
List of Figures
Figure 1 — Labor Force, Employment, and Unemployment in West
Germany 7
Figure 2 — Labor Force, Employment, and Unemployment in
Germany 7
Figure 3 — Labor Force, Employment, and Unemployment in the
United States 8
Figure 4 — Ratio of Compensation per Employee in Services to
Compensation per Employee in Manufacturing 11
Figure 5 — Skill Composition of the Employed in West Germany 12
Figure 6— Skill Specific Unemployment Rates in West Germany 16
Figure 7— The Skill Composition of the Unemployed 17
Figure 8 — Ratio of Skill Specific Unemployment Rates to Skill
Specific Employment Rates in West Germany 18
Figure 9— Wage Differentials by Skill 20
Figure 10 — Actors and Institutions in the Labor Market 21
Figure 11 — Engel Curves for Different Income Elasticities 44
Figure 12— Labor Productivity Growth in Selected OECD Countries. 53
Figure 13— Sectoral GDP Deflators in Selected OECD Countries 54
Figure 14— The Occupational Decomposition of the Economy 60
Figure 15— Individual Preferences 78
Figure 16— The Production Tree 79
Figure 17 — Wages before and after Unskilled Specific Technical
Change in a Flexible Labor Market 94
Figure 18 — Wages before and after Skilled Specific Technical
Change in a Flexible Labor Market 95
List of Figures XI
Figure 19— Wages before and after Neutral Technical Change in a
Flexible Labor Market 95
Figure 20 — Unskilled Specific Technical Change in a Rigid Labor
Market 96
Figure 21— Neutral Technical Change in a Rigid Labor Market 97
Figure 22— Imperfect Interfirm Mobility 99
Figure 23 — Unskilled Specific Technical Change and Interfirm
Mobility Costs 102
Figure 24 — Neutral Technical Change and Interfirm Mobility Costs . 103
Figure 25 — Upskilling of Previously Unskilled Workers after a
Technology Shock 106
Figure 26— Upskilling of Laid off Unskilled Workers 108
Figure 27 — Upskilling in the Case of Unskilled Specific Technical
Change in a Rigid Labor Market 109
Figure 28 — Upskilling in the Case of Neutral Technical Change in a
Rigid Labor Market 110
Figure 29 — Wages and Transport Costs (Identical Countries with
Flexible Labor Markets) 115
Figure 30 — Censoring 159
Figure 31 — Estimated Baseline Hazard from Mixing Two Constant
Hazards 170
Figure 32— The Distribution of Unemployment Spells in the Sample. 177
Figure 33 — Number of Spells Beginning per Year in the Sample,
1985 1996 178
Figure Al — Aggregate Unemployment Rate from the GSOEP and the
OECD 66
Figure A2— Changes in the Skill Composition of the Labor Force 69
Figure A3 — Skill Specific Unemployment Rates for West Germany
(Mikrozensus) 70
XII List of Figures
Figure A4 — Indifference Curve of a Stone Geary (SG) and a Cobb
Douglas (CD) Preference Function 71
Figure A5 — Disposable Income and Expenditure Shares for SG
Preferences 72
List of Tables
Table 1 — Sectoral Employment Growth in West Germany and the
United States, 1960 1994 10
Table 2 — Changes in the Skill Composition by Sector, 1984 1997. 14
Table 3 — Changes in the Skill Composition by Occupation,
1984 1997 15
Table 4 — Literature Survey of the Skill Composition Debate 37
Table 5— Employment Shares in Selected OECD Countries 50
Table 6— Nominal GDP Shares in Selected OECD Countries 51
Table 7 — Real GDP Shares in Selected OECD Countries 52
Table 8 — Shift Share Analysis: Change in the Skilled Share
1984/86 1995/97 61
Table 9— The Impact of Interfirm Mobility Costs 100
Table 10— Empirical Studies with a Focus on Unemployment
Benefits 149
Table 11 — Empirical Studies with a Focus on Training and Skill
Level 153
Table 12— Empirical Studies with a Focus on Skill Level, Age, and
Other Factors 154
Table 13— Different Parametric Distributions for the Spell Length . 162
Table 14— Descriptive Statistics for Unemployment Duration 175
Table 15— Description of the Data 179
Table 16 — Regression Results — Goodness of Fit: Transition into
Employment, Both Genders 183
Table 17— Regression Results — Coefficients: Transition into
Employment, Both Genders 184
XIV List of Tables
Table 18— Regression Results — Goodness of Fit: Transition into
Employment, Males Only 188
Table 19 — Regression Results — Coefficients: Transition into
Employment, Males Only 189
Table 20 — Regression Results — Goodness of Fit: Transition into
Employment, Females Only 190
Table 21— Regression Results — Coefficients: Transition into
Employment, Females Only 191
Table Al— Definition of the Skill Variable with Three Categories 65
Table A2 — Definition of the Skill Variable with Two Categories 65
Table A3 — Defining the Sectoral Structure of an Economy from the
GSOEP 67
Table A4— Aggregating Occupations from the GSOEP 67
Table A5 — Employment Changes by Skill and Sector, 1976 1989 71
Table A6— Individual Preference Parameters and Population 130
Table A7— Parameters of the Cost Functions 130
Table A8 — Flexible Labor Market, Individuals with SG Preferences. 131
Table A9— Flexible Labor Market, Individuals with CD Preferences . 132
Table A10— Identical Wage Growth 133
Table All — Interfirm Mobility Costs and Unskilled Specific
Technical Change 134
Table A12 — Interfirm Mobility Costs and Neutral Technical Change. 135
Table A13 — Labor Supply Adjustment Through Upskilling (Constant
Relative Wage) 136
Table A14 — Upskilling in the Case of Unskilled Specific Technical
Change in a Flexible Labor Market 137
Table A15 — Upskilling in the Case of Neutral Technical Change in a
Flexible Labor Market 138
List of Tables XV
Table A16 — Upskilling in the Case of Unskilled Specific Technical
Change in a Rigid Labor Market 139
Table A17 — Upskilling in the Case of Neutral Technical Change in a
Rigid Labor Market 140
Table A18 — Intraindustry Trade, Identical Countries with Flexible
Labor Markets 141
Table A19 — Intraindustry Trade, Identical Countries with Flexible
Labor Markets and Neutral Technical Change 142
Table A20 — Intraindustry Trade, Countries of Different Size with
Flexible Labor Markets 143
Table A21 — Intraindustry Trade, Countries of Identical Size with
Rigid Labor Markets 144
Table A22 — Descriptive Statistics for the Covariates Capturing
Structural Change 194
Table A23 — Descriptive Statistics for the Covariates Capturing Labor
Market Institutions 195
Table A24 — Descriptive Statistics for the Covariates Capturing
Individual Heterogeneity 196
Table A25— Estimation Results for the Wage Loss Equation 198 |
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| id | DE-604.BV013387246 |
| illustrated | Illustrated |
| indexdate | 2024-10-15T10:07:59Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 3161474627 |
| language | English |
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| spelling | Schimmelpfennig, Axel Verfasser aut Structural change of the production process and unemployment in Germany Axel Schimmelpfennig Tübingen Mohr Siebeck 2000 XX, 231 S. graph. Darst. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Kieler Studien 307 Unemployment -- Germany Supply and demand Labor market -- Germany Beschäftigungswirkung (DE-588)4126724-2 gnd rswk-swf Strukturwandel (DE-588)4058136-6 gnd rswk-swf Arbeitslosigkeit (DE-588)4002730-2 gnd rswk-swf Deutschland Deutschland (DE-588)4011882-4 gnd rswk-swf Deutschland (DE-588)4011882-4 g Strukturwandel (DE-588)4058136-6 s Arbeitslosigkeit (DE-588)4002730-2 s DE-604 Beschäftigungswirkung (DE-588)4126724-2 s Kieler Studien 307 (DE-604)BV000001650 307 HBZ Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=009132330&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Schimmelpfennig, Axel Structural change of the production process and unemployment in Germany Kieler Studien Unemployment -- Germany Supply and demand Labor market -- Germany Beschäftigungswirkung (DE-588)4126724-2 gnd Strukturwandel (DE-588)4058136-6 gnd Arbeitslosigkeit (DE-588)4002730-2 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4126724-2 (DE-588)4058136-6 (DE-588)4002730-2 (DE-588)4011882-4 |
| title | Structural change of the production process and unemployment in Germany |
| title_auth | Structural change of the production process and unemployment in Germany |
| title_exact_search | Structural change of the production process and unemployment in Germany |
| title_full | Structural change of the production process and unemployment in Germany Axel Schimmelpfennig |
| title_fullStr | Structural change of the production process and unemployment in Germany Axel Schimmelpfennig |
| title_full_unstemmed | Structural change of the production process and unemployment in Germany Axel Schimmelpfennig |
| title_short | Structural change of the production process and unemployment in Germany |
| title_sort | structural change of the production process and unemployment in germany |
| topic | Unemployment -- Germany Supply and demand Labor market -- Germany Beschäftigungswirkung (DE-588)4126724-2 gnd Strukturwandel (DE-588)4058136-6 gnd Arbeitslosigkeit (DE-588)4002730-2 gnd |
| topic_facet | Unemployment -- Germany Supply and demand Labor market -- Germany Beschäftigungswirkung Strukturwandel Arbeitslosigkeit Deutschland |
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