Restructuring, stabilizing and modernizing the new Russia: economic and institutional issues
Gespeichert in:
| Format: | Buch |
|---|---|
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Berlin [u.a.]
Springer
2000
|
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Beschreibung: | XIII, 516 S. graph. Darst. |
| ISBN: | 3540674292 |
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| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a Restructuring, stabilizing and modernizing the new Russia |b economic and institutional issues |c ed.: Paul J. J. Welfens ... |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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| adam_text | Titel: Restructuring, stabilizing and modernizing the new Russia
Autor: Welfens, Paul J. J
Jahr: 2000
Table of Contents
Introduction
Paul J.J. Welfens and Evgeny Gavrilenkov
Part I The Russian Transformation Crisis
A. The EU and Russia: Strategie Aspects of Transformation
and Integration 7
Paul J.J. Welfens
1. Introduction 7
2. Economic Problems of Russia 8
3. External Support for Russia 11
4. Trade, FDI and Growth in a Transitional Perspective 13
5. Visegrad Countries and EU Eastern Enlargement 18
6. Towards a New Strategy for Russia 18
References 22
B. Currency Crisis Theories -
Some Explanations for the Russian Case 25
Tuomas Komulainen
1. Introduction 25
1.1 Background 25
1.2 High Capital Mobility and Emerging Markets 26
1.3 The Basic Weaknesses of the Russian Economy 27
2. Currency Crisis Theories 29
2.1 Exchange Rate Determination 29
2.2 First Generation Theories 34
2.3 Second Generation Theories 35
2.4 Spillover-effects and Contagion 36
2.5 Underdevelopmentofthe Banking Sector 40
2.6 Market Segmentation and Herding Behaviour 44
3. Conclusion 47
References 52
VI Restructuring, Stabilizing and Modernizing the New Russia
C. Banking Sector and Financial Intermediation
in the Russian Transformation Process 57
Ralf Wiegert
1. Systemic Transformation, Growth Requirements
and Financial Stability 57
2. The Role of the Banking Sector 58
2.1 The Russian Financial System 58
2.2 Banks as Financial Intermediaries 64
2.2.1 Some Reasons for the Existence
of Financial Intermediaries 65
2.2.2 Model I: Financial Intermediation and Stable
Macroeconomic Conditions 66
2.2.3 Model II: Financial Intermediation and Unstable
Macroeconomic Conditions 69
2.3 Russian Banks as Financial Intermediaries 73
3. Consequences for the Russian Banking Sector 78
3.1 Issues for Overcoming the Banking Crisis 80
3.2 Political Economy of Financial Reform 82
References 86
D. Institutional Failures of Market Transformation
of the Russian Economy 89
Ruslan Grinberg
1. Introduction 89
2. Examples of Institutional Failures in the Reform Policy in Russia 91
3. The West in the Trap of Self-deception 93
4. Russia Between Old and New Institutions 94
5. The Reform of Institutional Basis of Economic Policy in Russia 98
References 100
E. Russian Crisis: Causes, Developments, Contagion and Prospects 101
Vladimir Gligorov andNiclas Sundstrom
1. Introduction 101
2. Constitution and Transformation 101
3. Budgets, Markets and Banks 104
4. Policy Responses and Mistakes 106
5. The Collapse and Contagion 109
6. Russian Prospects 116
7. Conclusion 121
References 124
Table of Contents vil
Part II Restructuring in Transition Economies
F. Foreign Direct Investment in Russia:
An Engine of Structural Adjustment? 127
Roland Döhrn
1. Statistical Background 128
2. Determinants ofFDI and Projections for Russia 133
2.1 Determinants of FDI 133
2.2 Projections for Russia 137
2.3 Impact of the Reforms 139
3. FDI, Capital Formation, and Structural Change 139
3.1 The Size of Gross Fixed Capital Formation 140
3.2 The Contribution of FDI to Capital Formation 141
3.3 Sectoral Aspects 142
4. Conclusions 143
Appendix 145
References 147
G. Russian Economy: Structural Change
and Econometric Prospective 149
Georgiy Serebryakov
1. Aggregate Econometric Macro Model for Russian Economy 149
2. RIM - Russian Inter-industry Model 149
3. Modeling and Some Specific Features of Russian Economy 151
4. Economic Growth and Structural Change in 1990-1997 152
5. Issues on Labor and Capital Costs Analysis 156
6. Some Issues in Current Economic Development and
Perspective Model Simulations 158
Appendix 162
References 176
H. Economic Opening-Up, Policy Reforms and Relations
with International Organizations:
A Parallel between Hungary and Russia -
Some Major Differences and Similarities 177
Zsuzsa Ludvig
1. Economic Opening-up and the Role of Foreign
Trade Liberalization 177
2. Relationship with International Organizations 182
VIII Restructuring, Stabilizing and Modernizing the New Russia
Part III Stabilizing Russia
I. Towards Credible Monetary and Fiscal Policies in Russia 189
Evgeny Gavrilenkov
1. Introduction 189
2. The Impact of Monetary Policy on Macroeconomic
Performance in Present Russia and Some Political Economy Issues 190
3. The Conduct of Monetary Policy in Russia in the Context of
International Experience and Conducting of Monetary
Policy with Different Regimes 197
4. Monetary Policy, Liquidity Problems and Foreign Debt Service 201
References 209
J. Russian Capital Markets and International Financial Flows 211
Michael Vogelsang
1. Introduction 211
2. Some Questions on Recent Financial Crises 211
3. The Model 212
4. Capital Markets and Economy s Wealth 215
5. ExitTax 216
6. Some Remarks on Tax and Other Capital Controls 217
7. Conclusion 218
Appendix 219
References 221
K. Consumer Prices in Russia and Transforming Offlcial Statistics 223
Cathleen Faber and Hans Gerhard Strohe
Preface 223
1. Some Short Methodological Notes Concerning the Russian CPI 224
2. The Development of Russian CPI within the 90s 227
2.1 A Short Review of the Developments in the Early 90s 227
2.2 The Development of Russian CPI from 1996 to 1999 229
3. A Comparison of CPI Development with
other Economic Indicators 232
3.1 The Indexes of Consumer and Producer Prices 232
3.2 The Index of Consumer Prices and the Official
US$ Exchange Rate 233
3.3 CPI and Subsistence Level 234
Table of Contents ^
4. Problems Concerning the Statistics of Consumer Prices 236
5. Recommendations 239
References 241
L. The Rationale for Seigniorage in Russia
- A Model-Theoretic Approach 243
Frank Bohn
1. Introduction 243
2. Economic and Political Model Components 244
2.1 Budget Constraints 245
2.2 Inflation, Seigniorage, and the Role of Barter
and Currency Substitution 246
2.3 The Role of Taxation 248
2.4 Credibility and the Role of Government Borrowing 249
2.5 The Role of Political Instability and Polarization 250
3. A Formal Intertemporal Model 251
3.1 Government Objectives and Budget Constraints 252
3.2 Partial Interests and Government Utility 253
3.3 The Revenue Problem of the Government 255
4. Conclusion and Outlook 259
Appendix 260
References 265
M. Overcoming the Russian Banking Crisis:
Theory, Some Empirical Findings and Policy Options 267
Ulrich Thießen
1. Introduction 267
2. Background of the Banking Crises, Economic Costs,
and Approach of the Authorities 268
2.1 Background of the Crisis 268
2.2 Economic Costs of the Banking Crisis 272
2.3 Approach of the Authorities 273
3. Modern Theoretical Findings of the Workings of Financial
Markets and Their Contribution to Economic Growth 276
3.1 The Contribution of Financial Intermediation
to Economic Growth 276
3.2 Theories on Market Failuresof Financial Intermediation 277
4. Empirical Findings on the Workings of Financial Markets
with Special Reference to Transition Countries 280
4.1 Growth Promotion 280
4.2 Impediments for Financial Intermediation
in Transition Countries 280
X Restructuring, Stabilizing and Modernizing the New Russia
4.3 Economies of Scale and Scope and Competition
in Banking 282
4.4 Restrictions on Equity Holdings of Banks 283
5. Policy Options 286
5.1 Could the Banking Crisis of August 1998 Have Been
Prevented Had Western Prudential Regulation
for Banks Been Enforced? 286
5.2 Adaptation of Some Western Prudential Rules 289
5.3 Adoption of a Bank Restructuring Approach
Which Is Comprehensive 292
6. Concluding Remarks 296
References 300
Part IV Modernizing Russia
N. Institutions and Transition: On the Way to a Market Economy -
Theory and Application to Russia 307
PaulJJ. Welfens
1. Introduction 307
2. From a Distorted Socialist Environment to Institutions
ofa Market Economy 308
2.1 Functions of Institutions 309
2.2 Network Effects 313
2.3 Some Issues of Institution-Building 315
2.4 Normative Issues 317
3. International Institutional Impulses 322
3.1 Theory of Importing Institutions and
Optimal Governance 322
3.2 Other International Institutional Aspects 325
3.3 Russian Problems and Perspectives 325
4. Conclusions 329
Appendix 330
References 332
Table of Contents XI
O. Overcoming the Transformation Crisis -
Selected Issues and Policy Options in Russia 333
Pekka Sutela
1. Introduction 333
2. The Russian Economy After August 1999 333
3. Is Industrial Growth Sustainable? 338
4. The Emerging Russian Economic System 339
5. Could Something Be Done? 341
References 343
P. Nurturing Entrepreneurship and the Role of
Co-operatives 345
Thomas Brockmeier
1. Introduction 345
2. Theoretical Framework 346
2.1 The Transition Process as a Process of
Economic Development 346
2.2 Innovative Entrepreneurship as the Driving
Force behind Economic Development 347
3. Co-operatives as a Means to Foster Entrepreneurship 349
3.1 Basic Features of Co-operatives 349
3.2 Co-operatives and Socio-Economic Transformation:
Some General Remarks 352
3.3 The Situation in Russia in 1999: Some Empirical Data 353
3.4 Potential Contributions of Co-operatives
to Nurturing Entrepreneurship 357
4. Summary 361
References 363
Q. Foreign Direct Investment and Growth in Russia,
Poland and the Ukraine 373
Olga Nosova
1. Introduction 373
2. Institutional Transformation: Capital Flows in Eastern Europe 373
3. The Impact of Foreign Trade and Foreign Direct Investment
on Transformation to Economic Stabilization and Growth 383
4. Policy Considerations for Poland, Russia and Ukraine 392
Appendix 396
References 399
XII Restructuring, Stabilizing and Modemizing the New Russia
R. Reforming the Natural Monopoly -
the Case of Railroad Transport 403
Nina Oding
1. Introduction: Challenges of Reform in Transport 403
2. Characteristic Features of Markets with Natural Monopolies 404
3. Reform on Railways: International Practices 408
4. Railway Reforms in Russia 414
Appendix 427
References 436
Part V Economic Roundtable: Internal and External Russian
Transition Problems
S. Permanent Crisis in Russia: Selected Problems of
Macroeconomic Performance 441
Evgeny Gavrilenkov
1. Introduction 441
2. Background 441
3. Financial Markets and Fiscal Performance 447
4. Selected Problems of Tax Collection and Capital Flight 454
References 462
T. Systemic Transformation in Russia: Outcomes,
Causes, New Imperatives 463
Ruslan Grinberg
1. Outcomes 463
2. Main Causes of the Transformation Crisis 465
3. Towards a New Approach to Economic Policy in Russia 468
U. Offlcial Statistics in Russia and the Measurement of the Crisis -
Some Remarks on Russian Price Statistics 471
Hans Gerhard Strohe and Cathleen Faber
1. Introduction 471
2. The General Situation 471
3. The State Committee for Statistics 472
4. The Exampleof Price Statistics 472
References 475
Table of Contents XIII
V. Rent-seeking as a Source of Macroeconomic Instability in Russia 477
Nina Oding and A. Zaostrovzev
1. The Roots of a Rent-seeking Society: Microeconomic
Foundations of a Macroeconomic Crisis 477
2. Three Stages in the History of Rent-seeking Strategies
and Macro-economic Instability in Russia (since 1992) 479
2.1 Inflationary Stage 479
2.2 Non-payment Stage 479
2.3 Inflationary/Non-payment Stage 481
3. Conclusions 482
References 483
W. Foreign Trade and Foreign Direct Investment in
Transformation Crisis in Russia and Ukraine 485
Olga Nosova
1. Introduction 485
2. Theoretical Model 489
3. Empirical Considerations 492
References 494
X. Appendix: Selected Macroeconomic Data on Russia
and Eastern Europe 495
Y. Selection of Links and Internet Pages of Research Institutions
Related to Russia 501
Z. About the Project: Real and Monetary Transformation Crisis
in Russia: Developments, Analysis and
Sustainable Transformation 503
List of Tables 507
List of Figures 511
List of Contributors 515
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| publisher | Springer |
| record_format | marc |
| spelling | Restructuring, stabilizing and modernizing the new Russia economic and institutional issues ed.: Paul J. J. Welfens ... Berlin [u.a.] Springer 2000 XIII, 516 S. graph. Darst. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Economische hervormingen gtt Economische stabiliteit gtt Wirtschaft Wirtschaftspolitik Economic stabilization -- Russia (Federation) Structural adjustment (Economic policy) -- Russia (Federation) Wirtschaftsreform (DE-588)4066512-4 gnd rswk-swf Stabilitätspolitik (DE-588)4077791-1 gnd rswk-swf Strukturwandel (DE-588)4058136-6 gnd rswk-swf Russia (Federation) -- Economic policy -- 1991- Russia (Federation) -- Economic conditions -- 1991- Russland (DE-588)4076899-5 gnd rswk-swf (DE-588)4143413-4 Aufsatzsammlung gnd-content Russland (DE-588)4076899-5 g Strukturwandel (DE-588)4058136-6 s Wirtschaftsreform (DE-588)4066512-4 s Stabilitätspolitik (DE-588)4077791-1 s DE-604 Welfens, Paul J. J. 1957-2022 Sonstige (DE-588)115570470 oth HBZ Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=008995391&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Restructuring, stabilizing and modernizing the new Russia economic and institutional issues Economische hervormingen gtt Economische stabiliteit gtt Wirtschaft Wirtschaftspolitik Economic stabilization -- Russia (Federation) Structural adjustment (Economic policy) -- Russia (Federation) Wirtschaftsreform (DE-588)4066512-4 gnd Stabilitätspolitik (DE-588)4077791-1 gnd Strukturwandel (DE-588)4058136-6 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4066512-4 (DE-588)4077791-1 (DE-588)4058136-6 (DE-588)4076899-5 (DE-588)4143413-4 |
| title | Restructuring, stabilizing and modernizing the new Russia economic and institutional issues |
| title_auth | Restructuring, stabilizing and modernizing the new Russia economic and institutional issues |
| title_exact_search | Restructuring, stabilizing and modernizing the new Russia economic and institutional issues |
| title_full | Restructuring, stabilizing and modernizing the new Russia economic and institutional issues ed.: Paul J. J. Welfens ... |
| title_fullStr | Restructuring, stabilizing and modernizing the new Russia economic and institutional issues ed.: Paul J. J. Welfens ... |
| title_full_unstemmed | Restructuring, stabilizing and modernizing the new Russia economic and institutional issues ed.: Paul J. J. Welfens ... |
| title_short | Restructuring, stabilizing and modernizing the new Russia |
| title_sort | restructuring stabilizing and modernizing the new russia economic and institutional issues |
| title_sub | economic and institutional issues |
| topic | Economische hervormingen gtt Economische stabiliteit gtt Wirtschaft Wirtschaftspolitik Economic stabilization -- Russia (Federation) Structural adjustment (Economic policy) -- Russia (Federation) Wirtschaftsreform (DE-588)4066512-4 gnd Stabilitätspolitik (DE-588)4077791-1 gnd Strukturwandel (DE-588)4058136-6 gnd |
| topic_facet | Economische hervormingen Economische stabiliteit Wirtschaft Wirtschaftspolitik Economic stabilization -- Russia (Federation) Structural adjustment (Economic policy) -- Russia (Federation) Wirtschaftsreform Stabilitätspolitik Strukturwandel Russia (Federation) -- Economic policy -- 1991- Russia (Federation) -- Economic conditions -- 1991- Russland Aufsatzsammlung |
| url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=008995391&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT welfenspauljj restructuringstabilizingandmodernizingthenewrussiaeconomicandinstitutionalissues |