Integrated macro-micro-modelling under rational expectations: with an application to tariff reform in Australia ; with 35 tables
Gespeichert in:
1. Verfasser: | |
---|---|
Format: | Buch |
Sprache: | English |
Veröffentlicht: |
Heidelberg ; New York
Physica-Verl.
2000
|
Schriftenreihe: | Contributions to economics
|
Schlagworte: | |
Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
Beschreibung: | XIV, 279 S. graph. Darst. : 24 cm |
ISBN: | 3790812749 |
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245 | 1 | 0 | |a Integrated macro-micro-modelling under rational expectations |b with an application to tariff reform in Australia ; with 35 tables |c Michael Malakellis |
264 | 1 | |a Heidelberg ; New York |b Physica-Verl. |c 2000 | |
300 | |a XIV, 279 S. |b graph. Darst. : 24 cm | ||
336 | |b txt |2 rdacontent | ||
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490 | 0 | |a Contributions to economics | |
650 | 4 | |a Wirtschaft | |
650 | 4 | |a Ökonometrisches Modell | |
650 | 4 | |a Macroeconomics -- Econometric models | |
650 | 4 | |a Microeconomics -- Econometric models | |
650 | 4 | |a Rational expectations (Economic theory) | |
650 | 4 | |a Equilibrium (Economics) -- Econometric models | |
650 | 4 | |a Tariff -- Australia -- Econometric models | |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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---|---|
adam_text |
CONTENTS
P
REFACE
VII
A
CKNOWLEDGMENTS
IX
C
HAPTER
1
I
NTRODUCTION
:
S
COPE
AND
P
URPOSE
1
1.1
INTRODUCTION
1
1.2
STATE
OF
THE
ART
3
1.2.1
RECURSIVE
CGE
MODELS
4
1.2.2
INTERTEMPORAL
CGE
MODELS
5
1.3
CONTRIBUTIONS
OF
THIS
BOOK
9
1.3.1
DRAWING
ON
EXISTING
MODELLING
INFRASTRUCTURE
18
1.3.2
DESIGN
OF
AN
EFFICIENT
AND
TRANSFERABLE
SOLUTION
ALGORITHM
18
1.3.3
THE
IMPLICATIONS
OF
ALTERNATIVE
EXPECTATIONS
ASSUMPTIONS
18
1.3.4
AN
APPLICATION
TO
TARIFF
REFORM
19
1.4
ORGANISATION
OF
THE
REMAINDER
OF
THIS
BOOK
19
C
HAPTER
2
A
N
O
VERVIEW
OF
ORANI-INT
21
2.1
INTRODUCTION
21
2.2
NOMENCLATURE
FOR
INTERTEMPORAL
MODELLING
21
2.3
THE
STRUCTURE
OF
ORANI-INT
23
2.4
CHAPTER
SUMMARY
25
C
HAPTERS
T
HE
T
HEORETICAL
S
TRUCTURE
OF
ORANI-INT
27
3.1
INTRODUCTION
27
3.1.1
NOTATIONAL
CONVENTIONS
28
3.1.2
COMPUTATIONAL
ISSUES
AND
THE
PRESENTATION
OF
EQUATIONS
30
3.2
INDUSTRY
BEHAVIOUR
30
3.2.1
FACTOR
DEMANDS
32
3.2.2
DEMANDS
FOR
COMPOSITE
COMMODITIES
AND
'
OTHER
COST
'
TICKETS
AND
THE
SUPPLY
OF
OUTPUT
34
3.2.3
DEMANDS
FOR
DOMESTIC
AND
FOREIGN
COMMODITIES
34
3.3
FINAL
DEMANDS
35
3.3.1
HOUSEHOLD
DEMANDS
35
3.3.2
CAPITAL
CREATION
41
3.3.3
GOVERNMENT
DEMANDS
48
3.3.4
FOREIGN
DEMANDS
49
3.4
ZERO
PURE
PROFITS
CONDITIONS
49
3.5
MARKET
CLEARING
CONDITIONS
52
3.6
MISCELLANEOUS
EQUATIONS
52
3.7
CHAPTER
SUMMARY
60
XII
INTEGRATED
MACRO-MICRO
MODELLING
A
PPENDIX
A3.1
T
HE
L
OG
-
LINEAR
FORM
OF
THE
ORANI-INT
E
QUATION
S
YSTEM
61
A3.1.1
INTRODUCTION
61
A
PPENDIX
A3.2
T
HE
I
NTERTEMPORAL
B
UDGET
C
ONSTRAINT
91
A3.2.1
INTRODUCTION
91
A3.2.2
THE
EFFECTS
OF
CONSTRAINING
THE
GROWTH
OF
NET
FOREIGN
LIABILITIES
92
A
PPENDIX
A3.3
A
LTERNATIVE
I
NVESTMENT
S
PECIFICATIONS
104
A3.3.1
INTRODUCTION
104
A3.3.2
COST
OF
ADJUSTMENT
MODELS
OF
INVESTMENT
104
A3.3.3
TIME-TO-BUILD
MODELS
OF
INVESTMENT
108
A3.3.4
CONCLUDING
REMARKS
109
A
PPENDIX
A3.4
T
HE
I
MPLICATIONS
OF
THE
I
RREVERSIBILITY
C
ONSTRAINT
ON
I
NVESTMENT
ILL
A3.4.1
INTRODUCTION
111
A3.4.2
THEORETICAL
IMPLICATIONS
111
A3.4.3
RESULTS
FROM
ORANI-INT
115
A
PPENDIX
A3.5
A
N
OTE
ON
D
IVISIA
I
NDEXES
118
A3.5.1
INTRODUCTION
118
A3.5.2
THE
DIFFERENTIAL
FORM
OF
DIVISIA
INDEXES
118
A3.5.3
THE
LEVELS
FORM
OF
DIVISIA
INDEXES
120
A3.5.4
WHY
USE
DIVISIA
INDEXES?
122
C
HAPTER
4
S
OLUTION
M
ETHOD
124
4.1
INTRODUCTION
124
4.1.1
A
NOTE
ON
THE
SEMANTICS
USED
IN
THIS
CHAPTER
124
4.2
ALTERNATIVE
SOLUTION
METHODS
125
4.2.1
SHOOTING
METHODS
126
4.2.2
RELAXATION
METHODS
128
4.3
THE
ORANI-INT
SOLUTION
ALGORITHM
128
4.3.1
THE
EULER
METHOD
130
4.3.2
NEWTON-RAPHSON
METHOD
138
4.3.3
THE
HYBRID
METHOD
139
4.4
MODELLING
SIGN
CONSTRAINTS
143
4.5
CHAPTER
SUMMARY
148
C
HAPTERS
G
ENERATING
THE
C
ONTROL
P
ATH
S
OLUTION
149
5.1
INTRODUCTION
149
5.2
CONSTRUCTING
AN
INTERTEMPORAL
BASE
SOLUTION
150
5.3
THE
CONTROL
SCENARIOS
151
5.3.1
THE
STANDARD
CLOSURE
152
5.3.2
THE
BG
CONTROL
SCENARIO
156
5.3.3
THE
CBG
CONTROL
SCENARIO
157
5.4
CHAPTER
SUMMARY
166
CONTENTS
XIII
A
PPENDIX
A5.1
T
HE
ORANI
13
D
ATABASE
167
A5.1
INTRODUCTION
167
A5.2
THE
PMH
DATABASE
167
A5.3
THE
ORANI-13
DATABASE
170
A5.4
THE
ORANI-13A
DATABASE
177
A5.5
THE
ORANI-13B
DATABASE
177
C
HAPTER
6
ORANI-INT
'
S
S
IMULATION
P
ROPERTIES
W
ITH
AND
W
ITHOUT
F
ORWARD
-
LOOKING
B
EHAVIOUR
182
6.1
INTRODUCTION
182
6.2
AN
OVERVIEW
OF
THE
ILLUSTRATIVE
EXPERIMENTS
182
6.3
INTERPRETATION
OF
RESULTS
184
6.4
THE
BENCHMARK
EXPERIMENT
184
6.4.1
LONG-RUN
RESULTS
186
6.4.2
RESULTS
COINCIDING
WITH
THE
IMPLEMENTATION
OF
SHOCK
195
6.4.3
RESULTS
OVER
THE
DURATION
OF
THE
SHOCK
196
6.4.4
PRE-SHOCK
(ANTICIPATION)
EFFECTS
196
6.5
THE
INVESTMENT
EXPERIMENT
197
6.5.1
LONG-RUN
RESULTS
197
6.5.2
RESULTS
COINCIDING
WITH
THE
IMPLEMENTATION
OF
SHOCK
200
6.5.3
RESULTS
OVER
THE
DURATION
OF
THE
SHOCK
201
6.5.4
PRE-SHOCK
(ANTICIPATION)
EFFECTS
203
6.6
THE
CONSUMPTION
EXPERIMENT
204
6.6.1
LONG-RUN
RESULTS
207
6.6.2
RESULTS
COINCIDING
WITH
THE
COMMENCEMENT
OF
THE
SHOCK
208
6.6.3
RESULTS
OVER
THE
DURATION
OF
THE
SHOCK
209
6.6.4
PRE-SHOCK
(ANTICIPATION)
EFFECTS
209
6.7
THE
FULL
INTERTEMPORAL
EXPERIMENT
212
6.8
THE
SURPRISE
EXPERIMENT
216
6.9
CHAPTER
SUMMARY
220
C
HAPTER
7
S
HOULD
T
ARIFF
R
EDUCTIONS
BE
A
NNOUNCED
?
221
7.1
INTRODUCTION
221
7.2
SIMULATING
THE
TARIFF
REDUCTION
STRATEGIES
222
7.2.1
CONTROL
SCENARIO
223
7.2.2
CHOICE
OF
EXOGENOUS
VARIABLES
223
7.2.3
DESCRIPTION
OF
THE
TARIFF
SHOCKS
223
7.3.
SIMULATION
RESULTS
224
7.3.1
LONG-RUN
RESULTS
233
7.3.2
THE
TRANSITION
PATHS
245
7.3.3
STRUCTURAL
ADJUSTMENT
250
7.4.
SUMMARY
AND
CONCLUSIONS
252
XIV
INTEGRATED
MACRO-MICRO
MODELLING
C
HAPTER
8
S
UMMARY
AND
C
ONCLUSIONS
254
8.1
INTRODUCTION
254
8.2
MODEL
DEVELOPMENT
254
8.3
APPLICATIONS
256
8.4
AN
AGENDA
FOR
FUTURE
RESEARCH
257
8.4.1
DATA
AND
PARAMETERS
257
8.4.2
TREATMENT
OF
EXPECTATIONS
258
8.4.3
INVESTMENT
TECHNOLOGY
259
8.4.4
GREATER
DISAGGREGATION
259
8.5
FINAL
COMMENTS
260
R
EFERENCES
261
A
UTHOR
I
NDEX
269
S
UBJECT
INDEX
271
L
IST
OF
TABLES
277
L
IST
OF
FIGURES
278 |
any_adam_object | 1 |
author | Malakellis, Michael 1964- |
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dewey-full | 382.70994 382/.7/099421 |
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dewey-ones | 382 - International commerce (Foreign trade) |
dewey-raw | 382.70994 382/.7/0994 21 |
dewey-search | 382.70994 382/.7/0994 21 |
dewey-sort | 3382.70994 |
dewey-tens | 380 - Commerce, communications, transportation |
discipline | Wirtschaftswissenschaften |
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spelling | Malakellis, Michael 1964- Verfasser (DE-588)121661237 aut Integrated macro-micro-modelling under rational expectations with an application to tariff reform in Australia ; with 35 tables Michael Malakellis Heidelberg ; New York Physica-Verl. 2000 XIV, 279 S. graph. Darst. : 24 cm txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Contributions to economics Wirtschaft Ökonometrisches Modell Macroeconomics -- Econometric models Microeconomics -- Econometric models Rational expectations (Economic theory) Equilibrium (Economics) -- Econometric models Tariff -- Australia -- Econometric models Computersimulation (DE-588)4148259-1 gnd rswk-swf Allgemeines Gleichgewichtsmodell (DE-588)4210294-7 gnd rswk-swf Australien Australia -- Economic conditions -- 1945- -- Econometric models Australien (DE-588)4003900-6 gnd rswk-swf Australien (DE-588)4003900-6 g Allgemeines Gleichgewichtsmodell (DE-588)4210294-7 s Computersimulation (DE-588)4148259-1 s DE-604 DNB Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=008843453&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
spellingShingle | Malakellis, Michael 1964- Integrated macro-micro-modelling under rational expectations with an application to tariff reform in Australia ; with 35 tables Wirtschaft Ökonometrisches Modell Macroeconomics -- Econometric models Microeconomics -- Econometric models Rational expectations (Economic theory) Equilibrium (Economics) -- Econometric models Tariff -- Australia -- Econometric models Computersimulation (DE-588)4148259-1 gnd Allgemeines Gleichgewichtsmodell (DE-588)4210294-7 gnd |
subject_GND | (DE-588)4148259-1 (DE-588)4210294-7 (DE-588)4003900-6 |
title | Integrated macro-micro-modelling under rational expectations with an application to tariff reform in Australia ; with 35 tables |
title_auth | Integrated macro-micro-modelling under rational expectations with an application to tariff reform in Australia ; with 35 tables |
title_exact_search | Integrated macro-micro-modelling under rational expectations with an application to tariff reform in Australia ; with 35 tables |
title_full | Integrated macro-micro-modelling under rational expectations with an application to tariff reform in Australia ; with 35 tables Michael Malakellis |
title_fullStr | Integrated macro-micro-modelling under rational expectations with an application to tariff reform in Australia ; with 35 tables Michael Malakellis |
title_full_unstemmed | Integrated macro-micro-modelling under rational expectations with an application to tariff reform in Australia ; with 35 tables Michael Malakellis |
title_short | Integrated macro-micro-modelling under rational expectations |
title_sort | integrated macro micro modelling under rational expectations with an application to tariff reform in australia with 35 tables |
title_sub | with an application to tariff reform in Australia ; with 35 tables |
topic | Wirtschaft Ökonometrisches Modell Macroeconomics -- Econometric models Microeconomics -- Econometric models Rational expectations (Economic theory) Equilibrium (Economics) -- Econometric models Tariff -- Australia -- Econometric models Computersimulation (DE-588)4148259-1 gnd Allgemeines Gleichgewichtsmodell (DE-588)4210294-7 gnd |
topic_facet | Wirtschaft Ökonometrisches Modell Macroeconomics -- Econometric models Microeconomics -- Econometric models Rational expectations (Economic theory) Equilibrium (Economics) -- Econometric models Tariff -- Australia -- Econometric models Computersimulation Allgemeines Gleichgewichtsmodell Australien Australia -- Economic conditions -- 1945- -- Econometric models |
url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=008843453&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
work_keys_str_mv | AT malakellismichael integratedmacromicromodellingunderrationalexpectationswithanapplicationtotariffreforminaustraliawith35tables |