Methods of interregional and regional analysis:
Gespeichert in:
| Format: | Buch |
|---|---|
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Aldershot [u.a.]
Ashgate
1998
|
| Schriftenreihe: | Regional science studies series
|
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Beschreibung: | XXIII, 490 S. graph. Darst. |
| ISBN: | 1859724108 |
Internformat
MARC
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Datensatz im Suchindex
| _version_ | 1804127612660875264 |
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| adam_text | Contents
Figures and tables xii
About the authors xix
Acknowledgments xx
Preface xxi
1. The setting and introduction 1
2. Location analysis for industry and Service trades:
comparative cost and other approaches 7
2.0 Introduction 7
2.1 Industry location principles and the comparative cost
approach 8
2.1.1 Locational analysis for the iron and steel industry 10
2.1.2 Analysis of the aluminum industry, and energy and
other location factors 14
2.2 Service trades location principles 21
2.3 Spatial and location measures 24
2.3.1 The location quotient 24
2.3.2 Thecoefficientoflocalization 26
2.3.3 The localization curve 27
2.4 Geographie information Systems (GIS) 31
2.5 Concluding remarks 35
Endnotes 36
References 37
vi Methods of Interregional and Regional Analysis
3. Regional and interregional input output analysis 41
3.0 Introduction 41
3.1 A single region 43
3.1.1 The statistical framework: input output accounts 43
3.1.2 Technical coefficients and the input output model 49
3.1.3 Input output analysis 52
3.2 Two or more regions: the interregional input output (IRIO)
system 70
3.2.1 The statistical framework: interregional input
output accounts 70
3.2.2 Technical and trade coefficients in the IRIO model 74
3.2.3 Input output analysis with the IRIO model 76
3.3 Two or more regions: the multiregional input output
(MRIO) system 81
3.3.1 The statistical framework: multiregional input
output accounts 81
3.3.2 Input output analysis with the MRIO model 85
3.4 Constructing models from less than perfect data sets 86
3.4.1 Survey based tables 86
3.4.2 Nonsurvey based tables 87
3.4.3 Hybrid tables 93
3.4.4 Interregional connections 93
3.4.5 Empirical implementation 94
3.5 Fusion of comparative cost and input output: editorial
remarks 95
Appendix 3.1 The commodity industry approach in input output
models 98
Appendix 3.2 Additional linkage measures from input output
data 102
Appendix 3.3 Data for the two region IRIO numerical example 104
Appendix 3.4 The RAS approach to updating or regionalization of
input output tables 104
Endnotes 109
References 120
Mathematical appendix. Elements of matrix algebra 125
4. Regional and spatial econometric analysis 135
4.0 Introduction 135
Contents v
4.1 Econometric models and their uses 138
4.1.1 The basic structure 13 8
4.1.2 Three typical applications 139
4.2 Some underlying statistical theory 144
4.2.1 Desirable properties of estimators 144
4.2.2 Ordinary least squares (OLS) estimators 148
4.2.3 Assumptions of OLS estimators 151
4.2.4 Other estimators 154
4.3 Some problems of estimation 157
4.3.1 Specification errors 1J/
4 3 2 The expected value of the error term is not equal to
zero 167
4.3.3 The variance of the error term is not constant 169
4.3.4 Correlated error terms 173
4.3.5 Stochastic explanatory variables, multicollinearity,
and measurement errors 18°
4.4 Other relevant econometric models lg3
4.4.1 The use of dummy variables *83
4.4.2 Discrete choice models |jj;j
4.4.3 Pooled time series and cross section models 187
4.4.4 Simultaneous equations models 19Jl
4.5 Spatial econometrics
4.5.1 Spatial dependence j*
4.5.2 Spatial heterogeneity
4.6 The art of econometric model building
4.7 Fusion of econometrics and input output: some editorial ^
remarks _„,,
Endnotes o~o
ZUo
References
5. Programming and industrial and urban complex analysis 211
211
5.0 Introduction . O1_
5.1 A simple linear programming problem: a graphic solution 213
5.2 Basic aspects of nonlinear programming
5 2 1 Introduction of multiple types of constraints 222
5.3 Industrial complex analysis as interregional programming 225
5.4 Urban and other complexes 23g
5.5 Concluding remarks 239
Endnotes
viii Methods of Interregional and Regional Analysis
References 240
6. Gravity and spatial interaction models 243
6.0 Introduction 243
6.1 A simple probability point of view 244
6.2 Definition and measurement of mass 250
6.3 Definitions and measures of distance 253
6.4 Functional forms for spatial separation 253
6.5 Constrained gravity (spatial interaction) models 257
6.6 Calibration, tests and applications of spatial interaction
models 263
6.6.1 The use of OLS (ordinary least squares) to test the
effect of distance, cooperation and hostility upon
trade of nations 264
6.6.2 The use of maximum likelihood in a policy
oriented application with particular attention to
characteristics of origins, destinations and types of
distance (separation) measures 269
6.7 Conclusion 272
Endnotes 273
References 277
7. Social accounting matrices and social accounting analysis 281
7.0 Introduction 281
7.1 The overall conceptual framework 283
7.2 Classification and disaggregation of accounts 293
7.2.1 Production activities cum commodities 294
7.2.2 Institutions 294
7.2.3 Factors of production 296
7.3 Data requirements in the construction of a SAM 298
7.4 SAM multiplier analysis and extensions 300
7.4.1 Unconstrained multipliers 300
7.4.2 Constrained multipliers 306
7.4.3 Structural path analysis and transmission of
economic influence within the SAM framework 308
7.4.4 SAM as the foundation of computable general
equilibrium models 316
7.5 Studies and applications based on the SAM 317
Contents ¦
7.5.1 General overview 317
7.5.2 National applications 318
7.5.3 A regional interregional application: the two
region Indonesian SAM for 1980 323
7.5.4 A village application: impact of rural
industrialization on village life and economy: a
comparison of two Indian village SAMs 325
Endnotes 326
References 328
8. Applied general interregional equilibrium 333
8.0 Introduction 333
8.1 A highly simplified model introducing distance and
transport inputs as basic variables 336
8.1.1 The consumption subsystem 337
8.1.2 The production subsystem 337
8.1.3 The transport subsystem 338
8.1.4 The market subsystem 339
8.2 Transport inputs, location and trade in a two country world 343
8.2.1 The consumption subsystem 345
8.2.2 The production system 345
8.2.3 The transport subsystem 346
8.2.4 The market subsystem 346
8.2.5 The location problem in an applied general
interregional equilibrium framework 349
8.2.6 Some concluding remarks 351
8.3 The scaffolding of a core social accounting matrix for an
applied general interregional equilibrium (AGIE) model 351
8.3.1 Trade in a two country/three region world: the
scaffolding of an interregional (international)
input output core 351
8.3.2 Extensions to obtain the scaffolding of a core
social accounting frame: a top down approach 359
8.3.3 Extensions and generalizations to a multi region,
multi country world 366
8.3.4 Extensions with a bottoms up approach to AGIE
models 367
8.3.5 The exploration of a Financial SAM and its fusion
with a Real SAM 369
x Methods of Interregional and Regional Analysis
8.4 Problems and questionable character of the basic
assumptions of standard applied general equilibrium
models 373
8.4.1 Problems in representing the consumption
subsystem 373
8.4.2 Questionable character of the production
subsystem 376
8.4.3 Problems regarding scale economies in the
transport and production subsystems, externalities,
and market imperfections 378
8.4.4 Questionable character of intertemporal analysis 379
8.4.5 Problems of capturing behavior of governments,
the Rest of the World and feedback sequences 380
8.4.6 Non economic factors and other structural
shortcomings 381
8.5 Some seminal contributions by regional scientists to the
development of an applied general interregional (AGIE)
model for a pure space economy 383
8.6 Concluding remarks 386
Appendix 8.1 The basic functions, exogenous magnitudes,
variables and equations of the two nation/three region
model 387
Endnotes 390
References 397
9. Interregional and spatial microsimulation 401
9.0 Introduction 401
9.1 Basic features of microsimulation 402
9.2 Likely extensions, costs, and other limiting factors in
microsimulation 405
9.3 Applications 407
9.3.1 Wealth in the United States: family stock
ownership and accumulation, 1960 1995 407
9.3.2 The potential of microsimulation for urban models 410
9.4 Concluding remarks 415
Endnotes 415
References 417
Contents xi
10. New channels of synthesis: the fusion of regional science
methods 419
10.0 Introduction 419
10.1 Location analysis for industry and service trades and its
fusion with input output, econometrics and programming 420
10.2 Channel II. Social accounting analysis and its fusion with
applied general interregional equilibrium analysis and other
methods 425
10.3 Channel III. Methods for analyzing urban and metropolitan
processes 433
10.3.1 Fusion centering around gravity and gravity type
models 434
10.3.2 Fusion centering around urban complex analysis 438
10.4 Channel IV. On comprehensive syntheses and conflict
management 441
10.5 Conclusion 457
Appendix: Tables of pairwise comparison and relative weights 458
Endnotes 460
References 462
Index 465
Figures and tables
Table 2 1 Transportation costs on ore and coal required per net
ton of steel and on finished product for selected actual
and hypothetical producing locations serving Boston 11
Table 2 2 Regional transportation costs (1955): aluminum
production for New York market 15
Table 2 3 Comparative costs per ton steel (1994) for selected
locations re: South Korea and Japan markets 19
Table 2 4 Data for computation of coefficient of localization 27
Figure 2.1 The localization curve 28
Figure 2.2 GIS structure 32
Table 3 1 Input output accounts 45
Table 3 2 Washington transactions, 1988 48
Table 3 3 Washington state direct requirements matrix 51
Table 3 4 Washington state total requirements matrix 55
Table 3 5 Washington state direct requirements matrix (closed
model) 58
Figures and tables x—
Table 3 6 Washington state total requirements matrix (closed
model) 5g
Table 3 7 Input output multipliers 68
Table 3 8 Location quotient estimates of ALL and (I ALL) i 91
Table 3 9 RAS estimates of ALL and (I ALL) i 91
Table 3 10 LQ and RAS approaches in action 92
Table 3 11 Transportation costs on ore, coal, and finished
products for selected producing locations serving
New York City 96
Table 3 12 Direct and indirect repercussions of new basic steel
capacity 97
Table 3 1 1 The use matrix (U) and other data for a
two commodity, two industry hypothetical example 99
Table 3 1 2 The make matrix (V) and other data for a
two commodity, two industry hypothetical example 99
Table 3 1 3 The complete set of commodity by industry data 100
Table 3 2 1 Classification of backward and forward linkages 103
Table 3 3 1 Direct input coefficients in the IRIO example 105
Table 3 3 2 Leontief inverse elements in the IRIO example 105
Table 4 1 Regression results for hypothesis test equation 141
Table 4 2 Regression results for policy analysis equation 142
Figure 4.1 Illustration of unbiased and biased estimators 145
Figure 4.2 Illustrations of an efficient estimator (P) and
inefficient estimator (jb of P 146
xiv Methods of Interregional and Regional Analysis
Figure 4.3 A consistent estimator p of p* as n increases 147
Figure 4.4 Estimators with different measures of bias and
variance 148
Figure 4.5 Squared deviations in graphical form 149
Figure 4.6 The distribution (B) that maximizes the likelihood of
drawing the indicated sample observations 155
Table 4 3 Summary table for the addition of an irrelevant
variable 159
Table 4 4 Summary table for the omission of a relevant variable 161
Table 4 5 Specification error equations 164
Table 4 6 Misspecification of functional form 166
Table 4 7 Summary table for expected value of the error term
not equal to zero 168
Figure 4.7 Illustrations of (a) homoskedasticity and
(b) heteroskedasticity 170
Table 4 8 Summary table for heteroskedasticity 171
Table 4 9 Heteroskedasticity equations 173
Figure 4.8 Examples of the presence and absence of serial
correlation 175
Table 4 10 Summary table for serial correlation 177
Table 4 11 Serial correlation equations 179
Figure 4.9 City product, local goods and services (PX) actual,
fitted, and residual, 1961 1995 before correction 180
Figures and tables ^
Figure 4.10 City product, local goods and services (PX) actual,
fitted, and residual, 1962 1995 after correction 181
Figure 4.11 Washington projection and simulation model in 202
Table 5 1 Resource requirements per dollar new income 213
Figure 5.1 Graphic solution to a simple linear program 215
Figure 5.2 Nonlinear programming situations 221
Figure 5.3 Optimal solution for a simple two resource,
two commodity problem 223
Table 5 2 Annual inputs and outputs for selected oil refinery,
petrochemical, and synthetic fiber activities 228
Figure 5.4 Dacron A program 230
Table 5 3 Overall net advantage (disadvantage) of a Puerto Rico
location in dollars per year by complex 232
Figure 5.5 Hypothetical variation in net profits for different
scales of a Dacron A complex 233
Figure 6.1 Relation between distance and the ratio of actual to
expected person trips (hypothetical data) 246
Table 6 1 Origin and destination masses and first round
estimates of interaction (trips) 259
Table 6 2 Distances between origins and destinations 259
Table 6 3 Adjusted first round estimates of outflows and
resulting first round estimates of destination inflows 260
Table 6 4 Second round estimates of inflows and outflows 261
Table 6 5 Projected trips with a doubly constrained gravity
model 262
xvi Methods of Interregional and Regional Analysis
Table 6 6 Estimation results 267
Table 6 7 Parameter estimates for different distance and travel
time separation measures, 1987 data 271
Table 6 8 Parameter estimates and standard errors for gravity
models 6 through 9, all trips 1987 data 271
Figure 7.1 Simplified relationship among principal SAM
accounts (productive activities, factors and
institutions): an isolated region 284
Figure 7.2 Flow diagram of SAM transactions for region A 286
Table 7 1 A basic social accounting matrix (SAM) for
Region A 287
Figure 7.3 Interrelationships among endogenous SAM accounts
(production activities, factors and institutions) 290
Figure 7.4 Top down approach to the classification of
households: 6 level tree 295
Table 7 2 Simplified schematic social accounting matrix 301
Figure 7.5 Multiplier process among endogenous SAM accounts 305
Figure 7.6.a Elementary path 310
Figure 7.6.b Elementary path including adjacent circuits 311
Figure 7.6.c Network of elementary paths and adjacent circuits
linking poles i and; 313
Figure 7.7 Structural path analysis of impact of government
expenditure programs on income of socio economic
groups 315
Table 7 3 Selected fixed price multipliers from the two region
Indonesian SAM 324
Figures and tables ^ii
Table 8 1 Impacts of the distance and transport input variables 342
Table 8 2 Impact of distance on trade among nations and the
location problem 348
Figure 8.1 The transport system in a two country/three region
model 353
Table 8 3 Physical magnitudes (inputs, outputs and flows) and
prices 354
Table 8 4 Money values (inputs, outputs and flows) 355
Table 8 5 Social accounting matrix 360
Figure 8.2 Balance sheet for a Financial SAM 370
Figure 8.3 A CES hierarchy re: consumer demands 376
Figure 9.1 Steps in the CORSIM Wealth Module 409
Figure 9.2 Proportion of top wealth holders owning stock, by
three year intervals 410
Figure 9.3 Three dimensional synthetic depiction of residences,
workplaces (center), and work types (bottom) in
Dortmund 414
Figure 10.1 New Channel I 421
Figure 10.2 New Channel II 426
Figure 10.3 New Channel III 435
Figure 10.4 New Channel IV U3
Table 10 1 A partial list of quantitative conflict management
, 446
procedures
xviii Methods of Interregional and Regional Analysis
Table 10 2 A small number of options, participants can rank
outcomes in order of preference, need to focus on
improvements, can focus on outcomes 447
Table 10 3 The Saaty Scale and its description 449
Figure 10.5 A hierarchy of benefits in a transportation problem 450
Figure 10.6 A hierarchy of costs in a transportation problem 450
Table 10 4 Pairwise comparisons of benefit classes 451
Table 10 5 Pairwise comparisons of specific economic benefits 452
Table 10 6 The calculation of total benefits for each proposal 453
Table 10 7 The calculation of total costs for each proposal 455
Table 10 8 The proposals benefit/cost ratios 455
Table 10A 1 Pairwise comparisons and relative weights tables 459
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| spelling | Methods of interregional and regional analysis Walter Isard ... Aldershot [u.a.] Ashgate 1998 XXIII, 490 S. graph. Darst. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Regional science studies series Regional economics Regionalism Industrial location Regionalforschung (DE-588)4177424-3 gnd rswk-swf Regionalanalyse (DE-588)4299244-8 gnd rswk-swf (DE-588)4151278-9 Einführung gnd-content Regionalforschung (DE-588)4177424-3 s DE-604 Regionalanalyse (DE-588)4299244-8 s Isard, Walter 1919-2010 Sonstige (DE-588)119008491 oth HBZ Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=008798203&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
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| subject_GND | (DE-588)4177424-3 (DE-588)4299244-8 (DE-588)4151278-9 |
| title | Methods of interregional and regional analysis |
| title_auth | Methods of interregional and regional analysis |
| title_exact_search | Methods of interregional and regional analysis |
| title_full | Methods of interregional and regional analysis Walter Isard ... |
| title_fullStr | Methods of interregional and regional analysis Walter Isard ... |
| title_full_unstemmed | Methods of interregional and regional analysis Walter Isard ... |
| title_short | Methods of interregional and regional analysis |
| title_sort | methods of interregional and regional analysis |
| topic | Regional economics Regionalism Industrial location Regionalforschung (DE-588)4177424-3 gnd Regionalanalyse (DE-588)4299244-8 gnd |
| topic_facet | Regional economics Regionalism Industrial location Regionalforschung Regionalanalyse Einführung |
| url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=008798203&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT isardwalter methodsofinterregionalandregionalanalysis |