The macroeconomics of self-fulfilling prophecies:
Gespeichert in:
| 1. Verfasser: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Buch |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Cambridge, Mass. [u.a.]
MIT Press
1999
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| Ausgabe: | 2. ed. |
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Beschreibung: | XVI, 300 S. graph. Darst. |
| ISBN: | 0262062038 |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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| adam_text | THE MACROECONOMICS OF SELF-FULFILLING PROPHECIES SECOND EDITION ROGER E.
A. FARMER THE MIT PRESS CAMBRIDGE, MASSACHUSETTS LONDON, ENGLAND
CONTENTS PREFACE TO SECOND EDITION XV 1 INTRODUCTION 1 1.1 EQUILIBRIUM
THEORY AS AN APPROACH TO MACROECONOMICS 1 1.2 PREVIEW OF THE ARGUMENT 3
1.3 EXAMPLE 4 1.3.1 REGULAR CASE 6 1.3.2 IRREGULAR CASE 7 1.4 CONCLUDING
REMARKS 9 1.5 PROBLEMS 9 2 LINEAR DIFFERENCE EQUATIONS: PART 1 11 2. 1
INTRODUCTION 11 2.2 LINEARIZING NONLINEAR MODELS 11 2.2.1 NONLINEAR
MODELS TO REPRESENT ECONOMIES 11 2.2.2 LINEARIZING AUTONOMOUS EQUATIONS
12 2.2.3 LINEARIZING NONAUTONOMOUS EQUATIONS 13 2.2.4 EXAMPLE OF
LINEARIZATION: THE SOLOW MODEL 14 2.3 SOLVING FIRST-ORDER LINEAR MODELS
17 2.3.1 FIRST-ORDER DETERMINISTIC EQUATIONS 18 2.3.2 FIRST-ORDER
STOCHASTIC EQUATIONS 18 2.3.3 SEQUENCES OF PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS 21
2.3.4 THE SOLOW MODEL REVISITED 22 2.4 SOLVING HIGHER-ORDER LINEAR
MODELS 25 2.4.1 EIGENVALUES AND EIGENVECTORS 27 2.4.2 HIGHER-ORDER
DETERMINISTIC EQUATIONS 29 2.4.3 DIAGONALIZING SYSTEMS OF NQNSTOCHASTIC
EQUATIONS 32 2.4.4 STOCHASTIC VECTOR DIFFERENCE EQUATIONS 33 2.4.5
EXAMPLE OF A VECTOR SYSTEM*THE BEHAVIOR OF THE SOLOW RESIDUAL 34 2.5
CONCLUDING REMARKS 38 2.6 PROBLEMS 39 3 LINEAR DIFFERENCE EQUATIONS:
PART 2 41 3.1 INTRODUCTION 41 3.2 LINEAR RATIONAL EXPECTATIONS MODELS 42
VIII CONTENTS 3.2.1 OPTIMAL GROWTH AS AN ILLUSTRATION OF A RATIONAL
EXPECTATIONS MODEL 44 3.3 SOLVING LINEAR RATIONAL EXPECTATIONS MODELS 47
3.3.1 DIFFERENT TYPES OF RATIONAL EXPECTATIONS MODELS 47 3.3.2 CASE OF A
REGULAR EQUILIBRIUM 49 3.3.3 SOLVING A RATIONAL EXPECTATIONS MODEL BY
ITERATING INTO THE FUTURE 50 3.3.4 COMPLETING THE SOLUTION BY SOLVING
EQUATIONS THAT DEPEND ON THE PAST 51 3.3.5 OPTIMAL GROWTH MODEL AND THE
SOLOW MODEL COMPARED 52 3.4 CROSS-EQUATION RESTRICTIONS AND THE LUCAS
CRITIQUE 53 3.4.1 DYNAMICS OF A MONETARY MODEL*A SECOND EXAMPLE 53 3.4.2
SOLVING THE EXAMPLE EXPLICITLY 55 3.4.3 LUCAS CRITIQUE AND THE
CROSS-EQUATION RESTRICTIONS 57 3.4.4 IRREGULAR SOLUTIONS 57 3.5
CONCLUDING REMARKS 58 3.6 PROBLEMS 59 4 GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM THEORY UNDER
CERTAINTY 63 4.1 INTRODUCTION 63 4.2 IDEA OF EQUILIBRIUM 67 4.3 THEORY
OF CONSUMER CHOICE 68 4.3.1 ASSUMPTIONS ABOUT PREFERENCES 68 4.3.2
CONSUMER S PROBLEM 70 4.4 EXCESS DEMAND FUNCTIONS 71 4.4.1 INDIVIDUAL
EXCESS DEMAND FUNCTIONS 71 4.4.2 AGGREGATE EXCESS DEMAND FUNCTIONS 72
4.5 EQUILIBRIA AND THEIR PROPERTIES 74 4.5.1 SOME DEFINITIONS AND
DEVELOPMENT OF NOTATION 75 4.5.2 GEOMETRY OF EQUILIBRIUM / 76 4.5.3
DEBREU-SONNENSCHEIN-MANTEL THEOREM 78 4.6 GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM THEORY AND
EFFICIENT ALLOCATIONS OF RESOURCES 79 CONTENTS 4.6.1 FIRST WELFARE
THEOREM 79 4.6.2 SECOND WELFARE THEOREM 80 4.7 CONCLUDING REMARKS 82 4.8
PROBLEMS 83 5 INFINITE HORIZON ECONOMIES AND REPRESENTATIVE AGENTS 85
5.1 INTRODUCTION 85 5.2 REPRESENTATIVE AGENT ECONOMY 88 5.2.1
ASSUMPTIONS ABOUT STRUCTURE 88 5.2.2 ASSUMPTIONS ABOUT PREFERENCES 90
5.2.3 BUDGET SETS AND MARKET STRUCTURE 92 5.2.4 CONSUMER S PROBLEM 94
5.3 COMPETITIVE EQUILIBRIUM AND THE PLANNER S PROBLEM 95 5.3.1
COMPETITIVE EQUILIBRIUM 95 5.3.2 PLANNER S PROBLEM 96 5.4 USING THE
REPRESENTATIVE AGENT MODEL TO EXPLAIN TIME SERIES DATA 99 5.4.1 REMOVING
THE TREND FROM DATA 99 5.4.2 SIMPLE RBC MODEL AND ITS IMPLICATIONS 102
5.4.3 REGRESSION ON A COMMON TREND: WHAT THE MODEL TELLS US TO DO 103
5.4.4 HODRICK-PRESCOTT FILTER: WHAT RBC ECONOMISTS ACTUALLY DO 106 5.4.5
CALIBRATION AND SUMMARY STATISTICS: HOW RBC THEORISTS MEASURE SUCCESS
108 5.5 CONCLUDING REMARKS 109 5.6 APPENDIX: TRANSVERSALITY CONDITION
110 5.7 PROBLEMS 112 6 INFINITE HORIZON ECONOMIES AND OVERLAPPING
GENERATIONS 11 5 6.1 INTRODUCTION 115 6.2 STRUCTURE OF THE OVERLAPPING
GENERATIONS ECONOMY 116 6.3 CONSUMER S PROBLEM 117 6.3.1 PROBLEM OF A
YOUNG AGENT 117 6.3.2 PROBLEM OF AN OLD AGENT 118 CONTENTS 6.4 EXAMPLE
OF A PARETO INFERIOR EQUILIBRIUM 119 6.4.1 CASE OF EARLY ENDOWMENTS 119
6.4.2 CASE OF LATE ENDOWMENTS 120 6.5 INSTITUTIONS THAT MAY IMPROVE
ALLOCATIONS 120 6.6 SET OF EQUILIBRIA IN THE OVERLAPPING GENERATIONS
MODEL 122 6.6.1 EQUILIBRIA AS SOLUTIONS TO DIFFERENCE EQUATIONS 122
6.6.2 STATIONARY EQUILIBRIA 124 6.6.3 CLASSIFYING ECONOMIES BY TYPES OF
STATIONARY EQUILIBRIA 125 6.6.4 DYNAMIC EQUILIBRIA 127 6.7 SOME
QUESTIONS ABOUT THE MODEL 128 6.7.1 WHY DOES THE FIRST WELFARE THEOREM
BREAK DOWN? 129 6.7.2 WHEN DOES INDETERMINACY OCCUR? 129 6.7.3 WHEN ARE
EQUILIBRIA EFFICIENT? 130 6.8 MORE GENERAL EXAMPLES OF OVERLAPPING
GENERATIONS ECONOMIES 132 6.8.1 KEHOE-LEVINE APPROACH 134 6.8.2
INDETERMINACY IN THE OG MODEL 135 6.9 CONCLUDING REMARKS 135 6.10
PROBLEMS 136 7 INFINITE HORIZON ECONOMIES WITH NONCONVEXITIES 141 7.1
INTRODUCTION 141 7.2 GROWTH MODEL WITH INCREASING RETURNS 142 7.2.1
EQUATIONS THAT CHARACTERIZE AN EQUILIBRIUM 142 7.2.2 BEHAVIOR OF THE
REPRESENTATIVE FAMILY 143 7.2.3 INTERPRETATION 1: EXTERNALITIES IN
PRODUCTION 144 7.2.4 INTERPRETATION 2: MONOPOLISTIC COMPETITION 145 7.3
EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE FOR INCREASING RETURNS 149 7.4 EQUILIBRIA IN THE
INCREASING RETURNS ECONOMY 152 7.4.1 FINDING A BALANCED GROWTH PATH 152
7.4.2 APPROXIMATE LINEAR MODEL 154 7.5 ^COMPARING THE THEORETICAL
PROPERTIES OF RA AND IR MODELS 155 7.5.1 WHY DOES THE IR MODEL DISPLAY
DIFFERENT DYNAMICS? 155 CONTENTS XI 7.5.2 RA MODEL: AN EXAMPLE OF A
REGULAR EQUILIBRIUM 157 7.5.3 IR MODEL: AN EXAMPLE OF AN IRREGULAR
EQUILIBRIUM 158 7.6 COMPARING SOME EMPIRICAL PREDICTIONS OF RA AND IR
MODELS 160 7.6.1 CONTEMPORANEOUS STATISTICS 160 7.6.2 DYNAMIC
RESPONSES*THE IMPULSE RESPONSE FUNCTION 163 164 166 171 171 171 173 173
174 175 176 178 180 180 181 183 8.4.4 INDETERMINACY AND THE TWO-SECTOR
MODEL 185 8.4.5 PROCYCLICAL CONSUMPTION 185 8.4.6 CALIBRATED TWO-SECTOR
MODEL 187 8.5 CONCLUDING REMARKS 187 8.6 PROBLEMS 188 9 GENERAL
EQUILIBRIUM THEORY AND UNCERTAINTY 191 9.1 INTRODUCTION 191 9.2 DEBREU S
FORMULATION OF THE PROBLEM 191 9.2.1 PREFERENCES UNDER UNCERTAINTY 191
9.2.2 BUDGET CONSTRAINTS 196 9.3 ARROW S FORMULATION OF THE PROBLEM 197
9.3.1 TRADE IN FINANCIAL SECURITIES 197 7.7 7.8 8 8.1 8.2 8.3 8.4
CONCLUDING REMARKS PROBLEMS SOME RECENT DEVELOPMENTS INTRODUCTION NEW
EVIDENCE AGAINST BIG INCREASING RETURNS NONSEPARABLE PREFERENCES 8.3.1
8.3.2 8.3.3 8.3.4 8.3.5 HOUSEHOLDS TECHNOLOGY SOLVING THE CONSUMER S
PROBLEM EQUATIONS THAT CHARACTERIZE EQUILIBRIUM EXAMPLE TWO-SECTOR
MODELS 8.4.1 8.4.2 8.4.3 TECHNOLOGY PRODUCTION POSSIBILITIES FRONTIER
BEHAVIOR OF THE REPRESENTATIVE FAMILY XII CONTENTS 9.3.2 COMPLETE AND
INCOMPLETE MARKETS 199 9.3.3 MULTIPLE BUDGET CONSTRAINTS AND INCOMPLETE
MARKETS 201 9.4 INFINITE HORIZON ECONOMIES WITH UNCERTAINTY 202 9.4.1
ASSET PRICING IN LUCAS TREE ECONOMIES 202 9.4.2 DIGRESSION ON MARKET
STRUCTURE 204 9.4.3 ASSET PRICING IN THE REPRESENTATIVE AGENT CASE 206
9.5 CONCLUDING REMARKS 208 9.6 PROBLEMS 209 10 SUNSPOTS 211 10.1
INTRODUCTION 211 10.2 DO SUNSPOTS MATTER? 212 10.2.1 COMPLETE AND
INCOMPLETE PARTICIPATION 212 10.2.2 SETTING UP THE ENVIRONMENT 213
10.2.3 SUNSPOT THEOREMS 215 10.3 EXAMPLE OF A MACROECONOMIC MODEL WHERE
SUNSPOTS MATTER 217 10.3.1 DESCRIPTION OF THE ENVIRONMENT 217 10.3.2 SET
OF EQUILIBRIA 220 10.3.3 SUPPORTING SUNSPOT EQUILIBRIA WITH BELIEFS 223
10.3.4 SUNSPOTS, BUBBLES, AND REGULAR EQUILIBRIA 226 10.4 CONCLUDING
REMARKS 228 10.5 PROBLEMS 229 11 MACROECONOMIC MODELS OF MONEY 231 11.1
INTRODUCTION 231 11.1.1 RATE OF RETURN DOMINANCE AND LEGAL RESTRICTIONS
THEORY 231 11.1.2 SOME QUICK FIXES TO RATE OF RETURN DOMINANCE 232 1.1.2
MODELS OF MONEY 233 11.2.1 BUDGET SETS: THE OPPORTUNITY COST OF HOLDING
MONEY 234 11.2.2 OBJECTIVE FUNCTIONS: CASH IN ADVANCE AND ITS
RELATIONSHIP TO MONEY IN THE UTILITY FUNCTION 237 CONTENTS XIII 11.3
DYNAMICS OF A CASH-IN-ADVANCE MODEL 239 11.3.1 DIFFERENT TYPES OF
MONETARY POLICY 239 11.3.2 GOVERNMENT S BUDGET CONSTRAINTS 240 11.3.3
TYPOLOGY OF POLICY REGIMES 242 11.4 EQUILIBRIUM UNDER INTEREST RATE
CONTROL 243 11.4.1 POLICY MIX A: FIXED INTEREST RATES AND ZERO DEBT 243
11.4.2 EQUILIBRIUM OF THE REAL ECONOMY UNDER INTEREST RATE CONTROL 246
11.4.3 EQUILIBRIUM RATES OF CHANGE OF NOMINAL VARIABLES UNDER INTEREST
RATE CONTROL 247 11.4.4 INDETERMINACY OF THE NOMINAL SCALE OF THE
ECONOMY UNDER INTEREST RATE CONTROL 248 11.4.5 ECONOMICS OF
INDETERMINACY UNDER INTEREST RATE CONTROL 249 11.5 EQUILIBRIUM UNDER A
FIXED MONEY GROWTH RATE RULE 250 11.5.1 POLICY MIX B: FIXED MONEY GROWTH
RATE AND ZERO DEBT 251 11.5.2 EQUILIBRIUM OF THE REAL ECONOMY WITH A
FIXED MONEY GROWTH RATE 251 11.5.3 EXAMPLE OF INDETERMINATE EQUILIBRIA
IN A SIMPLE ECONOMY 252 11.6 CONCLUDING REMARKS 254 11.7 PROBLEMS 255 12
APPLIED MONETARY THEORY 259 12.1 INTRODUCTION 259 12.2 MONETARY FACTS:
WHAT THERE IS TO EXPLAIN 260 12.3 SIMPLE MONETARY MODEL: USING
EQUILIBRIUM THEORY TO EXPLAIN THE FACTS 263 12.3.1 MODELING THE EXCHANGE
PROCESS 265 12.3.2 FORMALIZING THE EXCHANGE TECHNOLOGY 266 12.3.3 HOW TO
DESCRIBE AN EQUILIBRIUM 267 12.4 HOW DO EQUILIBRIA BEHAVE? 270 12.4.1
CHOOSING FUNCTIONAL FORMS 270 12.4.2 WHAT DO EQUILIBRIA LOOK LIKE? 271
XIV CONTENTS 12.4.3 ALTERNATIVE VIEWS OF THE MONEY-INCOME CORRELATION?
275 12.4.4 WHAT DOES ALL OF THIS HAVE TO DO WITH STICKY PRICES? 276 12.5
CONCLUDING REMARKS 277 12.6 PROBLEMS 278 NOTES 281 BIBLIOGRAPHY 289
INDEX 295
|
| any_adam_object | 1 |
| author | Farmer, Roger E. A. 1955- |
| author_GND | (DE-588)121703444 |
| author_facet | Farmer, Roger E. A. 1955- |
| author_role | aut |
| author_sort | Farmer, Roger E. A. 1955- |
| author_variant | r e a f rea reaf |
| building | Verbundindex |
| bvnumber | BV012872432 |
| callnumber-first | H - Social Science |
| callnumber-label | HB172 |
| callnumber-raw | HB172.5.F37 1999 |
| callnumber-search | HB172.5.F37 1999 |
| callnumber-sort | HB 3172.5 F37 41999 |
| callnumber-subject | HB - Economic Theory and Demography |
| classification_rvk | QC 140 QC 300 |
| ctrlnum | (OCoLC)40230717 (DE-599)BVBBV012872432 |
| dewey-full | 33921 339 |
| dewey-hundreds | 300 - Social sciences |
| dewey-ones | 339 - Macroeconomics and related topics |
| dewey-raw | 339 21 339 |
| dewey-search | 339 21 339 |
| dewey-sort | 3339 221 |
| dewey-tens | 330 - Economics |
| discipline | Wirtschaftswissenschaften |
| edition | 2. ed. |
| format | Book |
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| id | DE-604.BV012872432 |
| illustrated | Illustrated |
| indexdate | 2024-07-09T18:35:14Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 0262062038 |
| language | English |
| oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-008761122 |
| oclc_num | 40230717 |
| open_access_boolean | |
| owner | DE-703 DE-945 DE-573 DE-384 DE-20 DE-19 DE-BY-UBM DE-706 DE-521 DE-634 DE-11 DE-188 |
| owner_facet | DE-703 DE-945 DE-573 DE-384 DE-20 DE-19 DE-BY-UBM DE-706 DE-521 DE-634 DE-11 DE-188 |
| physical | XVI, 300 S. graph. Darst. |
| publishDate | 1999 |
| publishDateSearch | 1999 |
| publishDateSort | 1999 |
| publisher | MIT Press |
| record_format | marc |
| spelling | Farmer, Roger E. A. 1955- Verfasser (DE-588)121703444 aut The macroeconomics of self-fulfilling prophecies Roger E. A. Farmer 2. ed. Cambridge, Mass. [u.a.] MIT Press 1999 XVI, 300 S. graph. Darst. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Mathematisches Modell Macroeconomics -- Mathematical models Equilibrium (Economics) -- Mathematical models Allgemeines Gleichgewichtsmodell (DE-588)4210294-7 gnd rswk-swf Gleichgewicht (DE-588)4121372-5 gnd rswk-swf Makroökonomisches Modell (DE-588)4074486-3 gnd rswk-swf Ökonometrie (DE-588)4132280-0 gnd rswk-swf Makroökonomie (DE-588)4037174-8 gnd rswk-swf Self-fulfilling Prophecy (DE-588)4180912-9 gnd rswk-swf Rationale Erwartung (DE-588)4121553-9 gnd rswk-swf Mathematisches Modell (DE-588)4114528-8 gnd rswk-swf Self-fulfilling Prophecy (DE-588)4180912-9 s Allgemeines Gleichgewichtsmodell (DE-588)4210294-7 s DE-604 Makroökonomie (DE-588)4037174-8 s Makroökonomisches Modell (DE-588)4074486-3 s Gleichgewicht (DE-588)4121372-5 s Ökonometrie (DE-588)4132280-0 s Mathematisches Modell (DE-588)4114528-8 s DE-188 Rationale Erwartung (DE-588)4121553-9 s HEBIS Datenaustausch Darmstadt application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=008761122&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Farmer, Roger E. A. 1955- The macroeconomics of self-fulfilling prophecies Mathematisches Modell Macroeconomics -- Mathematical models Equilibrium (Economics) -- Mathematical models Allgemeines Gleichgewichtsmodell (DE-588)4210294-7 gnd Gleichgewicht (DE-588)4121372-5 gnd Makroökonomisches Modell (DE-588)4074486-3 gnd Ökonometrie (DE-588)4132280-0 gnd Makroökonomie (DE-588)4037174-8 gnd Self-fulfilling Prophecy (DE-588)4180912-9 gnd Rationale Erwartung (DE-588)4121553-9 gnd Mathematisches Modell (DE-588)4114528-8 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4210294-7 (DE-588)4121372-5 (DE-588)4074486-3 (DE-588)4132280-0 (DE-588)4037174-8 (DE-588)4180912-9 (DE-588)4121553-9 (DE-588)4114528-8 |
| title | The macroeconomics of self-fulfilling prophecies |
| title_auth | The macroeconomics of self-fulfilling prophecies |
| title_exact_search | The macroeconomics of self-fulfilling prophecies |
| title_full | The macroeconomics of self-fulfilling prophecies Roger E. A. Farmer |
| title_fullStr | The macroeconomics of self-fulfilling prophecies Roger E. A. Farmer |
| title_full_unstemmed | The macroeconomics of self-fulfilling prophecies Roger E. A. Farmer |
| title_short | The macroeconomics of self-fulfilling prophecies |
| title_sort | the macroeconomics of self fulfilling prophecies |
| topic | Mathematisches Modell Macroeconomics -- Mathematical models Equilibrium (Economics) -- Mathematical models Allgemeines Gleichgewichtsmodell (DE-588)4210294-7 gnd Gleichgewicht (DE-588)4121372-5 gnd Makroökonomisches Modell (DE-588)4074486-3 gnd Ökonometrie (DE-588)4132280-0 gnd Makroökonomie (DE-588)4037174-8 gnd Self-fulfilling Prophecy (DE-588)4180912-9 gnd Rationale Erwartung (DE-588)4121553-9 gnd Mathematisches Modell (DE-588)4114528-8 gnd |
| topic_facet | Mathematisches Modell Macroeconomics -- Mathematical models Equilibrium (Economics) -- Mathematical models Allgemeines Gleichgewichtsmodell Gleichgewicht Makroökonomisches Modell Ökonometrie Makroökonomie Self-fulfilling Prophecy Rationale Erwartung |
| url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=008761122&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
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