Public opinion in America: moods, cycles, and swings
Gespeichert in:
| 1. Verfasser: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Buch |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Boulder [u.a.]
Westview Press
1999
|
| Ausgabe: | 2. ed. |
| Schriftenreihe: | Transforming American politics
|
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Beschreibung: | XXVI, 164 S. graph. Darst. |
| ISBN: | 0813366798 0813368901 |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
| _version_ | 1804127469548077056 |
|---|---|
| adam_text | Titel: Public opinion in America
Autor: Stimson, James A.
Jahr: 1999
Contents
List of Tables and Figures xi
Preface to the Second Edition xvii
Preface to the First Edition: An Unfinished Essay? xix
Acknowledgments to the First Edition xxv
1 PUBLIC OPINION? 1
On Politics at the Margin, 3
On Public Opinion Leadership, 9
On the Plan of the Essay, 16
Notes, 17
2 THE CONCEPT OF POLICY MOOD 19
The Dynamics of Public Policy Preference: A Model of
Public Opinion, 20
Issue Dynamics: Trends, Cycles, Stationarity? 26
Notes, 35
3 DEVELOPING A MEASURE OF MOOD 37
The Survey Marginals Data Base, 37
The Conundrum, 47
A Regression Model for Measuring Mood, 55
An Algorithm for Estimating Mood, 60
Notes, 63
4 THE COMPONENTS OF MOOD 67
Estimating Policy Mood: A Search for Political Eras, 68
Political Eras? 69
The Scale of Attitude Change, 73
Mood and Self-Identification, 76
The Policy Components of Mood, 77
Notes, 93
x Contents
5 AN ELECTORAL CONNECTION? 97
Public Opinion, Elections, Outcomes, 98
Policy Mood and Partisanship, 99
Presidential Elections, 100
Congressional Elections, 109
Mood and Mandates, 112
Notes, 117
6 REFLECTIONS ON THE PRESENT AND
FUTURE OF AMERICAN POLITICS 121
A Model of Opinion Response, 121
On Revolutions, Contracts, and Normal Politics:
Public Opinion in the 1990s, 123
The Future, 128
Notes, 130
Appendix 1: An Algorithm for Estimating Mood 133
Appendix 2: Selected Data Series 139
Appendix 3: Selected Domestic Policy Survey Questions 143
References 151
Index 157
Tables and Figures
Tables
3.1 Correlations Between GSS Spending Items 41
3.2 Goodness of Fit for Regression Estimation of Mood 57
4.1a Correlations of Issue Series with Estimated Mood:
First Dimension 71
4.1b Correlations of Issue Series with Estimated Mood:
Second Dimension 72
4.2 Nine Independent Policy Domains: Factor Loadings with
Varimax Rotation 87
5.1 Democratic Percentage of the Two-Party
Presidential Vote, 1956-1996 102
5.2 Democratic Percentage of the Two-Party
Presidential Vote: State by State, 1956-1996 105
5.3 Democratic Percentage of the Two-Party Presidential
Vote in the States: LSDV and GLSE Models 107
5.4 Elections for the House of Representatives:
Votes and Seats 110
5.5 Elections for the U.S. Senate: Democratic Seats 112
A.I Alternative Estimators of Mood 139
A.2 Five Welfare State Policy Estimates 140
A.3 Five Policv Estimates 141
Figures
2.1 A Conceptual Scheme for Policy Choice in a Democracy 22
2.2 A Hypothetical Picture of Policy and Public Acquiescence
over Time 24
2-3 Doing More on Health: An Illustration of Stationary and
Nonstationary Attitude Series 30
xii Tables and Figures
3.1a Liberalism for Six GSS Spending Series:
Raw Liberalism Index 41
3.1b Liberalism for Six GSS Spending Series:
Series Adjusted to a Common Mean 42
3.1c Liberalism for Six GSS Spending Series:
Mean and Variance Standardized 43
3.1d Liberalism for Six GSS Spending Series: Combined,
with Plus and Minus One Standard Deviation Bounds 43
3.2a Five Trendex Series: Liberalism Index 45
3.2b Five Trendex Series: Mean and Variance Standardized 45
3.2c Five Trendex Series: Combined, with Plus and
Minus One Standard Deviation Bounds 46
3.3 GSS and Trendex Combined, 1968-1996 47
3.4 Domestic Policy Liberalism: Standardized Measures of
All Domestic Policy Survey Marginals 52
3.5 Self-Identified Liberalism and Conservatism Measures
on a Standard Scale 53
3.6 Domestic Policy Preference Marginals on a
Standard Scale 54
3.7 Domestic Policy Preference Marginals:
Military Spending Items Deleted 54
3.8 Preferences on Military Spending 55
3.9 Dummy Variable Regressions as Estimates of Mood
for Domestic Policy 58
3.10a Three Example Series, 1975-1996 61
3.10b Three Example Series: Gun Control and Environment
Standardized by 1996 Values 62
3.10c Three Series in Standard Metric and Their
Estimated Mean 63
4.1a Estimated Policy Mood, 1956-1996:
Original and Smoothed 68
4.1b Two Estimation Techniques Compared 73
4.2 Doing More for Education: Trendex Series and
Hypothetical Projections, 1956-1996 74
4.3 Policy Mood, the Second Dimension of Mood, and
Self-Identified Liberalism and Conservatism, 1961-1996 77
4.4a Five Components of the Welfare State on a
Common Scale 80
4.4b Five Components of the Welfare State, with
Artificial Vertical Offsets 81
4.5a Size of Government, Crime, Military Spending, and
Environmental Protection on a Common Scale 83
Tables and Figures xiii
4.5b Size of Government, Crime, Military Spending, and
Environmental Protection, with Artificial Vertical Offsets 84
4.6 A Scree (Elbow) Test of Dimensional Structure 86
4.7 Two Dimensions of Mood and Two Principal Component
Estimates 88
4.8 Mood and Abortion Attitudes 89
4.9 Two Kinds of Issues: Do More/Do Less Priorities vs.
Value Trade-offs 92
5.1 Mood and Macropartisanship 100
5.2 Democratic Percentage of the Two-Party Popular Vote in
Presidential Elections and Policy Mood 101
5.3 Residual Presidential Vote and Mood 108
5.4 Liberal Moods and Democratic Wins in the U.S. Senate 111
5.5 Five Components of Electoral Mandates for 1964, 1980,
and 1994 115
6.1 Mood in the Clinton First Term 126
|
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| discipline | Soziologie Politologie |
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| geographic_facet | États-Unis - Conditions sociales - 1960-1980 États-Unis - Conditions sociales - 1980-... États-Unis - Politique et gouvernement - 1945-1989 USA United States Politics and government 1945-1989 Public opinion United States Social conditions 1960-1980 Public opinion United States Social conditions 1980- Public opinion |
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| indexdate | 2024-07-09T18:33:51Z |
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| language | English |
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| series2 | Transforming American politics |
| spelling | Stimson, James A. 1943- Verfasser (DE-588)132568993 aut Public opinion in America moods, cycles, and swings James A. Stimson 2. ed. Boulder [u.a.] Westview Press 1999 XXVI, 164 S. graph. Darst. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Transforming American politics Opinion publique - États-Unis - 20e siècle ram Politieke beïnvloeding gtt Publieke opinie gtt Politik Public opinion United States Öffentliche Meinung (DE-588)4043152-6 gnd rswk-swf États-Unis - Conditions sociales - 1960-1980 ram États-Unis - Conditions sociales - 1980-... ram États-Unis - Politique et gouvernement - 1945-1989 ram USA United States Politics and government 1945-1989 Public opinion United States Social conditions 1960-1980 Public opinion United States Social conditions 1980- Public opinion USA (DE-588)4078704-7 gnd rswk-swf USA (DE-588)4078704-7 g Öffentliche Meinung (DE-588)4043152-6 s DE-604 HBZ Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=008704003&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Stimson, James A. 1943- Public opinion in America moods, cycles, and swings Opinion publique - États-Unis - 20e siècle ram Politieke beïnvloeding gtt Publieke opinie gtt Politik Public opinion United States Öffentliche Meinung (DE-588)4043152-6 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4043152-6 (DE-588)4078704-7 |
| title | Public opinion in America moods, cycles, and swings |
| title_auth | Public opinion in America moods, cycles, and swings |
| title_exact_search | Public opinion in America moods, cycles, and swings |
| title_full | Public opinion in America moods, cycles, and swings James A. Stimson |
| title_fullStr | Public opinion in America moods, cycles, and swings James A. Stimson |
| title_full_unstemmed | Public opinion in America moods, cycles, and swings James A. Stimson |
| title_short | Public opinion in America |
| title_sort | public opinion in america moods cycles and swings |
| title_sub | moods, cycles, and swings |
| topic | Opinion publique - États-Unis - 20e siècle ram Politieke beïnvloeding gtt Publieke opinie gtt Politik Public opinion United States Öffentliche Meinung (DE-588)4043152-6 gnd |
| topic_facet | Opinion publique - États-Unis - 20e siècle Politieke beïnvloeding Publieke opinie Politik Public opinion United States Öffentliche Meinung États-Unis - Conditions sociales - 1960-1980 États-Unis - Conditions sociales - 1980-... États-Unis - Politique et gouvernement - 1945-1989 USA United States Politics and government 1945-1989 Public opinion United States Social conditions 1960-1980 Public opinion United States Social conditions 1980- Public opinion |
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