Science and susceptibility: a historical comparative analysis of the years of cholera and the years of climate change in Hamburg
Gespeichert in:
| 1. Verfasser: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Buch |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Geesthacht
GKSS-Forschungszentrum Geesthacht
1998
|
| Ausgabe: | Als Ms. vervielfältigt |
| Schriftenreihe: | GKSS-Forschungszentrum <Geesthacht>: GKSS
1998,E,61 |
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Beschreibung: | Zugl.: Bielefeld, Univ., Diss., 1998. - Zsfassung in dt. Sprache |
| Beschreibung: | VII, 178 S. graph. Darst. |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
| _version_ | 1804127332097589248 |
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| adam_text | Table of Contents
CHAPTER ONE: INTRODUCTION 1
CHAPTER TWO: HISTORICAL HAMBURG AND AN ENVIRONMENTAL ISSUE 8
Introduction 8
The General Context Hamburg Visited 9
Early Transportation problems And Contextual Pollution 10
Social Practices, Nutrition And pollution 11
Class Structure and local Pollution 13
Pollution And Profit 16
CHAPTER THREE: MIDDLE CLASS IDEOLOGY AND THE GREAT FIRE 19
The Context 19
Ideology And the Rise Of Expertise 2 0
The Sewage System 21
Soot And Smoke 28
CHAPTER FOUR: THE PROBLEMS EXASPERATED 32
Water Supply And Scientific Debate 3 2
The Politics Of Change 3 5
The Consequences Of Misguided Science 36
Misguided Social Perceptions 3 8
The Legacy Of Times Of Neglect 40
Unexpected Responses 41
CHAPTER FIVE: CONTEMPORARY HAMBURG AND AN ENVIRONMENTAL ISSUE 4 5
Introduction 45
The General Context: Growth Revisited 4 5
transportation problems and pollution revisited 47
Social Practices, Nutrition And Pollution Revisited 6 2
Class Structure and Pollution 6 8
Pollution And Profit 71
CHAPTER SIX: ENVIRONMENTAL IDEOLOGY AND THE GREAT FIRE 72
introduction 72
Ancient Theory 72
medieval theory 75
The Early Modern Era 76
CHAPTER SEVEN: SETTING THE STAGE 90
Introduction 90
The Scientific Context 9 0
Risk And Hazard 9 6
Scientific Perspectives Regarding The Risk And Hazard Of Global Warming 9 7
abstracting typifications of scientific perspectives 106
The Climate Scientist: Convinced 107
The Climate Scientist: Cautious 112
The Climate Scientist: Skeptical 117
Extending The Perspective 120
CHAPTER EIGHT: THE PROACTIVE INTERFACE: HAMBURG AND ITS
SCIENTIFIC COMMUNITY 122
The Historical Interface 122
The contemporary interface: Results Of a Survey Of Climate Scientists 125
Sample Description 12 5
Locating The issue Of Global Warming 126
Measuring Climate 127
Assessing The Utility Of models 13 3
detection Versus Theory 13 9
the extension of climate science expertise to the public and political realms 142
Climate Scientists and The Transfer Of Knowledge 143
comparing the climate scientist of hamburg to broader germany 149
the scientist and advocacy 161
CHAPTER NINE: CONCLUSION 165
BIBLIOGRAPHY 169
List of Figures
Figure 1: Energy consumption (PJ) balance for selected contributors: Germany
1970 1995 47
Figure 2: Passenger transport mileage (1980 1995)(in billions of passenger km) in
Germany 48
Figure 3: Goods transportation (1980 1995 in billions of t km) 49
Figure 4: Emissions of greenhouse gases in Germany pursuant to IPCC data in Gg:
transport sector 49
Figure 5: Emissions of greenhouse gases in Germany pursuant to IPCC data in Gg:
industry sector 50
Figure 6: Rail use patterns Deutsche Bahn 1980 1995 51
Figure 7: CO2 Emission: transport 1990 1995 in millions of tonnes 52
Figure 8: Environment perceived as a problem 53
Figure 9: Seriousness of environment as a problem 54
Figure 10: Rating the environment 54
Figure 11: Rating climate change 5 5
Figure 12: Problem mentioned 55
Figure 13: Goods transport mileage (1980 1995) in Germany (in billions of t km) 58
Figure 14: Population emission rate characteristics* 59
Figure 15: Sectoral measures of the Lander 60
Figure 16: Reduction goal and number of sectoral measures of the Lander 60
Figure 17: Livestock in Germany (in 1000s; numbers counted in December) 63
Figure 18: Food consumption patterns 1960 1996 64
Figure 19: Relative production of CH4 and N20, 1990 1994 in Gg 65
Figure 20: Land use in Germany in 1993 66
Figure 21: Monthly expenditures on consumption: low end consumer group(l):
former federal territory(2) 68
Figure 22: Monthly expenditures on consumption: low end consumer group(l):
new states (2) 69
Figure 23: Monthly expenditures on consumption: middle consumer group (1):
former federal territory (2) 69
Figure 24: Monthly expenditures on consumption: middle consumer group(l):
new states 69
Figure 25: Monthly expenditures on consumption: high end consumer group(l)
former federal territory (2) 70
Figure 26: Monthly expenditures on consumption: high end consumer group(l)
new states 70
Figure 27: Perceptions of government contributions to environmental problems 86
Figure 28: Perceptions of individual contributions to environmental problems 87
Figure 29: Perceptions of industrial contributions to environmental problems 87
Figure 30: Resolving environmental problems: industry 87
Figure 31: Resolving environmental problems: individuals 88
Figure 32: Environmental problems: international affairs 88
Figure 33: Resolving environmental problems: International affairs 88
Figure 34: Resolving environmental problems: international aid 89
Figure 35: The most pressing issue facing humanity 126
Figure 36: Hydrodynamics 128
Figure 37: Radiation 129
Figure 38: Vapor in the atmosphere 129
Figure 39: Statistically significant differences on the assessment of the ability of
atmospheric climate models to deal with vapor in the atmosphere 130
Figure 40: The influence of clouds 131
Figure 41: Statistically significant differences on the assessment of the ability of
atmospheric climate models to deal with the influence of clouds 131
Figure 42: Precipitation 131
Figure 43: Atmospheric convection 132
Figure 44: Scale of acceptance of ability of models 133
Figure 45: Models accurately verify the conditions for which they are calibrated 133
Figure 46: Statistically significant differences: models verify conditions for which
they are calibrated 134
Figure 47: Climate models can accurately predict climatic conditions of the future 135
Figure 48: Statistically significant differences: models predict climatic conditions of the
future 135
Figure 49: Prediction of inter annual variability 136
Figure 50: Statistically significant differences: inter annual variability 137
Figure 51: Prediction of climatic variability of time scales of 10 years 137
Figure 52: Statistically significant differences: climatic variability of time scales of
10 years 138
Figure 53: Prediction of climatic variability of times scales of 100 years 138
Figure 54: Statistically significant differences: climatic variability of time scales of
100 years 139
Figure 55: Scale of acceptance of predictive ability of climate science 139
Figure 56: Certainty that global warming is underway 140
Figure 57: Certainty that global warming will occur in future without change in
human behaviour 141
Figure 58: Perceived need for immediacy of policy decision 141
Figure 59: Statistically significant differences: perception of immediacy for policy
decisions 141
Figure 60: Perceptions of understanding of the interaction between climate and society 143
Figure 61: Statistically significant difference: perception of interaction between
climate and society. 143
Figure 62: Scientists role in transforming a scientific issue into a social and public issue 144
Figure 63: Level of media contact 145
Figure 64: Agreement with the practice of presenting extremes in a public format 145
Figure 65: Statistically significant difference: science with a mission. 146
Figure 66: The public responsibility of scientists 147
Figure 67: Public get only part of the picture 147
Figure 68: Interaction with policy makers 148
Figure 69: Frequencies of responses: Global warming a process already underway. 150
Figure 70: Frequencies of responses: Assuming climate change will occur, it will
occur so suddenly that a lack of preparation could result in devastation
of some areas of the world. 151
Figure 71: Frequencies of responses: Climate models accurately verify the climatic
conditions for which they are calibrated 152
Figure 72: Frequencies of responses: Climate models can accurately predict climatic
conditions of the future. 153
Figure 73: Frequencies of responses: To what degree can we explicitly state the
detrimental effects that climate change will have on society? 154
Figure 74: Frequencies of responses: To what degree do you think climate change
will have a detrimental effect for the society in which you live? 155
Figure 75: Frequencies of responses: To what degree do you think that climate
change might have some positive effects for the society in which you live? 156
Figure 76: Frequencies of responses: Climate scientists are well attuned to the
sensitivity of human social systems to climate impacts. 157
Figure 77: Frequencies of responses: How much would you rate global climate change
as a problem that concerns the social and economic aspects of societies? 159
Figure 78: Frequencies of responses: How much do you think global climate change is
one of the leading problems facing humanity? 160
Figure 79: Frequencies of responses: To what degree do you think that the results of
scientific inquiry are instrumental in causing policy makers to redefine
their perception of a climate related issue? 161
Figure 80: Frequencies of responses: How much do you think climate scientists
should be involved in alerting the general public to the possible social
consequences arising from changes in the climate? 162
Figure 81: Frequencies of responses: Some scientists present the extremes of the climate
debate in a popular format with the claim that it is their task to alert the
public. How much do you agree with this practice? 163
Figure 82: Frequencies of responses: How much do you feel that scientists have played
a role in transforming the climate issue from being a scientific issue to a
social and public issue? 164
GKSS 98/E/61 SCIENCE AND SUSCEPTIBILITY - A HISTORICAL COMPARATIVE
ANALYSIS OF THE YEARS OF CHOLERA AND THE YEARS OF CLIMATE CHANGE IN
HAMBURG (VOM INSTITUT FUR WISSENSCHAFTS- UND TECHNIKFORSCHUNG DER
UNIVERSITAT BIELEFELD ALS DISSERTATION ANGENOMMENE ARBEIT) AUTHOR: D.
BRAY (INSTITUTE OF HYDROPHYSICS) GKSS-FORSCHUNGSZENTRUM GEESTHACHT GMBH
* GEESTHACHT * 1998 TABLE OF CONTENTS CHAPTER ONE: INTRODUCTION 1
CHAPTER TWO: HISTORICAL HAMBURG AND AN ENVIRONMENTAL ISSUE 8
INTRODUCTION 8 THE GENERAL CONTEXT - HAMBURG VISITED 9 EARLY
TRANSPORTATION PROBLEMS AND CONTEXTUAL POLLUTION 10 SOCIAL PRACTICES,
NUTRITION AND POLLUTION 11 CLASS STRUCTURE AND LOCAL POLLUTION 13
POLLUTION AND PROFIT 16 CHAPTER THREE: MIDDLE CLASS IDEOLOGY AND THE
GREAT FIRE 19 THE CONTEXT 19 IDEOLOGY AND THE RISE OF EXPERTISE 20 THE
SEWAGE SYSTEM 21 SOOT AND SMOKE 28 CHAPTER FOUR: THE PROBLEMS
EXASPERATED 32 WATER SUPPLY AND SCIENTIFIC DEBATE 3 2 THE POLITICS OF
CHANGE 3 5 THE CONSEQUENCES OF MISGUIDED SCIENCE 3 6 MISGUIDED SOCIAL
PERCEPTIONS 3 8 THE LEGACY OF TIMES OF NEGLECT 40 UNEXPECTED RESPONSES
41 CHAPTER FIVE: CONTEMPORARY HAMBURG AND AN ENVIRONMENTAL ISSUE 4 5
INTRODUCTION 45 THE GENERAL CONTEXT: GROWTH REVISITED 4 5 TRANSPORTATION
PROBLEMS AND POLLUTION REVISITED 47 SOCIAL PRACTICES, NUTRITION AND
POLLUTION REVISITED 6 2 CLASS STRUCTURE AND POLLUTION 6 8 POLLUTION AND
PROFIT 71 CHAPTER SIX: ENVIRONMENTAL IDEOLOGY AND THE GREAT FIRE 72
INTRODUCTION 72 ANCIENT THEORY 72 MEDIEVAL THEORY 75 THE EARLY MODERN
ERA 76 CHAPTER SEVEN: SETTING THE STAGE 90 INTRODUCTION 90 THE
SCIENTIFIC CONTEXT 9 0 RISK AND HAZARD 9 6 SCIENTIFIC PERSPECTIVES
REGARDING THE RISK AND HAZARD OF GLOBAL WARMING 9 7 ABSTRACTING
TYPIFICATIONS OF SCIENTIFIC PERSPECTIVES 106 THE CLIMATE SCIENTIST:
CONVINCED 107 THE CLIMATE SCIENTIST: CAUTIOUS 112 THE CLIMATE SCIENTIST:
SKEPTICAL 117 EXTENDING THE PERSPECTIVE 120 CHAPTER EIGHT: THE PROACTIVE
INTERFACE: HAMBURG AND ITS SCIENTIFIC COMMUNITY 122 THE HISTORICAL
INTERFACE 122 THE CONTEMPORARY INTERFACE: RESULTS OF A SURVEY OF CLIMATE
SCIENTISTS 125 SAMPLE DESCRIPTION 125 LOCATING THE ISSUE OF GLOBAL
WARMING 126 MEASURING CLIMATE 127 ASSESSING THE UTILITY OF MODELS 13 3
DETECTION VERSUS THEORY 139 THE EXTENSION OF CLIMATE SCIENCE EXPERTISE
TO THE PUBLIC AND POLITICAL REALMS 142 CLIMATE SCIENTISTS AND THE
TRANSFER OF KNOWLEDGE 143 COMPARING THE CLIMATE SCIENTIST OF HAMBURG TO
BROADER GERMANY 149 THE SCIENTIST AND ADVOCACY 161 CHAPTER NINE:
CONCLUSION 165 BIBLIOGRAPHY 169 IV
|
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| author | Bray, Dennis |
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| era | Geschichte 1830-1999 gnd Geschichte 1830-1910 gnd |
| era_facet | Geschichte 1830-1999 Geschichte 1830-1910 |
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| genre | (DE-588)4113937-9 Hochschulschrift gnd-content |
| genre_facet | Hochschulschrift |
| geographic | Hamburg (DE-588)4023118-5 gnd |
| geographic_facet | Hamburg |
| id | DE-604.BV012671939 |
| illustrated | Illustrated |
| indexdate | 2024-07-09T18:31:40Z |
| institution | BVB |
| language | English |
| oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-008611545 |
| oclc_num | 215028150 |
| open_access_boolean | |
| owner | DE-12 DE-210 DE-706 |
| owner_facet | DE-12 DE-210 DE-706 |
| physical | VII, 178 S. graph. Darst. |
| publishDate | 1998 |
| publishDateSearch | 1998 |
| publishDateSort | 1998 |
| publisher | GKSS-Forschungszentrum Geesthacht |
| record_format | marc |
| series | GKSS-Forschungszentrum <Geesthacht>: GKSS |
| series2 | GKSS-Forschungszentrum <Geesthacht>: GKSS |
| spelling | Bray, Dennis Verfasser aut Science and susceptibility a historical comparative analysis of the years of cholera and the years of climate change in Hamburg author: D. Bray GKSS 98 E 61 Als Ms. vervielfältigt Geesthacht GKSS-Forschungszentrum Geesthacht 1998 VII, 178 S. graph. Darst. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier GKSS-Forschungszentrum <Geesthacht>: GKSS 1998,E,61 Zugl.: Bielefeld, Univ., Diss., 1998. - Zsfassung in dt. Sprache Geschichte 1830-1999 gnd rswk-swf Geschichte 1830-1910 gnd rswk-swf Gesellschaft (DE-588)4020588-5 gnd rswk-swf Klimatologie (DE-588)4031178-8 gnd rswk-swf Medizin (DE-588)4038243-6 gnd rswk-swf Cholera (DE-588)4147855-1 gnd rswk-swf Forschung (DE-588)4017894-8 gnd rswk-swf Wissenschaft (DE-588)4066562-8 gnd rswk-swf Klima (DE-588)4031170-3 gnd rswk-swf Klimaänderung (DE-588)4164199-1 gnd rswk-swf Umweltschutz (DE-588)4061644-7 gnd rswk-swf Öffentliches Gesundheitswesen (DE-588)4139691-1 gnd rswk-swf Hamburg (DE-588)4023118-5 gnd rswk-swf (DE-588)4113937-9 Hochschulschrift gnd-content Wissenschaft (DE-588)4066562-8 s Gesellschaft (DE-588)4020588-5 s DE-604 Hamburg (DE-588)4023118-5 g Cholera (DE-588)4147855-1 s Medizin (DE-588)4038243-6 s Forschung (DE-588)4017894-8 s Öffentliches Gesundheitswesen (DE-588)4139691-1 s Geschichte 1830-1910 z Klimatologie (DE-588)4031178-8 s Umweltschutz (DE-588)4061644-7 s Klima (DE-588)4031170-3 s Geschichte 1830-1999 z 1\p DE-604 Klimaänderung (DE-588)4164199-1 s 2\p DE-604 GKSS-Forschungszentrum <Geesthacht>: GKSS 1998,E,61 (DE-604)BV008910881 1998,E,61 HBZ Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=008611545&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis HEBIS Datenaustausch Darmstadt application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=008611545&sequence=000003&line_number=0002&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis 1\p cgwrk 20201028 DE-101 https://d-nb.info/provenance/plan#cgwrk 2\p cgwrk 20201028 DE-101 https://d-nb.info/provenance/plan#cgwrk |
| spellingShingle | Bray, Dennis Science and susceptibility a historical comparative analysis of the years of cholera and the years of climate change in Hamburg GKSS-Forschungszentrum <Geesthacht>: GKSS Gesellschaft (DE-588)4020588-5 gnd Klimatologie (DE-588)4031178-8 gnd Medizin (DE-588)4038243-6 gnd Cholera (DE-588)4147855-1 gnd Forschung (DE-588)4017894-8 gnd Wissenschaft (DE-588)4066562-8 gnd Klima (DE-588)4031170-3 gnd Klimaänderung (DE-588)4164199-1 gnd Umweltschutz (DE-588)4061644-7 gnd Öffentliches Gesundheitswesen (DE-588)4139691-1 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4020588-5 (DE-588)4031178-8 (DE-588)4038243-6 (DE-588)4147855-1 (DE-588)4017894-8 (DE-588)4066562-8 (DE-588)4031170-3 (DE-588)4164199-1 (DE-588)4061644-7 (DE-588)4139691-1 (DE-588)4023118-5 (DE-588)4113937-9 |
| title | Science and susceptibility a historical comparative analysis of the years of cholera and the years of climate change in Hamburg |
| title_alt | GKSS 98 E 61 |
| title_auth | Science and susceptibility a historical comparative analysis of the years of cholera and the years of climate change in Hamburg |
| title_exact_search | Science and susceptibility a historical comparative analysis of the years of cholera and the years of climate change in Hamburg |
| title_full | Science and susceptibility a historical comparative analysis of the years of cholera and the years of climate change in Hamburg author: D. Bray |
| title_fullStr | Science and susceptibility a historical comparative analysis of the years of cholera and the years of climate change in Hamburg author: D. Bray |
| title_full_unstemmed | Science and susceptibility a historical comparative analysis of the years of cholera and the years of climate change in Hamburg author: D. Bray |
| title_short | Science and susceptibility |
| title_sort | science and susceptibility a historical comparative analysis of the years of cholera and the years of climate change in hamburg |
| title_sub | a historical comparative analysis of the years of cholera and the years of climate change in Hamburg |
| topic | Gesellschaft (DE-588)4020588-5 gnd Klimatologie (DE-588)4031178-8 gnd Medizin (DE-588)4038243-6 gnd Cholera (DE-588)4147855-1 gnd Forschung (DE-588)4017894-8 gnd Wissenschaft (DE-588)4066562-8 gnd Klima (DE-588)4031170-3 gnd Klimaänderung (DE-588)4164199-1 gnd Umweltschutz (DE-588)4061644-7 gnd Öffentliches Gesundheitswesen (DE-588)4139691-1 gnd |
| topic_facet | Gesellschaft Klimatologie Medizin Cholera Forschung Wissenschaft Klima Klimaänderung Umweltschutz Öffentliches Gesundheitswesen Hamburg Hochschulschrift |
| url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=008611545&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=008611545&sequence=000003&line_number=0002&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
| volume_link | (DE-604)BV008910881 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT braydennis scienceandsusceptibilityahistoricalcomparativeanalysisoftheyearsofcholeraandtheyearsofclimatechangeinhamburg AT braydennis gkss98e61 |
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