Shaping actors, shaping factors in Russia's future:
Gespeichert in:
| Format: | Buch |
|---|---|
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
New York
St. Martin's Press
1998
|
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Beschreibung: | 141 S |
| ISBN: | 0312216033 |
Internformat
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Datensatz im Suchindex
| _version_ | 1804127020858212352 |
|---|---|
| adam_text | Forward Studies Series
SHAPING ACTORS,
SHAPING FACTORS
IN RUSSIA S FUTURE
Foreword by Jerome Vignon
• * *
• EUR • • op *
• * •
• ^ *
Office for Official Publications of the European Communities
KOGAN
PAGE
Contents
Foreword ix
Jerome Vignon, Director, Forward Studies Unit
Acknowledgements xi
Introduction 1
« 1 Shaping actors, shaping factors in Russia 3
1 1 The main players and their self-interests 3
111 Who are the main political players? 3
112 What new role for the regions? 12
113 Will the military and the
enforcement agencies remain
politically neutral? 15
114 Who are the economic players? 20
115 Organized crime 24
116 The Russian Orthodox Church 26
117 The emergence of democratic features 28
118 Weak civil society 33
119 Media dominated by the government
and the new capitalists 36
1 1 10 The public as a player in elections 38
1 2 The main factors 39
121 Popular disorientation 39
122 Nationalist temptations 43
123 Great Power nostalgia 48
124 Poor economic prospects 56
1 3 Interactions of players and factors and
resulting tendencies 62
Shaping actors, shaping factors in Russia s Juture
131 Towards democracy or
authoritarianism? 62
132 Towards a market economy with
the capacity to integrate into the
world economy? 65
133A nation respectful of its new
neighbours or an empire again? 67
134 Russia/occupied by internal reform
or threatening to the outside world? 69
2 Scenarios for Russia: The year 2000 and beyond 73
2 1 Scenarios for Russia 73
211 Bases for scenarios 74
212 Which scenario is relevant? 74
2 2 Why Russia will not revert to Communism 75
221 The Communist system cannot
be revived 75
222 What would happen if people
voted Communist? 79
2 3 Five scenarios for Russia s future 82
231 Muddling through 82
232 Benign authoritarianism 89
233 Malign authoritarianism 96
234 Weak centre 102
235 Gradual democratization 106
2 4 Which scenarios are relevant for the
year 2000 and beyond? 110
241 Past experience of reforms 111
242 Russia by the year 2000 112
243 Russia beyond the year 2000 114
244 Conclusions 115
3 Ukraine: balancing between East and West 119
3 1 Introduction 119
3 2 External factors 119
vi
Contents
3 3 Internal factors 122
331 The struggle for national cohesion 123
3 4 Main players 126
3 5 Democratic elements 129
3 6 Interactions between players and factors
and tendencies 129
Summary 133
Selected bibliography 137
The Forward Studies Unit 139
vii
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| title | Shaping actors, shaping factors in Russia's future |
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| title_full | Shaping actors, shaping factors in Russia's future [Paul Gerd Löser] |
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| title_short | Shaping actors, shaping factors in Russia's future |
| title_sort | shaping actors shaping factors in russia s future |
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