Chaotics: an agenda for business and society in the twenty-first century
Gespeichert in:
| Hauptverfasser: | , , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Buch |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Twickenham
Adamantine Press
1997
|
| Schriftenreihe: | Adamantine studies on the 21st century
|
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Beschreibung: | 224 S. |
| ISBN: | 0275956911 |
Internformat
MARC
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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| adam_text | I CONTENTS
List of figures ix
List of tables x
List of boxes xi
Preface xiii
Part I Foundations of Chaotics
1. A Routemap to the Concepts and to the Book 3
2. An Overview of Chaos and Complexity 13
3. Insights from Numbers and Visualizing Chaos 23
4. Contrasts in Chaos Theory, Complex Systems Theory and the
Search for Chaotic Axioms 39
Part II Business Chaotics:
Perspectives on Wealth Creation—a positive approach
5. Production for Increasing Returns 53
6. Economics, Intelligence and Turbulence 65
7. Technology Forecasting, with a Safety Net 81
8. Breakthrough and Soft Landing 93
Part III Social Chaotics:
Principles for Designing and Building Society—a sea change in the
philosophy of living
9. Earthly Space Time Trade offs 107
10. Antidotes to Unemployment 123
11. The Coming Take off of the Third World 137
12. An Environment in Search of Its Guardians 159
13. A Recap: Briefly, Thinking with Chaotics—
for our 21 st century agenda 173
viii Contents
Appendix 1. Computing under Chaotics:
Slow Decay versus Self Organization 179
Appendix 2. Playing Simple Games with Numbers 193
Glossary 209
Bibliography 219
Index ¦ 221
I LIST OF FIGURES
1. A symbolic representation of linear and non linear effects 15
2. Illustrating how seemingly repetitive weather patterns diverge over time 17
3. Illustrating how phase space techniques turn dull statistical data
into a telling picture 28
4. A menagerie of geometrical forms—flip and pitchfork bifurcations 30
5. Julia sets 31
6. Helge Von Koch s snowflake can be derived from an equilateral triangle 32
7. Cantor sets 33
8. The S shaped Pearl curve, also called the logistic , and the skewed
Gompertz curve 70
9. Motorola s performance 1979 1992 compared with that of the entire
US business sector 71
10. Linear, exponential and logistic growth curves 72
11. The envelope curve used for identifying and explaining the development
of a rapidly evolving technology 76
12. Market for a new product, e.g. cell phones 77
13. Showing passage from see saw growth to chaotic growth 78
14. Extract from a Delphi survey 87
15. Morphological mapping 89
16. Major disasters around the world, 1963 1992 113
A1. Iteration is akin to feedback 193
A2. A graph of the parabola y = 2x( 1 x) and straight line y = x, showing
the sequence of x values for the game xn+, = 2xn( 1 xn) starting at Xq = 0.1 195
A3. Logistic difference equation iteration xn+, = 2xn( 1 xn) 197
A4. Some parabolas of the form y= ax( 1 x) with different values of a 197
A5. A graph of the parabola y = 3.5x( 1 x) and straight line y = x,
showing the sequence of x values for the game xn+l = 3.5xn( 1 xn)
starting at Xg = 0.5 199
A6. Logistic difference equation iteration xn+l = 3.5xn( 1 xn) 200
A7. Logistic iterative function: plot of xn vs a, showing bifurcations 202
A8. Logistic iterative function: plot of xn vs a in the range 3.57 a 4,
showing chaos and yet windows of 2p cycles 203
A9. A graph of parabolas of the form y=x2 a 205
I LIST OF TABLES
1. Effects of varying the factors on average and marginal production 55
2. Cost schedules 57
A1. Iteration of xn+, = 2xn( 1 xn) 196
A2. Iteration of xn+, = 3.5xn( 1 xn) 198
A3. Attractors for various ranges of a; 201
I LIST OF BOXES
1. The mathematics of iterative logistic functions and attractors 25
2. Convergence between the schools of chaos theory and complex systems 41
3. The concept of economic feedback, from Professor W. Brian Arthur 58
4. Scientific management: an obsession with efficiency, mechanistic plans and
mathematical models 67
5. Four scenarios for Russia s future follow the concepts of chaotics 91
6. Three breakthroughs from reading the cards correctly 96
7. Sociological thinking and philosophy grow from science and technology 128
8. Assessing environmental impact: indicators and the concept of value in
quality of life 163
|
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| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 0275956911 |
| language | English |
| oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-008303316 |
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| physical | 224 S. |
| publishDate | 1997 |
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| spelling | Anderla, Georges Verfasser aut Chaotics an agenda for business and society in the twenty-first century Georges Anderla ; Anthony Dunning ; Simon Forge Twickenham Adamantine Press 1997 224 S. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Adamantine studies on the 21st century Unternehmensentwicklung (DE-588)4125011-4 gnd rswk-swf Wirtschaftsentwicklung (DE-588)4066438-7 gnd rswk-swf Sozialer Wandel (DE-588)4077587-2 gnd rswk-swf Chaotisches System (DE-588)4316104-2 gnd rswk-swf Prognose (DE-588)4047390-9 gnd rswk-swf Wirtschaftsentwicklung (DE-588)4066438-7 s Prognose (DE-588)4047390-9 s Chaotisches System (DE-588)4316104-2 s DE-604 Unternehmensentwicklung (DE-588)4125011-4 s Sozialer Wandel (DE-588)4077587-2 s Dunning, Anthony Verfasser aut Forge, Simon Verfasser aut HBZ Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=008303316&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Anderla, Georges Dunning, Anthony Forge, Simon Chaotics an agenda for business and society in the twenty-first century Unternehmensentwicklung (DE-588)4125011-4 gnd Wirtschaftsentwicklung (DE-588)4066438-7 gnd Sozialer Wandel (DE-588)4077587-2 gnd Chaotisches System (DE-588)4316104-2 gnd Prognose (DE-588)4047390-9 gnd |
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| title | Chaotics an agenda for business and society in the twenty-first century |
| title_auth | Chaotics an agenda for business and society in the twenty-first century |
| title_exact_search | Chaotics an agenda for business and society in the twenty-first century |
| title_full | Chaotics an agenda for business and society in the twenty-first century Georges Anderla ; Anthony Dunning ; Simon Forge |
| title_fullStr | Chaotics an agenda for business and society in the twenty-first century Georges Anderla ; Anthony Dunning ; Simon Forge |
| title_full_unstemmed | Chaotics an agenda for business and society in the twenty-first century Georges Anderla ; Anthony Dunning ; Simon Forge |
| title_short | Chaotics |
| title_sort | chaotics an agenda for business and society in the twenty first century |
| title_sub | an agenda for business and society in the twenty-first century |
| topic | Unternehmensentwicklung (DE-588)4125011-4 gnd Wirtschaftsentwicklung (DE-588)4066438-7 gnd Sozialer Wandel (DE-588)4077587-2 gnd Chaotisches System (DE-588)4316104-2 gnd Prognose (DE-588)4047390-9 gnd |
| topic_facet | Unternehmensentwicklung Wirtschaftsentwicklung Sozialer Wandel Chaotisches System Prognose |
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